WEEK 3 (SEPTEMBER 19 SEPTEMBER 25, 2014)

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Transcription:

WEEK 3 (SEPTEMBER 19 SEPTEMBER 25, 2014) NUMBER OF INTERVIEWS: 1,283 REGISTERED VOTERS; MARGIN OF ERROR REGISTERED VOTERS: +/- 3.15 Data marked as NBC/WSJ was conducted by POS and Hart Research using a different methodology and should be footnoted as NBC/WSJ, not melded into the current data without notation. Data next to current figures represent Week 2 of Annenberg data conducted September 12 th to 18 th.

FALL WEEK 3 Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. Male 47 Female 53 QA Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.") 10, very interested... 40 37 9... 8 6 8... 14 14 7... 11 10 6... 8 8 5... 9 12 4... 2 4 3... 2 4 2... 3 1 1, not interested at all... 3 4 Cannot rate... - NBC/WSJ TREND DATA 9/14+ 8/14+ 6/14+ 4/14+ 3/14+ 10/28-30/10+ 10/14-18/10+ 9/10+ 10, very interested... 44 43 43 45 41 52 51 50 9... 7 8 8 6 6 9 10 7 8... 16 14 16 16 17 14 13 14 7... 9 10 10 10 11 9 9 11 6... 7 7 6 7 8 4 5 5 5... 8 7 8 7 9 5 7 5 4... 2 3 1 1 3 2 1 2 3... 3 3 3 2 1 2 1 2 2... 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1, not interested at all... 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 4 Cannot rate... - - 1 1 - - - -

QB Every election is important, but compared to other elections, do you feel that this year s Congressional election is much more important, somewhat more important, about the same, somewhat less important, or much less important than other elections? Much more important.. 39 36 Somewhat more important.. 22 26 About the same. 35 33 Somewhat less important 2 3 Much less important. 1 1 Not sure... 1 1 QC What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? WEEK 3 HIGH INTEREST VOTERS WEEK 2 HIGH INTEREST VOTERS Republican-controlled Congress... 42 42 49 51 Democrat-controlled Congress... 47 46 45 43 Not sure... 11 12 6 6 NBC/WSJ TREND DATA 9/14+ 8/14+ 6/14+ 4/14+ 3/14+ 1/14+ 12/13+ 10/25-28/13+ 10/7-9/13+ 9/13+ Republican-controlled Congress... 45 44 43 45 44 43 44 41 39 43 Democrat-controlled Congress... 43 43 45 45 43 45 42 45 47 46 Not sure... 12 13 12 10 13 12 14 14 14 11 QD Based on what you have seen, read or heard about the political campaigns taking place in your state, have you been more impressed with the Republican campaigns or the Democratic campaigns? Republican campaigns 27 Democratic campaigns.. 33 Both equally.. 3 Neither... 27 Not sure... 10

QE Will your vote for Congress this November be a vote to send a signal of support for President Obama, a signal of support for Republicans in Congress, a signal of opposition to President Obama, a signal of opposition to Republicans in Congress, or not a signal either way about President Obama and Republicans in Congress? Signal of support for Obama... 15 15 Signal of support for Republicans in Congress.... 13 9 Signal of opposition to President Obama. 17 17 Signal of opposition to Republicans in Congress 10 13 Not a signal either way 42 42 Not sure... 3 4 QF If it were determined by the military commanders that the best way to defeat the ISIS army was to use American military troops on the ground, would you be in favor of this decision or would be in opposition to this decision, or do you really not have an opinion one way or the other? In favor of American military troops on the ground.. 45 Opposed to American military forces on the ground 37 No opinion either way.... 16 Not sure. 2 QG When President Obama says: America has no intention of using American military troops in ground action to fight against the ISIS army ---do you feel that America will end up using American military ground forces or do you feel that America will not end up using American military ground forces? Will not use ground troops... 20 Will use ground troops.. 72 No opinion...... 8

FACTUAL QUESTIONS (F = factual) Fa. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a republican, a democrat, an independent, or something else? Republican 26 Democrat.. 33 Independent 30 Something else.. 9 Don t know 2 Fb. Generally speaking, would you describe your political views as liberal or conservative? Very liberal 9 Somewhat liberal.. 17 Moderate. 35 Somewhat conservative.. 23 Very conservative.. 15 Don t know 1 Fc. Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, an opponent of the Tea Party movement, or neither? Supporter... 15 Opponent... 30 Neither. 52 Don t know 3 Fd. What is your age? 18-34. 28 35-49. 21 50-64.. 32 65+.. 19 Don t know.. - Fe. Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin or descent? Yes. 9 No... 91 Don t know

Ff. Which of the following describes your race? White 74 Black or African American 11 Some other race.. 15 Fg. What is the last grade or class you completed in school? Grade 8 or lower 1 Some high school, no diploma.. 4 High school diploma or equivalent. 24 Technical or vocational school 2 Some college, no degree. 18 Associate s or two-year college degree. 11 Four-year college degree. 22 Graduate or professional school after college, no degree.. 2 Graduate or professional degree. 16 Don t know... - Fh. Last year, that is in 2013, what was your total household income before taxes? Less than $25,000.. 17 $25,000 to less than $50,000. 22 $50,000 to less than $100,000. 32 $100,000 to less than $150,000.. 17 $150,000 to $250,000 6 More than $250,000... 4 Don t know... 2