Methodology Sample 1000* Hispanic registered voters Dates of Interviews July 1 July 10, 2016 Languages of Interviews English, Spanish Margin of Error +/- 3 percentage points *Representative of the national Hispanic electorate 2
2016 Presidential Elections
How likely are you to vote in the November Presidential Election? Very likely/somewhat likely 83% 14% 97% Somewhat unlikely 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 4
How closely are you following the 2016 presidential race? Very closely/somewhat closely 50% 36% 86% Not so closely/not at all 11% 3% 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 5
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting in the 2016 presidential election? Very enthusiastic/somewhat enthusiastic 52% 26% 78% Somewhat unenthusiastic/not enthusiastic at all 10% 11% 21% No answer 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 6
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting in the 2016 presidential election? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Enthusiastic 73% 83% Unenthusiastic 24% 16% Don t know/no answer 3% 1% 7
Thinking about the general election in November, how important is it for you to vote? Very important/somewhat important 83% 13% 96% Somewhat unimportant/not at all important 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 8
In your opinion is this November s Presidential election more important, less important or about the same in importance as previous Presidential elections? More important 70% Less important 6% About the same 22% Don't know/no answer 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 9
Electoral Motivation
Which one of the following issues will be the MOST important in deciding your vote for President in November 2016? 25% 25% 20% 18% 15% 12% 9% 10% 7% 6% 6% 4% 5% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 0% Jobs and the economy Immigration Terrorism Gun Control Healthcare Education Racism and Race Relations Income Inequality Foreign Policy Global Climate Change LGBT Rights Other Don't know/no answer 11
Which one of the following issues will be the MOST important in deciding your vote for President in November 2016? Democrat Republican Independent BY PARTY Jobs and the Economy 21% 31% 29% Immigration 20% 13% 18% Terrorism 6% 28% 12% Gun Control 11% 7% 6% Healthcare 9% 3% 5% Education 8% 1% 6% Racism and Race Relations 8% 3% 4% Income Inequality 4% 1% 3% Foreign Policy 1% 2% 1% Global Climate Change 2% 1% 2% LGBT Rights 2% 2% 3% 12
Image Ratings
I am now going to read you the names of some political leaders and political parties. After I read each one, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of them. If you have not heard of them or are unfamiliar with them, please just say so.
The Democratic Party Very/Somewhat favorable 47% 24% 71% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 9% 16% 25% Do not recognize 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 15
The Democratic Party BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Favorable 81% 68% 59% Unfavorable 15% 29% 40% Do not recognize 4% 3% 1% 16
The Republican Party Very/Somewhat favorable 12% 18% 30% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 24% 40% 64% Do not recognize 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 17
The Libertarian Party Very/Somewhat favorable 9% 15% 24% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 15% 12% 27% Do not recognize 49% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 18
The Libertarian Party BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Favorable 30% 14% Unfavorable 32% 19% Do not recognize 38% 67% 19
The Green Party Very favorable/somewhat favorable 7% 18% 25% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 14% 10% 24% Do not recognize 51% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 20
The Green Party BY AGE 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 33% 25% 26% 13% Unfavorable 26% 25% 22% 27% Do not recognize 41% 50% 52% 60% 21
The Green Party BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Favorable 29% 21% Unfavorable 32% 14% Do not recognize 39% 65% 22
The Green Party BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Favorable 24% 23% 31% Unfavorable 15% 31% 34% Do not recognize 61% 46% 35% 23
Barack Obama Very favorable/somewhat favorable 50% 21% 71% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 11% 18% 29% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 24
Hillary Clinton Very favorable/somewhat favorable 45% 24% 69% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 10% 20% 30% Do not recognize 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 25
Hillary Clinton BY GENDER Male Female Favorable 63% 75% Unfavorable 37% 25% Do not recognize - - 26
Hillary Clinton BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Favorable 62% 78% Unfavorable 38% 21% Do not recognize - 1% 27
Hillary Clinton BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN U.S. Born Foreign Born Favorable 61% 77% Unfavorable 39% 23% Do not recognize - - 28
Hillary Clinton BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Favorable 82% 65% 53% Unfavorable 18% 35% 47% Do not recognize - - - 29
Donald Trump Very/Somewhat favorable 10% 10% 20% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 10% 67% 77% Do not recognize 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 30
Donald Trump BY GENDER Male Female Favorable 25% 17% Unfavorable 73% 81% Do not recognize 2% 2% 31
Donald Trump BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Favorable 24% 14% Unfavorable 74% 81% Do not recognize 2% 5% 32
Gary Johnson Very favorable/somewhat favorable 4% 11% 15% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 9% 7% 16% Do not recognize 69% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 33
Jill Stein Very /Somewhat favorable 5% 10% 15% Somewhat/Very unfavorable 6% 5% 11% Do not recognize 74% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 34
Horserace
If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote? 67% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 19% 20% 10% 4% 2% 2% 6% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Other Don t know/no asnwer 36
BY AGE If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote? 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Hillary Clinton 61% 68% 62% 66% Donald Trump 15% 13% 23% 20% Gary Johnson 5% 5% 2% 2% Jill Stein 3% 1% 1% 1% Other 4% 3% - - Don t know/no answer 12% 10% 12% 11% 37
If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Hillary Clinton 87% 13% 51% Donald Trump 2% 62% 20% Gary Johnson 1% 4% 7% Jill Stein 1% 3% 2% Other 1% 2% 3% Don t know/no answer 8% 16% 17% 38
If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Hillary Clinton 60% 71% Donald Trump 21% 12% Gary Johnson 5% 1% Jill Stein 2% 2% Other 2% 1% Don t know/no answer 10% 13% 39
If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote? BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN U.S. Born Foreign Born Hillary Clinton 58% 70% Donald Trump 21% 13% Gary Johnson 5% 2% Jill Stein 2% 2% Other 3% 1% Don t know/no answer 11% 12% 40
If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote? BY EDUCATION High school Some College College Graduate Hillary Clinton 75% 61% 50% Donald Trump 9% 17% 31% Gary Johnson 3% 3% 4% Jill Stein 2% 2% 2% Other 1% 3% 1% Don t know/no answer 10% 14% 12% 41
Between now and the November election is it likely or unlikely that you will change your mind about which candidate you are voting for? Very/Somewhat likely 10% 11% 21% Somewhat unlikely 11% Very unlikely/no chance of changing 37% 28% 65% Don't know/no answer 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 42
Between now and the November election is it likely or unlikely that you will change your mind about which candidate you are voting for? BY AGE 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Very/Somewhat Likely 29% 24% 15% 14% Somewhat Unlikely 12% 13% 10% 10% Very unlikely/no chance of changing 56% 60% 73% 74% Don t know/no answer 3% 3% 2% 2% 43
If a Presidential candidate were to select a Hispanic Vice Presidential running mate would you be more likely to vote for that ticket, less likely to vote for that ticket or would it have no impact on your vote? Much more likely/somewhat more likely 21% 17% 38% Somewhat less likely/much less likely 5% No impact on my vote 51% Don't know/no answer 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 44
If a Presidential candidate were to select a Hispanic Vice Presidential running mate would you be more likely to vote for that ticket, less likely to vote for that ticket or would it have no impact on your vote? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent More likely 43% 26% 33% Less likely 6% 7% 6% No impact on my vote 45% 64% 58% Don t know/no answer 6% 3% 3% 45
If a Presidential candidate were to select a Hispanic Vice Presidential running mate would you be more likely to vote for that ticket, less likely to vote for that ticket or would it have no impact on your vote? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish More likely 34% 44% Less likely 6% 5% No impact on my vote 55% 46% Don t know/no answer 5% 5% 46
If a Presidential candidate were to select a Hispanic Vice Presidential running mate would you be more likely to vote for that ticket, less likely to vote for that ticket or would it have no impact on your vote? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate More likely 44% 35% 30% Less likely 5% 7% 5% No impact on my vote 44% 53% 62% Don t know/no answer 7% 5% 3% 47
Trends
Tracking the Hispanic Vote in Presidential Elections 2000-2012 90% 80% Percentage of Hispanic electorate 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 62% 35% 53% 44% 67% 31% 71% 29% 2016 0% 2000 Gore vs. Bush 2004 2008 2012 Kerry vs. Bush Obama vs. McCain Obama vs. Romney 49
Tracking the Hispanic Vote in the 2016 Presidential Election Cycle 90% 80% Percentage of Hispanic electorate 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 70% 16% 72% 18% 67% 19% 2016 0% June 2015 February 2016 July 2016 Credit: Bendixen & Amandi International National Surveys of Hispanic Voters 50
Hillary Clinton & Donald Trump COMPARISON FAVORABILITY RATINGS RATING JUNE 2015 FEBRUARY 2016 JULY 2016 Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Favorable 17% 17% 20% Unfavorable 71% 81% 77% Favorable 68% 67% 69% Unfavorable 26% 31% 30% 51
Candidate Perceptions
Which candidate do you think has a better personality and temperament to serve as president? 70% 64% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 14% 5% 2% 15% 10% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Don t know/no asnwer 53
Which candidate do you trust to do a better job improving the lives of Hispanics living in the United States? 67% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 12% 4% 4% 13% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Don t know/no asnwer 54
Which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy? 58% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 23% 4% 1% 14% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Don t know/no asnwer 55
Which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling immigration issues? 70% 63% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 17% 4% 2% 14% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Don t know/no asnwer 56
Which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling healthcare? 70% 63% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 16% 5% 2% 14% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Don t know/no asnwer 57
Which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the threat of terrorism? 58% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 22% 3% 2% 15% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Don t know/no asnwer 58
Which candidate do you think is more honest and trustworthy? 60% 55% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 22% 15% 5% 3% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Don t know/no asnwer 59
Overall, which candidate do you think is closer to your opinion on the issues? 66% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 18% 3% 3% 10% 0% Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein Don t know/no asnwer 60
Hillary Clinton
Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a liar? 19% 39% 42% Yes No Don't know/no answer 62
Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a liar? BY GENDER Male Female Yes 49% 36% No 37% 40% Don t know/no answer 14% 24% 63
Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a liar? BY AGE 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 50% 39% 42% 31% No 28% 42% 41% 48% Don t know/no answer 22% 19% 17% 21% 64
Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a liar? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Yes 47% 33% No 34% 45% Don t know/no answer 19% 22% 65
Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a liar? BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN U.S. Born Foreign Born Yes 49% 34% No 32% 45% Don t know/no answer 19% 21% 66
Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a liar? BY EDUCATION High school Some College College Graduate Yes 29% 45% 59% No 48% 37% 26% Don t know/no answer 23% 18% 15% 67
Donald Trump
How much have you heard about Donald Trump s comments regarding Federal Judge Gonzalo Curiel, an American of Mexican heritage and his ability to preside over the Trump University fraud case? A lot/some 34% 25% 59% Not too much/none at all 15% 22% 37% Don t know/ No answer 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 69
Do you believe that Donald Trump s views on Judge Gonzalo Curiel s ability to fairly do his job represent the views of the Republican Party overall or do you believe that those comments only represent the views of Trump? 68% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 13% 10% 9% 20% 10% 0% Donald Trump Republican Party Both Don't know/ No answer 70
Do you believe that Donald Trump s views on Judge Gonzalo Curiel s ability to fairly do his job represent the views of the Republican Party overall or do you believe that those comments only represent the views of Trump? BY AGE 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Donald Trump 56% 69% 75% 77% Republican Party 19% 12% 12% 7% Both 12% 12% 7% 8% Don t know/no answer 13% 7% 6% 8% 71
Do you believe that Donald Trump s views on Judge Gonzalo Curiel s ability to fairly do his job represent the views of the Republican Party overall or do you believe that those comments only represent the views of Trump? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Donald Trump 67% 73% 67% Republican Party 14% 12% 12% Both 11% 6% 10% Don t know/no answer 8% 9% 11% 72
Are Donald Trump s views on Judge Gonzalo Curiel s ability to fairly do his job offensive to you, or are they not offensive to you? 74% 21% 5% Offensive Not offensive Don't know/no answer 73
Are Donald Trump s views on Judge Gonzalo Curiel s ability to fairly do his job offensive to you, or are they not offensive to you? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Offensive 88% 45% 70% Not Offensive 8% 49% 25% Don t know/no answer 4% 6% 5% 74
Do you believe that Donald Trump is racist? 73% 20% 7% Yes No Don't know/no answer 75
Do you believe that Donald Trump is racist? BY GENDER Male Female Yes 65% 80% No 28% 14% Don t know/no answer 7% 6% 76
Do you believe that Donald Trump is racist? BY AGE 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 72% 76% 71% 74% No 19% 18% 24% 20% Don t know/no answer 9% 6% 5% 6% 77
Do you believe that Donald Trump is racist? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Yes 90% 35% 64% No 6% 54% 28% Don t know/no answer 4% 11% 8% 78
Do you believe that Donald Trump is racist? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Yes 68% 80% No 24% 14% Don t know/no answer 8% 6% 79
Do you believe that Donald Trump is racist? BY VIEWS Liberal Moderate Conservative Yes 88% 76% 59% No 8% 18% 35% Don t know/no answer 4% 6% 6% 80
Do you believe that Donald Trump is racist? BY EDUCATION High school Some College College Graduate Yes 82% 73% 59% No 12% 22% 32% Don t know/no answer 6% 5% 9% 81
National Issues
Recently the Supreme Court upheld a decision by a lower court that barred President Obama from using Presidential action alone to grant deferred legal action (commonly referred to as DACA and DAPA) for undocumented immigrants in the United States who entered the country before their 16 th birthday and before June 2007, or are the parents of legal United States citizens. This decision means it is very likely that no action will be taken on reforming our immigration system until at least January 2017.
Who do you think is most to blame for there being so little progress on immigration reform over the past eight years? 44% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 21% 12% 7% 16% 10% 5% 0% Republicans in Congress President Obama The Supreme Court Democrats in Congress Don't know/no answer 84
Who do you think is most to blame for there being so little progress on immigration reform over the past eight years? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Republicans in Congress 60% 9% 36% President Obama 8% 57% 24% The Supreme Court 14% 5% 13% Democrats in Congress 5% 10% 7% Don t know/no answer 13% 19% 20% 85
Who do you think is most to blame for there being so little progress on immigration reform over the past eight years? BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN U.S. Born Foreign Born Republicans in Congress 38% 50% President Obama 24% 18% The Supreme Court 9% 15% Democrats in Congress 9% 4% Don t know/no answer 20% 13% 86
Does the ruling make it more likely that you will vote in the November election, less likely to vote or will it have no impact? Much more likely/somewhat more likely 37% 7% 44% Somewhat less likely/much less likely 5% No impact on my vote 44% Don't know/no answer 7% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 87
Does the ruling make it more likely that you will vote in the November election, less likely to vote or will it have no impact? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent More likely 54% 33% 32% Less likely 4% 2% 7% No impact on my vote 35% 56% 54% Don t know/no answer 7% 9% 7% 88
Does the ruling make it more likely that you will vote in the November election, less likely to vote or will it have no impact? BY EDUCATION High school Some College College Graduate More likely 52% 34% 41% Less likely 4% 4% 4% No impact on my vote 37% 52% 48% Don t know/no answer 7% 10% 7% 89
Do you support or oppose building a wall along the United States border with Mexico? Strongly support/somewhat support 12% 7% 19% Somewhat oppose/strongly oppose 9% 67% 76% Don't know/no answer 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90
Do you support or oppose a temporary ban on all Muslims entering the United States? Strongly support/somewhat support 21% 13% 34% Somewhat oppose/strongly oppose 16% 36% 52% Don't know/no answer 14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 91
Do you support or oppose a temporary ban on all Muslims entering the United States? BY AGE 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Support 30% 29% 41% 37% Oppose 61% 57% 44% 43% Don t know/no answer 9% 14% 15% 20% 92
Do you support or oppose a ban on the sale of military style assault weapons, such as the gun used in the Orlando nightclub shooting? Strongly support/somewhat support 51% 9% 60% Somewhat oppose/strongly oppose 10% 27% 37% Don't know/no answer 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 93
Do you support or oppose a ban on the sale of military style assault weapons, such as the gun used in the Orlando nightclub shooting? BY GENDER Male Female Support 55% 63% Oppose 42% 32% Don t know/no answer 3% 5% 94
The United States territory of Puerto Rico has announced that it is close to default on $72 Billion worth of debt. HR 5278, a bill currently under consideration in Congress would establish the Financial Oversight and Management Board to oversee the restructuring of Puerto Rico s debt. The board s responsibilities would include: approving the Governor of Puerto Rico s fiscal plan; approving annual budgets; enforcing budgets and ordering any necessary spending reductions.
Have you seen, read, or heard anything about the debate and legislation in Congress to resolve the debt crisis that Puerto Rico is currently facing? 4% 46% 50% Yes No Don't know/no answer 96
Overall, do you support or oppose the establishment of the Financial Oversight and Management Board to oversee the restructuring of Puerto Rico s debt? ASKED OF THOSE WHO WERE FAMILIAR WITH THE ISSUE Strongly support/somewhat support 54% 18% 72% Somewhat oppose/strongly oppose 9% 9% 18% Don't know/no answer 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 97
Overall, do you support or oppose the establishment of the Financial Oversight and Management Board to oversee the restructuring of Puerto Rico s debt? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Support 75% 70% 73% Oppose 14% 27% 17% Don t know/no answer 11% 3% 10% 98
Future of the Republican Party
Going forward, would you consider voting for a Republican candidate in future Presidential elections or has the Republican Party lost the possibility of your support for the foreseeable future? ASKED OF THOSE NOT CURRENTLY VOTING REPUBLICAN 12% 35% Yes, I would consider voting for a Republican candidate in the future No, I wouldn't consider voting for a Republican candidate in the future Don't know/no answer 53% 100
Going forward, would you consider voting for a Republican candidate in future Presidential elections or has the Republican Party lost the possibility of your support for the foreseeable future? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent Yes 27% 71% 52% No 63% 13% 34% Don t know/no answer 10% 16% 14% 101
Going forward, would you consider voting for a Republican candidate in future Presidential elections or has the Republican Party lost the possibility of your support for the foreseeable future? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish Yes 31% 40% No 52% 54% Don t know/no answer 17% 6% 102
Going forward, would you consider voting for a Republican candidate in future Presidential elections or has the Republican Party lost the possibility of your support for the foreseeable future? BY VIEWS Liberal Moderate Conservative Yes 24% 42% 45% No 68% 44% 45% Don t know/no answer 8% 14% 10% 103
Going forward, would you consider voting for a Republican candidate in future Presidential elections or has the Republican Party lost the possibility of your support for the foreseeable future? BY EDUCATION High school Some College College Graduate Yes 31% 36% 44% No 60% 47% 43% Don t know/no answer 9% 17% 13% 104
If the Republican Party decided to nominate someone other than Donald Trump at its convention in July, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate, less likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would it have no impact on your vote? ASKED OF THOSE NOT CURRENTLY VOTING REPUBLICAN Much more likely/somewhat more likely 18% 13% 31% Somewhat less likely/much less likely 3% 7% 10% No impact on my vote 53% Don't know/no answer 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 105
If the Republican Party decided to nominate someone other than Donald Trump at its convention in July, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate, less likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would it have no impact on your vote? BY GENDER Male Female More Likely 29% 33% Less Likely 11% 9% No impact 55% 51% Don t know/no answer 5% 7% 106
If the Republican Party decided to nominate someone other than Donald Trump at its convention in July, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate, less likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would it have no impact on your vote? BY PARTY Democrat Republican Independent More Likely 25% 38% 38% Less Likely 12% 7% 7% No impact 56% 53% 49% Don t know/no answer 7% 2% 6% 107
If the Republican Party decided to nominate someone other than Donald Trump at its convention in July, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate, less likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would it have no impact on your vote? BY LANGUAGE OF INTERVIEW English Spanish More Likely 29% 35% Less Likely 8% 11% No impact 57% 47% Don t know/no answer 6% 7% 108
If the Republican Party decided to nominate someone other than Donald Trump at its convention in July, would you be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate, less likely to vote for the Republican candidate or would it have no impact on your vote? BY VIEWS Liberal Moderate Conservative More Likely 34% 33% 32% Less Likely 7% 11% 10% No impact 57% 49% 52% Don t know/no answer 2% 7% 6% 109
Demographics
Age 30% 25% 30% 24% 28% 18% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 111
Gender 55% 45% Male Female 112
Language of Interview 59% 41% Spanish English 113
Education 30% 26% 29% 27% 25% 20% 17% 15% 10% 5% 1% 0% Elementary school High school graduate/ged Two-year college or technical school graduate/ Some college College graduate or higher degree/bachelor's degree or higher Don t know/ No answer 114
In what country were you born? 50% 45% 40% 50% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 24% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% United States Mexico Puerto Rico South America Cuba Central America Dominican Republic 115
In what country were your parents and/or grandparents born? 50% 48% *Multiple responses accepted 45% 40% 35% 33% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 11% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 0% United States Mexico Puerto Rico Cuba Central America Spain South America Dominican Republic Other/No answer 116
Party Affiliation 60% 54% 50% 40% 30% 26% 17% 20% 10% 2% 1% 0% Democrat Independent Republican Other Don t know/no answer 117
Which party do you lean toward? ASKED OF INDEPENDENTS 31% 24% 45% Democrat Republican Don't know/no answer 118
Would you say your views on most political matters are liberal, moderate, or conservative? 35% 30% 25% 33% 33% 25% 20% 15% 10% 4% 5% 5% 0% Conservative Moderate Liberal Don't think in those terms Don't know/no answer 119
Region 40% 35% 39% 36% 30% 25% 18% 20% 15% 7% 10% 5% 0% West South Northeast Midwest 120
For more information, contact: Fernand Amandi Principal 305.529.9916 famandi@bendixenonline.com