How the US Acquires Clients. Contexts of Acquisition

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Transcription:

How the US Acquires Clients Contexts of Acquisition

Some Basics of Client Acquisition Client acquisition requires the consent of both the US and the new client though consent of the client can be coercive The Dance -- acquisition occurs only when the US asks and the Clients accepts Can take a long time and there can be numerous false steps Why The decision to take on a client is serious and potentially very costly for the US and credibility on the line And can have negative ramifications for the potential client As noted US delays acquisition of Ethiopia and Jordan US offer of client status rejected by Cambodia 1960 by Sihanouk and others pursuing non-alignment Many go very smoothly as both parties are willing and ready

Basics continued Client status once achieved has longevity -- while there is a sense of development of clients there is no graduation Renouncing US client status is difficult and dangerous and rare usually occurs only when the client regime undergoes a fundamental transformation Cuba, Iran etc. and usually become enemies Note that relations can be difficult at times between the US and its clients (France) and sometimes leaders of clients can be significant problems --- Chavez in Venezuela

Contexts of Acquisition How the US acquires clients depends upon the following combination of factors 1. The situation in the country and the geographic region that the country is located 2. Range of immediate motives of the policymakers 3. The focus and size of the policy instruments and programs instituted by the US First context of acquisition Post-occupation States emerge from a US military occupation the problem is to create or recreate a sovereign state but one with a sustained US presence (similarities to decolonization of other empires) So the focus is on the means to end a formal occupation and shift toward help a typically weak new regime

Table 3.1 Clients Acquired: Post-occupation Client Date Acquired and Duration of Client Status Cuba 1902-1959 Italy Philippines South Korea West Germany (Germany) Japan Austria Grenada Marshall Islands Micronesia Palau Afghanistan Iraq 1945-present 1946-present 1949-present 1951-present 1955-present 1984-present 1986-present 1986-present 1994-present 2001-present 2004-present

Contexts of Acquisition Second context of Acquisition - Switching Switching occurs when an enemy of the US undergoes a major change in its regime without being occupied by US military forces -- so from an enemy to a client Recall an enemy is a nonclient whose regime chooses to systematically differ from the US on foreign and domestic economic and political issues -- enemies come in a variety of ideological hues -- characterization of an enemy seems to be idiosyncratic piecemeal and based on specifics no apparent pattern but once state had been characterized as such it stays in that category for a long time

Table 3.2 Clients Acquired: Switches Client Date Acquired and Duration of Client Status Nicaragua 1910-1979 Iran (ex-mossadeq) 1953-1979 Ghana Indonesia Egypt 1966-present 1966-present 1978-present Cambodia 1970-1975 Nicaragua Suriname Ethiopia 1990-present 1991-present 1991-present

Contexts of Acquisition Danger -- Here the new client is acquired because its regime faces danger from either internal enemies or from an external enemy state (often these are linked) The US offers client status and all the US resources that entails to protect that state from its enemy note the danger posed to the would be client is a function of the beliefs of US policymakers not some objective reality think about the danger created by Grenada in the 1980s toward other Caribbean countries

Table 3.3 Clients Acquired: Danger Client Date Acquired and Duration of Client Status China 1943-1949 Greece Turkey Thailand Taiwan Pakistan 1947-present 1947-present 1950-present 1950-present 1954-present South Vietnam 1955-1975 Lebanon 1957-1984 Ethiopia 1959-1977 Jamaica Trinidad and Tobago 1963-present 1963-present Congo (Zaire) 1963-1997 Laos 1964-1975 Jordan Tunisia Malaysia Singapore Barbados Saint Lucia Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Dominica Antigua and Barbuda Belize Saint Kitts and Nevis Bosnia Macedonia 1965-present 1967-present 1977-present 1977-present 1980-present 1981-present 1981-present 1981-present 1981-present 1982-present 1984-present 1996-present 1996-present

Context of Acquisition Prewar/Post war Planning planning processes that both precede and follow wars In both cases the US organizes and takes on whole geographic regions of clients focus in on making things (economic, political, security) be coordinated and run smoothly rather than on some specific and significant danger Several of these but the major waves of acquisition occcur in South America prior to WWII and in Western Europe after WWII South America military missions and economic and financial arrangments W. Europe The Marshall Plan not just money but a host of institutional arrangments to coordinate and monitor aid

Table 3.4 Clients Acquired: Pre-/Post-War Planning Client Date Acquired and Duration of Client Status Panama Dominican Republic Honduras Haiti Costa Rica Guatemala El Salvador Mexico Colombia Venezuela Bolivia Ecuador Peru Chile Paraguay Uruguay Brazil Canada Liberia Argentina France 1903-present 1905-present 1911-present 1915-present 1919-present 1920-present 1922-present 1940-present 1940-present 1940-present 1940-present 1940-present 1940-present 1940-present 1940-present 1940-present 1940-present 1941-present 1942-present 1946-present

United Kingdom Belgium Netherlands Luxembourg Denmark Norway Iceland Portugal Sweden Australia New Zealand Spain Kuwait Bahrain Oman Qatar United Arab Emirates 1951-present 1951-present 1953-present 1991-present 1991-present 1992-present 1992-present 1994-present

Contexts of Acquisition Special Access - acquisition in this context is based not upon the specifics at the time of acquisition as in the prior four contexts but rather based upon the historical relationship of the new client and the US -- that historical relationship gave the those states special access to US policymakers the historical relationships varied and had a lot to do with either the perceptions of the US public and policymakers toward the peoples of those states and/or the long term lobbying efforts and relationships established

Table 3.5 Clients Acquired: Special Access Client Date Acquired and Duration of Client Status Hawaii 1893-1898 Israel Saudi Arabia Guyana Bahamas Poland 1953-present 1966-present 1985-present 1998-present

1* Nic 1981-90 1913-1939 2 Ger 1938-45 Russia / (SU) 1918-33 (SU) 1946-1989 1931-1945 3 4 1954-present 1949-1978 1953- present 5 1979-present () 1954-1995 1956-1974 6 7 1963-2003 1900-1910 1911-1920 1921-1930 1931-1940 1959-present 8 67-76 1986-present 1969-1990 9 1977-1991 10 11 12 13 1980-2004 14 1941-1950 1951-1960 1961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2000-2008 15

Enemies of the United States Nicaragua 1907-10 (1) Mexico 1913-1939 (1) Germany 1915-18 (1) Russia 1918-1933 (0) Japan 1931-1945 (1) Germany 1938-45 (1) Soviet Union 1946-89 (3) Syria 1948-49 (1) Syria 1949-51 (0) China 1949-1978 (2) N. Korea 1953-present (1) Iran 1953 (1) Syria 1954-present (1) N. Vietnam 1954-1995 (3) Egypt 1956-1974 (1) Indonesia 1957-65 (2) Iraq 1958-63 (1) Cuba 1959-present (2) Iraq 1963-2003 (3) Ghana 1960-65 (1) Sudan 1967-76 (0) South Yemen 1969-1990 (1) Cambodia 1975-79 (0) Ethiopia 1977-1991 (0) Iran 1979-present (1) Afghanistan 1979 (0) Suriname 1980-91 (0) Libya 1980-2004 (2) Nicaragua 1981-90 (1) Sudan 1986-present (0) Afghanistan 2001 (1) Grenada 1979-1983 (1) Yugoslavia 1992-2000 (1) Somalia 2006-07 (2) ( ) indicates number of hostile US interventions n=37

Historical Patterns of Client Acquisition 1. Three wars account for all pre/post war planning and that amounts to nearly half of all US clients acquisitions followed by those acquired by danger (many during the Cold War) 2. Client acquisition spread out across the 100+ year era 3. Client acquisition once learned appears to be a habit 4. Geographical Spread of Client Acquisition

# of clients and enemies per time interval US Clients and Enemies over time 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1906-1910 1916-20 1926-30 1936-40 1946-50 1956-60 1966-70 1976-80 1986-90 1996-2000 2006- Enemies Clients