Survey of Likely Voters in Oregon Topline Survey Report July 30, 2015 Clout Research conducted a survey of likely voters statewide in Oregon regarding political issues. The survey was conducted July 27-29, 2015 and included 786 respondents. It included both landline and cell phone respondents and is balanced to reflect the Oregon voting population for gender, age, regional distribution, telephone type, and partisan affiliation. It carries a confidence interval of 95% and a margin of error of +/- 3.47 percentage points. Thinking about how things are going for us here in the state or Oregon, would you say things are, generally speaking, headed in the right direction or do you think they are off on the wrong track? Frequency Cumulative RIGHT TRACK 345 43.9 43.9 43.9 WRONG TRACK 357 45.4 45.4 89.2 NOT SURE 85 10.8 10.8 100.0 When you think of politics and political candidates, which political party do you tend to be most interested in the Democratic Party of Oregon, the Republican Party of Oregon, the Libertarian Party, the Pacific Green Party, the Working Families Party, or the Independent Party of Oregon? Frequency Cumulative DEM PARTY 277 35.3 35.3 35.3 GOP 263 33.5 33.5 68.8 LIBERTARIAN 34 4.3 4.3 73.1 PACIFIC GREEN 22 2.7 2.7 75.8 WORKING FAMILIES 24 3.1 3.1 78.9 INDY PARTY 87 11.1 11.1 89.9 NONE 79 10.1 10.1 100.0
Regardless of which party you tend to be most interested in, to the best of your recollection, to which party are you actually registered as a member - Democratic Party of Oregon, the Republican Party of Oregon, the Libertarian Party, the Pacific Green Party, the Working Families Party, or the Independent Party of Oregon? Frequency Cumulative DEM 322 41.0 41.0 41.0 GOP 259 33.0 33.0 74.0 LIBERTARIAN 24 3.0 3.0 77.0 PACIFIC GREEN 16 2.0 2.0 79.0 WORKING FAMILIES 16 2.0 2.0 81.0 INDY PARTY 86 11.0 11.0 92.0 NAV 39 5.0 5.0 97.0 NOT SURE 24 3.0 3.0 100.0 Thinking about the candidates you voted for last November, how did you vote? Frequency Cumulative STRICT DEM 172 21.9 21.9 21.9 MOSTLY DEM 180 23.0 23.0 44.9 TICKET SPLITTER 101 12.9 12.9 57.8 MOSTLY GOP 139 17.7 17.7 75.4 STRICT GOP 113 14.3 14.3 89.7 PARTY NO MATTER 62 7.9 7.9 97.6 DON'T VOTE 19 2.4 2.4 100.0
Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the Democratic Party of Oregon? Frequency Cumulative VERY FAVORABLE 200 25.4 25.4 25.4 FAVORABLE 160 20.4 20.4 45.8 UNFAVORABLE 177 22.6 22.6 68.4 VERY UNFAVORABLE 179 22.8 22.8 91.2 NO OPINION 69 8.8 8.8 100.0 Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party of Oregon? Frequency Cumulative VERY FAVORABLE 114 14.6 14.6 14.6 FAVORABLE 246 31.3 31.3 45.8 UNFAVORABLE 189 24.0 24.0 69.8 VERY UNFAVORABLE 157 20.0 20.0 89.8 NO OPINION 80 10.2 10.2 100.0
In your view, do the Republican and Democratic Parties of Oregon adequately represent Oregonians, or do you agree Oregonians would benefit from the establishment of a third major political party? Frequency Cumulative DO ADEQUATE JOB 264 33.6 33.6 33.6 3rd PARTY WOULD HELP 320 40.7 40.7 74.2 NOT SURE 202 25.8 25.8 100.0 The Independent Party of Oregon was established to offer voters a slate of candidates who could move beyond the old Democrat-versus-Republican battles that have left our state in its current situation. Knowing this, as a voter, what level of consideration would you give to engaging with Independent Party of Oregon? Please listen to ALL of the answer choices before making your selection: Frequency Cumulative WOULD CONSIDER JOINING INDY PARTY 180 22.9 22.9 22.9 WOULD VOTE INDY BUT NOT CHANGE 451 57.3 57.3 80.2 PARTY WOULD NEVER VOTE/CHANGE PARTY 155 19.8 19.8 100.0
SOCIAL PHILOS Frequency Cumulative VERY LIBERAL 153 19.4 19.4 19.4 LIBERAL 122 15.6 15.6 35.0 MODERATE 221 28.1 28.1 63.0 CONSERVATIVE 187 23.8 23.8 86.8 VERY CONSERVATIVE 104 13.2 13.2 100.0 WHICH ISSUES MOST IMPORTANT? Frequency Cumulative ECONOMIC ISSUES 463 58.9 58.9 58.9 SOCIAL ISSUES 323 41.1 41.1 100.0
GENDER Frequency Cumulative MEN 381 48.5 48.5 48.5 WOMEN 405 51.5 51.5 100.0 MARITAL STATUS Frequency Cumulative MARRIED 501 63.7 63.7 63.7 SINGLE 184 23.4 23.4 87.1 DIVORCED-SEPARATED 101 12.9 12.9 100.0 AGE Frequency Cumulative UNDER AGE 25 47 6.0 6.0 6.0 AGE 25-34 71 9.0 9.0 15.0 AGE 35-44 110 14.0 14.0 29.0 AGE 45-54 110 14.0 14.0 43.0 AGE 55-64 134 17.0 17.0 60.0 AGE 65-74 173 22.0 22.0 82.0 AGE 75 + 141 18.0 18.0 100.0
INCOME Frequency Cumulative LESS THAN $50K YEAR 328 41.7 41.7 41.7 $50K TO $75K YEAR 168 21.3 21.3 63.1 $75K TO $125K YEAR 171 21.8 21.8 84.9 $125K YEAR OR MORE 74 9.4 9.4 94.2 DECLINED 45 5.8 5.8 100.0 PHONE Frequency Cumulative LANDLINE 536 68.2 68.2 68.2 CELL 250 31.8 31.8 100.0 CONG DISTRICT Frequency Cumulative 1 154 19.6 19.6 19.6 2 153 19.5 19.5 39.1 3 156 19.9 19.9 59.0 4 165 21.0 21.0 80.0 5 157 20.0 20.0 100.0