STAR TRIBUNE MINNESOTA POLL. April 25-27, Presidential race

Transcription

1 STAR TRIBUNE MINNESOTA POLL April 25-27, 2016 Presidential race A total of 800 Minnesota registered voters were interviewed April The selfidentified party affiliation of the respondents is 38 percent Democrats (306), 31 percent Republicans (247) and 31 percent independents or other (247). Margin of sampling error is percentage points; for questions asked of Democrats the margin of sampling error is percentage points, and for Republicans it is percentage points. Q1. Do you recognize the name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of? DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE John Kasich 42% 30% 21% 7% Bernie Sanders 42% 38% 18% 2% Hillary Clinton 37% 48% 14% 1% Ted Cruz 28% 53% 16% 3% Donald Trump 25% 59% 15% 1% Q2. (Asked of self-identified Republican respondents) Do you recognize the name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of? DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE John Kasich 48% 28% 22% 2% Ted Cruz 44% 40% 15% 1% Donald Trump 42% 36% 22% -

2 Q3. (Asked of self-identified Republican respondents) Which of the following candidates would you most like to see get the Republican nomination for president? Donald Trump 34% John Kasich 24% Ted Cruz 23% Undecided 19% Q4. (Asked of self-identified Republican respondents) If Donald Trump goes into the Republican Convention with the most delegates, but is short of the 1,237 needed to win the nomination, do you feel the delegates should try to nominate another candidate, or should they get behind Trump and focus on uniting the party to win in November? ALL TRUMP CRUZ KASICH UNDECIDED VOTERS VOTERS VOTERS VOTERS VOTERS NOMINATE TRUMP 54% 100% 26% 27% 44% NOMINATE OTHER 39% - 66% 64% 45% NOT SURE 7% - 8% 9% 11% Q5. (Asked of self-identified Democratic respondents) Do you recognize the name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of? DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE Bernie Sanders 76% 11% 13% - Hillary Clinton 69% 17% 14% - Q6. (Asked of self-identified Democratic respondents) Which of the following candidates would you most like to see get the Democratic nomination for president? Hillary Clinton 54% Bernie Sanders 39% Undecided 7%

3 THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS WERE ASKED OF ALL VOTERS Q7. Looking ahead to the general election in November, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat and Donald Trump, the Republican? CLINTON TRUMP UNDECIDED TOTAL 48% 35% 17% REGION CLINTON TRUMP UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 59% 26% 15% Rest of Suburbs 41% 39% 20% Rest of State 44% 40% 16% GENDER CLINTON TRUMP UNDECIDED Men 39% 42% 19% Women 55% 29% 16% AGE CLINTON TRUMP UNDECIDED % 29% 18% % 33% 16% % 37% 19% % 39% 15% INCOME CLINTON TRUMP UNDECIDED <$50,000 56% 29% 15% $50, % 39% 18% PARTY ID CLINTON TRUMP UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 85% 2% 13% Republican 13% 68% 19% Independent 38% 41% 21%

4 Q8. Looking ahead to the general election in November, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat and Ted Cruz, the Republican? CLINTON CRUZ UNDECIDED TOTAL 49% 40% 11% REGION CLINTON CRUZ UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 59% 29% 12% Rest of Suburbs 47% 43% 10% Rest of State 42% 47% 11% GENDER CLINTON CRUZ UNDECIDED Men 41% 47% 12% Women 56% 34% 10% AGE CLINTON CRUZ UNDECIDED % 42% 10% % 37% 9% % 42% 14% % 39% 11% INCOME CLINTON CRUZ UNDECIDED <$50,000 54% 33% 13% $50, % 44% 10% PARTY ID CLINTON CRUZ UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 85% 3% 12% Republican 8% 80% 12% Independent 40% 45% 15%

5 Q9. Looking ahead to the general election in November, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Bernie Sanders, the Democrat and Donald Trump, the Republican? SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED TOTAL 53% 38% 9% REGION SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 65% 28% 7% Rest of Suburbs 48% 41% 11% Rest of State 47% 44% 9% GENDER SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED Men 47% 43% 10% Women 58% 33% 9% AGE SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED % 29% 14% % 36% 10% % 42% 7% % 42% 7% INCOME SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED <$50,000 62% 30% 8% $50, % 43% 9% PARTY ID SANDERS TRUMP UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 89% 2% 9% Republican 16% 81% 3% Independent 46% 39% 15%

6 Q10. Looking ahead to the general election in November, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Bernie Sanders, the Democrat and Ted Cruz, the Republican? SANDERS CRUZ UNDECIDED TOTAL 50% 36% 14% REGION SANDERS CRUZ UNDECIDED Hennepin/Ramsey 63% 22% 15% Rest of Suburbs 46% 41% 13% Rest of State 42% 44% 14% GENDER SANDERS CRUZ UNDECIDED Men 43% 40% 17% Women 56% 32% 12% AGE SANDERS CRUZ UNDECIDED % 32% 15% % 36% 11% % 41% 14% % 32% 18% INCOME SANDERS CRUZ UNDECIDED <$50,000 55% 31% 14% $50, % 39% 14% PARTY ID SANDERS CRUZ UNDECIDED DFL/Democrat 89% 4% 7% Republican 11% 72% 17% Independent 40% 39% 21%

7 DEMOGRAPHICS -- In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself DFL or Democrat, Republican or an independent? DFL/Democrat 306 (38%) Republican 247 (31%) Independent/Other 247 (31%) AGE: (15%) (33%) (31%) (20%) Refused 4 (1%) RACE/ETHNICITY: White/Caucasian 698 (87%) Black/African-American 65 (8%) Hispanic/Latino 19 (2%) Other 13 (2%) Refused 5 (1%) INCOME: <$25, (13%) $25,000-$49, (16%) $50,000-$74, (17%) $75,000-$99, (16%) $100, (19%) Refused 155 (19%) GENDER: Male 391 (49%) Female 409 (51%) REGION: Hennepin/Ramsey 257 (32%) Metro Suburbs 235 (29%) Rest of State 308 (39%) Remaining questions held for future release.