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This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Measuring Wealth and Financial Intermediation and Their Links to the Real Economy Volume Author/Editor: Charles R. Hulten and Marshall B. Reinsdorf, editors Series: Studies in Income and Wealth, volume 73 Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-20426-X, 978-0-226-20426-0 (cloth); 978-0-226-20443-7 (eisbn) Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/hult10-1 Conference Date: November 12 13, 2010 Publication Date: January 2015 Chapter Title: Front matter, prefatory note, table of contents Chapter Author(s): Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c12516 Chapter pages in book: (p. i x)

Measuring Wealth and Financial Intermediation and Their Links to the Real Economy

Studies in Income and Wealth Volume 73 National Bureau of Economic Research Conference on Research in Income and Wealth

Measuring Wealth and Financial Intermediation and Their Links to the Real Economy Edited by Charles R. Hulten and Marshall B. Reinsdorf The University of Chicago Press Chicago and London

Charles r. hulten is professor in the Department of Economics at the University of Maryland. He is a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and chairman of the National Bureau of Economic Research s Conference on Research in Income and Wealth. Marshall reinsdorf is senior economist in the Statistics Department at the International Monetary Fund. He is the former chief of the National Economics Accounts Research Group at the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London 2015 by the National Bureau of Economic Research All rights reserved. Published 2015. Printed in the United States of America 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 1 2 3 4 5 ISBN- 13: 978-0-226-20426-0 (cloth) ISBN-13: 978-0-226-20443-7 (e-book) DOI: 10.7208/chicago/9780226204437.001.0001 Library of Congress Cataloging- in-publication Data Hulten, Charles R., author. Measuring wealth and Wnancial intermediation and their links to the real economy / Charles R. Hulten and Marshall B. Reinsdorf. pages cm (Studies in income and wealth ; volume 73) Includes index. ISBN 978-0-226-20426-0 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN 978-0-226-20443-7 (e- book) 1. Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009. 2. United States Economic conditions 2001-2009. 3. Intermediation (Finance) 4. Investments, Foreign. I. Reinsdorf, Marshall B., author. II. Title. III. Series: Studies in income and wealth ; v. 73. HB37172008.H85 2015 332 dc23 2014020869 o This paper meets the requirements of ANSI/NISO Z39.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper).

National Bureau of Economic Research OYcers Martin B. Zimmerman, chairman Karen N. Horn, vice chairman James M. Poterba, president and chief executive oycer Robert Mednick, treasurer Alterra Milone, corporate secretary Kelly Horak, controller and assistant corporate secretary Dennis Healy, assistant corporate secretary Directors at Large Peter C. Aldrich Elizabeth E. Bailey John H. Biggs John S. Clarkeson Don R. Conlan Kathleen B. Cooper Charles H. Dallara George C. Eads Jessica P. Einhorn Mohamed El-Erian Linda Ewing Jacob A. Frenkel Judith M. Gueron Robert S. Hamada Peter Blair Henry Karen N. Horn John Lipsky Laurence H. Meyer Michael H. Moskow Alicia H. Munnell Robert T. Parry James M. Poterba John S. Reed Marina v. N. Whitman Martin B. Zimmerman Directors by University Appointment Jagdish Bhagwati, Columbia Timothy Bresnahan, Stanford Alan V. DeardorV, Michigan Ray C. Fair, Yale Edward Foster, Minnesota John P. Gould, Chicago Mark Grinblatt, California, Los Angeles Bruce Hansen, Wisconsin Madison Benjamin Hermalin, California, Berkeley Marjorie B. McElroy, Duke Joel Mokyr, Northwestern Andrew Postlewaite, Pennsylvania Cecilia Rouse, Princeton Richard L. Schmalensee, Massachusetts Institute of Technology David B. YoYe, Harvard Directors by Appointment of Other Organizations Bart van Ark, The Conference Board Jean-Paul Chavas, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association Martin Gruber, American Finance Association Ellen L. Hughes- Cromwick, National Association for Business Economics Arthur Kennickell, American Statistical Association William W. Lewis, Committee for Economic Development Robert Mednick, American Institute of CertiWed Public Accountants Alan L. Olmstead, Economic History Association Peter L. Rousseau, American Economic Association Gregor W. Smith, Canadian Economics Association William Spriggs, American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations Directors Emeriti Glen G. Cain Carl F. Christ Franklin Fisher George Hatsopoulos Saul H. Hymans Rudolph A. Oswald Peter G. Peterson Nathan Rosenberg John J. Siegfried Craig Swan

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Contents Prefatory Note Introduction 1 Charles R. Hulten and Marshall B. Reinsdorf I. Advancing Economic and Financial Measurement Practice: Lessons from the Financial Crisis 1. Integrating the Economic Accounts: Lessons from the Crisis 19 Barry Bosworth 2. Financial Statistics for the United States and the Crisis: What Did They Get Right, What Did They Miss, and How Could They Change? 39 Matthew J. Eichner, Donald L. Kohn, and Michael G. Palumbo 3. Durable Financial Regulation: Monitoring Financial Instruments as a Counterpart to Regulating Financial Institutions 67 Leonard Nakamura 4. Shadow Banking and the Funding of the Nonfinancial Sector 89 Joshua Gallin ix vii

viii Contents 5. Financial Intermediation in the National Accounts: Asset Valuation, Intermediation, and Tobin s q 125 Carol A. Corrado and Charles R. Hulten II. Advances in Measuring Wealth and Financial Flows 6. Adding Actuarial Estimates of Defined- Benefit Pension Plans to National Accounts 151 Dominque Durant, David Lenze, and Marshall B. Reinsdorf 7. The Return on US Direct Investment at Home and Abroad 205 Stephanie E. Curcuru and Charles P. Thomas 8. US International Financial Flows and the US Net Investment Position: New Perspectives Arising from New International Standards 231 Christopher A. Gohrband and Kristy L. Howell III. How Did the Financial Crisis Affect Households and Businesses? 9. Household Debt and Saving during the 2007 Recession 273 Rajashri Chakrabarti, Donghoon Lee, Wilbert van der Klaauw, and Basit Zafar 10. Drowning or Weathering the Storm? Changes in Family Finances from 2007 to 2009 323 Jesse Bricker, Brian Bucks, Arthur Kennickell, Traci Mach, and Kevin Moore 11. The Misfortune of Nonfinancial Firms in a Financial Crisis: Disentangling Finance and Demand Shocks 349 Hui Tong and Shang- Jin Wei Contributors 377 Author Index 379 Subject Index 383

Prefatory Note This volume contains revised versions of most of the papers and discussions presented at the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth entitled Wealth, Financial Intermediation and the Real Economy, held in Washington, DC, on November 12 13, 2010. We thank the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System for graciously hosting the conference. We gratefully acknowledge the Wnancial support for this conference provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Support for the general activities of the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth is provided by the following agencies: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Census Bureau, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Internal Revenue Service, and Statistics Canada. We thank Charles R. Hulten and Marshall B. Reinsdorf, who served as editors of the volume, as well as Michael Palumbo, who served as a conference organizer along with the editors. Executive Committee, September 2013 John M. Abowd Michael W. Horrigan Susanto Basu Charles R. Hulten (chair) Andrew Bernard Ron Jarmin Ernst R. Berndt J. Steven Landefeld Carol A. Corrado Brent Moulton W. Erwin Diewert Valerie Ramey Robert C. Feenstra Mark J. Roberts John Greenlees Daniel Sichel John C. Haltiwanger William Wascher ix