The Aftermath of the Elections ABC Virginia Webinar
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1 The Aftermath of the Elections ABC Virginia Webinar November 10, 2016 Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
2 Overview U.S. House, Senate and White House Results State Results: GOP Domination Continues Virginia Election Notes Impact of Elections on ABC Members Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
3 Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business U.S. House Map (239 GOP, 193 DEM, 3 TBD)
4 Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business U.S. Senate Map (51 GOP, 48 DEM, 1 TBD)
5 Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business White House Trump 306 Clinton 232
6 ABC Travel Teams TRAVEL TEAMS 8-10 ABCN GA staff and chapter staff Visited ABC Member companies w/ GOTV information Volunteered on campaigns in evening Won both FL and PA Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
7 Advocacy Buys
8 Overview Governors Legislatures States on Key ABC issues Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
9 2016 Governors 31 GOP Republican (31) Democrat (18) Independent (1) Updated 11/9/16 Election
10 2017 Governors 33 GOP Republican (33) (+2) Democrat (15) (-3) Independent (1) (0) Updated 11/9/16 Party Change Election
11 2018 Governors Races Updated 11/9/16 24/36 elections held by GOP Governors in 2018 Independent incumbent eligible for re-election Unknown Incumbent No Election Republican incumbent eligible for re-election Term-limited or retiring Republican Democratic incumbent eligible for re-election Term-limited or retiring Democrat
12 2016 State Legislative Control 31 States with GOP-controlled Legislatures Republican Democrat Split Updated 11/9/16
13 2017 State Legislative Control 33 States with GOP-controlled Legislatures Republican Democrat Split Updated 11/9/16 Change * Ties in DE and CT Senate
14 2016 Party Control Trifecta of Governor & State Legislatures 23 States with GOP Trifecta GOP Governor & Legislature (23) Dem Governor & Legislature (7) Split Control (20) Updated 11/9/16
15 2017 Party Control Trifecta of Governor & State Legislatures 25 States with GOP Trifecta GOP Governor & Legislature (25) (+2) Dem Governor & Legislature (6) (-1) Split Control (19) (-1) Updated 11/9/16 Change * Ties in DE and CT Senate
16 22 States Restrict Government-Mandated PLAs (GNICA) As of November #NoPLAs/GNICA: Enacted bill or EO allowing all contractors and their employees to fairly compete for projects funded by their own tax dollars 2017 Target for GNICA Law/EO Pro-PLA: Enacted bill or EO discouraging fair and open competition on taxpayer funded construction Threat of government-mandated PLAs on all taxpayer-funded projects
17 AK State Prevailing Wage Laws As of November 2016 CA HI OR WA NV 1984 MT MN 1985 SD WI No Prevailing Wage Law Prevailing Wage Law WY 1985 NM NE 1987 TX 1995 IA MO AR 1988 IL 2015 R TN MI MS 1980 KY OH GA 2016 R VT PA VA SC NC NY ME MA RI CT NJ DE MD Reformed Prevailing Wage Law in 15 R Prevailing Wage Law Repealed WV is the most recent state to repeal its PW law (2016) and then IN (2015). NV repealed PW on some school construction (2015) and WI made reforms via budget (2015). TN eliminated PW in (2013) on all but vertical construction.
18 26 Right to Work States As of November Forced-Unionism State 1943 Right to Work State 2017 Target for RTW
19 MeritShopScorecard.org
20 Key Takeaways State GOP Domination Continues. In 2017: 33 GOP Governors (up from 31 in 2016) GOP controls 69* of 99 legislative chambers in the country (an all-time party high), including 33 states with full legislative (House and Senate) control (up from 31 in 2016) 25 states will have GOP Trifecta of Governor, Senate and House (up from 23 in 2016) GOP s state success matters in U.S. House & depletes Dem. bench for higher office RTW, PW repeal/reform and GNICA/PLA reform will move States that recently embraced labor reform efforts suffered little electoral consequences (for the most part) Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
21 Virginia U.S. House races and Virginia Special Elections in Virginia State Ballot Initiative to Add Existing Right to Work Law to Virginia Constitution Questions? Julia at: Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
22 Virginia
23 IMPACT OF ELECTION ON ABC MEMBERS Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
24 WHAT IS TRUMP S AGENDA? Knowns and unknowns The clear contrast with Obama/Clinton Trump s clear opposition to illegal immigration, Obamacare and overregulation of environment and taxes Trump, the business community, and the unions Trump s promise to repeal Obama executive orders and rollback excessive regulation The Indiana factor The transition team: GreatAgain.Gov Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
25 IMPACT OF REPEALING EXECUTIVE ORDERS PLAs (EO 13502) Blacklisting, arbitration, and paycheck transparency (EO 13673) Non-retaliation for wage disclosures: EO Trafficking in persons: EO Minimum wage for Federal contractors: EO Non-displacement of qualified workers: EO Notification of rights under Federal labor laws: EO Paid sick leave: EO All aimed at federal government contractors Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
26 IMPACT ON THE WAVE OF NEW RULES THIS YEAR The Blacklisting Rule (BLOCKED FOR NOW) (except for paycheck transparency effective 1/1/17) DOL Persuader Rule (BLOCKED FOR NOW) OSHA anti-drug testing rule effective Dec 1 (COURT ACTION PENDING) White Collar Overtime Rule Changes effective Dec 1 (COURT ACTION PENDING) OSHA public injury electronic reporting effective 2017 OSHA Silica Standard effective 2017 (COURT ACTION PENDING) Paid sick leave for govt contractors effective January 2017 Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
27 IMPACT ON THE RADICAL NLRB New appointments to retake control from pro-union majority A slow process to reverse eight years of bad decisions Joint Employer standard now favoring unions Quickie election rule now in effect Union access to corporate s NLRB s war on employee handbooks Micro units and other new election rules Independent contractor standard favoring unions Class arbitration issue pending in multiple circuits NLRB v. SW General (appointment power of the president) pending at Supreme Court Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
28 IMPACT ON THE EEOC EEOC final rule on wellness programs AARP suing to make the rule tougher on employers EEOC final rule on EEO-1 form Over-aggressive enforcement Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
29 OTHER PLANNED OBAMA CHANGES PROBABLY STOPPED Apprenticeship - EEO proposed revisions More aggressive action from OFCCP Threatened expansion of PLAs NLRB promotion of union strikes Bonus: Clinton s likely radical executive action agenda in a divided government is dead Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
30 ABC s MERIT SHOP AGENDA ABC s Role in the New Administration Is Trump s Infrastructure Plan Feasible? Can Cut Deals With Congress? Prospects for passage of the Government Neutrality in Contracting Act (GNICA), restricting PLA mandates on fed and fedassisted projects. Stay engaged at federal, state and local level Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
31 ABC ACTION APP
32 Questions? Get Into Politics or Get Out of Business
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