CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS AND IMMIGRATION POLITICS IN COLORADO. June 25, 2014
|
|
- Mitchell Evans
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS AND IMMIGRATION POLITICS IN COLORADO June 25, 2014
2 Latino influence in Colorado Demographic trends Participation and party competition Immigration Politics
3 The Colorado Population Today Total 5.2 Million White, non-latino 3.6 million Hispanic 1.1 million African American 223,100 Native American 155,700 White 70% Hispanic 21% Black 4% Asian 3% Other 2% 76% of Colorado Latinos are U.S. born Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 estimates
4 Colorado population trends and projections Currently, the median age for Colorado Latinos is 26. The median age for Colorado whites (non- Latino) is % 60% 40% 20% 0% White Non-Hispanic Hispanic 81% 75% 71% 66% 61% 56% 29% 34% 25% 21% 17% 13% Sources: State Demography Office, Colorado Division of Local Government, 2013; U.S. Census Bureau 1990 and 2012.
5 Colorado Latino Voter Partisanship (2012) Hispanic voters have all but abandoned the Republican Party. Democrats and Republicans have a hand in this trend. Other 29% Republican 14% Democrat 57% Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012
6 Statewide Republican Vote After more than a decade of steady increases, the GOP has lost considerable Latino support in Colorado. % GOP Vote 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 36% 17% 44% 12% 51% 52% 30% 25% Statewide Hispanic 45% 46% 46% 38% 19% 10% 0% Source: VNS/NEP , Latino Decisions 2010, 2012
7 Statewide Democratic Vote Democrats perform well with Hispanic voters in Colorado. Prior GOP vote however, signals that these votes cannot be taken for granted. % Democrat Vote 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Statewide Hispanic 85% 87% 81% 74% 68% 68% 61% 54% 52% 46% 47% 48% 41% 42% Source: VNS/NEP , Latino Decisions 2010, 2012
8 Colorado Hispanic Vote 2012 and 2010 Hispanics in Colorado have been a critical component to the significant Democratic victories. 87% 88% 10% 12% 81% 19% President (2012) Congress (2012) Senate (2010) Democrat Republican Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012, LD 2010 Election Eve Poll
9 2012 Hispanic Impact in Colorado 60 Without the Hispanic vote Romney lead in Colorado Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012; US Census ACS November 2013
10 2012 Hispanic Impact in Colorado Adding in the Hispanic vote, President Obama s share exceeds 50% mark, to win the state of Colorado. 0 Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012; US Census ACS November 2013
11 Colorado s Hispanic Electorate in Context Latino turnout in Colorado is high compared to other states, but a significant voter registration gap remains. Turnout is quite high among those registered. % Registered among voting eligible (CVAP) % Turnout among registered 95% 91% 92% 79% 79% 57% 60% 40% White non- Hispanic Hispanic Black Asian Source: U.S. Census Bureau, November 2012 CPS Report
12 Colorado Electorate Composition Eligible Electorate 2012 Voters White 71% 79% White 74% 84% Hispanic Black 11% 14% 13% 4% Hispanic Black 8% 10% 13% 3% One out of ten voters in Colorado is Hispanic. Other 5% 3% U.S. Colorado Other 4% 2% U.S. Colorado Source: U.S. Census Bureau, November 2012 CPS Report
13 Mobilization and Parties Percent contacted by a campaign, party, or community organization Contact from parties and organizations (among those contacted) U.S. Colorado Democrats Nevada 51 New Mexico Arizona Republicans California Texas Community Groups Colorado U.S. Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012
14 Colorado Congressional Districts by Party Registration and Current MC party CD6 party registration reflects the close 2012 and 2014 contests. Dem Dem GOP GOP GOP GOP Dem Held Held Held Held Held Held Held 38% 41% 36% 36% 37% 36% 39% 3 districts Dem advantage. 19% 27% 35% 41% 42% 32% 27% 3 districts Republican advantage. 43% 32% 29% 23% 22% 32% 34% CD 1 CD 2 CD 3 CD 4 CD 5 CD 6 CD 7 Source: Colorado Secretary of State, 2014
15 2012 Congressional Races Margins of Victory Republicans won 4 of Colorado s 7 CDs in CD6 was the only close race. 3 safe Dem Margin of Victory % CD Latino CVAP CD 1 41% 18% CD 2 17% 7% CD 3 12% 18% CD 4 22% 15% CD 5 65% 11% 3 safe GOP (no Dem in CD5) CD 6 2% 12% CD 7 13% 19% Source: Colorado Secretary of State, 2012, U.S. Census ACS,2012
16 2012 Presidential Vote in Colorado CD President Obama carried Colorado with 52% of the vote. In 2012 he won in districts 1, 2, 6, and Obama Vote Share by CD % CD Latino CVAP CD 1 69% 18% CD 2 58% 7% CD 3 46% 18% CD 4 39% 15% CD 5 38% 11% CD 6 52% 12% CD 7 56% 19% Source: Colorado Secretary of State, 2012, U.S. Census ACS,2012
17 2012 Presidential Vote in Colorado CD County-level vote for President gives a better view of party competition in the state. Source: Colorado Secretary of State, 2012
18 Latino Voter Reason for Voting Ethnic Which ties do you best agree with most: or rival party I m voting in ties 2012 in to drawing support: Latinos to the polls. Democratic candidate Hispanics in Colorado Republican demonstrated Candidate the strongest party Latino ties. community Latino Community Democrats Republicans AZ MA NC CA NV U.S. OH TX CO VA FL NM Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012
19 Most Important Issue in 2012 (Colorado) What are the most important issues facing the Latino community that politicians should address? Economy/Jobs Immigration Health care Education Other Issue Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012
20 Immigration policy impact on vote Despite the fact that they are American citizens, Hispanic voters in the state were very sensitive to immigration policy in this election.. Obama (DACA) Romney (Self-deport) 5 More enthusiastic Less enthusiastic No impact Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012
21 Ties to undocumented community Hispanic voters in the state care about immigration on a personal level. Know an undocumented immigrant Know someone deported or detained Yes No Source: impremedia/ld Election Eve Poll 2012; AV/LD Battleground State Poll, June 2012
22 GOP vote if CIR is passed If GOP took leadership role in supporting CIR, with path to citizenship, would you be more/less likely to support GOP candidates in the future? Percent more likely to vote GOP in the future if GOP passes CIR U.S. Arizona Texas Nevada California Colorado New Mexico 21% 24% 31% 38% 36% 34% 32%
23 GOP vote if CIR is passed The 24point margin could easily decide a competitive race, like Colorado s Senate race and House CD 6. Percent more likely to vote GOP in the future if GOP passes CIR U.S. Arizona Texas Nevada California Colorado 24% 31% 38% 36% 34% 32% New Mexico 21%
24 Thank you! Report, Deck, and Map links, other materials at: LatinoDecisions.com
CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS AND IMMIGRATION POLITICS IN ARIZONA. March 4, 2014
CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS AND IMMIGRATION POLITICS IN ARIZONA March 4, 2014 Latino influence in Arizona Demographic trends Participation and party competition Immigration Politics The Arizona Population Today
More informationComprehensive Immigration Reform and Winning the Latino Vote
Comprehensive Immigration Reform and Winning the Latino Vote Matt Barreto, Ph.D. March 5, 2013 National support for CIR Many national surveys show strong support for CIR 2012 National Exit Poll found 65%
More informationHow The Mountain West States Voted In 2016: A Post-Election Analysis of Trends, Demographics, and Politics in America s New Swing Region
Lectures/Events (BMW) Brookings Mountain West 11-15-2016 How The Mountain West States Voted In 2016: A Post-Election Analysis of Trends, Demographics, and Politics in America s New Swing Region William
More informationLatino Decisions / America's Voice June State Latino Battleground Survey
Latino Decisions / America's Voice June 2012 5-State Latino Battleground Survey 1. On the whole, what are the most important issues facing the Hispanic community that you think Congress and the President
More informationA Glance at THE LATINO VOTE IN Clarissa Martinez De Castro
A Glance at THE LATINO VOTE IN 2016 Clarissa Martinez De Castro The Landscape 2 Latino voter growth continues. Latinos are a key factor in winning equation for White House and many state races, but investments/outreach
More information2014 LATINO ELECTION EVE POLL
2014 LATINO ELECTION EVE POLL Presentation of Results The National Press Club November 5, 2014 ORIGINATING SPONSORS PARTNER ORGANIZATIONS 2014 Election Eve Poll 4200 Latino voters 10 state polls Oct 29th
More informationLATINO VOTERS IN ARIZONA, COLORADO, FLORIDA, AND NEVADA
LATINO VOTERS IN ARIZONA, COLORADO, FLORIDA, AND NEVADA Sylvia Manzano, PhD Principal Latino Decisions September 9, 2016 Overview 2 Presidential, Senate, and Party Standing Immigration Impact in 2016 Attention
More informationLATINO VOTERS IN COLORADO AND THE 2016 ELECTION
LATINO VOTERS IN COLORADO AND THE 2016 ELECTION Gabriel Sanchez, PhD Principal Latino Decisions April 22, 2016 Overview Nationally, the Latino vote will approach 13 million in 2016. In Colorado, Latinos
More informationNABPAC 2016 Biennial Post Election Conference
The National Association of Business Political Action Committees 2016 NABPAC Post Election Conference NABPAC 2016 Biennial Post Election Conference PRESENTED BY: Hans Kaiser, Moore Information November
More informationTHE TARRANCE GROUP. BRIEFING MEMORANDUM To: Interested Parties. From: Ed Goeas and Brian Nienaber. Date: November 7, 2006
THE TARRANCE GROUP BRIEFING MEMORANDUM To: Interested Parties From: Ed Goeas and Brian Nienaber Date: November 7, 2006 Re: Key findings from a recent national study on Methodology These findings come from
More informationPOLITICAL LEADERSHIP AND THE LATINO VOTE By NALEO Educational Fund
POLITICAL LEADERSHIP AND THE LATINO VOTE By NALEO Educational Fund Already the second largest population group in the United States, the American Latino community continues to grow rapidly. Latino voting,
More informationTrump, Populism and the Economy
Libby Cantrill, CFA October 2016 Trump, Populism and the Economy This material contains the current opinions of the manager and such opinions are subject to change without notice. This material has been
More informationLATINO VOTERS IN COMPETITIVE GOP HOUSE DISTRICTS
LATINO VOTERS IN COMPETITIVE GOP HOUSE DISTRICTS Gary M. Segura, Ph.D. Principal, Latino Decisions July 24, 2013 Midterm Voters in Competitive Districts 2014 Latino vote sensitive to CIR politics and policy.
More information2016 LATINO ELECTION ANALYSIS. November 30, 2016
2016 LATINO ELECTION ANALYSIS November 30, 2016 Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll 2 18% 12% 16% 16% 31% 10% 15% 16% 10% 17% 16% 15% 10% 79% 84% 80% 81% 67% 86% 82% 81% 88% 80% 80% 81% 87% U.S. AZ CA CO
More informationAmerica s Voice/LD 2016 National and Battleground State Poll (Field Dates August 19-30)
1. In November, there will be an election for President, U.S. Congress and other state and local offices. What would you say the chances are that you will vote in November are you absolutely certain you
More informationHispanics and the Changing Racial Demographics of the Intermountain West
Hispanics and the Changing Racial Demographics of the Intermountain West William H. Frey The Brookings Institution www.frey-demographer.org 2008: Greater Minority Turnout and Share of the Voter Population
More informationA New Conventional Wisdom for the Latino Vote: Trends in and Predictions for
A New Conventional Wisdom for the Latino Vote: Trends in 2000-16 and Predictions for 2018-2020 By Antonio Gonzalez, WCVI President May 3, 2018 National Latino Voter Patterns 1976-2004 The old conventional
More informationDecisión Latino voters, immigration policy and the 2012 election
Decisión 2012 Latino voters, immigration policy and the 2012 election America s Voice/Latino Decisions New Mexico Latino Voter Survey Gabriel R Sanchez, Ph.D. Associate Professor of Political Science Assistant
More informationThe Rising American Electorate
The Rising American Electorate Their Growing Numbers and Political Potential Celinda Lake and Joshua Ulibarri Lake Research Partners Washington, DC Berkeley, CA New York, NY LakeResearch.com 202.776.9066
More informationRising American Electorate & Working Class Women Strike Back. November 9, 2018
Rising American Electorate & Working Class Strike Back November 9, 2018 Methodology National phone poll with oversample in 15-state presidential & 2018 battleground. An election phone poll of 1,250 registered
More informationMETHODOLOGY Public Opinion Strategies recently completed three surveys on behalf of Human Rights First:
MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FROM: NEIL NEWHOUSE & ROBERT BLIZZARD PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES DATE: MARCH 16, 2015 RE: RECENT POLLING ON THE U.S. REFUGEE AND ASLYUM SYSTEM METHODOLOGY Public Opinion
More informationDYNAMICS OF THE LATINO ELECTORATE Shaping the 2016 Election
1 DYNAMICS OF THE LATINO ELECTORATE Shaping the 2016 Election Roundtable 2 Clarissa Martinez De Castro, Deputy VP, NCLR @CMartinezDC Sylia Manzano, Principal, Latino Decisions @LatinoDecisions Maria Urbina,
More informationThe Social Policy & Politics Program. August 13, 2012
The Social Policy & Politics Program August 13, 2012 TO: Interested Parties FROM: Michelle Diggles, Senior Policy Advisor and Lanae Erickson Hatalsky, Director of the Social Policy & Politics Program RE:
More informationThis report was prepared for the Immigration Policy Center of the American Immigration Law Foundation by Rob Paral and Associates, with writing by
This report was prepared for the Immigration Policy Center of the American Immigration Law Foundation by Rob Paral and Associates, with writing by Rob Paral and Madura Wijewardena, data processing by Michael
More informationDecisión Latino voters, immigration policy and the 2012 election
Decisión 2012 Latino voters, immigration policy and the 2012 election America s Voice/Latino Decisions New Mexico Latino Voter Survey Gabriel R Sanchez, Ph.D. Associate Professor of Political Science Assistant
More informationTUESDAY, MARCH 22, 2016 ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES: 11
ARIZONA E L E C T I O N D A Y : TUESDAY, MARCH 22, 2016 ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES: 11 TOTAL POPULATION (2014): 6,731,484 LATINO POPULATION (2014): 2,056,456 Since 2000, Arizona has seen one particularly
More informationPolitics and Policy Making
Politics and Policy Making If there is one thing analysts from across the political spectrum can agree on, it is that the political situation in Washington is highly polarized. Moderator Ron Haskins Brookings
More informationThe Strength of the Latina Vote: Gender Differences in Latino Voting Participation
The Strength of the Latina Vote: Gender Differences in Latino Voting Participation Latinos are a powerful and growing political force in the U.S. Over the last two decades, Latinos have accounted for nearly
More informationAmerican Dental Association
American Dental Association May 2, 2016 Bill McInturff SLIDE 1 Heading into the Election Year SLIDE 2 Direction of country remains strongly negative for over a decade. Right Track Wrong Direction WT 80
More informationOctober 18, 2016 National Press Club Washington, D.C. Arturo Vargas Executive Director, NALEO Educational Fund
October 18, 2016 National Press Club Washington, D.C. Arturo Vargas Executive Director, NALEO Educational Fund Latino Voter Impact: 2000 and 2004 Presidential Elections Latino vote grows from 5.9 million
More informationRepresentational Bias in the 2012 Electorate
Representational Bias in the 2012 Electorate by Vanessa Perez, Ph.D. January 2015 Table of Contents 1 Introduction 3 4 2 Methodology 5 3 Continuing Disparities in the and Voting Populations 6-10 4 National
More informationBattleground Districts July 2018 Midterm Survey Immigration Policy Attitudes
1. Thinking about the election for Congress and other state offices in November 2018, how likely are you to vote on a scale between 0 and 10, where 0 means you definitely do not want to vote, and 10 means
More informationMindy Romero, Ph.D. Director
Mindy Romero, Ph.D. Director 1. What happened in the 2016 election? 2. What should we expect in 2018? 3. What is the impact of demographic change? Study Methodology Voter Turnout Data Current Population
More informationMindy Romero, Ph.D. Director
Mindy Romero, Ph.D. Director 1. What happened in the 2016 election? 2. What should we expect in 2018? 3. What is the impact of demographic change? Study Methodology Voter Turnout Data Current Population
More informationRising American Electorate & White Working Class Strike Back. November 27, 2018
Rising American Electorate & Working Class Strike Back November 27, 2018 Methodology National phone poll with oversample in 15-state presidential & 2018 battleground. An election phone poll of 1,250 registered
More informationLatinos and the 2008 Presidential Election: A Visual Database
City University of New York (CUNY) CUNY Academic Works Center for Latin American, Caribbean, and Latino Studies Centers & Institutes 12-2008 Latinos and the 2008 Presidential Election: A Visual Database
More informationLatino Voters in the 2008 Presidential Election:
Educational Fund Latino Voters in the 2008 Presidential Election: Post-Election Survey of Latino Voters National Assoication of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Educational Fund On November
More informationLatinos and the 2008 Presidential Elections: a Visual Data Base
Latinos and the 2008 Presidential Elections: a Visual Data Base Center for Latin American, Caribbean & Latino Studies Graduate Center City University of New York 365 Fifth Avenue Room 5419 New York, New
More informationThe Rising American Electorate
The Rising American Electorate Their Growing Numbers and Political Potential Celinda Lake and Joshua Ulibarri Lake Research Partners Washington, DC Berkeley, CA New York, NY LakeResearch.com 202.776.9066
More informationUpdate on OFA Grassroots Organizing: Voter Registration and Early Voting
October 11, 2012 MEMORANDUM TO INTERESTED PARTIES RE: TO: FROM: Update on OFA Grassroots Organizing: Voter Registration and Early Voting Interested Parties Jeremy Bird, Obama for America National Field
More information2018 MIDTERMS PRE- ELECTION OVER VIEW OCTOBER 2018
2018 MIDTERMS PRE- ELECTION OVER VIEW OCTOBER 2018 4 Weeks Out Greg Speed President, America Votes State of Power: From 2008 to Now 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 President Dem Dem Dem Dem Rep Rep US Senate
More informationCIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement
FACT SHEET CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement The Youth Vote in the 2008 Super Tuesday States: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Georgia, Illinois,
More informationThe Youth Vote in 2008 By Emily Hoban Kirby and Kei Kawashima-Ginsberg 1 Updated August 17, 2009
The Youth Vote in 2008 By Emily Hoban Kirby and Kei Kawashima-Ginsberg 1 Updated August 17, 2009 Estimates from the Census Current Population Survey November Supplement suggest that the voter turnout rate
More informationChapter 8. Political Participation and Voting
Chapter 8 Political Participation and Voting Forms of Political Participation Forms of Political Participation Forms of Political Participation Traditional political participation: various activities designed
More informationThe Effect of North Carolina s New Electoral Reforms on Young People of Color
A Series on Black Youth Political Engagement The Effect of North Carolina s New Electoral Reforms on Young People of Color In August 2013, North Carolina enacted one of the nation s most comprehensive
More informationPlease note: additional data sources are referenced throughout this presentation, including national exit polls and NBC/WSJ national survey data.
Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to present key findings from two national surveys of 800 actual voters conducted on November 6, 2012. These surveys were merged, for a total of 1,600 actual voters
More informationKey Factors That Shaped 2018 And A Brief Look Ahead
Key Factors That Shaped 2018 And A Brief Look Ahead November 2018 Bill McInturff SLIDE 1 Yes, it was all about Trump. SLIDE 2 A midterm record said their vote was a message of support or opposition to
More informationAmerica s Electoral Future
ETHAN MILLER/GETTY IMAGES America s Electoral Future Demographic Shifts and the Future of the Trump Coalition By Robert Griffin, Ruy Teixeira, and William H. Frey April 2018 W W W.AMERICANPROGRESS.ORG
More informationThe Presidential Election. Paul Beck, The Ohio State University Lifelong Learning Institute December 7, 2016
The Presidential Election Paul Beck, The Ohio State University Lifelong Learning Institute December 7, 2016 1 Introduction: Fundamentals of the 2016 Presidential Contests 2016 presidential results with
More informationCongressional Elections, 2018 and Beyond
Congressional Elections, 2018 and Beyond Robert S. Erikson Columbia University 2018 Conference by the Hobby School of Public Affairs, University of Houston Triple Play: Election 2018; Census 2020; and
More informationLATINO IMMIGRATION ATTITUDES AND SUPPORT FOR THE TWO PARTIES*
LATINO IMMIGRATION ATTITUDES AND SUPPORT FOR THE TWO PARTIES* Ali A. Valenzuela, Ph.D. Assistant Professor of Politics, Princeton University Research Fellow, CLALS, American University January 15, 2015
More informationOctober 18, 2016 National Press Club Washington, D.C. Arturo Vargas Executive Director, NALEO Educational Fund
October 18, 2016 National Press Club Washington, D.C. Arturo Vargas Executive Director, NALEO Educational Fund Latino Voter Impact: 2000 and 2004 Presidential Elections Latino vote grows from 5.9 million
More informationCIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement. Youth Voting in the 2004 Battleground States
FACT SHEET CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement Youth Voting in the 2004 Battleground States By Emily Kirby and Chris Herbst 1 August 2004 As November 2 nd quickly
More informationAlmost certain 80% Probably 9% % Will not vote 4% Don't know 1%
1. Many people are busy and don t get a chance to vote in every election. Thinking ahead to the November 2014 election, what would you say the chances are that you will vote in the election for Congress,
More informationAP PHOTO/MATT VOLZ. Voter Trends in A Final Examination. By Rob Griffin, Ruy Teixeira, and John Halpin November 2017
AP PHOTO/MATT VOLZ Voter Trends in 2016 A Final Examination By Rob Griffin, Ruy Teixeira, and John Halpin November 2017 WWW.AMERICANPROGRESS.ORG Voter Trends in 2016 A Final Examination By Rob Griffin,
More informationThe Election Process From a Data Prospective. By Kimball Brace, President Election Data Services, Inc. 2017
The Election Process From a Data Prospective By Kimball Brace, President Election Data Services, Inc. 2017 1 Who is Election Data Services, Inc.? Since 1986, we ve been on your wall. Since 2010 you ve
More informationFAU Poll: Hispanics backing Clinton in Key Battleground States of Ohio, Colorado Nevada, North Carolina and Florida.
FAU Poll: Hispanics backing Clinton in Key Battleground States of Ohio, Colorado Nevada, North Carolina and Florida. A new set of Hispanic battleground state polls by the Business and Economics Polling
More informationAmerica s Voice/Latino Decisions. Colorado Latino Voter Survey. Sept./Oct. 2012
America s Voice/Latino Decisions Robert Preuhs, Ph.D. MSU-Denver Colorado Latino Voter Survey Sept./Oct. 2012 Poll Details Poll Sponsored by America s Voice and conducted by Latino Decisions Random Sample
More informationCIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
FACT SHEET CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement Youth Voter Increases in 2006 By Mark Hugo Lopez, Karlo Barrios Marcelo, and Emily Hoban Kirby 1 June 2007 For the
More informationLatino Voter Growth by State. UnidosUS Page 1. California Civic Engagement Project
Latino Voter Growth by State Midterm Elections: Latino Vote Hot Spots Latinos are a powerful and growing political force in the U.S. Over the last two decades, Latinos have accounted for nearly a quarter
More informationELECTION UPDATE Tom Davis
ELECTION UPDATE Tom Davis Polarization The Ideological sorting of the parties 1. Redistricting Residential Sorting Voting Rights Act Gerrymandering 2. Media Business Models Cable News Talk Radio Internet
More informationIndependent Women s Voice
the polling company, inc./womantrend on behalf of Independent Women s Voice Field Dates: March 8-10, 2010 Margin of Error: ±2.8% A. Gender (RECORDED BY OBSERVATION) 46% MALE 54% FEMALE B. Age (RECORDED
More information1. A Republican edge in terms of self-described interest in the election. 2. Lower levels of self-described interest among younger and Latino
2 Academics use political polling as a measure about the viability of survey research can it accurately predict the result of a national election? The answer continues to be yes. There is compelling evidence
More informationA Journal of Public Opinion & Political Strategy. Missing Voters in the 2012 Election: Not so white, not so Republican
THE strategist DEMOCRATIC A Journal of Public Opinion & Political Strategy www.thedemocraticstrategist.org A TDS Strategy Memo: Missing White Voters: Round Two of the Debate By Ruy Teixeira and Alan Abramowitz
More informationThe sustained negative mood of the country drove voter attitudes.
3 The sustained negative mood of the country drove voter attitudes. Last Time Mood Was Positive: 154 Months Ago 01/2004: 47% RD 43% WT The Mood of the Country Rasmussen Reports 11/20 11/22: 30% - 58% The
More informationPolitical Implications of Immigration in 2010: Latino Voters in Arizona. Commissioned by
Political Implications of Immigration in 1: Latino Voters in Arizona Commissioned by May 11, 1 p1 Contact Matt A. Barreto, Ph.D. matt.barreto@latinodecisions.com 99-489-2955 Gary M. Segura, Ph.D. gary.segura@latinodecisions.com
More informationLatinos and the Mid- term Election
Fact Sheet Novem ber 27, 2006 Latinos and the 2 0 0 6 Mid- term Election Widely cited findings in the national exit polls suggest Latinos tilted heavily in favor of the Democrats in the 2006 election,
More informationa rising tide? The changing demographics on our ballots
a rising tide? The changing demographics on our ballots OCTOBER 2018 Against the backdrop of unprecedented political turmoil, we calculated the real state of the union. For more than half a decade, we
More informationRace, Immigration and America s s Changing Electorate. William H. Frey The Brookings Institution
Race, Immigration and America s s Changing Electorate William H. Frey The Brookings Institution Race, Immigration and America's Changing Electorate Race-Ethnicity and Eligible Voter Growth Demographic
More informationThe Asian American Electorate in California. Why pay attention?
The American Electorate in California Karthick Ramakrishnan Professor and Associate Dean, School of Public Policy Director, NAASURVEY and AAPIDATA Why pay attention? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% American Hispanic
More informationAmerica s Voice/Latino Decisions Congressional Battleground Poll - July 2013 Released July 24, 2013
1. On the whole, what are the most important issues facing the [Hispanic/Latino] community that you think Congress and the President should address? [Open ended, Pre-code to list, RESPONDENT MAY SELECT
More informationNUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD. FOR RELEASE Friday, Nov. 7, 2014 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT:
NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE Friday, Nov. 7, 2014 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT: Mark Hugo Lopez, Director of Hispanic Research Molly Rohal, Communications Associate
More informationResearch Brief. Resegregation in Southern Politics? Introduction. Research Empowerment Engagement. November 2011
Research Brief Resegregation in Southern Politics? David A. Bositis, Ph.D. November 2011 Civic Engagement and Governance Institute Research Empowerment Engagement Introduction Following the election of
More information2016 us election results
1 of 6 11/12/2016 7:35 PM 2016 us election results All News Images Videos Shopping More Search tools About 243,000,000 results (0.86 seconds) 2 WA OR NV CA AK MT ID WY UT CO AZ NM ND MN SD WI NY MI NE
More informationA New America A New Majority A New Challenge
A New America A New Majority A New Challenge Women's Voices. (WVWV) WVWV is a 501(c)3 nonprofit, nonpartisan organization and does not endorse candidates. WVWV is dedicated to increasing the share of unmarried
More informationGrowth Leads to Transformation
Growth Leads to Transformation Florida attracted newcomers for a variety of reasons. Some wanted to escape cold weather (retirees). Others, primarily from abroad, came in search of political freedom or
More informationThe Electoral Consequences of Granting Citizenship to Undocumented Immigrants
The Electoral Consequences of Granting Citizenship to Undocumented Immigrants By Carson Bruno Research Analyst, Hoover Institution May 23, 2013 The Senate s Gang of 8 Comprehensive Immigration Reform provides
More informationThe Path to 270 In 2016, Revisited
AP PHOTO/DAVID GOLDMAN The Path to 270 In 2016, Revisited By Ruy Teixeira, John Halpin, and Rob Griffin October 2016 W W W.AMERICANPROGRESS.ORG Introduction and summary When discussing elections, political
More informationHispanics Rising 2010: An Overview of the Growing Power of America s Hispanic Community. A Report of the 21 st Century America Project
Hispanics Rising 2010: An Overview of the Growing Power of America s Hispanic Community A Report of the 21 st Century America Project Executive Summary Table of Contents Section 1: Our Changing Country:
More informationBattleground 2016: new game. June 30, 2016
Battleground 2016: new game June 30, 2016 Methodology Battleground Survey of 2700 Likely 2016 Voters in 9 competitive presidential battleground states. This survey took place June 11-20. Respondents who
More informationTexas. SUPER DISTRICT A - FIVE SEATS % 2000 Presidential Vote
Texas Racial Representation Of the voting population of 6,232,350, 28.7 are Latino and 11.0 are black. Under the current 32-district system, black voters do not make up the majority in any district and
More informationNew Americans in. By Walter A. Ewing, Ph.D. and Guillermo Cantor, Ph.D.
New Americans in the VOTING Booth The Growing Electoral Power OF Immigrant Communities By Walter A. Ewing, Ph.D. and Guillermo Cantor, Ph.D. Special Report October 2014 New Americans in the VOTING Booth:
More informationELECTION OVERVIEW. + Context: Mood of the Electorate. + Election Results: Why did it happen? + The Future: What does it mean going forward?
1 ELECTION OVERVIEW + Context: Mood of the Electorate + Election Results: Why did it happen? + The Future: What does it mean going forward? + Appendix: Polling Post-Mortem 2 2 INITIAL HEADLINES + Things
More informationWHY ASIAN AMERICANS AND PACIFIC ISLANDERS SHOULD VOTE
WHY ASIAN AMERICANS AND PACIFIC ISLANDERS SHOULD VOTE The American dream is increasingly out of reach for many people, including far too many Asian American and Pacific Islander (AAPI) children and families.
More informationAn Election Year Like No Other:
An Election Year Like No Other: 2016 and its Consequences Ron Elving / NPR NASACT / Indianapolis August 15, 2016 Overview How Did We Get Here? Election Fundamentals of 2016 Partisan Wars (Intra and Inter)
More informationOctober 29, 2016 Media Contact: Prof. Spencer Kimball Emerson College Polling Advisor
October 29, 2016 Media Contact: Prof. Spencer Kimball Emerson College Polling Advisor Spencer_Kimball@emerson.edu 617-824- 8737 Emerson Polls: Clinton With Mostly Slim Leads in 4 of 5 Battleground States.
More informationNUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE OCTOBER 29, 2014 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT:
NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE OCTOBER 29, 2014 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT: Mark Hugo Lopez, Director of Hispanic Research Molly Rohal, Communications Associate 202.419.4372
More informationGeek s Guide, Election 2012 by Prof. Sam Wang, Princeton University Princeton Election Consortium
Geek s Guide, Election 2012 by Prof. Sam Wang, Princeton University Princeton Election Consortium http://election.princeton.edu This document presents a) Key states to watch early in the evening; b) Ways
More informationThe Next Swing Region: Reapportionment and Redistricting in the Intermountain West
The Next Swing Region: Reapportionment and Redistricting in the Intermountain West David F. Damore Associate Professor of Political Science University of Nevada, Las Vegas Nonresident Senior Fellow Brookings
More informationLATINO VOTER RESPONSE TO OBAMA EXECUTIVE ACTION
LATINO VOTER RESPONSE TO OBAMA EXECUTIVE ACTION Matt A. Barreto November 23, 2014 National Latino poll on Exec Action 2 National sample of Latino registered voters Based on L2 national database of registered
More informationAmerica s Voice: Immigration Presented by Benenson Strategy Group and Lake Research Partners February 19, 2008
America s Voice: Immigration 2008 Presented by Benenson Strategy Group and Lake Research Partners February 19, 2008 National Survey Methodology Lake Research Partners designed and administered this survey
More informationPresented by: Ted Bornstein, Dennis Cardoza and Scott Klug
1 Attorney Advertising Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome Models used are not clients but may be representative of clients 321 N. Clark Street, Suite 2800,Chicago, IL 60654 312.832.4500 2
More informationPolitical Contributions Report. Introduction POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS
Political Contributions Report January 1, 2009 December 31, 2009 Introduction At CCA, we believe that participation in the political process is an important and appropriate part of our partnership relations
More informationNew message platform for 2018 s key battlegrounds Findings from Wave 1 of Battleground web-panel & phone survey. May 2018
New message platform for 2018 s key battlegrounds Findings from Wave 1 of Battleground web-panel & phone survey May 2018 Innovative new research program BATTLEGROUND PHONE POLL ON-GOING RAE+ BATTLEGROUND
More informationLatinos in the 2016 Election:
Latinos in the 2016 Election: Was there a Trump effect? Ana Gonzalez-Barrera Senior Researcher Mark Hugo Lopez Director of Global Migration and Demography Gustavo López Research Assistant Setting the Stage
More informationThe Reshaping of America. The Reshaping of America. The Reshaping of America. The Reshaping of America 9/17/2014
Columbia Room B 9:45 AM 1:35 AM Hyatt Grand Regency Capitol Hill Tuesday September 9, 214 Welcome Today s Session Guest Speaker Questions and Answer Current Situation Changing demographics across the country
More informationNATIONAL VOTER SURVEY. November 30 December 3, 2017 N = 1,200 respondents (1/3 Landline, 1/3 Cell, 1/3 Internet) margin of error: +/- 2.
NATIONAL VOTER SURVEY N = 1,200 respondents (1/3 Landline, 1/3 Cell, 1/3 Internet) margin of error: +/- 2.83% 1 For reference: the 2018 map. When we refer to competitive 2018 Senate states, we are referring
More informationThe Political Geography of Virginia and Florida: Bookends of the New South
Table 1. Growth by Migration Components: and Florida, 2000 2007 Florida 2007 Population (000s) 7,712 18,251 Growth Rate* Total 8.5 13.7 Migration Rate* Domestic Migration 2.1 7.8 Immmigration 2.1 4.0 *
More informationCRUZ & KASICH RUN STRONGER AGAINST CLINTON THAN TRUMP TRUMP GOP CANDIDACY COULD FLIP MISSISSIPPI FROM RED TO BLUE
CRUZ & KASICH RUN STRONGER AGAINST CLINTON THAN TRUMP TRUMP GOP CANDIDACY COULD FLIP MISSISSIPPI FROM RED TO BLUE If Donald Trump wins the Republican presidential nomination, Mississippi and its six electoral
More informationClinton could win Texas in 2016
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 31, 2013 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL information@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH
More information