Latvia s Political Survey 2014 All waves (July - November) Summary Report

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1 Latvia s Political Survey 2014 All waves (July - November) Summary Report Ryo NAKAI, Dr. Assistant Professor, Rikkyo University, Japan nakai[at]rikkyo.ac.jp 7 Dec,

2 Technical Information Researcher Ryo NAKAI Polltaker Research centre SKDS (Director: Arnis KAKTIŅŠ) General body Residents of Latvia aged from 15 to 74 years old. Sample size 521 respondents Sampling method Stratified random sampling Stratification criteria Administrative territories Respondent selection principles Random route method first birthday rule. Research Method Face-to face interviews (PAPI), at the places of residence of respondents. Geographical coverage All Latvia s regions (over 120 sampling points) Date of Interview July 18, 2014 November 23, Questionnaires by waves Q0 [date] Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q Q7 Q8 Q Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q1 Q17 Q18 Q1 Q20 Q21 Q21 Q23 1 st wave July 2 nd wave August 3 rd wave September 4 th wave October 5 th wave November demographic parameters 2

3 Results Q1 - Q4 I will read to you several statements. Please tell me about each of them do you totally agree, rather agree, neither agree nor disagree, rather disagree or totally disagree with the following statement Q1 Large differences in people s incomes are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts N / % July August September October November All waves Totally agree % 14.71% 11.84% 13.11% 8.3% 12.07% Rather agree % 32.00% 31.3% 31.2% 28.12% 30.02% Neither agree nor disagree % 20.44% 17.38% 18.0% 25.43% 20.5% Rather disagree % 17.10% 21.2% 1.% 20.25%% 1.81% Totally disagree % % 10.7% % 12.2% % 12.2% % 12.8% % Total % % 521 Q2 Schools must teach children only in Latvian language N / % July August September October November All waves Totally agree % 24.2% 18.74% 24.41% 24.% 22.34% Rather agree % 15.5% 18.4% 18.33% 1.2% 18.2% Neither agree nor disagree % 15.5% 13.40% 13.58% 14.01% 14.58% Rather disagree % 1.2% 23.50% 1.28% 1.58% 1.7% Totally disagree % % 21.30% % 23.% % 22.8% % 21.02% % Total % % 521 Q3 Social benefit, service, and unemployment insurance make people lazy N / % July August September October November All waves Totally agree % 15.38% 1.% 11.78% 13.72% 14.77% Rather agree % 21.78% 22.43% 20.80% 22.4% 21.0% Neither agree nor disagree % 21.78% 1.32% 23.3% 21.5% 21.2% Rather disagree % 21.5% 22.23% 23.27% 20.54% 21.% Totally disagree % % 15.% % 15.24% 3 3.7% 1.05% % 17.37% % Total % % 521 3

4 Q4 The Russian state is a threat to the peace and security of Latvia N / % July August September October November All waves Totally agree % 18.43% 1.42% 14.72% 1.8% 1.5% Rather agree % 18.72% 18.45% 18.42% 21.% 1.45% Neither agree nor disagree % 1.2% 13.50% 15.8% 1.12% 15.8% Rather disagree % 1.14% 17.18% 1.2% 15.1% 15.8% Totally disagree % 7 7.2% 24.1% 2 5.2% 2.31% % 27.4% 71.74% 24.7% % Total % 318.0% 521 Q5 Which of these terms best describes how you usually think of yourself? N / % July August September October November All waves Own city, locality inhabitants Own regions inhabitants (ex. Kurzeme, Latgale etc.) Latvian Russian Baltic Russian, or Russian Latvian Ukrainian Do not know No Answer 2.1% % % % % 8 0.7% % % 32.57% 0 8.0% %.17% 72.88% 0.57% % % 31.17% % % 4.13% % 0.58% % % 31.2% % % 102.% % 0.57% % % 2.5% % % % 2 5.5% % % % Total % % % % % % % % 521 Q How proud are you to be Latvia inhabitant? N / % July August September October November All waves Very proud % 25.02% 27.18% 25.74% 28.50% 25.81% Quite proud % 40.31% 43.7% 42.17% 42.80% 42.00% Not very proud % 20.0% 17.38% 1.4% 18.23% 1.14% Not at all proud % 7.4% 5.53% 5.8%.05%.5% No Answer %.7%.12%.17% 4.41%.4% Total

5 Q7 On an average weekday, how much time in total, do you spend reading newspapers? August September October All Waves No time at all % 42.23% 4.15% 44.12% Less than 1/2 hours % 32.1% 31.72% 31.7% 1/2 hours to 1 hour % 1.% 14.1% 1.07% More than 1 hour up to 2 hours % 4.37% 3.% 4.54% More than 2 hours up to 3 hours % 0.8% 0.57% 0.1% More than 3 hours % % 0.1% % 0.1% % Total % % 3130 Q8 On an average weekday, how much time in total, do you spend reading social networking service? August September October All Waves No time at all % 28.3% 31.1% 31.31% Less than 1/2 hours % 18.83% 17.28% 17.48% 1/2 hours to 1 hour % 24.5% 24.7% 22.5% More than 1 hour up to 2 hours % 13.50% 13.3% 14.22% More than 2 hours up to 3 hours %.70% 5.8%.20% More than 3 hours % 8.4% 4.7% % 3.80% % Total % % 3130 Q Which newspaper do you read most frequently? August September October All Waves Diena %.0% 4.4%.13% Latvijas Avīze % 4.% 4.5% 4.5% Neatkarīga Rīta Avīze % 2.14% 2.% 2.14% Vesti Segodnya (Вести сегодня) %.1% 8.07% 8.7% Dienas Bizness % 0.58% 0.85% 0.7% Bizness&Baltija (Бизнес&Балтия) % 0.2% 0.28% 0.54% Other % 30.7% 30.8% 30.00% I do not read newspapers at all % % 41.5% % 45.30% % Total % %

6 Q10 Which SNS do you use most frequently? August September October All Waves Facebook % 18.0% 18.0% 18.72% Draugiem % 2.0% 25.55% 2.33% Odnoklassniki (Одноклассники) % 8.54% 8.4% 8.47% VKontakte (ВКонтакте) % 1.3% 1.42% 1.53% Twitter % 2.82% 2.75% 2.81% LinkedIn % 0.1% 0.28% 0.22% Other SNSs % 8.35% 7.0%.0% I do not watch the SNS % 2.1% 32.10% 31.82% % 4.47% 2.75% 3.1% Total Show card Q11/12 Q11. What do you think are the two most important problem facing Latvia today? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS POSSIBLE) August September October All Waves Crime and Terrorism % 2.51% 2.31% 2.51% Public transport % 0.40% 1.03% 0.75% Rising prices % 1.30% 14.0% 15.50% Taxation % 12.74% 14.21% 13.4% Unemployment % 21.5% 21.2% 21.1% National Security and Foreign Affairs % 8.27% 5.4% 7.14% Energy % 2.31% 2.5% 2.2% Immigration %.22% 7.42%.8% Health care % 15.0% 15.8% 15.5% Pensions %.77%.%.3% Education % 2.8% 3.74% 3.01% Language % 2.41% 1.7% 2.11% Others % % 1.40% % 1.72% % Total % % 020

7 Q12. What do you think are the two most important issues to you today? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS POSSIBLE) August September October All Waves Crime and Terrorism % 1.10% 0.58% 0.3% Public transport % 0.5% 1.17% 1.12% Rising prices % 21.3% 1.22% 20.80% Taxation % 10.52% 22.14% 15.14% Unemployment % 10.21% 11.14% 11.37% National Security and Foreign Affairs % 4.21% 2.25% 3.21% Energy % 1.53% 1.80% 1.% Immigration % 1.58% 1.75% 1.5% Health care % 20.2% 17.24% 18.5% Pensions % 11.84% 10.% 11.12% Education % 7.47% 5.3%.31% Language % 2.5% 2.38% 2.48% Others % % 4.1% % 3.14% % Total % % 052 Q13 How interested would you say you are in politics? August September October All Waves Very interested % % % % Quite interested % % % % Hardly interested % % % % Not at all interested % Don t know / No Answer % 18.35% % 21.08% 7 0.% Total % %

8 Show card P2A Q14 (P2A in original questionnaire) If LR Saeima election will be held tomorrow, for which political party or alliance will you vote? August September October November All Waves Harmony Socialdemocratic Party 15.85% 1.80% 17.57% 1.87% 17.52% Party Unity National Alliance All for Latvia! For Fatherland and Freedom/LNNK Green and Farmers Union Russian Union of Latvia For Latvia from the Heart Party Union for Latvia For Latvia s Development Regional Alliance of Latvia New Conservative Party Other Don t know / No Answer Don t participate in elections % % % 0.8% % 0.8% % 0.8% 2 0.1% 7 0.7% % % 12.1% % 4.13% 0.87% % 0.87% % % 4 0.3% % % % 11.40% % % % % 0.57% 0.57% % 0.57% 1 0.0% 4 8.3% %.% % % 0.8% % % % % 3 0.2% % % % Total % % % % % % % % % 1 0.4% % % 4172 (One-shot questions for August omnibus [2 nd wave]) Q15 Q1 Please tell me on a score of 0-10 how much you personally trust each of the institutions. 0 means you do not trust an institution at all, and 10 means you have complete trust: Q15 United Nations 0 Not trust at all % % % % % % % % % % 10 Complete trust % No Answer % Total

9 Q1 European Parliament 0 Not trust at all.17% % % % % %.4% 7 7.2% 8.30% % 10 Complete trust 31 2.% No Answer 8.3% Total 1047 Q17 Saeima (Latvia s national parliament) 0 Not trust at all % 1 8.4% % % % % % % % % 10 Complete trust % No Answer 7 7.2% Total 1047 Q18 City / local parliament 0 Not trust at all % % % % 4.17% % % % 8 7.2% % 10 Complete trust % No Answer % Total 1047

10 Q1 Noncitizen Congress 0 Not trust at all % % % % % % % % % % 10 Complete trust % No Answer % Total 1047 (One-shot questions for September omnibus [3 rd wave]) Q20 Who do you think is mostly to blame for the escalation of conflict in Ukraine? The government of Russian Federation % The government of Ukraine % Pro-Russian activists in Ukraine 4.13% Ukrainian hardline nationalist % The European Union % NATO % Western European countries (e.g. Germany, France, etc.) 5 0.4% The United States % Others % I do not want to answer this question % Don t know % Total 1030 Q21 Who do you think is mostly to blame for the origin of conflict in Ukraine? The government of Russian Federation % The government of Ukraine % Pro-Russian activists in Ukraine 2 8.3% Ukrainian hardline nationalist % The European Union % NATO % Western European countries (e.g. Germany, France, etc.) 5 0.4% The United States % Others % I do not want to answer this question % Don t know % Total

11 (One-shot questions for October omnibus [4 th wave]) Q22 Saeima s election was held in 4th October. What was the most important information source for you when you update information on politics. (MAX. 2 ANSWERS POSSIBLE) Television or radio programs % Newspaper or journal articles % Internet or SNS articles % Political advertisements on televisions or radios % Political advertisements on newspapers or journals % Political advertisements on internet site or SNS % Conversations with members of family, relatives, or % friends Conversations with colleagues, managers, or clients in 4 3.0% workplace. Conversations with neighbors % Other sources % No Answer % Total 140 Q23 If you voted, supported, or sympathized to a specific political party on recent Saeimas election, please tell me the main reasons why you chose exactly this party? (MAX. 2 ANSWERS POSSIBLE) They represent my economic interests (for example, tax, % employment, pension, etc) They represent interests of my ethnic group (for % example, Latvians, Russian, etc.) They represent our regional interests (for example, % Vidzeme, Kurzeme, Zemgale, Latgale, Rīga) They are trustable % They are not dirty * 4.71% They are new political force % They have good politicians % They have good Prime Minister candidate 8 4.4% My family, friend, or colleague asked me to do so % Other reason 58 3.% I did not vote, support, or sympathize any political % parties. No Answer % Total 14 * sasmērējušies in Latvian 11

12 Sociodemographic parameters (all waves) D1 Gender Male % Female % Total 521 (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Male 47.7%, Female 52.3%) D2 Age (shortened) % % % % % Total 521 (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / 15-24: 14.8%, 25-34: 1.%, 35-44: 18.1%, 45-54: 18.5%, 55-74: 28.8%) D2A Marital status Married / Live with partner % Divorced / Separated % Unmarried % Widowed % Total 521 D3 Number of household members % % % % % % % % % % % Total

13 D3A Children aged under 18 Yes % No % DK/NA 0.17% Total 521 D4 Education No education % Primary / Secondary uncompleted % Secondary % Professional or vocational secondary % Tertiary education % Total 521 D5 Nationality (lv: Tautība) Latvian % Russian % Others % Total 521 (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Latvian: 58.7%, Non-Latvian: 41.3%) D5A Language spoken in family Latvian % Russian % Other % Total 521 D Citizenship of the Republic of Latvia (lv:pilsonība) Have % Don t have % Total 521 D7 Sector of work Public sector (national and regional) % Private sector % Don t work % Other % DK/NA % Total

14 D8 Occupation Manager, senior or middle level % Specialist or clerk, for non-physical work % Laborer, for physical work % Farmer (with own farm) % Self-employed % Pensioner % Student % House-worker / parental leave % Unemployed % Total 521 D Average monthly income level per one family member (Euro, shortened) Under 150 euro % euro % euro % euro % euro 35.88% over 430 euro % DK % Total 521 D10 Region (electoral district) Riga % Vidzeme % Kurzeme % Zemgale % Latgale % Total 521 D10A Region (statistical district) Riga % Pieriga % Vidzeme % Kurzeme % Zemgale % Latgale % Total 521 (Ministry of Interior, registered population [Feb. 2014] / Riga: 32.1%, Pieriga: 17.8%, Vidzeme: 10.1%, Kurzeme: 13.0%, Zemgale: 12.2%, Latgale: 14.7%) 14

Latvia s Political Survey th wave (October)

Latvia s Political Survey th wave (October) Latvia s Political Survey 2014 4 th wave (October) Summary Report Ryo NAKAI, Dr. Assistant Professor, Rikkyo University, Japan nakai[at]rikkyo.ac.jp Nov 16, 2014 (Dec 7, 2014) 1 Technical Information Researcher