Alabama Statewide Republican Primary Runoff Election August 24 26, 2017

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Transcription:

Alabama Statewide Republican Primary Runoff Election August 24 26, 2017 Q. In August, which political party s primary election for Senate did you vote in? Republican primary 92% Did not vote 8% Q. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Republican primary runoff election for Senate? Extremely likely 89% Very likely 8% Somewhat likely 3% Q. Which of the following candidates for U.S. Senate do you consider to be the most supportive of President Trump: Roy Moore OR Luther Strange? Moore 40% Strange 50% Not sure 10% Q. If the Republican primary runoff election for Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Roy Moore OR Luther Strange? Moore 47% Strange 45% Undecided 8% (Asked only of Moore voters) Q. And would you say you are definitely or probably going to vote for Roy Moore? Definitely 84% Probably 16% 121 State Street HarperPolling.com info@harperpolling.com Harrisburg, PA 17101

(Asked only of Strange voters) Q. And would you say you are definitely or probably going to vote for Luther Strange? Definitely 84% Probably 16% (Asked only of Undecided Voters) Q. And would you say you lean towards Roy Moore or Luther Strange? Lean Moore 6% Lean Strange 30% Truly undecided 63% Now, I am going to read you a list of names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each or if you have no opinion. Donald Trump Total Favorable: 87% Total Unfavorable: 10% Very favorable 69% Somewhat favorable 18% No opinion 4% Somewhat unfavorable 4% Very unfavorable 6% Roy Moore Total Favorable: 59% Total Unfavorable: 26% Very favorable 35% Somewhat favorable 24% No opinion 15% Somewhat unfavorable 10% Very unfavorable 16% 2

Luther Strange Total Favorable: 60% Total Unfavorable: 24% Very favorable 30% Somewhat favorable 30% No opinion 17% Somewhat unfavorable 14% Very unfavorable 10% Q. Can you tell me the date of the Republican primary runoff election for Senate? Is it August 29 th, September 26 th OR October 3 rd? August 29 th 10% September 26 th 55% October 3 rd 9% Not sure 26% Q. Have you seen, read or heard anything recently about Roy Moore? Yes 56% No 30% Not sure 15% (Asked only of Yes respondents from previous question) Q. Has that information given you a more favorable or a more unfavorable opinion of Roy Moore? Favorable 49% Unfavorable 26% Not sure 24% Q. Have you seen, read or heard anything recently about Luther Strange? Yes 61% No 25% Not sure 13% 3

(Asked only of Yes respondents from previous question) Q. Has that information given you a more favorable or a more unfavorable opinion of Luther Strange? Favorable 42% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 22% Q. Thinking about the Republican primary runoff for United States Senate, which of the following candidate characteristics is most important in determining your vote: Strong support for President Trump, Conservative values, A willingness to fight the Republican establishment in Washington, OR An ability to get things done for Alabama? Support for Trump 38% Conservative values 27% Fight the establishment 11% Get things done 22% Not sure 2% Q. And, do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party? Yes 30% No 39% Not sure 31% Demographics Gender Female 49% Male 51% Age 18 to 39 7% 40 to 54 14% 55 to 64 18% 65 to 74 29% 75 or older 32% Party Affiliation Republican 87% Democrat 2% Independent or any other party 11% 4

Ideology Very Conservative 46% Somewhat Conservative 38% Moderate 12% Liberal 2% Not sure 2% Media Market ATLANTA 1% BIRMINGHAM (ANN AND TUSC) 40% COLUMBUS GA (OPELIKA AL) 5% COLUMBUS-TUPELO-W PNT-HSTN 1% DOTHAN 5% HUNTSVILLE-DECATUR (FLOR) 20% MERIDIAN 0.3% MOBILE-PENSACOLA (FT WALT) 15% MONTGOMERY-SELMA 13% Primary Vote History 1 1% 2 13% 3 32% 4 53% METHODOLOGY: The sample size for the survey is 600 likely Republican primary runoff election voters in Alabama and the margin of error is +/-4.0%. Reponses were gathered via landline interviews conducted with Interactive Voice Response (IVR) technology. The survey was conducted August 24-26, 2017 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding. 5