Thinking back to the Presidential Election in 2016, do you recall if you supported ROTATE FIRST TWO, or someone else?

Similar documents
WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 General Election Survey of 501 Likely Voters Field Dates October 10-12, 2016

FINAL RESULTS: National Voter Survey Total Sample Size: 2428, Margin of Error: ±2.0% Interview Dates: November 1-4, 2018

POLL: CLINTON MAINTAINS BIG LEAD OVER TRUMP IN BAY STATE. As early voting nears, Democrat holds 32-point advantage in presidential race

VIRGINIA: GOP TRAILING IN CD10

HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL MEMO RELEASE 9/24/2018 (UPDATE)

HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL MEMO RELEASE 10/13/2017 (UPDATE)

Civitas Institute North Carolina Statewide Poll Results November 17 19, 2018

NEVADA: CLINTON LEADS TRUMP IN TIGHT RACE

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

REGISTERED VOTERS October 30, 2016 October 13, 2016 Approve Disapprove Unsure 7 6 Total

CRUZ & KASICH RUN STRONGER AGAINST CLINTON THAN TRUMP TRUMP GOP CANDIDACY COULD FLIP MISSISSIPPI FROM RED TO BLUE

GW POLITICS POLL 2018 MIDTERM ELECTION WAVE 1

Illustrating voter behavior and sentiments of registered Muslim voters in the swing states of Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia.

Nevada Poll Results Tarkanian 39%, Heller 31% (31% undecided) 31% would renominate Heller (51% want someone else, 18% undecided)

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab

Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Study # page 1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

PENNSYLVANIA: CD01 INCUMBENT POPULAR, BUT RACE IS CLOSE

FAU Poll: Hispanics backing Clinton in Key Battleground States of Ohio, Colorado Nevada, North Carolina and Florida.

IOWA: TRUMP HAS SLIGHT EDGE OVER CLINTON

State of the Female Electorate. January 16-19, 2018 N = 1,200 respondents (1/3 Landline, 1/3 Cell, 1/3 Internet) margin of error: +/- 2.

PENNSYLVANIA: DEMOCRATS LEAD FOR BOTH PRESIDENT AND SENATE

Center for American Progress Action Fund Survey of the Florida Puerto Rican Electorate

VIRGINIA: TIGHT RACE IN CD07

STAR TRIBUNE MINNESOTA POLL. April 25-27, Presidential race

Institute for Public Policy

1,107 Iowa likely voters in the 2016 general election and congressional district Margin of error: ± 2.9 percentage points

Jim Justice Leads in Race for West Virginia Governor

CALIFORNIA: INDICTED INCUMBENT LEADS IN CD50

FL-15 GENERAL ELECTION OCTOBER 2018

PENNSYLVANIA: SMALL LEAD FOR SACCONE IN CD18

PENNSYLVANIA: DEM GAINS IN CD18 SPECIAL

National Tracking Poll

NEW HAMPSHIRE: CLINTON PULLS AHEAD OF SANDERS

Statewide Survey on Job Approval of President Donald Trump

National Tracking Poll

NEW JERSEY: DEM TILT IN CD07

National Tracking Poll

UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS LOWELL MASSACHUSETTS U.S. SENATE POLL. Sept , ,005 Registered Voters (RVs)

America s Voice/LD 2016 National and Battleground State Poll (Field Dates August 19-30)

NEW JERSEY: CD03 STILL KNOTTED UP

PENNSYLVANIA: SMALL GOP LEAD IN CD01

NEW JERSEY: TIGHT RACE IN CD03

HIGH POINT UNIVERSITY POLL MEMO RELEASE 2/15/2018 (UPDATE)

A Post-Debate Bump in the Old North State? Likely Voters in North Carolina September th, Table of Contents

FLORIDA: CLINTON MAINTAINS LEAD; TIGHT RACE FOR SENATE

PRRI/The Atlantic 2016 Post- election White Working Class Survey Total = 1,162 (540 Landline, 622 Cell phone) November 9 20, 2016

GA GOP Presidential Primary 12/17/15. Fox 5 Atlanta. 538 (weighted) ±4.2% (95% confidence)

COLORADO: CLINTON MAINTAINS DOUBLE DIGIT LEAD

THE VANISHING CENTER OF AMERICAN DEMOCRACY APPENDIX

WISCONSIN: CLINTON STAYS AHEAD; FEINGOLD WITH SMALLER LEAD

NEW JERSEY: DEM HAS SLIGHT EDGE IN CD11

Institute for Public Policy

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

Trump and Sanders Have Big Leads in MetroNews West Virginia Poll

NATIONAL: SENATE HEALTH CARE BILL GETS THUMBS DOWN

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

America s Voice/LD 2016 National and Battleground State Poll (Field Dates August 19-30)

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll. April New York Questionnaire

CALIFORNIA: CD48 REMAINS TIGHT

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

Gray Television: Florida Survey

Civitas Institute North Carolina Statewide Poll Results October 18 21, 2018

Marquette Law School Poll June 22-25, 2017

Weekly Tracking Poll Week 3: September 25-Oct 1 (MoE +/-4.4%)

Latino Decisions / America's Voice June State Latino Battleground Survey

VOTERS AND HEALTH CARE IN THE 2018 CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

Loras College Statewide Wisconsin Survey October/November 2016

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

Institute for Public Policy

2016 NCSU N=879

Survey Overview. Survey date = September 29 October 1, Sample Size = 780 likely voters. Margin of Error = ± 3.51% Confidence level = 95%

America s Voice/LD State Battleground Survey, April 2016

NEW JERSEY: DEM MAINTAINS EDGE IN CD11

National Tracking Poll

PENNSYLVANIA: UNCERTAIN DEM EDGE IN CD07

Red Oak Strategic Presidential Poll

Most are skeptical Trump will act to block future Russian meddling

RECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, March 2014, Most Say U.S. Should Not Get Too Involved in Ukraine Situation

WEST VIRGINIA: DEMS DOING WELL IN SENATE, CD03

Before the Storm: The Presidential Race October 25-28, 2012

Florida Statewide April/May 2016

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1 NBC News Survey

RRH Elections Mississippi Senate Poll: Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) leads ex-rep. Mike Espy (D) 54% to 44%

University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab

MISSOURI: NECK AND NECK FOR PREZ; BLUNT HAS SMALL SENATE LEAD

NEVADA: TRUMP OVERTAKES CLINTON

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

Trump Trails Clinton by Only 3 Points In New Mexico. Making up 2 Points Over The Last Week. Johnson s Polling Numbers Continue to Decline.

National Tracking Poll

NBC News/Marist Poll. Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Minnesota? Which county in Minnesota do you live in?

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

Eagleton Institute of Politics Rutgers University New Brunswick 191 Ryders Lane New Brunswick, New Jersey

NEW JERSEY VOTERS TAKE ON 2008

Likely New Hampshire Primary Voters Attitudes Toward Social Security

MISSOURI: SENATE RACE REMAINS NECK AND NECK; TRUMP WIDENS EDGE FOR PRESIDENT

Emerson College Poll: Iowa Leaning For Trump 44% to 41%. Grassley, Coasting to a Blowout, Likely to Retain Senate Seat.

Transcription:

Conducted for WBUR by WBUR Poll Topline Results Survey of 501 Voters in the 2016 Presidential Election Central Massachusetts Cities and Towns Won by Donald Trump Field Dates April 7-9, 2017 Some questions held for later release. I'm going to read you the names of several people who are active in public affairs. After I read each one please tell me if you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of the person. If you have never heard of the person or if you are undecided, please just say so. READ FIRST NAME. How about READ NEXT NAME? REPEAT QUESTION TEXT ONLY IF NECESSARY, PROBE IF RESPONDENT SAYS DON T KNOW. Have you heard of READ NAME and are undecided about (him/her)? Or PAUSE have you never heard of (him/her)? Order rotated. Favorable Unfavorable Heard of / Undecided Never heard of Refused Donald Trump 42% 45% 12% <1% 1% Hillary Clinton 34% 56% 9% <1% 1% Paul Ryan 35% 35% 22% 9% <1% Mitch McConnell 18% 29% 26% 27% <1% Thinking back to the Presidential Election in 2016, do you recall if you supported ROTATE FIRST TWO, or someone else? Donald Trump 42% Hillary Clinton 32% Someone else 19% Did not vote 2% Don t Know / Refused 4% If you could go back and do it over again, who would you support in the 2016 election for President? Donald Trump 40% Hillary Clinton 30% Someone else 26% Did not vote 1%

Do you think Donald Trump will be able to keep READ AND ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP? All of the promises he made during the 4% campaign Most of the promises 25% Some of the promises 30% Just a few of the promises 21% None of the promises he made during the 16% campaign How much of priority do you think each of the following should be over the next year, a major priority, minor priority, or not a priority? Order rotated. Major priority Minor priority Not a priority Don t Know / Refused Reforming the tax code 60% 25% 9% 6% Repealing and replacing Obamacare 41% 23% 32% 5% Passing a major infrastructure bill 60% 26% 6% 8% Passing policies that reduce income inequality 47% 32% 16% 6% Building a wall along the Mexican border 24% 27% 47% 2% Passing comprehensive immigration reform that includes a path to 64% 25% 7% 3% citizenship Investigating alleged Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election 40% 32% 26% 2% In terms of READ FIRST, do you think things will get better, get worse, or stay about the same during Donald Trump s presidency? PROBE: And do you think they will get (better/worse) quickly, or (better/worse) slowly? Order rotated. Get better quickly Get better slowly Stay about the same Get worse slowly Get worse quickly Don t Know / Refused The economy and jobs 19% 33% 30% 10% 6% 3% Life in your own city or town 6% 17% 61% 9% 4% 3% American manufacturing jobs 20% 36% 27% 9% 5% 3% The environment 3% 11% 40% 19% 24% 3% America s relationship with other countries 12% 21% 19% 14% 29% 5% U.S. military readiness 34% 23% 29% 4% 5% 5% The situation in Syria 11% 17% 12% 11% 38% 10% WBUR Poll 2

When it comes to the Affordable Care Act, often called Obamacare, what would you like to see Congress do? READ AND ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP. Keep the law as it is now 5% Keep the law and work to improve it 41% Repeal the law and replace it 29% Repeal the law and do not replace it 6% Establish universal coverage through a 17% single government plan Would you agree or disagree with each of the following statements about President Donald Trump? First, READ FIRST? How about READ NEXT? REPEAT STEM AND SCALE ONLY AS NEEDED Both / neither / depends (not read) Don t Know / Refused Order rotated. Agree Disagree Cares about people like you 49% 47% 2% 2% Shares your values 42% 51% 5% 3% Will put the country s interests ahead 50% 45% 3% 2% of his own Is honest and forthright 43% 49% 5% 3% Will keep America safe 54% 41% 2% 2% Is a good negotiator 57% 37% 3% 3% Is an ethical person 42% 50% 5% 3% Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the nation's policy toward Russia? Approve 41% Disapprove 44% Don t Know / Refused 15% Do you approve or disapprove Donald Trump s decision to launch airstrikes in Syria? Approve 61% Disapprove 30% Don t Know / Refused 9% WBUR Poll 3

Now let s talk about some issues specific to Massachusetts and your own city or town. Thinking about the money the state of Massachusetts gives to cities and towns for transportation, education, and other needs, do you think your region gets READ AND ROTATE? More than our fair share of state funding 3% Our fair share of state funding 41% Less than our fair share of state funding 46% Don t Know / Refused 10% Thinking about everyday life for people in your city or town, would you say the last 5 years been READ AND ROTATE for the town? Among the best years 2% Pretty good 17% About average 57% Pretty bad 14% Among the worst years 8% Don t Know / Refused 2% Would you say you are financially better off than your parents were when they were your age, financially worse off, or about the same? Better off 44% Worse off 25% About the same 29% Don t Know / Refused 2% Looking ahead, do you think the next generation will be financially better off when they are your age, financially worse off, or about the same? Better off 16% Worse off 49% About the same 31% Don t Know / Refused 4% Over the last 10 years, has it become easier or more difficult for you and your family to afford to live the kind of life you want or is it just about the same? Easier 12% More difficult 43% About the same 44% Don t Know / Refused 1% WBUR Poll 4

Demographics Race White / Caucasian 94% All others 3% Age 18 to 29 13% 30 to 44 24% 45 to 59 30% 60+ 33% Gender Male 48% Female 52% Party Registration Democrat 22% Republican 15% Independent / Unenrolled 63% Education High School or less 28% Some college, no degree 27% College graduate (BA/BS) 31% Advanced degree 14% Don t Know / Refused 1% WBUR Poll 5

About the Poll These results are based on a survey of 501 voters in the 2016 Presidential Election in a set of Central Massachusetts cities and towns identified in the WBUR graphic below. These towns were selected because they are a part of WBUR s series entitled Red Voters in a Blue State series, covering Massachusetts towns won by Donald Trump. Live telephone interviews were conducted April 7-9, 2017 via both landline and cell phone using conventional registration based sampling procedures. Results were weighted to match actual turnout on age, gender, race, and party registration. The results were not weighted to the actual 2016 election results for the towns. The margin of sampling error is +/-4.4 percentage points with a 95 percent level of confidence. The poll was sponsored by WBUR, a National Public Radio station in the Boston area. WBUR Poll 6