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1 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC (main) (fax)

2 A Fact Tank The Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan organization that provides information on the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world Public opinion polling Social science research Media content analysis We strive to be rigorous, timely and relevant. We do not take positions on policy issues.

3 Migration of Mexicans Into and Out of Mexico (thousands) 1, Out of Mexico Into Mexico Source: Mexican National Survey of Occupation and Employment,

4 Migration of Mexicans Into and Out of the U.S. (thousands) New Arrivals Emigration Source: U.S. Current Population Survey,

5 U.S. Border Patrol Apprehensions of Mexicans (thousands) 1,523 1,637 1,169 New Arrivals 1, ,000 Emigration '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 Source: Department of Homeland Security, 2009

6 Mexican-Born Population in the U.S.: (thousands) 12,671 9,752 4,500 2, Source: Gibson, Cambell and Kay Jung, "Historical Census Statistics on the Foreign-Born Population of the United States: ," U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, Working Paper No. 81, 2006; Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from augmented March Current Population Surveys adjusted for undercount

7 A Portrait of the Unauthorized Population in the U.S., 2008

8

9 Growth and Dispersion of Unauthorized Immigrants, (millions) All other states California Source: Pew Hispanic Center,

10 States with Largest Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, 2008 (population in thousands) Estimated Population Range U.S. Total 11,900 (11,400-12,400) California 2,700 (2,500-2,850) Texas 1,450 (1,300-1,550) Florida 1,050 (950-1,150) New York 925 (800-1,050) New Jersey 550 ( ) Arizona 500 ( ) Georgia 475 ( ) Illinois 450 ( ) North Carolina 350 ( ) Virginia 300 ( ) Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2009

11 Nearly Half of Unauthorized-Immigrant Households Are Couples with Children (% of households that are couples with children for each status group) U.S. born 21% Legal immigrants 35% Unauthorized immigrants 47% Note: Couples may be married or cohabiting Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations, 2009

12 U.S. Population Projections:

13 U.S. Population, Actual and Projected Under Alternative Scenarios: (in millions) Actual Higher Immigration Alternative Main Projection Lower Immigration Alternative Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

14 Foreign-Born Share of U.S. Population, Actual and Projected: (% of total) 14.8% 19% 12% 9.7% 4.7% Note: Projections for indicated by broken line. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008; Gibson and Jung (2006)

15 U.S. Total Fertility Rate, Source: Pew Hispanic Center calculations of data from the National Center for Health Statistics

16 Total Fertility Rates, 2009 India World Mexico United States France China Australia United Kingdom Canada Russia Germany Italy Japan Source: CIA World Factbook, 2009

17 Population by Race and Ethnicity, Actual and Projected:1960, 2005 and 2050 (% of total) 85% 67% 47% 29% 14% 3.5% 11% 13% 13% 0.6% 5% 9% White* Hispanic Black* Asian* Note: * indicates race includes only non-hispanics. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Projections for 2050 indicated by light brown bars. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

18 Elderly Share of U.S. Population, Actual and Projected: (% of total) 8.9% 12% 19% Note: Elderly are ages 65 and older. Projections for indicated by broken line. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

19 Total Dependency Ratio, Actual and Projected: (children and elderly per 100 persons of working age) Note: Children are ages 17 or younger. Working ages are 18 to 64. Elderly are ages 65 and older. Projections for indicated by broken line. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

20 Working-Age Population by Race and Ethnicity, Actual and Projected: 1960, 2005 and 2050 (% share of population ages 18 to 64) 87% 68% 45% 31% 2.9% 14% 12% 14% 10% 0.6% 5% 10% White* Hispanic Black* Asian* Note: * indicates race includes only non-hispanics. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Projections for 2050 indicated by light brown bars. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

21 Child Population by Race and Ethnicity, Actual and Projected: 1960, 2005 and 2050 (% share of population 17 and younger) 81% 59% 40% 35% 5.2% 20% 12% 16% 14% 0.7% 5% 10% White* Hispanic Black* Asian* Note: * indicates race includes only non-hispanics. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Projections for 2050 indicated by light brown bars. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

22 Elderly Population by Race and Ethnicity, Actual and Projected: 1960, 2005 and 2050 (% share of population ages 65 years and older) 91% 82% 63% 1.0% 6% 17% 7% 8% 12% 0.3% 3% 8% White* Hispanic Black* Asian* Note: * indicates race includes only non-hispanics. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Projections for 2050 indicated by light brown bars. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

23 Dependency Ratios Total, Child and Elderly Actual and Projected: (children and elderly per 100 persons of working age) Total Child Elderly Note: Children are ages 17 or younger. Working ages are 18 to 64. Elderly are ages 65 and older. Projections for indicated by broken line. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

24 Dependency Ratio, Actual and Projected Under Alternative Scenarios: (children and elderly per 100 persons of working age) Actual Higher-immigration Alternative Main Projection Lower-immigration Alternative Note: Children are ages 17 and younger. Working-ages are 18 to 64. Elderly are ages 65 and older. Source: Pew Research Center, 2008

25 The Changing Face of Suburban Schools

26 Distribution of School Enrollment in Suburban School Districts, by Race and Ethnicity, and (share of suburban enrollment, %) Whit e Black Hispanic Asian Note: Enrollment distributions do not include Idaho. Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of U.S. Department of Education, Common Core of Data (CCD), Public Elementary/Secondary School Universe Surveys

27 Isolation Measure of Typical Student Nationally, by Race and Ethnicity, and (own race share of enrollment at schools nationally, %) Whit e Black Hispanic Asian Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of U.S. Department of Education, Common Core of Data (CCD), Public Elementary/Secondary School Universe Surveys

28 The 2008 Election: Most Diverse Electorate Ever

29 Demographic Composition of Voters, by Race and Ethnicity, 1988 to 2008 (% of voters) Whit e Black Hispanic Asian Note: Whites include only non-hispanic whites. Blacks include only non-hispanic blacks. Asians include only non- Hispanic Asians. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Asian share not available prior to Source: Pew Research Center tabulations from the Current Population Survey, November Supplements data

30 Change in Voter Turnout Rates Among Eligible Voters, 2008 and 2004 (%) Change (% points) All White Black Hispanic Asian Note: Whites include only non-hispanic whites. Blacks include only non-hispanic blacks. Asians include only non- Hispanic Asians. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Asian share not available prior to Source: Pew Research Center tabulations from the Current Population Survey, November Supplements data

31 Voter Turnout Rates, by Race (%) White Black Hispanics Asian Note: Whites include only non-hispanic whites. Blacks include only non-hispanic blacks. Asians include only non-hispanic Asians. Native Americans and mixed-race groups not shown. Source: Pew Hispanic Center Analysis of Current Population Survey November Supplements Percent of Eligible voters

32 Voter Turnout Rates, 2008 Black female White female Female White male All eligible voters Male Black male Hispanic female Hispanic male Asian male Asian female Source: Pew Hispanic Center Analysis of Current Population Survey November Supplements Percent of Eligible voters

33 2008 Presidential Vote, by Race and Ethnicity 2008 Presidential Vote (%) Obama/Biden McCain/Palin White 43% 55% Black 95% 4% Hispanic 67% 31% Asian 62% 35% Source: Pew Hispanic Center Analysis of 2008 exit poll results as reported by CNN

34 2008 Presidential Vote, by Age 2008 Presidential Vote (%) Obama/Biden McCain/Palin % 32% % 46% % 49% % 53% Source: Pew Hispanic Center Analysis of 2008 exit poll results as reported by CNN

35

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