Table A.1: Experiment Sample Distribution and National Demographic Benchmarks Latino Decisions Sample, Study 1 (%)

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1 Online Appendix Table A.1: Experiment Sample Distribution and National Demographic Benchmarks Latino Decisions Sample, Study 1 (%) YouGov Sample, Study 2 (%) American Community Survey 2014 (%) Gender Female Male Median Age Immigrant Generation First Generation Second Generation Third Generation Educational Attainment Less than a high school diploma High school diploma or equivalent Some College Bachelor's degree or more Household Income (ACS categories in parentheses) under $16,999 (ACS: under $14,999) $17,000-$34,999 (ACS: $15,000-$34,999) $35,000-$69,000 (ACS: $35,000-$74,999) $70,000-$119,000 (ACS: $75, $99,000) $120,000 or more (ACS: $100,000 or more) National Group Origins Mexican Puerto Rican Cuban Other Partisanship (with leaners being probed) Democrats Independents Republicans Notes: With the exception of age being reported as a median, the figures above are based on percentages. The first sample demographics are from Study 1 with 1,015 Latino adult respondents gathered through Latino Decisions, whereas the second sample demographics are from Study 2 and were gathered through YouGov. The final column includes figures from the American Community Survey 2014, though the national partisanship figures are based on a 1

2 recent USA Today/Gallup (from April 16-May 31, 2016), and they are not excluded to those who are registered to vote. 2

3 Table A.2: OLS Models, Emotion Manipulation Check of Threat (Fear) and Opportunity (Hope) Model 1 Model 2 Hope Fear Threat Condition ** (0.032) (0.034) Opportunity Condition (0.033) (0.035) Coupled Condition (0.032) (0.034) Highest Educ. Degree (7-cat., 0-1) (0.040) (0.043) Household Income level (5-cat., 0-1) (0.045) (0.048) Age (0.058) (0.061) Immigrant Generation (3-cat., 0-1)(1= 1 st generation) Partisanship (7-cat.)(1= Strong Republicans) (0.030) (0.032) (0.040) (0.042) Gender (0.024) (0.026) Cognitive Threat (6 cat.) ** (0.039) (0.041) Constant 0.639*** 0.514*** (0.053) (0.057) Observations 1,001 1,001 R-squared

4 Table A.3: Study 1, OLS Models Estimating Cognitive Perceptions of Threat (1) and Opportunity (0) by Treatments Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Cognitive Threat Manipulation Check, 7 cat. (Base = Control) Cognitive Threat Manipulation Check, 6 cat. (Base = Control) Cognitive Threat Manipulation Check, 6 cat. (Base = Threat) Threat Condition 0.092*** 0.119*** - (0.026) (0.032) - Opportunity Condition *** *** *** (0.026) (0.032) (0.032) Coupled Condition *** (0.026) (0.032) (0.032) Control Condition *** - - (0.032) Constant 0.555*** 0.564*** 0.683*** (0.018) (0.023) (0.022) Observations 1, R-squared

5 Figure A.1: Study 1, Predicted Probabilities of the Perception that Policy Proposal Will Make Lives of Unauthorized Immigrants Easier or Harder by Treatments Predicted Probabilities of Cognitive Perception Manipulation Check (6 cat.) *** 0.348*** Control Threat Opportunity Coupled Notes: Predicted probabilities are derived from OLS regression estimates from Model 2 of Appendix Table B-1 (n=1,001). Predicted Probabilities based on the 6-category measure of the cognitive perception of threat and opportunity, ranging from 0 to 1, with 1 meaning current proposals will make life a great harder for undocumented immigrants and 0 meaning currents proposals will make life a great deal easier for undocumented immigrants. Relative to the nonpolitical control condition, all probabilities are based on the following p-values using a twotailed test: *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p< Signifies the predicted probabilities that are statistically distinguishable from the threat condition at the p<.01 level (Model 3). 5

6 Table A.4: Study 1, OLS Regressions, Main Effects of Treatments Estimating Non- Electoral Forms of Political Participation with Added Demographic Controls Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Join a March (Baseline = Control) Talk About Politics (Baseline = Control) Volunteer for Organization (Baseline = Control) Participation Scale (Baseline = Control) Threat Condition (0.028) (0.029) (0.028) (0.024) Opportunity Condition (0.028) (0.029) (0.028) (0.024) Coupled Condition 0.051* 0.069** ** (0.028) (0.029) (0.028) (0.024) Gender * (0.021) (0.022) (0.021) (0.018) Highest Educ. Degree (7-cat., 0-1) (0.036) 0.089** (0.036) 0.072** (0.035) 0.062** (0.031) Household Income level (5-cat., 0-1) (0.040) (0.041) (0.039) (0.035) Age *** *** *** *** (0.051) (0.052) (0.050) (0.044) Immigrant Generation (3-cat., 0-1)(1=1 st gen) *** (0.026) *** (0.027) *** (0.026) *** (0.023) Partisanship (7-cat.) (1=Strong Republicans) 0.164*** (0.035) 0.177*** (0.036) 0.150*** (0.034) 0.164*** (0.030) Constant 0.380*** 0.423*** 0.420*** 0.408*** (0.043) (0.044) (0.042) (0.037) Observations 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 R-squared

7 Table A.5: Study 1, OLS Regressions, Main Effects of Treatments Estimating Intent to Vote with Added Demographic Controls Model 1 Intent to Vote (Baseline = Control) Threat Condition (0.024) Opportunity Condition * (0.024) Coupled Condition (0.024) Gender (0.018) Highest Educ. Degree 0.113*** (7-cat., 0-1) (0.031) Household Income level (5-cat., 0-1) (0.034) Age 0.208*** (0.042) Immigrant Generation 0.047** (3-cat., 0-1)(1= 1 st gen) (0.023) Partisanship (7-cat.) 0.113*** (1=Strong Republicans) (0.028) Constant 0.647*** (0.038) Observations 789 R-squared

8 Table A.6: Study 1, Logit Models, Main Effects of Treatments Estimating Sent Postcard with Added Demographic Controls Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Postcard Sent (Baseline = Control) Postcard Sent (Baseline = Threat) Postcard Sent (Baseline = Opportunity) Threat Condition (0.187) - (0.187) Opportunity Condition (0.186) (0.187) - Coupled Condition 0.483** 0.459** 0.469** (0.194) (0.194) (0.193) Control Condition (0.143) (0.143) (0.143) Gender (0.240) (0.240) (0.240) Highest Educ. Degree (7-cat., 0-1) (0.269) (0.269) (0.269) Household Income level (5-cat., 0-1) (0.341) (0.341) (0.341) Age *** *** *** (0.178) (0.178) (0.178) Immigrant Generation (3-cat., 0-1)(1= 1 st generation) (0.235) (0.235) (0.235) Partisanship (7-cat.) (1=Strong Republicans) (0.187) (0.186) Constant 0.660** 0.684** 0.674** (0.289) (0.291) (0.280) Observations 1,001 1,001 1,001 8

9 Table A.7: Study 2, Complete Results Main Effects of Treatments Estimating Non- Electoral Forms of Political Participation with Full Sample Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 March Volunteer Talk Donate Boycott Participation Scale (OLS) Sent Postcard Fear Condition ** (0.27) (0.27) (0.27) (0.26) (0.27) (0.24) (0.34) Hope Condition (0.28) (0.27) (0.28) (0.27) (0.29) (0.25) (0.32) Fear and Hope Condition (0.27) (0.26) (0.27) (0.26) (0.27) (0.24) (0.31) Pride and Hope Condition ** (0.28) (0.28) (0.29) (0.27) (0.28) (0.26) (0.32) Hope and Fear Condition (0.28) (0.27) (0.28) (0.27) (0.28) (0.25) (0.30) Fear and Pride Condition (0.28) (0.27) (0.28) (0.27) (0.28) (0.25) (0.31) Gender *** * *** (0.16) (0.16) (0.16) (0.15) (0.16) (0.14) (0.19) Immigrant Generation -0.16** -0.34*** -0.21*** *** (0.08) (0.08) (0.08) (0.07) (0.08) (0.07) (0.09) Highest Educ. Degree (7- cat., 0-1) 0.90*** 0.74*** 0.81*** 0.59** 0.63** 0.78*** 0.63* (0.29) (0.29) (0.30) (0.28) (0.29) (0.26) (0.35) Household Income level (5-cat., 0-1) ** (0.29) (0.28) (0.29) (0.28) (0.29) (0.26) (0.35) Age -0.02*** -0.02*** -0.02*** -0.01* -0.02*** -0.02*** (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) Mexican (0.43) (0.43) (0.42) (0.40) (0.42) (0.37) (0.47) Puerto Rican (0.46) (0.46) (0.44) (0.42) (0.45) (0.39) (0.49) Cuban (0.48) (0.46) (0.45) (0.44) (0.46) (0.40) (0.50) Other Latino (0.43) (0.42) (0.41) (0.39) (0.42) (0.37) (0.46) Party ID (Baseline =Strong, Mod, Lean Republicans) Independents 1.12*** ** 0.86*** 0.86*** 0.65*** -0.44* (0.27) (0.24) (0.22) (0.25) (0.26) (0.21) (0.26) Democrats (Strong/Mod/Lean) 1.76*** 1.08*** 1.36*** 1.46*** 1.57*** 1.49*** 0.66*** (0.25) (0.22) (0.21) (0.22) (0.24) (0.18) (0.25) 9

10 Constant * 1.25** *** 1.26* (0.62) (0.60) (0.60) (0.58) (0.62) (0.53) (0.69) Observations R-squared

11 Table A.8: Study 2, Full Results for Main Effects of Treatments Estimating Non-Electoral Forms of Political Participation Among Democrats Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 March Volunteer Talk Donate Boycott Participation Scale (OLS) Sent Postcard Fear Condition * (0.37) (0.38) (0.42) (0.37) (0.37) (0.35) (0.81) Hope Condition (0.37) (0.37) (0.40) (0.36) (0.37) (0.35) (0.53) Fear and Hope Condition * 0.88** * (0.37) (0.38) (0.44) (0.36) (0.37) (0.35) (0.51) Pride and Hope Condition (0.38) (0.39) (0.44) (0.38) (0.39) (0.37) (0.54) Hope and Fear Condition (0.37) (0.38) (0.42) (0.37) (0.38) (0.36) (0.53) Fear and Pride Condition (0.37) (0.38) (0.40) (0.37) (0.38) (0.36) (0.52) Gender (0.22) (0.22) (0.25) (0.21) (0.22) (0.21) (0.33) Immigrant Generation *** * 0.16 (0.10) (0.11) (0.12) (0.10) (0.11) (0.10) (0.15) Highest Educ. Degree (7- cat., 0-1) 1.02*** 1.01** 1.09** 0.93** 0.88** 1.08*** 1.36** (0.38) (0.39) (0.44) (0.38) (0.38) (0.36) (0.58) Household Income level (5-cat., 0-1) * (0.39) (0.40) (0.45) (0.38) (0.39) (0.37) (0.59) Age -0.02*** -0.03*** ** -0.02*** (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Mexican * (0.67) (0.68) (0.69) (0.64) (0.65) (0.64) (0.73) Puerto Rican -1.29* -1.31* * -1.47* (0.71) (0.72) (0.73) (0.69) (0.70) (0.68) (0.82) Cuban -1.18* -1.44** -1.59** * -1.94** (0.71) (0.72) (0.74) (0.69) (0.70) (0.68) (0.78) Other Latino * * (0.66) (0.67) (0.68) (0.63) (0.65) (0.63) (0.71) Constant 1.53* 2.46*** 2.11** *** 2.48** (0.83) (0.85) (0.90) (0.81) (0.82) (0.79) (1.04) Observations R-squared

12 Table A.9: Study 2, Full Results for Main Effects of Treatments Estimating Non-Electoral Forms of Political Participation Among Republicans Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 March Volunteer Talk Donate Boycott Participati on Scale (OLS) Sent Postcard Fear Condition (0.89) (0.62) (0.57) (0.67) (0.83) (0.44) (0.69) Hope Condition * ** (0.93) (0.74) (0.63) (0.66) (0.94) (0.48) (0.91) Fear and Hope Condition ** -1.55** (0.80) (0.67) (0.62) (0.77) (0.80) (0.45) (0.71) Pride and Hope Condition * (0.99) (0.80) (0.63) (0.89) (0.87) (0.49) (0.70) Hope and Fear Condition (1.31) (1.18) (0.83) (1.17) (1.29) (0.59) (0.82) Fear and Pride Condition (0.81) (0.62) (0.59) (0.64) (0.82) (0.46) (0.65) Gender -0.91* (0.55) (0.42) (0.37) (0.44) (0.49) (0.28) (0.44) Immigrant Generation ** -0.51** * 0.09 (0.29) (0.23) (0.20) (0.24) (0.25) (0.15) (0.24) Highest Educ. Degree (7- cat., 0-1) 1.72* (0.98) (0.73) (0.64) (0.79) (0.84) (0.49) (0.80) Household Income level (5-cat., 0-1) -2.11** (1.04) (0.79) (0.69) (0.85) (0.89) (0.53) (0.84) Age -0.03** -0.03** -0.03** -0.03** -0.03* -0.02*** 0.01 (0.02) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Mexican (1,782.09) (968.16) (1.10) (1.42) (1,583.91) (0.85) (1.20) Puerto Rican * (1,782.09) (968.16) (1.10) (1.40) (1,583.91) (0.86) (1.23) Cuban (1,782.09) (968.16) (1.01) (1.27) (1,583.91) (0.79) (1.06) Other Latino (1,782.09) (968.16) (1.07) (1.38) (1,583.91) (0.83) (1.18) Constant ** *** 1.29 (1,782.09) (968.16) (1.42) (1.71) (1,583.91) (1.07) (1.53) Observations R-squared

13 Table A.10: Study 2, Full Results for Main Effects of Treatments Estimating Non-Electoral Forms of Political Participation Among Independents Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 March Volunteer Talk Donate Boycott Participation Scale (OLS) Sent Postcard Fear Condition * (0.48) (0.48) (0.49) (0.51) (0.49) (0.47) (0.52) Hope Condition ** (0.55) (0.57) (0.53) (0.53) (0.56) (0.51) (0.55) Fear and Hope Condition * (0.48) (0.48) (0.47) (0.47) (0.50) (0.46) (0.52) Pride and Hope Condition (0.50) (0.50) (0.54) (0.49) (0.51) (0.51) (0.55) Hope and Fear Condition (0.47) (0.45) (0.46) (0.46) (0.47) (0.45) (0.48) Fear and Pride Condition (0.49) (0.50) (0.50) (0.49) (0.52) (0.49) (0.53) Gender *** *** (0.29) (0.29) (0.29) (0.29) (0.29) (0.28) (0.33) Immigrant Generation * (0.13) (0.13) (0.13) (0.13) (0.14) (0.13) (0.14) Highest Educ. Degree (7- cat., 0-1) * (0.59) (0.59) (0.59) (0.58) (0.60) (0.57) (0.63) Household Income level (5-cat., 0-1) ** (0.52) (0.52) (0.51) (0.52) (0.52) (0.50) (0.58) Age -0.02* ** (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Mexican (0.61) (0.62) (0.63) (0.64) (0.60) (0.59) (1.00) Puerto Rican * (0.65) (0.66) (0.68) (0.67) (0.64) (0.63) (1.09) Cuban (0.77) (0.75) (0.76) (0.78) (0.75) (0.73) (1.06) Other Latino (0.60) (0.60) (0.61) (0.62) (0.59) (0.58) (0.97) Constant ** *** 0.47 (0.92) (0.92) (0.93) (0.93) (0.93) (0.89) (1.21) Observations R-squared

14 Table A.11.1: Study 1, Cell Distribution by Experimental Condition (after dropping 14 outliers based on survey length) Control Threat Opportunity Coupled n Table A.11.2: Study 2, Cell Distribution by Experimental Condition (after dropping outliers based on word count) Control Fear Hope Coupled Fear and Hope Coupled Hope and Fear Coupled Fear and Pride Coupled Pride and Hope n

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