Caucasus Barometer (CB)

Transcription

1 Caucasus Barometer (CB) Public Perceptions on Political, Social, and Economic issues in the South Caucasus Countries Some findings from the CRRC 0 data December 9, 0 Yerevan crrc@crrc.am

2 Methodology 0 people in Armenia and Georgia ( in Armenia and 9 in Georgia); Representative of total adult (+) population; Proportional representation of demographic and geographic groups; Sampling frame: Lists of the voting precincts Multi-stage cluster sampling, sampling error is ±.%; Household selection: Random walk method; Respondent selection: Kish table; Face-to-face interviews in local languages. Note: Figures in all following charts are shown as percentage of total (%) if not stated otherwise.

3 Outline Description of the interviewees Trust, freedom of speech and democracy Perception of the internal affairs Economic palette: employment and income Perception of the external affairs

4 Description of the interviewees

5 Demographic characteristics of respondents By settlement type By gender 9 Capital Urban Rural Male Female

6 By education level By age group Primary education (either complete or incomplete) Incomplete secondary education Completed secondary education 9 Secondary technical education Incomplete higher education Completed higher education (BA, MA or Specialist degree) Post graduate degree

7 D. How often do you use the Internet? (CB 009-0) Every day At least once a week At least once a month Less frequent Never I don't know what is internet DK/RA

8 Georgia Armenia P9. Important for a good citizen to Important Not important DK/RA to protect traditions 9 to support people who are worse off 9 to obey laws 9 to vote in elections 0 to do volunteer work to be critical towards the government 0 to support government on every occasion 0 to protect traditions 9 to support people who are worse off 9 to vote in elections 9 to do volunteer work 9 to be critical towards the government to support government on every occasion 0

9 Q. Which of these activities have you been involved in during the past months? 0 0 Helped a neighbor/friend with HH chores Cleaned/helped to clean public space 9 Volunteered without compensation Written online comment on Facebook or other media platform about an important issue Attended a public meeting 0 Signed a petition or a demand/request, including online petitions

10 N. Do you have a close relative currently living abroad? Yes No Armenia Georgia

11 D. Would you leave Armenia forever to live somewhere else? Yes No DK/RA

12 D. Would you leave Armenia a certain period of time to live somewhere else? (CB 00-0) Yes No DK/RA

13 Trust, freedom of speech and democracy

14 N. Would you say that most people in country can be trusted? Armenia Georgia 9 You can not be too careful 9 Most people can be trusted DK/RA

15 P. How much do you trust /distrust following institutions? Fullt trust Rather trust Neither trust not distrust Rather distrust Fully distrust DK/RA Army Religious institution 9 9 Educational system Healthcare system Local government 0 9 EU 9 Ombudsman 0 Police UN 0 President 0 Central bank 0 9 Banks 9 NGO Executive government Courts 0 0 National Assembly 9 0 Media 9 Political parties 0

16 P. How much do you trust/distrust army Fully trust Rather trust Neither trust not distrust Rather distrust Fully distrust Don't know

17 P. How much do you trust/distrust you religious institution Fully trust Rather trust Neither trust not distrust Rather distrust Fully distrust Don't know

18 P. Attitude towards democracy Armenia Georgia Democracy is preferable to any kind of government 0 In some circumstances a non-democratic government can be preferable 0 For someone like me it doesn't matter DK/RA 0

19 P. Attitude towards democracy (CB 0-0) Democracy is preferable to any other kind of government In some circumstances a non-democratic government can be preferable For someone like me it doesn't matter Don't know

20 P0. How much of a democracy is country today? Armenia Georgia A full democracy A democracy but with minor problems A democracy but with major issues Not democracy DK/RA

21 P0. How much of a democracy is Armenia today? (CB 0-0) A full democracy Democracy with minor issues Democracy with major issues Not a democracy at all DK/ RA

22 P. Do you think that people like yourself have the right to openly say what they think? Armenia Georgia 0 Yes No DK/RA

23 P. Do you think or not that people like yourself have the right in Armenia to openly say what they think? (CB 00-0) Yes No DK/RA

24 Perception of the internal affairs

25 Pa. What do you think is the most important issue facing the country at the moment? Armenia Georgia Unemployment Poverty Corruption Lack of peace in the country Low pensions Unaffordability of healthcare Political instability in the country Unfairness of courts Unfariness of elections Violation of human rights Low quality of education Problematic relations with Russia Rising prices, inflation Unsolved territorial conflicts Low wages Emigration Other 0 0 0

26 Pa. What do you think is the most important issue facing Armenia at the moment? (CB 00-0) Unemployment Poverty Corruption Lack of peace in the country Low pensions Unaffordability of healthcare Political instability in the country Unfairness of courts Unfairness of elections Violation of human rights Violation of property rights Low quality of education Problematic relations with Russia Rising prices / Inflation Unsolved territorial conflicts Low wages Emigration Other Don't know

27 P. In which direction the country's domestic politics are going? Armenia Georgia Politics is definitely going in the right direction Politics is going mainly in the right direction Politics does not change at all Politics is going mainly in the wrong direction Politics is definitely going in the wrong direction Don't know

28 P. In your opinion Government should be like a parent or Government should be like an employee? Armenia Georgia Agree very strongly: People are like children Agree: Government should be like parent Agree: Government is like an employee 9 Agree very strongly: Government is like an employee 0 Agree with neither DK/RA

29 P. In your opinion Government should be like a parent or Government should be like an employee? (CB 00-0) Agree very strongly:government should be like a parent Agree:Government should be like a parent Agree:Government should be like an employee Agree very strongly: Government should be like an employee Agree with neither Don't know

30 P. The most recent national elections were conducted Completely fair To some extent fair Not at all fair DK/ RA Armenia 0 Georgia

31 Pa. How does the new Constitution influence your everyday life? Very positively Positively No influence Negatively Very negatively DK/RA

32 Pb. How does the new Constitution influence the future political development of Armenia 9 0 Very positively Positively No influence Negatively Very negatively DK/RA

33 P. What do you agree with. people should or should not participate in protest actions against the government? (CB 00-0) Agree very strongly: People should participate in protests Agree: People should participate in protests Agree: People should not participate in protests Agree very strongly: People should not participate in protes Agree with neither Don't know

34 Pa_ARM. Do you condemn or support Sasna Tsrer s action? Fully support 9 Rather support Neutral, neither condemn nor support Rather condemn 0 Strongly condemn Don t know Have not heard about this

35 Economic palette: employment and income

36 J. Primary activity or situation (CB 0-0) Working either part-time or full time Self-employed Unemployed Retired and not working Student and not working Housewife and not working

37 J0. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with your job? (CB 00-0) (only for employed) Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Average satisfaction Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied

38 J. Are you currently interested in a job? (nor working respondents, % in total) Yes No

39 J. The most important factor for getting a good job Connections 0 Education Age 0 Doing favors for the 'right' people Professional abilities, work experience Hard work Luck Appearance DK/RA Talent Other

40 Pa. The war in Syria led to a large inflow of Syrian-Armenians into Armenia. In your opinion, does it Yes No DK contribute to the economic development of Armenia contribute to population growth in Armenia 0 contribute to the invigoriation of the cultural life of Armenia 0 deepen Armenia's social and ecnomic problems make it more difficult for the local population to find jobs 0

41 C. To which of the following groups does your household income belong? (USD) C. What is the minimal monthly income that would enable your household live a normal life? (USD) Armenia Georgia Armenia Georgia More than USD 00 USD 0-00 USD 0- USD - USD USD - 00 Up to 0 USD DK/RA More USD 0- USD 0 USD - USD 0 than USD USD - 00 DK/RA

42 Perception of the external affairs

43 P. To what extent would you support country s membership in the EEU? Armenia Georgia 9 Fully support Rather support Partially support, partially do not Rather not support Do not support at all DK/RA

44 P_ARM. To what extent would you support Armenia's membership in the EEU? Fully support Partially support and partially don't support Don't support at all Rather support Rather not support DK/RA

45 P. To what extent would you support country s membership in the EU? Armenia Georgia Fully support Rather support Partially support, partially do not Rather not support Do not support at all DK/RA

46 P. To what extent would you support Armenia's membership in the EU? Fully support Partially support, partially don't support Don't support at all Rather support Rather not support DK/RA

47 RAND. In your opinion, what would be the best choice for the country's future economic and political development? Armenia Georgia Remain in the Eurasian Economic Union, led by Russia Join the European Union, led by Western European countries Have equally close relations with both Unions Not join any Union DK/RA

48 P. To what extent would you support country s membership in the NATO? Armenia Georgia Fully support Rather support Partially support, partially do not Rather not support Do not support at all DK/RA

49 RAND. In your opinion, what would be the best choice for the country to ensure its security? Armenia Georgia 0 0 Remain in Collective Security Treaty Organization, led by Russia Join NATO, led by the Western European countries and the US Have equally close relations with both organizations Not join any organization DK/RA

50 Pb_ARM. April war showed that Completely agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Conmpletely disagree DK/RA when there is a threat to national security, Armenian society unites 0 when there is a threat to national security, Armenia, Artsakh and the Diaspora unite to resolve Nagorno Karabakh conflict should be resolved through negotiations and not through force to resolve the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, Armenia should rely solely on itself the Artsakh army was not ready for this kind of attack

51 P. Which country is currently main friend of Armenia? Russia France Georgia Iran None USA Other DK/RA

52 P. Which country is currently main friend of Armenia? (CB 0-0) Russia France Georgia Iran None USA Other DK/RA

53 P. Which country is currently the main enemy of Armenia? 0 Azerbaijan Turkey Russia None DK/RA

54 P. Which country is currently the main enemy of Armenia? (CB 0-0) Azerbaijan Turkey Russia USA Armenia Georgia None DK/RA

55 N. Approval of doing business with Approve Disapprove DK/RA Armenians 9 Russians 0 Americans Italians Georgians Ukranians 0 Molokans 9 9 Kurds, Yezidis Iranians 9 Jews 9 Arabs 0 Turks Azerbaijanis

56 N. Approval of women marrying with Approve Disapprove DK/RA Armenians 9 Russians Americans Italians Ukranians 0 Georgians Molokans Jews Kurds, Yezidis Arabs Iranians Turks 9 Azerbaijanis 9

57 N. How happy would you say you are? Armenia Georgia Average:. points for Armenia Average: points for Georgia Not at all happy 9 Very happy Don't know

58 N. Personal trust of the results of public opinion polls conducted in our country Armenia Georgia Trust/Rather trust Neither trust nor distrust Distrust/Rather distrust I don't know anything about these polls 0 DK

59 Thank You!