Potential Migrants. Turin, March, 2012

Transcription

1 Potential Migrants Turin, March, 2012

2 Profile of Georgia Capital: Tbilisi Population: 4,456,200 (01/01/2011) GDP per capita, PPP, US$: 5,073 in 2010 (World Bank) National GDP: - 3.8% in 2009; 6.4% in 2010 Activity rate: 64.2% (F 55.5%) (2010) Employment rate, age 15+: 53.8 % (F 47.5%) (2010) Unemployment rate, age 15+: 16.3% (F 14.5%) (2010) Gross enrolment ratio in basic education (ISCED 2): 95% (2009) (UNESCO) Gross enrolment rate in secondary (ISCED 3): 81% (2009) Gross enrolment rate in tertiary (ISCED 5 and 6): 26% (2009) TVET as a percent of total secondary enrolment (ISCED 3): 1% (2009) (UNESCO) Public expenditure on education: 3.2% of GDP (2009)

3 Intention to Migrate Seriously to move abroad to live and work at the moment 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% ,0 Total 100,0 No Yes 80,0 49,0 54,3 60,0 40,0 No Yes 20,0 51,0 45,7 0,0 Male Female

4 Intention to Migrate by Education 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 49, , ,8 48,5 Low Middle High No Yes

5 Moving Abroad by Settlement Area Rural 47,3 52,7 Urban 43,2 56,8 Yes No Capital 35,2 64, Moving Abroad by Age Categories The percent is calculated from the total number of the surveyed Seriously thinking to move abroad? Under Yes 52,3 65,8 54,7 55,9 35,4 49,5 46,0 No 47,7 34,2 45,3 44,1 64,6 50,5 54,0

6 Likelihood to migrate within 2 years Female The percent is calculated from the respondents who said yes to migrate-female -38%, male-62% Male No Yes Likelihood to migrate within 2 years By ability to finance Female quite likely Male very likely

7 Potential migration by current working status Yes to Migrating 15 The percent is calculated from the respondents who worked at least one hour during the last seven days Yes, I have worked No, I have not worked 85 No to Migrating 33 Yes, I have worked No, I have not worked 67

8 Main Reason for not migrating 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 My family/relatives are here This is my country / I belong here I have a job in my country I just do not want to go anywhere I have to care over my family here I have problems with health Lack of Financial resourses Discrimination in other countries I would feel lonely abroad Low income abroad Hard ot find job there other 4,0 3,1 3,0 3,0 3,0 1, ,5 8 13,0 57,0 The percent is calculated from the respondents who said No to migrate -52 percent of the respondents

9 Main Reason for Migrating Low (ISCED1) 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 Have no job/cannot find job 44,5 Unsatisfactory wage and career prospects To improve standard of living 21,5 28,5 The percent is calculated from the respondents who said Yes to migrate - 48 percent of the respondents I would join my spouse/family 3,0 High (ISCED3) other 2,5 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 Medium (ISCED2) 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 Have no job/cannot find job 65,3 Have no job/cannot find job 70,4 Unsatisfactory wage and career prospects 19,0 Unsatisfactory wage and career prospects 24,2 To get education or training 8,8 To get education or training 2,0 To improve standard of living 3,6 To improve standard of living 2,1 To escape family problems (conflict with parent/divorce) 2,6

10 No Yes Professional Middle management Skilled worker Unskilled worker The percent is calculated from the respondents who said Yes to migrate -48 percent of the respondents

11 Seriously thinking to move abroad by Work type 120,0 100,0 80,0 60,0 49,0 56,3 49,1 63,5 No 40,0 Yes 20,0 51,0 43,7 50,9 36,5 0,0 Employer Self employed (no employees) Salaried worker/ wage employee Casual worker (on and off work) The percent is calculated from the respondents who said Yes to migrate -48 percent of the respondents

12 Very good Good Poor No Yes Very poor

13 Most likely destination Professional Skilled worker Unskilled worker Russia Azerbaijan Germany United States of America Turkey

14 Most Likely destination by education Most likely destination Low (ISCED1) Medium (ISCED2) High (ISCED3) Greece 17,8 6,4 0,4 Russia 6,4 23,8 13,6 Azerbaijan 5,7 6,6 4,4 Germany 4,1 8,8 18,0 Turkey United States of America 3,9 7,0 13,9

15 Expectation to find work corresponding qualification by education Very likely 14,9 27,7 57,4 Quite likely Quite unlikely 13,7 52,8 33,5 18,0 58,8 23,2 low medium high Very unlikely 31,6 54,1 14,3 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% The percent is calculated from the respondents who said Yes to migrate 48 percent of the respondents

16 Expectation to find work corresponding qualification by gender Very likely 36,2 63,8 Quite likely Quite unlikely 50,7 49,3 58,1 41,9 Male Female Very unlikely 72,2 27,8 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% The percent is calculated from the respondents who said Yes to migrate 48 percent of the respondents

17 Work type expected by current work type Current work type Employer 73,5 26 Self employed 98 2 Expected Employer Salaried worker Self employed Salaried worker Casual worker Casual worker The percent is calculated from the respondents who said Yes to migrate 48 percent of the respondents

18 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Female Male Total Very unlikely Quite unlikely Quite likely Very likely 60 percent of the population wishing to migrate says they would not attend training

19 4,0 Training on legal issues for moving abroad Female 11,0 9,0 3,0 Workplace training Vocational training Cultural orientation 72,0 Language training 60,0 50,0 40,0 30,0 20,0 10,0 0,0 57,0 16,0 Male 3,0 13,0 5,0 5,6 80,0 70,0 60,0 50,0 40,0 30,0 20,0 10,0 0,0 ICT courses Training on legal issues Workplace training Vocational training Graduate/post graduate course Language training

20 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 13,0 16,0 11,0 14,0 14,0 15,0 13,0 15,0 13,0 To learn skills that are not directly related to work, but e To acquire very specific skills/occupational standards for a 50% 40% 30% 20% 60,0 56,0 58,0 To refresh/update my already existing skills/knowledge To acquire entirely new skills/knowledge to increase my job 10% 0% Male Female Total

21 Findings Migration potential is quite high Major reason for migration is economic hardship/unemployment Lower level of education shows less intention to migration due to the lack of knowledge about the migration possibilities/migration policies High level of education groups indicates about the possibility of education in migration Medium level of education groups mainly refer to labor migration Major part of the respondent who wish to migrate does not intend to get training However, more young women refer migration in order to study and work Males have less expectation to find jobs of their qualification than females The share of people expecting to be employed in the domestic sector is significant for Greece, Germany and turkey Russia is indicated by the respondents especially specialized in construction and retail trade Tbilisi shows less potential for migration than other urban and rural areas The absolute major of the population is not aware of the government schemes or companies to work abroad that questions their social security and economic status in case of migration