The margin of error is: ±3.70% for 700 interviews among Adults ±5.66% for 300 interviews among Hispanics
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- Raymond Gallagher
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1 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 1 Interviews: 700 adults, including 70 reached by cell phone Date: May 20-23, 2010 Oversample of 300 Hispanic adults Study # Male 52 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error is: ±3.70% for 700 interviews among ±5.66% for 300 interviews among Hispanics Unless otherwise noted by a +, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. (ASK ONLY OF SAMPLE TYPE 2--CELL PHONE ONLY RESPONDENTS.) Q1a. Do you have a landline in addition to your cell phone, or is your cell phone the only telephone you have? Have a landline... - TERMINATE Cell phone is only telephone CONTINUE Not sure... - TERMINATE (ASK ALL) Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST.) and over... 7 Not sure/refused... 1 Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic No, not Hispanic Not sure/refused... 1 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White Black Asian... 2 Other... 4 Hispanic (VOL)... 7 Not sure/refused... 1
2 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 2 Q3 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as president? 5/20-23/10 5/6-11/10 3/10 1/23-25/10 1/10-14/10 12/09 10/09 9/09 Approve Disapprove Not sure /09 7/09 6/09 4/09 2/ Q4 Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the issue of immigration? 5/20-23/10 Approve Disapprove Not sure... 17
3 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 3 Q5 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and groups, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE EXCEPT BARACK OBAMA) Neutral Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Barack Obama May 20-23, May 6-11, March January 23-25, January 10-14, December October September July June April February January December October 17-20, October 4-5, September 19-22, September 6-8, August July June April March January December November September July April March High February Low Oct , Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
4 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 4 Q.5 (cont'd) Neutral Don't Know Name/ Not Sure The Democratic Party May 20-23, May 6-11, March January 23-25, January 10-14, December October September July June April February December October 17-20, October 4-5, September 19-22, September 6-8, August July June April March 7-10, January November September July January October 28-30, July January May February October January January January High January Low July Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
5 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 5 Q.5 (cont'd) Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Neutral The Republican Party May 20-23, May 6-11, March January 23-25, January 10-14, December October September July June April February December October 17-20, October 4-5, September 19-22, September 6-8, August July June April March 7-10, January November September July January Oct 28-30, July January May February October January January January High December Low October Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
6 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 6 Q.5 (cont'd) Neutral Don't Know Name/ Not Sure John McCain May 20-23, April 2009 * February December October 17-20, October 4-5, September 19-22, September 6-8, August July June April March 24-25, March 7-10, January December November September July April March December June April August July May High August Low October Elena Kagan May 20-23, Sonia Sotomayor May 20-23, July June * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
7 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 7 THIS TABLE IS RANKED BY D/S (TOTAL POSITIVE TOTAL NEGATIVE) Summary Table of Images Total Total D/S Sonia Sotomayor Barack Obama Elena Kagan The Democratic Party John McCain The Republican Party Moving on Q6 What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections--(rotate:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? 5/20-23/10+ 5/6-11/10+ 3/10+ 1/23-25/10+ 1/10-14/10+ 12/09+ 10/09+ 9/09+ 7/09+ Republican-controlled Congress Democrat-controlled Congress Not sure /09+ 11/08+ 10/08+ 9/08+ 8/08+ 7/08+ 6/ /08+ 3/08+ 11/07+ 9/07+ 10/06+ 9/06+ 7/ /06+ 4/06+ 3/06+ 1/06+ 12/05+ 11/05+ 10/ /05+ 5/05+ 10/04+ 9/04+ 6/04+ 5/04+ 3/ /04 12/13/03 10/02+ 9/02 7/02 6/02 1/02 12/ /99 10/99 7/99 6/99 4/99 3/99 10/98+ 9/ /98 6/98 2/98 1/98 12/97 9/97 7/97 4/ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
8 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 8 Now, thinking about something else Q7 As you may know, Barack Obama recently nominated Elena Kagan to serve as a justice on the Supreme Court. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose Elena Kagan s serving as a justice on the Supreme Court, or do you not know enough about her to say? Elena Kagan Sonia Sotomayor Sam Alito Harriet Miers John Roberts (as Chief Justice) 5/20-23/10 7/09 6/09 11/05 10/05 9/05 Strongly support support oppose Strongly oppose Do not know enough to say Not sure Changing topics (ROTATE Q8a AND Q8b) Q8a How well would you say Republican elected officials are doing addressing the concerns of the Hispanic and community? (READ CHOICES.) 5/20-23/10 well well Not too well Not well at all Not sure Q8b How well would you say Democratic elected officials are doing addressing the concerns of the Hispanic and community? (READ CHOICES.) 5/20-23/10 well well Not too well Not well at all Not sure
9 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 9 Q9 When it comes to (READ ITEM), which party do you think would do a better job--the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, both about the same, or neither? (READ IMMIGRATION FIRST, THEN RANDOMIZE) ALL ADULTS Party Advantage Democratic Party Republican Party Both About The Same Neither Protecting the interests of minorities.. May 20-23, D Representing the opportunity to move up the economic ladder... May 20-23, D Dealing with immigration May 20-23, July 2008+* January D July D October 13-16, D September 8-11, D November D Promoting strong moral values May 20-23, R July 2009*... R July 2008+*... R January R July R October 13-16, R November R December R January R December 13, R June R Enforcing security along the U.S. border with Mexico May 20-23, R * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Not Sure Protecting the interests of minorities HISPANIC/LATINO Party Advantage Democratic Party Republican Party Both About The Same Neither May 20-23, D May 6-11, D Representing the opportunity to move up the economic ladder May 20-23, D May 6-11, D Dealing with immigration May 20-23, D May 6-11, D Promoting strong moral values May 20-23, D May 6-11, D Enforcing security along the U.S. border with Mexico May 20-23, R Not Sure
10 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 10 Now, thinking about immigration Q10 Would you say that immigration helps the United States more than it hurts it, OR immigration hurts the United States more than it helps it? 5/20-23/10 5/6-11/10 Helps more than it hurts Hurts more than it helps Not sure /07 6/07 7/06 6/06 4/06 12/05 Helps more than it hurts Hurts more than it helps Not sure Q11 Which of these statements comes closer to your point of view? (ROTATE STATEMENTS) Statement A: Immigration adds to our character and strengthens the United States because it brings diversity, new workers, and new creative talent to this country. Statement B: Immigration detracts from our character and weakens the United States because it puts too many burdens on government services, causes language barriers, and creates housing problems. 5/20-23/10 4/05 Statement A/immigration strengthens the United States Statement B/immigration weakens the United States Depends/some of both (VOL) Not sure
11 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 11 Q12 In the community where you live, would you say that immigration has had a positive effect, a negative effect, or no real effect at all on (READ ITEM)? (IF "POSITIVE" OR "NEGATIVE", ASK:) And do you think it has had a strong (positive/negative) effect or just somewhat of a (positive/negative) effect? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY POSITIVE EFFECT Effect Effect Just Just No Real Effect At Strong Strong The culture and character of the community May 20-23, April The prices of everyday goods and services May 20-23, April Hospitals and public schools May 20-23, April The availability of jobs May 20-23, April The amount of crime May 20-23, Not Sure THIS TABLE IS RANKED BY D/S (TOTAL POSITIVE TOTAL NEGATIVE) Summary Table of Images Total Total D/S The culture and character of the community The prices of everyday goods and services The availability of jobs Hospitals and public schools The amount of crime As you may know, the U.S. Congress may be considering legislation to address the issue of immigration. Q13 Would you be pleased or would you be upset if Congress does not pass an immigration bill, or do you not care either way? (IF RESPONDENT MAKES A CHOICE, ASK:) And would you be very or somewhat (pleased/upset)? 5/20-23/10 6/07 pleased pleased upset upset Do not care either way Not sure
12 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 12 Q14 Now, I would like to get your reaction to some different parts of a possible new immigration bill. Please tell me whether you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following parts of this bill. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY STRONGLY FAVOR Strongly Favor Favor Oppose Strongly Oppose Increasing border security by building a fence along part of the U.S. border with Mexico and by hiring and training more border patrol agents May 20-23, June Imposing new fines of businesses that hire illegal immigrants May 20-23, June Immigrants who want to come to the U.S. to work and who are not already here could apply for a two-year work visa, which will be granted if an employer shows they cannot fill the job with a legal US resident. May 20-23, owing undocumented immigrants who are already in the country to receive a work visa if they pay a fine of around five thousand dollars, pay back taxes, and pass a criminal background check. May 20-23, owing undocumented immigrants who are already in the country to pay a fine, learn English, and go to the back of the line for the opportunity to become American citizens. May 20-23, Not Sure
13 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 13 Q15 And, having heard some information about the legislation, overall, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose this proposed immigration bill? 5/20-23/10 Strongly favor favor oppose Strongly oppose Not sure Q16 As you may know, under our constitution and current laws, all children born in the United States are automatically granted citizenship. Do you think we should continue to grant citizenship to all children born in the U.S. or do you think this should be changed so children of illegal immigrants are not automatically granted citizenship? 5/20-23/10 Continue to grant automatic citizenship Change/not automatic citizenship Not sure Now, as you may know, Arizona recently passed some legislation regarding immigration Q17 The Arizona law makes it a state crime to be in the U.S. illegally. It requires local and state law enforcement officers to question people about their immigration status if they have reason to suspect a person is in the country illegally, making it a crime for them to lack registration documents. Do you support or oppose this law? (IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, THEN ASK) And, do you strongly (support/oppose) or just somewhat (support/oppose) this law? 5/20-23/10 5/6-11/10 Strongly support support oppose Strongly oppose Not sure Q18 And, would you be more likely to vote for (ROTATE) -- a Republican candidate for Congress who supports the Arizona immigration law, or a Democratic candidate for Congress who opposes the Arizona immigration law, or would this not affect your vote either way? 5/20-23/10 Reg Voters + Republican candidate who supports the Arizona immigration law Democratic candidate who opposes the Arizona immigration law Does not affect vote Not sure Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
14 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 14 QF1a Are you currently registered to vote at this address? Registered Not registered Not sure... - QF2 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school... 1 Some high school... 4 High school graduate Some college, no degree Vocational training/2-year college year college/bachelor's degree Some postgraduate work, no degree years postgraduate work/master's degree Doctoral/law degree... 3 Not sure/refused... 2 QF3 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as (ROTATE:) a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat Not very strong Democrat Independent/lean Democrat Strictly Independent Independent/lean Republican Not very strong Republican Strong Republican Other (VOL)... 3 Not sure... 2 QF4 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? liberal... 8 liberal Moderate conservative conservative Not sure... 2
15 HART/McINTURFF Study # page 15 QF5 If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year, would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand dollars, or would the total be more than that? Less than $10, Between $10,000 and $20, Between $20,000 and $30, Between $30,000 and $40, Between $40,000 and $50, Between $50,000 and $75, Between $75,000 and $100, More than $100, Not sure/refused... 8 QF6 Were you or was one of your parents born outside the United States? (IF "YES," ASK:) And were you, your parents, or both you and your parents born outside the United States? 5/20-23/10 Yes, respondent born outside United States Yes, respondent's parents born outside the United States Yes, both respondent and parents born outside the United States No, neither respondent nor parents born outside the United States Not sure (ASKED OF HISPANICS ONLY) QF7 How do you refer to yourself as (ROTATE) an Hispanic or a? (IF NEITHER/OTHER, THEN ASK:) How do you prefer to refer to yourself other than as an Hispanic or a? Hispanic Both (VOL)... 4 Chicano (VOL)... 1 American (VOL)... 5 Cuban (VOL)... 1 Puerto Rican (VOL)... 1 Mexican (VOL)... 7 Neither (VOL) (Specify )... 5 Other (VOL) (Specify )... 4
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