Florida Statewide Securing Florida s Future
Methodology Seven hundred and eleven (711) Florida voters were interviewed by a professional polling firm January 4-7, 16 The margin of error for this survey is ±3.5%, with a 95% confidence level. The sample was drawn from frequent voters and respondents were again screened for voter registration. The sample was balanced according to all known demographic factors. Fifty one percent of the respondents were interviewed via landlines and 48 percent via cell numbers. This poll was conducted by Florida Chamber Political Institute.
Voters Concerns Jobs/Econ 8 6 19 Education 9 15 Health Care Immigration Guns Bal Budget
Change in Voters Concerns Since September 25 24 19 15 13 15 Sep-15 9 9 8 Jan-16 6 6 5 4 0 Jobs/Econ Education Health Care Immigration Guns Bal Budget
Top Three Voter Concerns Statewide JOBS HC ED Other Men Women 19 9 15 Immigration 8% Gun Control 6% Crime 4% 21 8 12 Immigration 6% Gun Control 6% 17 19 Immigration 8% Gun Control 5% Rep 24 8 Immigration 13% Dem Others 15 11 19 Gun Control 9% Crime 5% 16 5 18 Immigration 9% Gun Control 6% White 19 9 13 Black 16 9 23 Hispanics 17 8 23 Immigration 9% Gun Control 5% Gun Control 11% Crime % Immigration 6% Crime 4% Gun Control 4%
Top Three Voter Concerns Statewide JOBS HC ED OTHER 19 9 15 Immigration 8% Gun Control 6% Crime 4% Jacksonville 19 1 14 Gainesville 13 13 Gun Control 7% Immigration 7% State Budget 7% Senior Issues 7% Tallahassee 26 11 11 Gun Control 11% Panama City 18 6 6 Immigration 18% Pensacola 26 4 11 Orlando/Daytona 21 12 19 Immigration 15% Property Taxes 7% Terrorism/ISIS 7% Immigration 6% Gun Control 6% Tampa/St. Pete 19 8 17 Immigration 7% Ft. Myers/Naples 2 12 Immigration 14% Broward 23 11 16 Gun Control 11% Immigration 9% Palm Beach 7 13 13 Environment 9% Miami-Dade 21 12 14 Immigration 6%
Florida Right Track/Wrong Direction 65 55 45 64 Right Wrong Jan 16 44 25 21 47:36 47:41 33:42 22:57 41:39 43:38 15 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec- Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec- Presidential Gov & Presidential Gov & President Gov & Cabinet Cabinet Cabinet Tracking Chart of Florida Chamber Political Institute s last 70 Statewide Polls 34
Right vs. Wrong Direction Statewide 44:34 Jacksonville 56:25 Gainesville 60: Tallahassee 26:42 Panama City 59:24 Pensacola 67:19 Orlando/Daytona :36 Tampa/St. Pete 48:32 Ft. Myers/Naples 65:25 Broward 25:51 Palm Beach 45:31 Miami-Dade 23:47 Statewide 44:34 Men 50: Women 38:38 Republicans 55:26 Democrats 33:42 Others 46:31 White 48:33 Black 33:37 Hispanics 33:
Current Financial Situation 45 25 15 5 36 37 28 28 39 39 37 36 36 32 27 28 25 24 38 33 31 39 34 28 29 26 Better Worse Same/No Difference 0 Thinking about you and your families current financial situation compared to a year ago, would you say it is:
Sep- Sep- Oct- October, Feb-11 Mar-11 Jun-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 Mar-13 Jun-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Jun-14 Feb-15 May-15 August 1543 Sep-15 42370 Governor Scott Favorability 60% 50% % % 52% 50% 51% 48% 46% 46% 47% 46% 46% 44% 41% 43% 41% 42% 43% 43% 44% 45% 47% 46% 45% 44% 45% 41% 39% 38% 39% % 38% 38% % 33% 31% 34% % 36% 39% 41% % 43% 42% 29% 43% % % % 0% Favorable Unfavorable
Aug-03 Jan-04 Jun-04 Nov-04 Apr-05 Sep-05 Feb-06 Jul-06 Dec-06 Jeb Bush Favorability May-07 Oct-07 Mar-08 Aug-08 Jan-09 Jun-09 Nov-09 Apr- Sep- Feb-11 Jul-11 Dec-11 May-12 Oct-12 Mar-13 Aug-13 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 80 70 60 50 0 57 54 54 41 37 5 6 6 55 52 44 41 65 64 63 4 4 5 59 36 68 1 2 4 4 2 62 62 36 28 56 53 60 61 62 57 58 56 29 27 31 8 7 9 11 12 12 6 36 33 25 54 52 56 13 11 11 15 Favorable Unfavorable Undecided 33 34 33 52 53 48 48 45 38 39 37 43 15 14 13 12
Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb- May- Aug- Nov- Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13 Nov-13 Feb-14 May-14 Aug-14 Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 U. S. Senator Marco Rubio Favorability 70 60 50 63 59 51 22 24 15 17 14 43 27 19 48 25 21 50 51 50 31 26 2322 19 56 34 Favorable Unfavorable Und/DK 44 42 36 37 22 19 49 47 37 16 16 0
Donald Trump Favorability 60 50 38 53 Favorable 53 53 Unfavorable Undecided 39 9 12 8 0 June 15 Sep-15 Jan-16
Hillary Clinton Favorability 60 50 47 48 48 45 53 57 57 41 37 38 Favorable Unfavorable Und/DK 5 7 6 6 5 0
Governor Scott Job Approval 60% 50% 52% % % % % Approve Disapprove Undecided 38% % 0%
Florida Legislature Job Approval 50 45 25 15 44 36 Approve Disapprove Undecided 5 0 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct- Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-15 Jan 16
Constitutional Amendments 16 Use of Marijuana for Debilitating Medical Conditions 80 70 60 69 68 67 74 Sponsored by: People United for Medical Marijuana, John Morgan, Chairperson Verified Signatures: 523,168 (1-11-16) in 5 CD Signatures Needed: 683,149 in 14 CD 50 0 27 27 22 4 5 6 4 May August September Jan-16 Support Oppose Undecided
Solar Electricity Limits or Prevents Barriers to Local Solar Electricity Supply 45 43 41 41 38 43 39 Solar Electricity Signature Status Required for review: 68,314 Has Fl Supreme Court Approval Required for ballot: 683,149 Number Currently Valid: 276,165 25 15 5 0 24 21 17 18 May August September Jan-16 Support Oppose Undecided
Rights of Electricity Consumers Regarding Solar Energy Choice 80 70 79 76 77 Sponsored by Consumers for Smart Solar Required signatures 683,149 in 14 CD Verified signatures: 592,003 (1-11-16) in 7 CD Needs Supreme Court Approval by April 1, 16 60 50 Support 18 13 7 6 13 9 Oppose Undecided 0 August September Jan-16
Current Voter Registration 27% Others 3,233,177 Republicans 4,164,805 % 38% Democrats 4,515,419 11,913,1 12-1-15
Net Voter Registration -- January through November 15-17,970-112,318 +57,261-