Aboriginal Earnings and Employment in Canadian Cities, Krishna Pendakur and Ravi Pendakur U of Ottawa

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Aboriginal Earnings and Employment in Canadian Cities, 2001 Krishna Pendakur and Ravi Pendakur SFU U of Ottawa

Goals How do Aboriginal (Indian) registration, Aboriginal identity and Aboriginal ancestry play into patterns of employment and earning disparity? How does Aboriginal employment and earnings vary across Canada's largest cities?

Previous work Previous research has focused mostly on the relevance of aboriginal origin to labour market success Papers establish that the earnings of Aboriginal-origin people in Canada are extremely low relative to the non- Aboriginal-origin population (George et al. (1994), Drost (1994), Pendakur and Pendakur (1998), Kuhn and Sweetman (1998, 2002), DeSilva (1999)) A few papers have used the aboriginal identity definition (Clatworthy 1995, Mendelson 2004). Results are often hampered by small sample size.

Model of labour market outcomes 90% SELECTION Canadian-born Males or Females 25-64 With some schooling Aboriginal groups: Status - on reserve - Off reserve Identity -NAI -Métis - Inuit - multiple Ancestry Census family status Schooling Age City Language 80% 50% Earnings 20% Majority origins Job characteristics: -Occupation -Industry -Weeks, full time Odds of employment

Relative Odds of Employment, Aboriginal groups vs British origin, Canada Females N. Amer Indian Metis Aboriginal Heritage Males N. Amer Indian Metis Aboriginal Heritage 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Relative Odds of Employment, Aboriginal groups vs British origin, Winnipeg Females N. Amer Indian Metis Aboriginal Heritage Males N. Amer Indian Metis Aboriginal Heritage 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Relative Odds of Employment, Aboriginal groups vs British origin, Vancouver Females N. Amer Indian Metis Aboriginal Heritage Males N. Amer Indian Metis Aboriginal Heritage 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Mean earnings differentials (%) controlling for personal and work characteristics, Aboriginal groups vs British only ancestry, Canada, Males N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage -50% -45% -40% -35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% Personal Personal & Work

Mean earnings differentials (%) controlling for personal & work characteristics, Aboriginal groups vs British only ancestry, Canada, Females N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% Personal Personal & Work

Mean earnings differentials (%) controlling for personal & work characteristics, Aboriginal groups vs British only ancestry, Winnipeg, Males N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage -50% -45% -40% -35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% Personal Personal & Work

Mean earnings differentials (%) controlling for personal & work characteristics, Aboriginal groups vs British only ancestry, Winnipeg, Females N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% Personal Personal & Work

Mean earnings differentials (%) controlling for personal & work characteristics, Aboriginal groups vs British only ancestry, Vancouver, Males N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage -50% -45% -40% -35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% Personal Personal & Work

Mean earnings differentials (%) controlling for personal & work characteristics, Aboriginal groups vs British only ancestry, Vancouver, Females N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage -45% -40% -35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% Personal Personal & Work

Earnings differentials Aboriginal groups vs British Origin, at the 20 th, 50 th, 80 th and 90 th percentile, controlling for personal characteristics, Canada, Males 0.00-0.10-0.20-0.30-0.40-0.50-0.60-0.70 q20 q50 q80 q90 N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage

Earnings differentials Aboriginal groups vs British Origin, at the 20 th, 50 th, 80 th and 90 th percentile, controlling for personal characteristics, Canada, Females 0.00-0.05-0.10-0.15-0.20-0.25-0.30-0.35-0.40-0.45 q20 q50 q80 q90 N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage

Earnings differentials Aboriginal groups vs British Origin, at the 20 th, 50 th, 80 th and 90 th percentile, controlling for personal characteristics, Vancouver, Males 0.00-0.10-0.20-0.30-0.40-0.50-0.60-0.70 q20 q50 q80 q90 N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage

Earnings differentials Aboriginal groups vs British Origin, at the 20 th, 50 th, 80 th and 90 th percentile, controlling for personal characteristics, Vancouver, Females 0.10 0.00-0.10-0.20-0.30-0.40-0.50-0.60 q20 q50 q80 q90 N. Amer. Indian Métis Aborig. Heritage

Conclusions 2 1. Men and women fare differently. The disparity, both in employment prospects and earnings amongst men is always greater than is the case for women. 2. Results vary by city. Cities are labour markets and in some, Aboriginals do better, while in others they do worse. Vancouver stands out as particularly bad. 3. The link between employment and earnings is strong. Where employment probabilities are low, earnings are also low, suggesting that the two reinforce each other.

Conclusions 2 1. There is no strength in numbers. Employment and earnings are low in Prairie cities despite large aboriginal populations. 2. We are looking at a sticky floor rather than a glass ceiling. Those people at the upper end face far less discrimination than those at the bottom end. 3. There is a fairly consistent hierarchy of labour market outcomes amongst Aboriginal men and women. Registered Indians (particularly men on reserves) fare the worst. 4. In contrast to Drost and Richards, we find that among registered Aboriginals, Men do better off reserve and women do better on reserve.