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This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Issues in Pension Economics Volume Author/Editor: Zvi Bodie, John B. Shoven, and David A. Wise, eds. Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-06284-8 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/bodi87-1 Publication Date: 1987 Chapter Title: Front matter, "Issues in Pension Economics" Chapter Author: Zvi Bodie, John B. Shoven, David A. Wise Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c6849 Chapter pages in book: (p. -12-0)

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Issues in Pension Economics

A National Bureau of Economic Research Project Report

Issues in Pension Economics Edited by zvi Bodie, John B. Shoven, and David A. Wise The University of Chicago Press Chicago and London

Zvi Bodie is professor of finance at Boston University. John B. Shoven is professor of economics at Stanford University. David A. Wise is the John F. Stambaugh Professor of Political Economy at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London 0 1987 by The National Bureau of Economic Research All rights reserved. Published 1987 Printed in the United States of America 96 95 94 93 92 91 90 89 88 87 5 4 3 2 1 Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Issues in pension economic? (A National Bureau of Economic Research project report) Bibliography: p. Includes indexes. I. Pension trusts-united States-Congresses. 2. Corporations-United States-Finance-Congresses 3. Pensions-United States-Finance-Congresses. 1. Bodie, Zvi. 11. Shoven, John B. 111. Wise. David A. IV. Series. HD7105.45.lJ6162 1987 331.25 2 0973 86-19346 ISBN 0-226-06284-8

National Bureau of Economic Research Officers Franklin A. Lindsay, chairman Richard N. Rosett, vice-chairman Martin Feldstein, president Geoffrey Carliner, executive director Charles A. Walworth, treasurer Sam Parker, director uf3nunce and administrution Directors at Large Moses Abramovitz Andrew Brimmer Carl F. Christ George T. Conklin, Jr. Jean A. Crockett Morton Ehrlich Martin Feldstein Edward L. Ginzton David L. Grove George Hatsopoulos Walter W. Heller Saul B. Klaman Franklin A. Lindsay Roy E. Moor Geoffrey H. Moore Michael H. Moskow James J. O Leary Robert Parry Reter G. Peterson Robert V. Roosa Richard N. Rosett Bert Seidrnan Eli Shapiro Stephen Stamas Donald S. Wasserman Manna v.n. Whitman Directors by University Appointment Marcus Alexis, Northwestern Albert Ando, Pennsylvania Charles H. Berry, Princeton James Duesenberry, Harvard Ann F. Friedlaender, Massachusetts Institute of Technology J. C. LaForce, California, Los Angeles Paul McCracken, Michigan James L. Pierce, California, Berkeley Nathan Rosenberg, Stanford James Sirnler, Minnesota James Tobin, Yale John Vernon, Duke William S. Vickrey, Columbia Burton A. Weisbrod, Wisconsin Arnold Zellner, Chicago Directors by Appointment of Other Organizations Edgar Fiedler, National Associution of Rudolph A. Oswald, American Business Economists Federation of Labor and Douglas Robert S. Hamada, American Finance Purvis, Canadian Economics Association Association Robert C. Holland, Committee for Congress of Industrial Organizations Economic Development Albert T. Sommers, The Conference James Houck, American Agricultural Board Economics Association Dudley Wallace, American Statistical David Kendrick, American Economic Association Association Charles A. Walworth, American Institute Douglas C. North, Economic History of Cert8ed Public Accountants Association Directors Emeriti Arthur Burns Emilio G. Collado Solomon Fabricant Frank W. Fetter Thomas D. Flynn Gottfried Haberler George B. Roberts Willard L. Thorp

Relation of the Directors to the Work and Publications of the National Bureau of Economic Research 1. The object of the National Bureau of Economic Research is to ascertain and to present to the public important economic facts and their interpretation in a scientific and impartial manner. The Board of Directors is charged with the responsibility of ensuring that the work of the National Bureau is carried on in strict conformity with this object. 2. The President of the National Bureau shall submit to the Board of Directors, or to its Executive Committee, for their formal adoption all specific proposals for research to be instituted. 3. No research report shall be published by the National Bureau until the President has sent each member of the Board a notice that a manuscript is recommended for publication and that in the President s opinion it is suitable for publication in accordance with the principles of the National Bureau. Such notification will include an abstract or summary of the manuscript s content and a response form for use by those Directors who desire a copy of the manuscript for review. Each manuscript shall contain a summary drawing attention to the nature and treatment of the problem studied, the character of the data and their utilization in the report, and the main conclusions reached. 4. For each manuscript so submitted, a special committee of the Directors (including Directors Emeriti) shall be appointed by majority agreement of the President and Vice Presidents (or by the Executive Committee in case of inability to decide on the part of the President and Vice Presidents), consisting of three Directors selected as nearly as may be one from each general division of the Board. The names of the special manuscript committee shall be stated to each Director when notice of the proposed publication is submitted to him. It shall be the duty of each member of the special manuscript committee to read the manuscript. If each member of the manuscript committee signifies his approval within thirty days of the transmittal of the manuscript, the report may be published. If at the end of that period any member of the manuscript committee withholds his approval, the President shall then notify each member of the Board, requesting approval or disapproval of publication, and thirty days additional shall be granted for this purpose. The manuscript shall then not be published unless at least a majority of the entire Board who shall have voted on the proposal within the time fixed for the receipt of votes shall have approved. 5. No manuscript may be published, though approved by each member of the special manuscript committee, until forty-five days have elapsed from the transmittal of the report in manuscript form. The interval is allowed for the receipt of any memorandum of dissent or reservation, together with a brief statement of his reasons, that any member may wish to express; and such memorandum of dissent or reservation shall be published with the manuscript if he so desires. Publication does not, however, imply that each member of the Board has read the manuscript, or that either members of the Board in general or the special committee have passed on its validity in every detail. 6. Publications of the National Bureau issued for informational purposes concerning the work of the Bureau and its staff, or issued to inform the public of activities of Bureau staff, and volumes issued as a result of various conferences involving the National Bureau shall contain a specific disclaimer noting that such publication has not passed through the normal review procedures required in this resolution. The Executive Committee of the Board is charged with review of all such publications from time to time to ensure that they do not take on the character of formal research reports of the National Bureau, requiring formal Board approval. 7. Unless otherwise determined by the Board or exempted by the terms of paragraph 6, a copy of this resolution shall be printed in each National Bureau publication. (Resolution adopted October 25, 1926, as revised through Septembrr 30, 1974)

Contents Acknowledgments 1. Introduction 1 Zvi Bodie, John B. Shoven, and David A. Wise I. PENSIONS AND CORPORATE FINANCE 2. Funding and Asset Allocation in Corporate Pension Plans: An Empirical Investigation 15 Zvi Bodie, Jay 0. Light, Randall MBrck, and Robert A. Taggart, Jr. Comment: AndrC F. Perold 3. Corporate Pension Policy and the Value of PBGC Insurance 49 Alan J. Marcus Comment: William F. Sharpe 4. How Does the Market Value Unfunded Pension Liabilities? 81 Jeremy I. Bulow, Randall MBrck, and Lawrence Summers Comment: Myron S. Scholes ix 11. PENSIONS AND RETIREMENT INCOME ADEQUACY vii 5. Concepts and Measures of Earnings Replacement during Retirement 113 Michael J. Boskin and John B. Shoven Comment: Alan L. Gustman

viii Contents 6. Pension Plan Integration as Insurance against Social Security Risk Robert C. Merton, Zvi Bodie, and Alan J. Marcus Comment: Jeremy I. Bulow 111. PENSIONS AND SAVINGS BEHAVIOR 7. Uncertain Lifetimes, Pensions, and Individual Saving R. Glenn Hubbard Comment: Olivia S. Mitchell 8. Annuity Markets, Savings, and the Capital Stock Laurence J. Kotlikoff, John B. Shoven, and Avia Spivak Comment: Michael Rothschild 9. Dissaving after Retirement: Testing the Pure Life Cycle Hypothesis B. Douglas Bernheim Comment: Michael Hurd IV. PENSIONS AND THE LABOR MARKET 10. The Incentive Effects of Private Pension Plans Laurence J. Kotlikoff and David A. Wise Comment: Thomas A. Gustafson 11. Pension Inequality Edward P. Lazear and Sherwin Rosen Comment: Sylvester J. Schieber List of Contributors Author Index Subject Index 147 175 21 1 237 283 34 1 365 367 370

Acknowledgments This volume consists of papers presented at a conference held at the Hotel del Coronado, San Diego, California, 13-14 April 1984, and is part of the National Bureau of Economic Research ongoing project on the economics of the United States pension system. The work reported here was sponsored by the United States Department of Health and Human Services. Earlier work on the project was supported by the following organizations: American Telephone and Telegraph Company, The Boeing Company, E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company, Exxon Corporation, Ford Motor Company, IBM Corporation, the Lilly Endowment, The Procter and Gamble Fund, and the Sarah Scaife Foundation, Inc. The authors are grateful to Karen Prindle for guiding them and this volume through the editorial process. Any opinions expressed in this volume are those of the respective authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research or any of the sponsoring organizations. ix

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