GOP TAX PLAN BENEFITS RICH, U.S. VOTERS SAY ALMOST 3-1, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; TRUMP JOB APPROVAL STUCK AT 35 PERCENT
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1 Tim Malloy, Assistant Director (561) FOR RELEASE: DECEMBER 5, 2017 Rubenstein Pat Smith (212) GOP TAX PLAN BENEFITS RICH, U.S. VOTERS SAY ALMOST 3-1, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; TRUMP JOB APPROVAL STUCK AT 35 PERCENT The Republican tax plan pending in the U.S. Congress benefits the wealthy the most, 64 percent of American voters say, while 24 percent say the tax plan benefits the middle class and 5 percent say it benefits low-income people, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. American voters disapprove of the tax plan percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Republicans approve of the plan percent, the only party, gender, education, age or racial group listed to approve. White men are divided as 40 percent approve and 42 percent disapprove. In a separate question, voters say percent that the tax plan favors the rich at the expense of the middle class. The plan will increase their taxes, 41 percent of voters say, while 20 percent say the plan will reduce their taxes and 32 percent say the plan will not have much impact on their taxes. In the wake of the Republican tax plan, American voters say percent that the Democratic Party can do a better job handling taxes. Voters have been divided on this question in the past. American voters give President Donald Trump a negative percent job approval rating, compared to percent in a November 21 Quinnipiac University poll. score. Voters say percent that Trump is not fit to be president, tying his all-time low Deeply unpopular and manifestly unfit for the job. That s the harsh assessment of President Donald Trump, whose tax plan is considered built for the rich at the expense of the rest, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. -more-
2 Quinnipiac University Poll/December 5, 2017 page 2 Health care is the most important problem facing the country today, 18 percent of voters say, as 17 percent list the economy. Another 13 percent of voters list foreign policy, while 11 percent cite terrorism and 10 percent list race relations. Voters say percent that the Democratic Party can do a better job on health care. Voters are closely divided on who does a better job on the economy, as 45 percent say the Democratic Party and 43 percent say the Republican Party. Democrats are ahead on other issues: percent that Democrats can do a better job fighting for the working class; percent that Democrats can do a better job representing your values. American voters say percent, including percent among independent voters that they would like the Democrats to win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in Voters also say percent, including percent among independent voters, that they would like Democrats to win control of the U.S. Senate in President Trump and the Media Voters are closely divided on how the media treats President Trump: 47 percent of voters say fairly, and 48 percent say unfairly. There is no division as voters say percent that Trump treats the media unfairly. That Russian Thing American voters believe percent that the Russian government interfered in the 2016 presidential election. Republicans don t believe this percent, the only listed group which does not believe it. Voters believe percent that people in the Trump campaign coordinated with the Russian government to interfere in the campaign. The Russians interfered in the 2016 election and Trump operatives worked with them, say many suspicious voters, Malloy said. From November 29 December 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,508 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, including the design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts nationwide public opinion surveys, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa and Colorado as a public service and for research. Visit poll.qu.edu or Call (203) , or follow us on 2
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4 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? Approve 35% 82% 6% 36% 45% 27% 36% 49% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 19% 32% 46% 39% 51% 35% 43% 11% 22% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? App Dis DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 21, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02, Jun 29, Jun 07, May 24, May 10, Apr 19, Apr 04, Mar 22, Mar 07, Feb 22, Feb 07, Jan 26,
5 1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? Approve strongly 25% 65% 2% 23% 31% 20% 25% 36% Approve smwht Disapprove smwht Disapprove strongly DK/NA Approve strongly 10% 22% 34% 31% 36% 26% 31% 7% 13% Approve smwht Disapprove smwht Disapprove strongly DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? APPROVE... DISAPPROVE... Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 21, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02, Jun 29, Jun 07, May 24, May 10, Apr 19, Apr 04, Mar 22, Mar 07, Feb 22, Feb 07, Jan 26,
6 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Approve 12% 20% 9% 12% 14% 11% 9% 15% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 11% 13% 15% 8% 12% 13% 13% 12% 9% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? App Dis DK/NA Dec 05, Aug 24, Aug 17, Aug 03, Mar 07, Jan 26, Jan 10, Link to full trend on website 3. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Favorable 36% 6% 75% 23% 28% 44% 41% 28% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 42% 35% 34% 38% 27% 40% 34% 54% 32% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Fav Unfav HvntHrd REF Dec 05, Aug 24, Aug 17, Aug 03, Mar 07, Jan 26, Jan 10, Nov 28, Link to full trend on website 6
7 4. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Favorable 24% 65% 5% 20% 28% 21% 26% 33% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED Favorable 15% 20% 33% 27% 32% 27% 30% 12% 9% Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Fav Unfav HvntHrd REF Dec 05, Aug 24, Aug 17, Aug 03, Mar 07, Jan 26, Jan 10, Nov 28, Link to full trend on website 5. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives? Republican Party 36% 91% 3% 36% 45% 29% 38% 51% Democratic Party DK/NA Republican Party 22% 32% 46% 41% 51% 39% 45% 11% 23% Democratic Party DK/NA
8 TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives? Rep Dem Party Party DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 24, Aug 17, Aug 03, Jun 29, Jun 08, May 10, Link to full trend on website 6. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate? Republican Party 37% 90% 4% 38% 47% 29% 39% 51% Democratic Party DK/NA Republican Party 23% 32% 48% 42% 53% 38% 45% 12% 26% Democratic Party DK/NA TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate? Rep Dem Party Party DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 24, Aug 17, Aug 03, Jun 29, Jun 08, Link to full trend on website 8
9 7. Do you feel proud to have Donald Trump as president, embarrassed to have Donald Trump as president, or don't you feel either of these ways? Proud 25% 64% 3% 23% 31% 20% 24% 36% Embarrassed Don't feel either DK/NA Proud 12% 22% 34% 28% 35% 26% 30% 9% 14% Embarrassed Don't feel either DK/NA TREND: Do you feel proud to have Donald Trump as President, embarrassed to have Donald Trump as President, or don't you feel either of these ways? Proud Embarrassed Neither DK/NA Dec 05, Sep 27, Aug 02, Apr 04, Do you think Donald Trump is fit to serve as president, or not? Yes 40% 86% 8% 40% 50% 31% 39% 55% No DK/NA Yes 21% 37% 51% 43% 56% 40% 48% 11% 27% No DK/NA TREND: Do you think Donald Trump is fit to serve as president, or not? Yes No DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 21, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27,
10 9. What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today: the economy, health care, immigration, terrorism, the environment, foreign policy, gun policy, race relations, or sexual harassment? Economy 17% 22% 12% 20% 19% 16% 18% 17% Health care Immigration Terrorism Environment Foreign policy Gun policy Race relations Sexual harassment SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA Economy 20% 21% 15% 16% 19% 15% 17% 16% 13% Health care Immigration Terrorism Environment Foreign policy Gun policy Race relations Sexual harassment SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA TREND: What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today: the economy, health care, immigration, terrorism, the environment, foreign policy, gun policy, race relations, or sexual harassment? DK/NA Health Race Sexual SMTHNG Econ Care Immgtn Terrsm Env ForPol GunPol Relatns Harsmnt ELSE Dec 05, Sep 28, na 15 na 4 3 Aug 24, na 19 na
11 10. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - the economy, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Democratic party 45% 5% 85% 36% 36% 53% 45% 32% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA Democratic party 50% 48% 41% 44% 31% 45% 38% 79% 48% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA TREND: Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling the economy, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Dem Rep Party Party NO DIFF DK/NA Dec 05, Aug 03, Link to full trend on website 11. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - health care, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Democratic party 55% 9% 94% 50% 46% 62% 56% 42% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA Democratic party 69% 59% 46% 53% 43% 53% 48% 87% 56% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA TREND: Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling health care, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Dem Rep Party Party NO DIFF DK/NA Dec 05, Aug 03, Link to full trend on website 11
12 12. Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling - taxes, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Democratic party 47% 5% 87% 39% 41% 53% 48% 36% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA Democratic party 56% 48% 43% 47% 36% 47% 42% 73% 55% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA TREND: Which political party do you think can do a better job of handling taxes, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Dem Rep Party Party NO DIFF DK/NA Dec 05, Aug 03, Link to full trend on website 13. Which political party do you think can do a better job of - fighting for the working class, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Democratic party 56% 11% 94% 51% 46% 64% 59% 43% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA Democratic party 65% 57% 50% 56% 43% 57% 50% 83% 59% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA TREND: Which political party do you think can do a better job of fighting for the working class, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Dem Rep Party Party NO DIFF DK/NA Dec 05, Aug 03,
13 14. Which political party do you think can do a better job of - representing your values, the Democratic party or the Republican party? Democratic party 51% 4% 94% 43% 41% 59% 52% 39% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA Democratic party 63% 54% 43% 49% 38% 52% 45% 78% 56% Republican party NO DIFF(VOL) DK/NA Do you believe that President Trump and the Republicans in Congress will be able to pass any significant legislation by the end of 2017, or not? Yes/Pass legislation 46% 67% 30% 48% 53% 40% 54% 50% No DK/NA Yes/Pass legislation 39% 40% 53% 51% 59% 46% 52% 26% 29% No DK/NA TREND: Do you believe that President Trump and the Republicans in Congress will be able to pass any significant legislation by the end of 2017, or not? Yes No DK/NA Dec 05, Oct 12, Aug 17, Jun 08,
14 16. As you may know, Congress must pass a new spending bill by December 8th in order to prevent a government shutdown, which then must be signed by President Trump. If a government shutdown does occur, who would you blame more: Republicans in Congress, Democrats in Congress, or President Trump? Republicans 31% 9% 51% 30% 29% 33% 38% 25% Democrats President Trump DK/NA Republicans 35% 33% 32% 29% 27% 34% 31% 39% 27% Democrats President Trump DK/NA TREND: As you may know, Congress must pass a new spending bill by December 8th in order to prevent a government shutdown, which then must be signed by President Trump. If a government shutdown does occur, who would you blame more: Republicans in Congress, Democrats in Congress, or President Trump? (* by April 28th) Reps Dems Trump DK/NA Dec 05, Apr 20, 2017 * Apr 05, 2017 * Do you approve or disapprove of the Republican tax plan? Approve 29% 67% 6% 27% 36% 22% 30% 37% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 18% 26% 36% 31% 40% 27% 34% 14% 21% Disapprove DK/NA ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... ECONOMIC CLASS Upper <30K 50K 100K 250K >250K Wrkng Middle Middle+ Approve 17% 24% 35% 31% 34% 25% 32% 29% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the Republican tax plan? App Dis DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 15,
15 18. Do you think the Republican tax plan will increase your taxes, reduce your taxes, or will it not have much impact either way? Increase taxes 41% 15% 62% 38% 35% 46% 38% 32% Reduce taxes Not much impact DK/NA Increase taxes 42% 42% 37% 41% 30% 40% 35% 61% 49% Reduce taxes Not much impact DK/NA ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... ECONOMIC CLASS Upper <30K 50K 100K 250K >250K Wrkng Middle Middle+ Increase taxes 47% 43% 38% 34% 39% 49% 36% 36% Reduce taxes Not much impact DK/NA TREND: Do you think the Republican tax plan will increase your taxes, reduce your taxes, or will it not have much impact either way? Incr No Reduce Impact DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 15,
16 19. Who do you think will benefit the most from this plan: low income Americans, middle class Americans, or wealthy Americans? Low income 5% 10% 1% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% Middle class Wealthy DK/NA Low income 3% 6% 6% 3% 5% 5% 5% 3% 5% Middle class Wealthy DK/NA ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... ECONOMIC CLASS Upper <30K 50K 100K 250K >250K Wrkng Middle Middle+ Low income 3% 3% 4% 6% 4% 4% 5% 5% Middle class Wealthy DK/NA TREND: Who do you think will benefit the most from this plan: low income Americans, middle class Americans, or wealthy Americans? Low Middle Income Class Wealthy DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 15,
17 20. Do you believe that the Republican tax plan will lead to an increase in jobs and economic growth, or not? Yes/Believe 40% 86% 11% 40% 49% 32% 42% 50% No DK/NA Yes/Believe 31% 36% 47% 41% 54% 40% 46% 17% 34% No DK/NA ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... ECONOMIC CLASS Upper <30K 50K 100K 250K >250K Wrkng Middle Middle+ Yes/Believe 30% 35% 46% 41% 43% 37% 42% 42% No DK/NA TREND: Do you believe that the Republican tax plan will lead to an increase in jobs and economic growth, or not? Yes No DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 15, Do you think the Republican tax plan favors the rich at the expense of the middle class, or not? Yes/Favors the rich 61% 17% 95% 58% 51% 69% 61% 48% No DK/NA Yes/Favors the rich 72% 65% 53% 59% 47% 60% 54% 83% 68% No DK/NA ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... ECONOMIC CLASS Upper <30K 50K 100K 250K >250K Wrkng Middle Middle+ Yes/Favors the rich 71% 66% 53% 60% 66% 66% 55% 64% No DK/NA
18 TREND: Do you think the Republican tax plan favors the rich at the expense of the middle class, or not? Yes No DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 15, If you knew that the Republican tax plan would cause a significant increase in the national debt over the next 10 years, would that make you more likely to support it, less likely to support it, or would it not have an impact? More likely 4% 5% 4% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3% Less likely No impact DK/NA More likely 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% Less likely No impact DK/NA ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... ECONOMIC CLASS Upper <30K 50K 100K 250K >250K Wrkng Middle Middle+ More likely 3% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% Less likely No impact DK/NA Do you think that the news media treats President Trump fairly or unfairly? Fairly 47% 8% 80% 43% 40% 53% 49% 35% Unfairly DK/NA Fairly 52% 48% 42% 50% 35% 47% 42% 72% 54% Unfairly DK/NA
19 24. Do you think that President Trump treats the news media fairly or unfairly? Fairly 33% 67% 8% 32% 41% 25% 30% 44% Unfairly DK/NA Fairly 23% 33% 38% 34% 44% 31% 37% 11% 26% Unfairly DK/NA Since the 2016 election, are you more motivated to vote in local, state, and federal elections, less motivated to vote, or are you just as motivated to vote as you were before? More motivated 27% 20% 34% 26% 29% 26% 29% 27% Less motivated Just as motivated DK/NA More motivated 31% 28% 27% 21% 30% 27% 28% 30% 26% Less motivated Just as motivated DK/NA TREND: Since the 2016 election, are you more motivated to vote in local, state, and federal elections, less motivated to vote, or are you just as motivated to vote as you were before? More Less Just as motiv motiv motiv DK/NA Dec 05, Aug 24, Aug 03, May 11,
20 26. Which comes closer to your point of view: most U.S. Senators and Congressmen are doing their best and deserve to be reelected, or most U.S. Senators and Congressmen aren't doing their jobs and should be voted out? Reelected 15% 18% 16% 13% 14% 15% 15% 13% Voted out NEITHER(VOL) DK/NA Reelected 18% 16% 15% 12% 14% 14% 14% 13% 18% Voted out NEITHER(VOL) DK/NA If more women held elected office, do you believe that the nation would be better off, worse off, or don't you think it would make a difference either way? Better off 43% 16% 65% 42% 34% 50% 50% 35% Worse off No difference DK/NA Better off 48% 44% 39% 44% 33% 50% 42% 45% 43% Worse off No difference DK/NA Regardless of whether you believe it impacted the outcome of the election, do you think that the Russian government interfered with the 2016 presidential election, or not? Yes/Interfered 59% 26% 85% 58% 52% 65% 63% 51% No DK/NA Yes/Interfered 64% 60% 57% 60% 51% 63% 57% 73% 61% No DK/NA
21 TREND: Regardless of whether you believe it impacted the outcome of the election, do you think that the Russian government interfered with the 2016 presidential election, or not? Yes No DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 15, Aug 02, Do you believe that individuals in the Trump campaign coordinated with the Russian government to interfere in the 2016 presidential election, or not? Yes/Coordinated 50% 10% 82% 47% 41% 58% 51% 41% No DK/NA Yes/Coordinated 59% 49% 45% 51% 37% 54% 46% 77% 52% No DK/NA TREND: Do you believe that individuals in the Trump campaign coordinated with the Russian government to interfere in the 2016 presidential election, or not? Yes No DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 15, May 24, Apr 20, Apr 05, Does it bother you when President Trump insults people, either on Twitter or in person, or does it not bother you? Yes/Bothered 73% 44% 93% 74% 64% 82% 77% 66% No DK/NA Yes/Bothered 82% 69% 71% 73% 63% 78% 71% 82% 76% No DK/NA
22 31. Do you believe that President Trump respects people of color just as much as he respects white people, or not? Yes/Respects as much 38% 82% 6% 40% 45% 31% 39% 51% No DK/NA Yes/Respects as much 20% 36% 47% 39% 51% 40% 45% 10% 25% No DK/NA As president, do you think Donald Trump should continue tweeting from his personal Twitter account, or not? Yes/Should 28% 45% 12% 32% 34% 23% 28% 35% No DK/NA Yes/Should 22% 33% 30% 27% 36% 27% 31% 15% 23% No DK/NA TREND: As president, do you think Donald Trump should continue tweeting from his personal Twitter account, or not? Yes No DK/NA Dec 05, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02, Jun 29, May 10, Apr 19,
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