Ipsos Global Advisor November 2015: Immigration, refugees & security A look at Canada, Great Britain and the USA

Transcription

1 Ipsos Global Advisor November 2015: Immigration, refugees & security A look at Canada, Great Britain and the USA Ipsos.

2 ATTITUDES TOWARDS THE REGUGEE CRISIS Ipsos.

3 Should the borders be closed to all refugees? % saying strongly/tend to agree 33% 44% 48% TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? WE MUST CLOSE OUR BORDERS TO REFUGEES ENTIRELY WE CAN T ACCEPT ANY AT THIS TIME BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

4 Are there terrorists posing as refugees? % saying strongly/tend to agree 67% 81% 81% TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? THERE ARE TERRORISTS PRETENDING TO BE REFUGEES WHO WILL ENTER MY COUNTRY TO CAUSE VIOLENCE AND DESTRUCTION BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

5 Are most refugees really economic migrants? % saying strongly/tend to agree 42% 59% 52% TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? MOST FOREIGNERS WHO WANT TO GET INTO MY COUNTRY AS A REFUGEE REALLY AREN T REFUGEES. THEY JUST WANT TO COME HERE FOR ECONOMIC REASONS, OR TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OUR WELFARE SERVICES. BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

6 Do people have confidence in the security forces to identify potential terrorists? % saying strongly/tend to agree 48% -2 34% -6 39% -5 TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? I M CONFIDENT THAT MY COUNTRY S BORDER SECURITY FORCES CAN IDENTIFY ANY POTENTIAL TERRORISTS WHO PRETEND TO BE REFUGEES IN ORDER TO GET INTO GET INTO MY COUNTRY TO DO HARM BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

7 Should refugees be put through proper security screening regardless of their situation? % saying strongly/tend to agree 80% +2 86% +7 83% +3 TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? WE CAN'T COMPROMISE MY COUNTRY S SECURITY: INDIVIDUAL REFUGEES REGARDLESS OF HOW DIRE THEIR PERSONAL SITUATION IS MUST GO THROUGH A PROPER SECURITY SCREENING TO MAKE SURE THEY AREN'T TERRORISTS EVEN IF THIS SLOWS DOWN THEIR ADMISSION BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

8 But should we make an allowance for refugees in a humanitarian emergency? % saying strongly/tend to agree 28% % % -8 TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? WHEN A HUMANITARIAN EMERGENCY TAKES PLACE MY COUNTRY SHOULD ADMIT REFUGEES AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE EVEN IF THIS MEANS WE HAVE TO MODIFY OUR NORMAL SECURITY SCREENING PROCEDURES TO DO IT BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

9 Are some people using worries about terrorists to turn refugees away? % saying strongly/tend to agree 42% -3 39% -6 38% -6 TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? WHEN SOMEONE SAYS THEY ARE WORRIED ABOUT TERRORISTS PRETENDING TO BE REFUGEES IN ORDER TO GET INTO MY COUNTRY, THEY ARE MOSTLY USING THIS AS AN EXCUSE TO JUSTIFY NOT HELPING REFUGEES AS MUCH AS WE SHOULD BE. BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

10 Does my country have the room to take in as many refugees as we can? % saying strongly/tend to agree 40% -5 27% -8 35% -3 TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? MY COUNTRY HAS LOTS OF ROOM FOR REFUGEES AND SHOULD TAKE IN AS MANY AS WE CAN. BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

11 How confident are people around prospects for the future integration of refugees? % saying strongly/tend to agree 57% n/c 43% -4 52% -3 TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? I M CONFIDENT THAT MOST REFUGEES WHO COME TO MY COUNTRY WILL SUCCESSFULLY INTEGRATE INTO THEIR NEW SOCIETY. BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

12 How many people are prepared to take a refugee family into their home? % saying strongly/tend to agree 17% -5 15% -8 20% -7 TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? I AM PREPARED TO SPONSOR A REFUGEE FAMILY TO COME TO MY COUNTRY AND TAKE THEM INTO MY HOME AND HELP THEM GET SETTLED BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

13 PERCEPTIONS OF FUTURE THREATS HOW REAL ARE THEY? Ipsos.

14 How real is the threat of a terrorist attack? % saying very/somewhat real threat 75% 95% 91% HOW REAL DO YOU FEEL THE THREAT IS OF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING HAPPENING IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS A VERY REAL THREAT, A SOMEWHAT REAL THREAT, NOT MUCH OF A REAL THREAT OR NOT A REAL THREAT AT ALL? A TERRORIST ATTACK TAKING PLACE IN YOUR COUNTRY BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

15 How real is the threat of inter-minority conflict? % saying very/somewhat real threat 52% 69% 70% HOW REAL DO YOU FEEL THE THREAT IS OF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING HAPPENING IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS A VERY REAL THREAT, A SOMEWHAT REAL THREAT, NOT MUCH OF A REAL THREAT OR NOT A REAL THREAT AT ALL? A VIOLENT CONFLICT BREAKING OUT BETWEEN ETHNIC OR MINORITY GROUPS IN YOUR COUNTRY BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

16 How real is the threat of an international war? % saying very/somewhat real threat 66% 84% 89% HOW REAL DO YOU FEEL THE THREAT IS OF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING HAPPENING IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS A VERY REAL THREAT, A SOMEWHAT REAL THREAT, NOT MUCH OF A REAL THREAT OR NOT A REAL THREAT AT ALL? YOUR COUNTRY BEING INVOLVED IN AN ARMED CONFLICT WITH ANOTHER NATION BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

17 How real is the threat of a WMD attack? % saying very/somewhat real threat 64% 68% 75% HOW REAL DO YOU FEEL THE THREAT IS OF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING HAPPENING IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS A VERY REAL THREAT, A SOMEWHAT REAL THREAT, NOT MUCH OF A REAL THREAT OR NOT A REAL THREAT AT ALL? A NUCLEAR, BIOLOGICAL OR CHEMICAL ATTACK TAKING PLACE SOMEWHERE IN THE WORLD BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

18 How real is the threat of your personal or family s safety and security being violated? % saying very/somewhat real threat 45% 57% 61% HOW REAL DO YOU FEEL THE THREAT IS OF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING HAPPENING IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS A VERY REAL THREAT, A SOMEWHAT REAL THREAT, NOT MUCH OF A REAL THREAT OR NOT A REAL THREAT AT ALL? THE PERSONAL SAFETY AND SECURITY FOR YOU OR YOUR FAMILY MEMBERS BEING VIOLATED BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

19 HOW MUCH CONFIDENCE IN THE GOVERNMENT S PROTECTION WOULD THERE BE? Ipsos.

20 Confidence in the government s protection in the event of a terrorist attack % saying very/somewhat confident 62% -1 63% n/c 63% -2 AND, IF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING WERE TO HAPPEN IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS, HOW CONFIDENT ARE YOU THAT THE APPROPRIATE LEVELS OF SECURITY AND PROTECTION COULD BE PROVIDED BY YOUR GOVERNMENT OR ITS AGENCIES COULD RESPOND EFFECTIVELY TO? A TERRORIST ATTACK TAKING PLACE IN YOUR COUNTRY BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

21 Confidence in the government s protection in the event of inter-ethnic violence % saying very/somewhat confident 66% 60% 60% AND, IF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING WERE TO HAPPEN IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS, HOW CONFIDENT ARE YOU THAT THE APPROPRIATE LEVELS OF SECURITY AND PROTECTION COULD BE PROVIDED BY YOUR GOVERNMENT OR ITS AGENCIES COULD RESPOND EFFECTIVELY TO? A VIOLENT CONFLICT BREAKING OUT BETWEEN ETHNIC OR MINORITY GROUPS IN YOUR COUNTRY BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

22 Confidence in the government s protection in the event of international war % saying very/somewhat confident 65% +4 63% +6 70% n/c AND, IF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING WERE TO HAPPEN IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS, HOW CONFIDENT ARE YOU THAT THE APPROPRIATE LEVELS OF SECURITY AND PROTECTION COULD BE PROVIDED BY YOUR GOVERNMENT OR ITS AGENCIES COULD RESPOND EFFECTIVELY TO? YOUR COUNTRY BEING INVOLVED IN AN ARMED CONFLICT WITH ANOTHER NATION BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

23 Confidence in the government s protection in the event of a WMD attack % saying very/somewhat confident 51% +1 47% 53% n/c -2 AND, IF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING WERE TO HAPPEN IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS, HOW CONFIDENT ARE YOU THAT THE APPROPRIATE LEVELS OF SECURITY AND PROTECTION COULD BE PROVIDED BY YOUR GOVERNMENT OR ITS AGENCIES COULD RESPOND EFFECTIVELY TO? A NUCLEAR, BIOLOGICAL OR CHEMICAL ATTACK TAKING PLACE SOMEWHERE IN THE WORLD BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

24 Confidence in the government s protection in the event of violation of personal and/or family safety % saying very/somewhat confident 66% 61% 63% AND, IF ANY OF THE FOLLOWING WERE TO HAPPEN IN THE NEXT TWELVE MONTHS, HOW CONFIDENT ARE YOU THAT THE APPROPRIATE LEVELS OF SECURITY AND PROTECTION COULD BE PROVIDED BY YOUR GOVERNMENT OR ITS AGENCIES COULD RESPOND EFFECTIVELY TO? THE PERSONAL SAFETY AND SECURITY FOR YOU OR YOUR FAMILY MEMBERS BEING VIOLATED BASE: ADULTS AGED ,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA NOVEMBER Ipsos.

25 FOCUS ON BRITAIN Ipsos.

26 A third think immigration has had a positive impact on Britain similar to October % saying very/fairly positive 34% +3 WOULD YOU SAY THAT IMMIGRATION HAS GENERALLY HAD A POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE IMPACT ON BRITAIN? BASE: 1,007 BRITISH ADULTS AGED 16-75, NOVEMBER Ipsos.

27 Has immigration had a positive impact on Britain? TREND SINCE 2011 % saying very/fairly positive 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 19% 25% 34% 31% 26% 28% 15% 10% 5% WOULD YOU SAY THAT IMMIGRATION HAS GENERALLY HAD A POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE IMPACT ON BRITAIN? BASE: 1,007 BRITISH ADULTS AGED 16-75, NOVEMBER Ipsos. % 11/ / / / / /2015

28 British attitudes towards the refugee crisis remain largely similar to before the Paris attacks % saying strongly/tend to agree 54% 42% 33% 30% 28% 15% I have great sympathy for refugees attempting to come to Europe Germany has responded well to the crisis Refugees should not be counted towards the government s immigration targets The European Union s poor response to the refugee crisis shows that Britain needs to leave the EU Britain has responded well to the crisis The European Union has responded well to the crisis Oct 15: +3 n/c NOW THINKING ABOUT THE EUROPEAN REFUGEE CRISIS, HOW STRONGLY DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? BASE: 1,007 BRITISH ADULTS AGED 16-75, NOVEMBER Ipsos.

29 British attitudes towards the refugee crisis - TREND STRONGLY AGREE AGREE NEITHER AGREE NOR DISAGREE DISAGREE STRONGLY DISAGREE DON T KNOW I have great sympathy for refugees attempting to come to Europe Nov 15 Oct 15 18% 17% 36% 34% 21% 24% 11% 13% 12% 10% 2% 2% Germany has responded well to the crisis Nov 15 Oct 15 11% 12% 31% 30% 23% 24% 16% 15% 11% 12% 8% 7% Refugees should not be counted towards the government s immigration targets Nov 15 Oct 15 11% 10% 22% 21% 17% 19% 23% 19% 21% 24% 7% 7% The European Union s poor response to the refugee crisis shows that Britain needs to leave the EU Nov 15 Oct 15 15% 15% 15% 13% 28% 29% 19% 15% 17% 18% 6% 10% Britain has responded well to the crisis Nov 15 Oct 15 5% 5% 23% 20% 30% 31% 25% 24% 13% 16% 4% 5% The European Union has responded well to the crisis Nov 15 1% Oct 15 2% 14% 11% 26% 29% 31% 30% 20% 24% 5% 6% NOW THINKING ABOUT THE EUROPEAN REFUGEE CRISIS, HOW STRONGLY DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? Ipsos. BASE: 1,007 BRITISH ADULTS AGED 16-75, NOVEMBER 2015

30 Increases in support for the government to respond with increased UK patrols & checks and military intervention % saying strongly/tend to support Increase the UK s border patrols and checks 83% Oct Increase aid to refugees in UN Camps that are on the border of Syria 64% +4 Use military intervention in areas of conflict, for example Syria and Afghanistan Participate in search and rescue programmes in the Mediterranean Support refugees accepted into Britain by encouraging charities and community groups to provide them with housing and promote self-sufficiency Help other European countries who are taking refugees, such as Germany, Italy and Greece 49% 48% 46% 43% V1:Increase the number of refugees accepted into Britain from areas of conflict such as Syria and Afghanistan* 30% -5 V2: Increase the number of refugees accepted into Britain from Syria and Afghanistan by more than the 20,000 already agreed by the Government* 24% WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE CURRENT REFUGEE CRISIS IN EUROPE, TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU SUPPORT OR OPPOSE THE UK GOVERNMENT DOING EACH OF THE FOLLOWING TO HELP RESOLVE THE CRISIS? Ipsos. BASE: 1,007 BRITISH ADULTS AGED 16-75, NOVEMBER *V1 ASKED TO 504 BRITISH ADULTS 16-75, V2 ASKED TO

31 Levels of support for various courses of potential Government responses - TREND STRONGLY SUPPORT TEND TO SUPPORT Increase the UK s border patrols and checks Increase aid to refugees in UN Camps that are on the border of Syria Use military intervention in areas of conflict, for example Syria and Afghanistan Participate in search and rescue programmes in the Mediterranean Support refugees accepted into Britain by encouraging charities and community groups to provide them with housing and promote self-sufficiency Help other European countries who are taking refugees, such as Germany, Italy and Greece V1:Increase the number of refugees accepted into Britain from areas of conflict such as Syria and Afghanistan* V2: Increase the number of refugees accepted into Britain from Syria and Afghanistan by more than the 20,000 already agreed by the Government* NEITHER SUPPORT NOR OPPOSE TEND TO OPPOSE STRONGLY OPPOSE DON T KNOW Nov 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Oct 15 WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE CURRENT REFUGEE CRISIS IN EUROPE, TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU SUPPORT OR OPPOSE THE UK GOVERNMENT Ipsos. DOING EACH OF THE FOLLOWING TO HELP RESOLVE THE CRISIS? BASE: 1,007 BRITISH ADULTS AGED 16-75, NOVEMBER *V1 ASKED TO 504 BRITISH ADULTS 16-75, V2 ASKED TO % 13% 11% 12% 9% 10% 12% 9% 15% 14% 10% 23% 21% 21% 15% 40% 20% 18% 22% 27% 23% 54% 32% 33% 31% 33% 32% 16% 27% 19% 39% 21% 41% 26% 21% 31% 21% 32% 21% 24% 24% 19% 21% 25% 27% 20% 18% 29% 16% 21% 18% 12% 13% 15% 15% 15% 11% 34% 18% 11% 29% 8% 7% 15% 26% 23% 10% 10% 11% 18% 15% 15% 13% 3% 1% 2% 4% 3% 3% 9% 8% 11% 6% 8% 3% 5% 4% 6% 3% 5% 3% 5% 3% 3% 5% 5%

32 Most Britons now engaged in Syria s problems and majority think doing nothing in Syria is worse than military action % saying strongly/tend to agree Taking military action in Syria will encourage attacks on Britain and the West Doing nothing in Syria would be worse than taking military action Britain not taking action in Syria will damage our special relationship with the United States The problems of Syria are none of our business and we should not interfere September % +2 54% % -4 30% -28 TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? BASE: 1,007 BRITISH ADULTS AGED 16-75, NOVEMBER Ipsos.

33 APPENDIX A: FOCUS ON CANADA SUPPORT FOR ACCEPTING 25,000 REFUGEES SUPPORT FOR USE OF FIGHTER JETS AGAINST ISIS Ipsos.

34 I support the use of Canadian Forces Fighter Jets in the international coalition s airstrikes against ISIS targets in Iraq and Syria Total Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree 36% 32% 68% Mar % Gender Male Female 30% 42% 35% 29% 65% 72% 80% 69% % 35% 61% 69% Age % 33% 68% 74% % 30% 75% 79% BC 36% 33% 69% 81% AB 46% 35% 81% 83% Region SK/MB Ontario 43% 35% 32% 29% 71% 67% 74% 78% Quebec 31% 33% 64% 59% Atlantic 37% 32% 70% 81% Ipsos.

35 I believe the coalition of allies can win the war against ISIS Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree Mar 2015 Total 33% 40% 73% 73% Gender Male Female 38% 28% 43% 36% 74% 72% 75% 71% % 44% 76% 74% Age % 39% 69% 70% % 38% 75% 75 % BC 34% 36% 70% 78% AB 43% 35% 78% 76% Region SK/MB Ontario 34% 34% 39% 40% 73% 74% 78% 77% Quebec 26% 45% 71% 61% Atlantic 33% 37% 70% 71% Ipsos.

36 I support the use of Canadian Forces on the ground in a combat mission against ISIS in Iraq and Syria Total Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree 27% 35% 62% Mar % Gender Male Female 23% 32% 37% 32% 60% 64% 66% 63% % 39% 60% 67% Age % 31% 59% 64% % 36% 67% 63% BC 26% 35% 60% 69% AB 25% 41% 66% 69% Region SK/MB Ontario 24% 28% 34% 35% 58% 63% 66% 67% Quebec 27% 34% 61% 56% Atlantic 36% 29% 65% 64% Ipsos.

37 Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should stay committed to his campaign promise to remove Canadian CF-18 jets from the air-strike mission against ISIS targets in Iraq and Syria Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree Total 24% 28% 52% Gender Male Female 26% 22% 24% 31% 51% 53% % 35% 67% Age % 26% 50% % 23% 43% BC 25% 27% 52% AB 13% 31% 44% Region SK/MB Ontario 25% 28% 27% 29% 51% 57% Quebec 24% 25% 48% Atlantic 24% 30% 54% Ipsos.

38 Immediately accept up to 25,000 government-sponsored refugees in 2015 Total Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree 15% 24% 40% September % Gender Male Female 15% 16% 24% 25% 39% 40% 37% 41% % 31% 51% 50% Age % 22% 37% 34% % 22% 34% 35% BC 17% 22% 40% 44% AB 6% 25% 30% 43% Region SK/MB Ontario 13% 18% 21% 26% 34% 44% 39% 38% Quebec 14% 23% 38% 34% Atlantic 19% 23% 43% 45% Ipsos.

39 Technical note THESE ARE FINDINGS OF RESEARCH CONDUCTED BY THE GLOBAL RESEARCH COMPANY IPSOS. RESPONDENTS AGED WERE INTERVIEWED ONLINE VIA THE IPSOS ONLINE PANEL IN CANADA, GREAT BRITAIN AND THE USA. APPROXIMATELY INDIVIDUALS PARTICIPATED ON A COUNTRY BY COUNTRY BASIS Ipsos.

40 Contacts Kully Kaur-Ballagan Research Director, Ipsos Social Research Instititue Glenn Gottfried Research Manager, Ipsos Social Research Institute Mike Wheeler Senior Research Executive, Ipsos Social Research Institute Ipsos.

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