HALF OF U.S. VOTERS EMBARRASSED WITH TRUMP AS PRESIDENT, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; TRUMP AT TOP OF GOP PACK, BUT CRUZ CLOSES IN
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1 Tim Malloy, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) FOR RELEASE: DECEMBER 22, 2015 HALF OF U.S. VOTERS EMBARRASSED WITH TRUMP AS PRESIDENT, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; TRUMP AT TOP OF GOP PACK, BUT CRUZ CLOSES IN Six weeks before the Iowa Caucuses open the 2016 presidential race in earnest, Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz lead the Republican field nationally, but Trump trails either Democratic candidate, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton or Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and 50 percent of American voters say they would be embarrassed to have Trump as president, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today. Trump has 28 percent of the GOP pack, with Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 24 percent. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida has 12 percent and Dr. Ben Carson has 10 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. No other candidate tops 6 percent with 8 percent undecided. But 58 percent of those who name a candidate might change their mind. Among Democrats, Clinton tops Sanders percent. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O Malley has 2 percent, with 6 percent undecided and 41 percent who might change their mind. Among Republicans, 28 percent of voters say they would definitely not support Trump, with 24 percent who would not back Bush. embarrassed. Only 23 percent of all voters would be proud to have Trump as president. If Clinton is elected, 33 percent of all voters would be proud and 35 percent would be Half of American voters say they d be embarrassed to have Donald Trump as their Commander in Chief and most Americans think he doesn t have a good chance in November, but there he is still at the top of the Republican heap, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. Hillary Clinton tops him. Sen. Bernie Sanders hammers him and Sen. Ted Cruz is snapping at his heels. Can a candidate that half the American electorate thinks is an embarrassment win in November? -more-
2 Quinnipiac University Poll/December 22, 2015 page 2 American voters back Clinton over Trump percent. In other matchups: Clinton gets 44 percent to Rubio s 43 percent; Clinton and Cruz are tied percent. Sanders tops Trump percent. In other matchups: Rubio gets 45 percent to Sanders 42 percent; Cruz gets 44 percent to Sanders 43 percent. Clinton has a negative percent favorability rating. Other favorability ratings are: Negative percent for Trump; percent for Sanders; percent for Rubio; percent for Cruz. Clinton has the right kind of experience to be president, American voters say percent, while Trump does not have the experience, voters say percent. But Clinton and Trump are close on several key qualities. American voters say: percent that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy; percent that she has strong leadership qualities; percent that she does not care about their needs and problems; percent that she does not share their values. Looking at Trump, voters say: percent that he is not honest and trustworthy; percent that he has strong leadership qualities; percent that he does not care about their needs and problems; percent that he does not share their values. Clinton is ahead on another key measurement: Voters say percent, including percent among Democrats, that she has a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee next November. Voters say percent that Trump does not have a good chance of winning in November. Republicans say percent that Trump has a good chance of winning. From December 16 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,140 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 508 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points and 462 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit call (203) , or follow us on
3 1. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Bush 4% - 1% 1% 5% 6% 3% 5% 4% 4% Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q41... Shares Strong Honest/ Values Leader Trustworthy Bush 6% 2% 5% Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee 1-1 Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Cont d
4 1. (cont d) (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q43 Economy/ Jobs Terrorism Bush 9% 1% Carson 8 11 Christie 8 5 Cruz Fiorina 2 1 Gilmore - - Graham - - Huckabee - - Kasich 3 - Pataki - - Paul 2 - Rubio Santorum 1 - Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 DK/NA 4 8 1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q1 Tot Cruz Trump Made up 41% 36% 63% Might change DK/NA 1-1
5 2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican nomination for president: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Rubio, Santorum, or Trump? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Bush 24% 34% 25% 32% 26% 12% 27% 20% 22% 25% Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Graham Huckabee Kasich Pataki Paul Rubio Santorum Trump No/No one DK/NA (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Clinton 61% 52% 60% 66% 56% 64% 61% 62% O'Malley Sanders SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA MOST IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC Q40... Shares Strong Right Values Leader Cares Experience Clinton 51% 69% 57% 82% O'Malley Sanders SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 58% O'Malley 3 Sanders 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 DK/NA 4 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q42 Economy/ Jobs
6 3A. (If candidate chosen q3) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q3... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q3 Tot Clinton Sanders Made up 57% 59% 55% Might change DK/NA (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Democratic nomination for president: Clinton, O'Malley, or Sanders? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses were allowed) DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Clinton 8% 10% 8% 7% 9% 7% 4% 10% O'Malley Sanders No/No one DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 47% 8% 92% 39% 39% 54% 57% 42% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 60% 43% 42% 50% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA
7 6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 44% 8% 89% 33% 35% 51% 52% 40% Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 56% 42% 40% 42% Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Clinton 44% 4% 91% 36% 36% 52% 54% 40% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Clinton 55% 40% 42% 46% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 51% 13% 90% 49% 44% 57% 60% 47% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 74% 50% 42% 47% Trump SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA
8 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 42% 6% 80% 36% 39% 45% 48% 39% Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 60% 38% 39% 37% Rubio SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sanders 43% 6% 84% 37% 39% 47% 53% 38% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA Sanders 59% 41% 38% 40% Cruz SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA
9 Q Summary Table - Is your opinion of [Candidate] favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Table ranked by net favorability (Favorable - Unfavorable). REGISTERED VOTERS... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrden REF NetFav Sanders Rubio Cruz Kasich Carson Fiorina Clinton Christie Paul Trump Bush REPUBLICANS... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrden REF NetFav Cruz Rubio Carson Fiorina Trump Christie Paul Kasich Bush DEMOCRATS... Hvn't Fav Unfav hrden REF NetFav Clinton Sanders Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Favorable 43% 10% 82% 32% 32% 52% 49% 40% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 45% 40% 42% 44% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
10 13. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 33% 63% 8% 32% 42% 25% 26% 37% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 15% 36% 41% 33% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 37% 66% 15% 38% 44% 31% 43% 35% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 31% 34% 41% 41% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 35% 68% 7% 34% 42% 28% 33% 36% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 23% 37% 41% 36% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
11 16. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 40% 10% 69% 39% 37% 42% 53% 34% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 58% 38% 33% 36% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 36% 66% 10% 39% 39% 33% 33% 37% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 28% 37% 17% 31% 29% 27% 30% 27% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 28% 52% 12% 28% 30% 27% 35% 25% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED
12 20. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Favorable 25% 53% 8% 21% 30% 21% 33% 21% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 21% 24% 18% 27% 28% 15% 40% 13% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Favorable 24% 32% 12% 28% 34% 15% 30% 21% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Would you say that - Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 35% 5% 76% 23% 26% 44% 37% 34% No DK/NA Yes 30% 35% 32% 44% No DK/NA
13 29. Would you say that - Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy or not? Yes 36% 63% 11% 34% 42% 31% 30% 39% No DK/NA Yes 20% 39% 42% 38% No DK/NA Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 58% 26% 91% 56% 47% 68% 66% 54% No DK/NA Yes 67% 58% 52% 58% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump has strong leadership qualities or not? Yes 58% 84% 30% 60% 68% 49% 54% 60% No DK/NA Yes 53% 64% 59% 52% No DK/NA
14 32. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 46% 16% 84% 36% 37% 54% 50% 44% No DK/NA Yes 56% 43% 40% 48% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Yes 38% 69% 12% 36% 44% 33% 30% 42% No DK/NA Yes 24% 45% 42% 37% No DK/NA Would you say that - Hillary Clinton has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 63% 34% 94% 62% 57% 68% 70% 60% No DK/NA Yes 81% 63% 56% 59% No DK/NA 2 1-4
15 35. Would you say that - Donald Trump has the right kind of experience to be President or not? Yes 29% 56% 5% 27% 34% 24% 26% 30% No DK/NA Yes 13% 36% 33% 26% No DK/NA Would you say that - Hillary Clinton shares your values or not? Yes 42% 8% 83% 31% 33% 49% 49% 38% No DK/NA Yes 42% 40% 38% 47% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump shares your values or not? Yes 34% 65% 9% 30% 39% 29% 27% 37% No DK/NA Yes 13% 40% 39% 35% No DK/NA
16 38. Would you say that - Hillary Clinton would have a good chance of defeating the Republican nominee in the general election for President or not? Yes 59% 36% 86% 57% 58% 61% 68% 55% No DK/NA Yes 70% 55% 57% 58% No DK/NA Would you say that - Donald Trump would have a good chance of defeating the Democratic nominee in the general election for President or not? Yes 41% 70% 14% 40% 49% 34% 32% 45% No DK/NA Yes 25% 48% 42% 42% No DK/NA (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Thinking about the Democratic nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Shares values 19% 28% 11% 19% 19% 18% 20% 18% Cares needs/problems Strong leadership Honest/trustworthy Right experience Best chance/winning DK/NA
17 41. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Thinking about the Republican nominee for president in 2016, which of the following is most important to you: Someone who shares your values, cares about the needs and problems of people like you, has strong leadership qualities, is honest and trustworthy, has the right kind of experience, or has the best chance of winning? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Shares values 20% 17% 21% 28% 20% 13% 19% 22% 24% 19% Cares needs/problems Strong leadership Honest/trustworthy Right experience Best chance/winning DK/NA (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Democratic nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes? DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL... Mod/ Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Yes No Economy and jobs 34% 26% 38% 37% 38% 32% 34% 34% Terrorism Immigration Federal deficit Health care Foreign policy Climate change Race relations Abortion Gun policy Taxes DK/NA
18 43. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Which of these is the most important issue to you in deciding who to support for the Republican nomination for President: the economy and jobs, terrorism, immigration, the federal deficit, health care, foreign policy, climate change, race relations, abortion, gun policy or taxes? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Economy and jobs 27% 18% 23% 22% 28% 27% 29% 23% 32% 24% Terrorism Immigration Federal deficit Health care Foreign policy Climate change Race relations Abortion Gun policy Taxes DK/NA Generally speaking, what type of candidate makes the best president: someone who has held elected office before or someone who has never held elected office? Held office 63% 45% 87% 60% 57% 69% 72% 59% Never held office DK/NA Held office 77% 61% 60% 59% Never held office DK/NA (If Republican or Republican Leaner) As you may know, CNN held a debate among the Republican presidential candidates on Tuesday, December 15th. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debate; I did not watch or listen to the debate, but I paid close attention to news stories about it afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debate or pay close attention to news stories about it? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS... Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Watched/listened 45% 53% 47% 51% 43% 41% 50% 40% 48% 44% Paid attn to news Did not watch/listen or pay close attn DK/NA
19 46. (If watched/listened to debate q45) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in Tuesday night's debate: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Kasich, Paul, Rubio, or Trump? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.. WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE Q45.. Tot Men Wom Yes No Bush 5% 5% 4% 8% 3% Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Kasich Paul Rubio Trump DK/NA (If watched/listened to debate q45) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the debate? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.. WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE Q45.. Tot Men Wom Yes No Bush 25% 28% 20% 22% 26% Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Kasich Paul Rubio Trump DK/NA Would you feel proud to have Donald Trump as President, embarrassed to have Donald Trump as President, or wouldn't you feel either of these ways? Proud 23% 44% 4% 20% 30% 16% 15% 26% Embarrassed Neither DK/NA Proud 13% 25% 27% 22% Embarrassed Neither DK/NA
20 49. Would you feel proud to have Hillary Clinton as President, embarrassed to have Hillary Clinton as President, or wouldn't you feel either of these ways? Proud 33% 5% 72% 22% 23% 42% 39% 30% Embarrassed Neither DK/NA Proud 32% 34% 32% 39% Embarrassed Neither DK/NA Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling - the economy: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Clinton 43% 6% 85% 36% 32% 53% 51% 40% Trump DK/NA Clinton 59% 37% 40% 42% Trump DK/NA Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling - terrorism: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? Clinton 48% 13% 88% 45% 39% 57% 59% 43% Trump DK/NA Clinton 69% 46% 43% 45% Trump DK/NA
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