Director, International Security Program, Lowy Institute for International Policy, Sydney, Australia (since March 2007)

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1 CURRICULUM VITAE Rory Michael Medcalf Professor and Head of College, National Security College, Australian National University (since January 2015) Nonresident Fellow, Lowy Institute for International Policy Nonresident Senior Fellow in Foreign Policy, Brookings Institution, Washington DC Other recent roles: Director, International Security Program, Lowy Institute for International Policy ( ) Senior Research Fellow, Indian Strategic Affairs, University of New South Wales ( ) Member of expert advisory panel, Australian 2016 Defence White Paper ( ) Professional experience More than 20 years experience across think tanks, diplomacy, policymaking, intelligence analysis, academia and journalism, covering security, geopolitics and foreign policy with a focus on Asia. A record of drive and achievement in research, outreach, policy influence, income generation, institution-building and management. Proven ability to work with influence at high levels across policy communities in Australia, Asia and the United States. Exceptional media profile, publishing record, reputation and networks in Australia, Asia and the United States. Director, International Security Program, Lowy Institute for International Policy, Sydney, Australia (since March 2007) Research, management, media outreach, strategic analysis, policy advice, government/corporate relations, conference convening, fundraising and mentoring on foreign and strategic policy issues relating to Australia, Asia and the United States. Highlights in institution-building and management: Developing a large and internationally-competitive think tank program, built on $2.7 million in externallygenerated funding since Personally responsible for expanding the Lowy Institute s International Security Program from an internally-funded, one-person operation by drawing on external sources of funding to incorporate multiple research and support staff, a Military Fellow, international Nonresident Fellows, exchanges with international think tanks and Australian government agencies, and wider links with government, business, academic institutions and philanthropic foundations. The program has drawn on these resources to produce a large output of quality research publications and events including international conferences and policy dialogues. Highlights in policy impact and profile: Generating ideas and influencing policy on the Asian strategic order, Australia-India relations, Australia-China relations, the Australia- US alliance, defence policy, maritime security and nuclear issues. Founding and sustaining the Australia-India Roundtable and the Australia-France Strategic Dialogue, Australia s pre-eminent informal dialogues with these countries. Demonstrated influence on Australian foreign policy in Asia. Consulted by Australian, Indian, Japanese and US 1

2 government agencies and senior political figures for policy ideas and strategic analysis (including briefings at the invitation of US agencies and the National Intelligence Council). Policy entrepreneurship in developing and popularising an Indo-Pacific strategic concept. Significant input into three global reports on nuclear arms control, recognised by a 2014 appointment to the World Economic Forum s Global Agenda Council on Nuclear Security. Invited to join the expert panel for the 2016 Australian Defence White Paper. Research areas: Asian strategic order, strategic implications of the rise of China and India, Indo-Pacific strategic concept, Asian maritime security and confidence-building, nuclear arms control, Australian security, defence and foreign policy. Widely published and cited in Australia and internationally: 200+ publications including academic book chapters, monograph-length think-tank reports, refereed journal articles, essays, policy briefs, online articles and newspaper opinion pieces, notably in The International Herald Tribune/New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The National Interest, The American Interest and Foreign Policy as well as regularly in the Australian and Indian press. Twice published as a chapter contributor in the authoritative Strategic Asia book series of the US National Bureau of Asian Research. Originator and director of pioneering 2013 opinion polling on Indian public attitudes about foreign and security policy. Frequently invited to speak in Australia and internationally, including at major think tanks, research institutes and conferences in the United States, Asia and Europe, as well as internally for government agencies and corporations. Founding convenor and Australian co-chair of the annual Australia-India Roundtable (established 2008), involving think tanks, government, politics, business, universities and media, covering political, security, economic and societal issues. Convener of the Lowy Institute s first major overseas activities: security symposia and dialogues in India, China, Japan, South Korea and Singapore. Founding convener of the annual Australia-France Strategic Dialogue (established 2010). A lead role in generating and managing more than $2.7 million of external funding for research projects, commissioned reports and events, from: the Nuclear Threat Initiative/Nuclear Security Project ($400,000), MacArthur Foundation Asian security initiative ($840,000 in , $400, ), MacArthur Foundation nuclear security initiative ($340, ), Australia-India Institute ($80,000), Australia- India Council ($200,000), Department of Defence ($170,000), Australian Civil Military Centre ($227,000), Booz Allen Hamilton/US government agencies ($200,000), and corporates UNISYS, Austal and Thales. Helped to develop Lowy Institute corporate memberships such as Department of Defence, Lockheed Martin, NSW Government, Office of National Assessments, ASIO, Rothschild, PwC and IAG. Exceptional network of senior contacts across think tanks, governments, media, universities and business, in Australia, the United States and Asia. Regularly consulted by government for informal advice on strategic issues and engagement with Asia. Management and oversight of several whole-of-organisation activities for the Lowy 2

3 Institute, including engagement with Australian parliament, engagement with the intelligence and security community, oversight of the Nonresident Fellows program and pursuit of funding opportunities. One of Australia s most prominent public voices on foreign and strategic policy issues, including in electronic and social media; frequently interviewed and quoted in Australian and international media, including ABC TV and ABC Radio, SBS, Sky News, BBC, CNN, Al Jazeera English, CBNC, Channel News Asia, NHK, Phoenix TV, The Australian, Fairfax newspapers, Wall St Journal, New York Times, TIME, The Economist, Asahi Shimbun, South China Morning Post, Le Monde, The Guardian, Christian Science Monitor, Bloomberg, Reuters, Associated Press; frequent blogger and columnist; twitter following 12k+. Member of expert panel, Australian Defence White Paper 2016 (since March 2014) Independent advice and support to Defence White Paper process, particularly in framing of strategic assessments, international engagement strategy and public consultations. Nonresident Senior Fellow in Foreign Policy, Brookings Institution, Washington DC (since January 2013) Publications, commentary and speaking engagements in Washington DC. Asian security adviser to Brookings Project on International Order and Strategy. Senior Research Fellow, Indian Strategic Affairs, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, University of New South Wales (since 2010) Professorial equivalent (Level E), part-time. Research publications and public lectures. Teaching into subjects Powerful India and China and Asia-Pacific Security. Associate Director, Australia India Institute (AII) and head of the AII Sydney Node, University of New South Wales (March 2013-March 2014) Professorial equivalent (Level E), part-time. Strategic advice and coordination for the university s India engagement across government/corporate relations and research. Oversight of major events and high-level visits, such as by Indian government Ministers, senior officials and corporate leaders. Representing the University in its India-related engagement, including at leadership level. Coordinator, Asia-Pacific Strategy and Security, Centre for International Security Studies, University of Sydney (2012) Coordination, preparation, teaching and marking of Masters-level core subject in international relations, including recruitment and oversight of guest lecturers. Occasional guest lecturer/trainer: 3

4 National Security College, Australian National University Australian Defence College Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University Attorney-General s Department Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade Editorial Board Member: Australian Journal of International Affairs (since 2010) Editorial Board Member, Asia Policy (since January 2016) Senior Strategic Analyst, Office of National Assessments (December 2003-March 2007) ONA is Australia s peak intelligence analysis agency, reporting to the Prime Minister. Prepared assessments for Prime Minister, Ministers and senior officials on Australia s security environment, nuclear issues, East Asian and South Asian geopolitics, maritime security, Asian diplomatic architecture and other issues. Lead author and coordinator of two whole-of-government national assessments in support of regional diplomatic initiatives and defence guidance. Involvement in crisis monitoring/watch office, including on East Timor. Drafted, coordinated and contributed to national intelligence collection requirements. Participated in analytical exchanges and liaison with intelligence partner countries. Held high-level security clearances (Top Secret PV). First Secretary (political) and head of public affairs, Australian High Commission, New Delhi (Oct 2000-Nov 2003); Acting Deputy High Commissioner/Counsellor (2003) Duties covered bilateral political, economic and security relations, public diplomacy, and reporting on Indian foreign and security policy developments. Substantial role in rebuilding Australia-India relations following 1998 nuclear tests. On-the-ground political analysis including election monitoring in Kashmir in Managed a team of locally-engaged public diplomacy staff. Managed and led the Post s political and economic section May-August 2003, including occasionally as charge d affaires. Established a high-level network of political, academic and media contacts that continue to contribute to Australia-India relations. Policy officer, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (February 1996-October 2000) Graduate recruit Based in Canberra, with short-term missions to Tokyo (1999) and as truce monitor in Bougainville, Papua New Guinea (1998). Career highlights included 1999 secondment to Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs and key drafting and consensus-building role with the Tokyo Forum, a major global nuclear non-proliferation project sponsored by the Japanese government. Other placements: executive officer handling ASEAN Regional Forum and politicalmilitary dialogues ( ), acting departmental liaison officer in office of Minister for Foreign Affairs (2000), desk officer/head of secretariat Australia Group on nonproliferation export controls (1997-8), Indonesia desk ( ), secretariat of the Canberra Commission on the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons (1996). 4

5 Awarded Australian Service Medal for 1998 Bougainville deployment. Newspaper journalism: various full- and part-time positions ( ) Based variously in country New South Wales, Queensland and the United Kingdom. Cadetship, Australian provincial newspaper The Northern Star (Lismore, NSW) Roles with Fairfax newspapers, Queensland Newspapers, News Ltd. London. Experience across political, police, court, investigative and environmental reporting. Reportage and commentary on Northern Ireland peace process Highlights: Recognised in 11 Australian journalism and writing prizes including a highly commended in Australia s national Walkley Awards (1991). Education Tertiary Bachelor of Arts (Honours first class) in political science, University of Queensland, 1995 University Medal, University of Queensland, 1995; Cleary Memorial Prize, highestranked Honours student in Political Science/Government. Graduate Diploma in Foreign Affairs and Trade, Monash University, Recent and select publications (Full list available on request) Journal articles, book chapters, think-tank reports, monographs Mapping the Indo-Pacific? China, India and the United States, in Maritime Security in the Indo- Pacific: Chinese, Indian and US Perspectives, edited by Mohan Malik. Washington DC, Rowman and Littlefield, 2014 Canberra s Beijing Balance: Australian Perceptions of and Responses to Chinese Power, in Growth of China s Power and Changing Security Dynamics in Asia, edited by Li Mingjiang and Kalyan Kemburi. Oxford, Routledge, 2014 Universities and Think Tanks, with Amitabh Mattoo, in The Oxford Handbook of Indian Foreign Policy, edited by David Malone and C. Raja Mohan. Oxford, Oxford University Press, 2014 (forthcoming). In Defence of the Indo-Pacific: Australia s New Strategic Map. Australian Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 68. No. 4, June 2014 Responding to Indo-Pacific Rivalry: Australia, India and Middle Power Coalitions, with C. Raja Mohan, Lowy Institute Analysis, August

6 Powers in the Middle: Japan, India, Russia, Australia, South Korea, in Asia-Pacific Strategic Dossier, edited by Tim Huxley. London, International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2014 The Indo-Pacific: What s in a Name? The American Interest, Vol. 9 No. 2, Nov/Dec 2013 Fixing Australia s Incredible Defence Policy, with James Brown, Lowy Institute Analysis, October Problems to Partnership: A Plan for Australia-India Strategic Ties, in Reports from a Turbulent Decade, edited by Anthony Bubalo and Michael Fullilove, Penguin Viking, Melbourne, 2013 India Poll 2013: Facing the Future: Indian Views of the World Ahead [Indian public opinion poll report], Sydney, Lowy Institute for International Policy/Melbourne, Australia India Institute, May 2013 India-Australia Poll 2013: Partners, Problems and Prospects: Indian Attitudes to Australia [Indian public opinion poll report], Sydney, Lowy Institute for International Policy/Melbourne, Australia India Institute, April 2013 Pivoting the Map: Australia s Indo-Pacific System, The Inaugural Centre of Gravity Lecture, Canberra, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University, November 2012 India and China: Past, Present and Future: n Reluctant Superpower: Understanding India and its Aspirations, edited by Amitabh Mattoo. Melbourne, Melbourne University Press, 2012 Unselfish Giants? Understanding China and India as Security Providers. Australian Journal of International Affairs, Volume 66, Issue 5, 2012 Disarming Doubt: The Future of Extended Nuclear Deterrence in East Asia [multi-authored volume] (ed., with Fiona Cunningham). Sydney, Lowy Institute for International Policy, 2012 Powering Major Powers: Understanding Australian Uranium Export Decisions on China, Russia and India, in Australia s Uranium Trade: The Domestic and Foreign Policy Challenges of a Contentious Export, edited by Michael Clarke, Stephan Fruehling and Andrew O Neil. London, Ashgate, 2011 Shared Goals, Converging Interests: A Plan for US-Australia-India Cooperation in the Indo- Pacific, (with Andrew Shearer, Walter Lohman, Lisa Curtis, Lydia Power and Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan), Heritage Foundation-Observer Research Foundation-Lowy Institute Special Report, November 2011 Grand Stakes: Australia's Future between China and India, in Strategic Asia : Asia Responds to its Rising Powers China and India, edited by Ashley J. Tellis, Travis Tanner and Jessica Keough. Seattle/Washington DC, National Bureau of Asian Research, 2011 Crisis and Confidence: Major Powers and Maritime Security in Indo-Pacific Asia [monograph] (with Raoul Heinrichs and Justin Jones). Sydney, Lowy Institute for International Policy, 2011 Diplomacia, transparencia y opinion publica (Diplomacy, transparency and public opinion), Politica Exterior, Madrid, May

7 Australian Perspective, in Southeast Asia and the Rise of Chinese and Indian Naval Power, edited by Sam Bateman and Joshua Ho. London, Routledge, 2010 Terror games: understanding risk and security in New Delhi, Lowy Institute Perspective, October 2010 Power and Choice: Asian Security Futures, [monograph] with Andrew Shearer, Malcolm Cook and Raoul Heinrichs, Lowy Institute, Sydney, 2010 Wicked weapons: North Asia s nuclear tangle. Lowy Institute Analysis, September 2009 Australia s Strategic Analysis Capabilities: Reaching Critical Mass, Security Challenges, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2009 Nuclear security: What else can Australia do? Lowy Institute Analysis, September 2008 Squaring the Triangle: An Australian Perspective on Asian Security Minilateralism, in Assessing the Trilateral Strategic Dialogue (National Bureau of Asian Research Special Report #16). Seattle/Washington DC, National Bureau of Asian Research, 2008 Australia: Allied in Transition, in Strategic Asia : Challenges and Choices, edited by Ashley Tellis, Mercy Kuo and Andrew Marble. Seattle/Washington DC, National Bureau of Asian Research, 2008 Strategic Roles Beyond the Paramount Area: Asia Northeast and West, Security Challenges, Vol. 3. No. 3, 2007 Opinion and feature articles, newspapers and online publications Asia s Cold Peace: China s and India s delicate diplomatic dance, The National Interest online, 24 September 2014 Looking beyond old alliances to forge a safer Indo-Pacific region, with C. Raja Mohan, The Australian, 3 September 2014 The US-China rivalry has Asia on edge: Can middle powers create stability? with C. Raja Mohan, The National Interest online, August 2014 PM Abe sends a subtle message from Canberra, Australian Financial Review, 9 July : The EU has more to share with the Asia-Pacific than history lessons, with May- Britt Stumbaum, European Geostrategy, 9 July 2014 China s premature power-play goes very wrong, The National Interest online, June 2014 Narendra Modi: A transformative leader in India s relations with the world, The Economic Times (India), 27 May 2014 Crimea: A silver lining for the United States Asian allies? Roundtable: Asia-Pacific Perspectives on 7

8 the Ukraine Crisis, National Bureau of Asian Research, April 2014 Defining Asia the Indo-Pacific way, Jakarta Globe, 31 March 2014 Right path must be steered between Tokyo and Beijing, Australian Financial Review, 26 March 2014 Bangun dari Tidur, Lihat Kekuatan Angkatan Laut China, with C. Raja Mohan, Media Indonesia, 12 February 2014 Sea change of China power, with C. Raja Mohan, The Australian, 11 February 2014 Q and A: Rory Medcalf on the meaning of China s air defense zone, with Austin Ramzy, The New York Times Sinosphere blog, 4 December 2013 The promise of US-India ties, The National Interest online, 23 September 2013 Rebalancing Australia s role in Asia, Wall Street Journal (Asia), 8 September 2013 Wisdom of the Crowd: What 1.2 billion Indians think about democracy, America and the world, Foreign Policy.com, 21 May 2013 Australia, America s too-frugal ally, (with James Brown) The Wall Street Journal (Asia), 7 May 2013 Sweet and sour in defence take on China, The Australian Financial Review, 6 May 2013 Diplomatic heft fuels mutual hunger for Indian Ocean bond, (with Raja Mohan) The Australian, 13 December 2013 The west is poised for strategic role as hub of the Indo-Pacific age, The Australian, 12 November 2012 The era of the Indo-Pacific, The Indian Express, 16 October 2012 An Australian Perspective on US Rebalancing towards Asia, National Bureau of Asian Research Policy Q&A, 30 April 2012 Uranium sales to India would spread trust, not nuclear arms, The Age, 2 December 2011 Buildup Down Under, Foreign Policy.com, 17 November 2011 Our chance to align with the US pivot point, The Australian, 15 November 2011 Time to forge a partnership for the Asian Century, (with Raja Mohan) The Australian, 19 September 2011 PM faces challenge of deeper alliance, (with Andrew Shearer), The Australian, 7 March 2011 Time to sell uranium to India, The Age, January 21,

9 Ruinous US-China relations the big danger from North Korea, Sydney Morning Herald, 25 November 2010 Asia s maritime security is all at sea, The Australian, 15 September 2010 India must master the great game, The Wall Street Journal (Asia), 3 September 2010 Our China question: friend or foe? Sydney Morning Herald, 29 April 2009 China s gunboat diplomacy, International Herald Tribune, 28 December 2008 Terror and Consent: Redrawing the Western Front, Australian Literary Review, 3 September 2008 Australia s strategic dilemmas, Royal United Services Institute Newsbrief, London, October 2007 Fine to fuel India s fire, Australian Financial Review, April Contributions to international eminent persons /expert panel reports Eliminating Nuclear Threats: A Practical Agenda for Global Policymakers, Gareth Evans and Yoriko Kawaguchi, co-chairs (consultant) Facing Nuclear Dangers: The Report of the Tokyo Forum for Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, 1999 (senior drafting role in secretariat) Report of the Canberra Commission on the Elimination of Nuclear Weapons, 1996 (secretariat member) Commissioned reports Emerging Issues Report, an assessment of 10 emerging global security and economic challenges, prepared for Booz Allen Hamilton/US intelligence community client, March (With Mark Thirlwell) Australian s Defence Challenges, a report prepared for the Australian Department of Defence, September (With James Brown) Australia s Strategic Risks, a report prepared for the Australian Department of Defence, June (With James Brown) Australia s Military Capability Choices in a Changing Asia: A Scoping Study, prepared in partnership with the RAND Corporation for the Australian Department of Defence, November (With James Brown and Andrew Shearer) Concept Paper for the International Commission on Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, prepared by the Lowy Institute for the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, August

10 (Principal author) Emerging Issues Report, an assessment of 20 emerging global security challenges, prepared for Booz Allen Hamilton/US intelligence community client, November (Coordinator and principal author) 10