Political Consulting Public Relations Marketing Opinion Surveys Direct Mail 128 River Cove Circle St. Augustine, Florida 32086 (904) 584-2020 Survey Overview Dixie Strategies is pleased to present the results of this Dixie Strategies/KTVT public opinion survey. This section outlines the research techniques used in gathering the information presented in this report. The project director for this study was Jon Woodard, and he was assisted by general staff support. This report contains the results of a telephone survey of N= 780 likely General Election voters statewide in Texas. Responses to this survey were gathered September 29 October 1, 2016. Dixie Strategies polling is conducted by automated dialing services for landline phones and live calls for cellular phones. The model for this survey was created using a modeling software package specifically designed for Dixie Strategies, using a combination of random and stratified sampling. All respondents interviewed in this study were part of a fully representative sample based on the latest voter registration figures and turnout models built using recent election data. The confidence interval associated with a sample of this type is such that 95% of the time results will be within the margin of error of the true values where true values refers to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every likely voter in the state. Editing, coding, and computer processing of the data was done at the St. Augustine, FL office of Dixie Strategies. The computer tabulation was produced using a software program specifically designed for Dixie Strategies and verified by Dixie Strategies staff members for accuracy. Survey date = September 29 October 1, 2016 Sample Size = 780 likely voters Margin of Error = ± 3.51% Confidence level = 95%
If the Presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump (Republican) 44.87% 85.53% 6.51% 45.70% 58.95% 19.72% 39.13% 47.06% 49.61% 40.11% Hillary Clinton (Democrat) 37.95% 6.11% 90.23% 29.57% 31.66% 69.01% 52.17% 37.65% 34.43% 40.99% Gary Johnson (Libertarian) 4.23% 3.54% 0.47% 6.45% 3.28% 0.00% 2.17% 4.71% 5.77% 3.91% Jill Stein (Green Party) 0.90% 0.64% 0.00% 2.15% 0.22% 1.41% 2.17% 1.18% 1.33% 0.82% Other 1.79% 0.96% 0.47% 4.84% 2.18% 1.41% 0.00% 2.35% 1.82% 1.59% 10.26% 3.22% 2.33% 11.29% 3.71% 8.45% 4.35% 7.06% 7.04% 12.58% Which of the following best describes your opinion of Donald Trump? 30.78% 56.13% 4.19% 29.51% 37.86% 20.83% 22.22% 31.71% 33.04% 27.46% 17.01% 27.42% 3.72% 20.77% 21.01% 1.39% 15.56% 15.85% 18.23% 16.10% 4.42% 4.19% 6.05% 4.37% 4.81% 2.78% 6.67% 4.88% 4.81% 4.06% 44.16% 8.71% 83.26% 39.34% 33.48% 66.67% 53.33% 37.80% 40.15% 49.07% 3.64% 3.55% 2.79% 6.01% 2.84% 8.33% 2.22% 9.76% 3.77% 3.31% Which of the following best describes your opinion of Hillary Clinton? 23.74% 2.24% 70.70% 13.44% 20.52% 50.00% 44.68% 21.18% 19.66% 27.25% 12.00% 5.45% 20.00% 17.74% 12.45% 26.39% 6.38% 15.29% 11.84% 13.11% 3.61% 4.17% 1.40% 6.45% 2.40% 2.78% 8.51% 5.88% 4.20% 2.62% 57.81% 85.26% 5.58% 58.06% 62.45% 16.67% 36.17% 52.94% 62.28% 53.35% 2.84% 2.88% 2.33% 4.30% 2.18% 4.17% 4.26% 4.71% 2.02% 3.67%
Which of the following best describes your opinion of President Barack Obama? 31.22% 3.50% 80.09% 22.58% 23.91% 68.06% 46.67% 34.12% 25.00% 35.15% 10.27% 5.73% 14.22% 13.44% 11.09% 6.94% 8.89% 7.06% 9.70% 10.66% 8.86% 11.46% 0.00% 14.52% 8.70% 1.39% 13.33% 10.59% 9.70% 8.39% 47.96% 76.75% 5.21% 47.85% 54.57% 20.83% 31.11% 45.88% 53.73% 44.44% 1.69% 2.55% 0.47% 1.61% 1.74% 2.78% 0.00% 2.35% 1.87% 1.36% Which of the following best describes your opinion of Governor Greg Abbott? 36.04% 57.51% 6.51% 34.05% 39.87% 16.67% 23.40% 44.05% 40.37% 33.33% 26.09% 31.95% 17.67% 25.95% 25.93% 20.83% 31.91% 20.24% 27.41% 25.40% 10.80% 3.19% 21.40% 11.35% 7.63% 19.44% 21.28% 10.71% 9.26% 11.79% 19.92% 2.24% 46.51% 18.92% 19.61% 36.11% 17.02% 15.48% 16.30% 22.22% 7.15% 5.11% 7.91% 9.73% 6.97% 6.94% 6.38% 9.52% 6.67% 7.26% Which of the following best describes your opinion of Senator Ted Cruz? 19.89% 29.30% 4.65% 21.62% 21.09% 11.11% 14.89% 21.43% 24.07% 17.42% 24.65% 37.26% 9.30% 21.08% 29.13% 13.89% 21.28% 15.48% 25.19% 24.43% 15.97% 18.79% 9.30% 18.92% 13.70% 12.50% 21.28% 17.86% 17.04% 15.16% 34.45% 11.46% 68.84% 33.51% 32.83% 55.56% 36.17% 33.33% 30.74% 36.88% 5.04% 3.18% 7.91% 4.86% 3.26% 6.94% 6.38% 11.90% 2.96% 6.11%
If the Presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump (Republican) Hillary Clinton (Democrat) Gary Johnson (Libertarian) Jill Stein (Green Party) Other 85.71% 58.38% 30.93% 6.67% 13.33% 49.44% 7.83% 29.73% 51.55% 89.33% 76.67% 39.33% 1.84% 3.78% 6.19% 0.00% 0.00% 3.93% 0.46% 0.54% 2.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.56% 1.84% 1.08% 2.58% 1.33% 0.00% 1.12% 2.30% 6.49% 6.70% 2.67% 10.00% 5.62% Which of the following best describes your opinion of Donald Trump? 59.53% 36.07% 16.49% 6.67% 13.33% 32.58% 24.65% 23.50% 16.49% 2.67% 3.33% 16.85% 6.05% 5.46% 4.64% 1.33% 0.00% 5.06% 6.98% 31.15% 56.70% 89.33% 76.67% 41.57% 2.79% 3.83% 5.67% 0.00% 6.67% 3.93%
Which of the following best describes your opinion of Hillary Clinton? 6.42% 16.22% 32.47% 70.67% 63.33% 25.84% 2.75% 12.43% 22.68% 20.00% 16.67% 14.61% 3.21% 4.32% 5.15% 1.33% 3.33% 3.37% 84.40% 63.24% 37.11% 8.00% 10.00% 53.37% 3.21% 3.78% 2.58% 0.00% 6.67% 2.81% Which of the following best describes your opinion of President Barack Obama? 5.45% 24.59% 41.67% 76.00% 80.00% 35.39% 2.73% 10.38% 16.67% 17.33% 3.33% 8.43% 6.36% 15.85% 10.42% 0.00% 0.00% 7.87% 83.18% 48.09% 30.21% 6.67% 10.00% 47.19% 2.27% 1.09% 1.04% 0.00% 6.67% 1.12% Which of the following best describes your opinion of Governor Greg Abbott? 66.67% 36.41% 18.04% 5.33% 13.33% 37.29% 22.83% 36.96% 29.90% 4.00% 13.33% 24.86% 3.65% 8.15% 15.46% 24.00% 10.00% 8.47% 1.83% 10.33% 27.84% 61.33% 60.00% 24.86% 5.02% 8.15% 8.76% 5.33% 3.33% 4.52%
Which of the following best describes your opinion of Senator Ted Cruz? REPUBLICANS only 40.45% 16.30% 9.28% 1.33% 10.00% 22.47% 32.73% 39.13% 14.95% 1.33% 0.00% 23.60% 15.45% 16.30% 20.62% 6.67% 3.33% 11.24% 7.73% 24.46% 48.45% 88.00% 76.67% 36.52% 3.64% 3.80% 6.70% 2.67% 10.00% 6.18% If the Republican Primary election for US Senate were held today, between these two options, for whom would you vote? Overall White Black Hispanic other races Male Female Ted Cruz 52.40% 60.00% 51.55% 23.81% 54.69% 47.83% 40.00% 42.86% 60.34% 47.72% 51.85% Michael McCaul 11.82% 7.06% 13.40% 28.57% 12.65% 8.70% 0.00% 11.43% 13.79% 10.66% 7.41% Other 7.03% 5.88% 6.19% 14.29% 6.12% 8.70% 20.00% 8.57% 6.03% 7.61% 6.17% 28.75% 27.06% 28.87% 33.33% 26.53% 34.78% 40.00% 37.14% 19.83% 34.01% 34.57%