FLORIDA S NELSON GETS OK GRADES, BUT UNDER 50%, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; VOTERS DIVIDED ON SECOND TERM FOR OBAMA
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1 Peter Brown, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) FOR RELEASE: FEBRUARY 3, 2011 FLORIDA S NELSON GETS OK GRADES, BUT UNDER 50%, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; VOTERS DIVIDED ON SECOND TERM FOR OBAMA Florida Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson has a percent job approval rating among registered voters, who say percent that he deserves re-election, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Republican Sen. Marco Rubio has a percent job approval rating after his first month in office, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. President Barack Obama gets a split job approval rating as 47 percent approve and 49 percent disapprove. By a narrow percent margin, voters say the president does not deserve a second term. In fact, 40 percent of Florida voters would back Obama while 42 percent say they would back an unnamed Republican challenger. Sen. Bill Nelson s numbers are mixed. Only one in five voters is unhappy with his job performance, which indicates he hasn t stirred up strong opposition. But history shows that when only 43 percent of voters say an incumbent deserves another term, that incumbent sometimes doesn t get another term, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Sen. Nelson is not in terrific shape but he is not in terrible shape either. His fate may rest with how President Barack Obama does in 2012 as Florida voters see the two men similarly on the issues. Florida voters say percent that Nelson generally shares the same views as President Obama. Independent voters, often the key voting group, say he shares Obama s views percent. -more-
2 Quinnipiac University Poll/February 3, 2010 page 2 A plurality of voters, 44 percent, say Obama is too liberal, as 4 percent say he is too conservative and 43 percent say the president is about right. Almost the same number, 44 percent, say Nelson is about right, while 23 percent say he is too liberal and 7 percent too conservative. But 26 percent don t have a view of Nelson, much greater than the 8 percent who say that about Obama. When Nelson is matched against an unnamed Republican in a trial 2012 heat, he wins percent. Obama s percent job approval rating is statistically unchanged from his rating the last time Quinnipiac University surveyed registered Florida voters in August He gets a thumbs up from Democrats percent and a thumbs down from Republicans percent. Independent voters split with 47 percent approving and 49 percent disapproving. of Obama. By a reverse percent, still basically a tie, Florida voters have a favorable opinion On other matters, Florida voters are down on both the war in Afghanistan and the president s health care overhaul. Voters say percent that the United States should not be involved in Afghanistan, part of a continuing decline in the war s popularity. In Quinnipiac University s August poll, voters said percent America should not be involved the war. By percent, Florida voters say the health care overhaul should be repealed. From January 25 31, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,160 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed call (203) , or follow us on Twitter. 2
3 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Marco Rubio is handling his job as United States Senator? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States senator? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE... DIS... High Low High Feb 03 Aug 19 Jul 30 Jun 09 Feb 06 Aug 12 Aug Approve Disapprove DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Approve Disapprove DK/NA
4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE... High Low Feb 03 Aug 19 Jul 30 Jun 09 Apr 19 Feb 19 Jun Approve Disapprove DK/NA Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate? Obama Republican DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) DK/NA Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Yes/Deserves reelection No/Does not DK/NA Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bill Nelson the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate? Nelson Republican DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) DK/NA Nelson Republican DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) DK/NA
5 10. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for U.S. Senate... Do you feel that Bill Nelson deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Yes/Deserves reelection No/Does not DK/NA Yes/Deserves reelection No/Does not DK/NA Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE... High Low Feb 03 Aug 20 Jun 10 Apr 16 Feb 19 Feb 19 Apr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
6 TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE... High Low Feb 03 Aug 19 Jul 30 Jun 09 Apr 15 Feb 03 Apr Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of - Bill Nelson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? Liberal Conservative About right DK/NA TREND: Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? Feb 03 May Too liberal Too conservative 4 5 About right DK/NA Do you think Bill Nelson is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? Liberal Conservative About right DK/NA
7 TREND: Do you think Bill Nelson is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? Feb 03 Aug Too liberal Too conservative 7 7 About right DK/NA Do you think Bill Nelson generally shares the views of Barack Obama on major issues or not? Yes No DK/NA Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? Right thing Should'nt be invlvd DK/NA TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? Feb 03 Aug Right thing Shld't be invl DK/NA Do you think Congress should repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand? Should repeal it Let it stand DK/NA
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