U.S. VOTERS HOPES ON NORTH KOREA HIT NEW HIGH, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; CONFIDENCE IN TRUMP ON N. KOREA GROWS, BUT STILL SHORT
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1 Tim Malloy, Assistant Director (203) FOR RELEASE: MARCH 21, 2018 Rubenstein Pat Smith (212) U.S. VOTERS HOPES ON NORTH KOREA HIT NEW HIGH, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; CONFIDENCE IN TRUMP ON N. KOREA GROWS, BUT STILL SHORT The United States will be able to resolve the situation with North Korea diplomatically, 65 percent of American voters say in a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today, while 16 percent say the U.S. will need to use military force, the highest level of confidence measured on this question. But only 46 percent of voters have confidence in President Donald Trump to handle the situation with North Korea, while 51 percent do not have confidence, still negative but the highest confidence level measured by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll. Voters approve percent of President Trump s meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un. Trump is not prepared for negotiations with Kim, voters say percent. And voters say percent that North Korea will not give up its nuclear weapons. American voters disapprove percent of the job Trump is doing as president and say percent that he has damaged rather than improved the U.S. reputation around the world. Trump does not have a sense of decency, voters say percent. He is not a good role model for children, voters say percent. Should President Donald Trump meet Kim Jung-Un eyeball to eyeball? Absolutely, say American voters, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. Will a deal be struck? Looks good, voters say. But is the president equipped to handle negotiations? That s where the doubt creeps in. Americans say President Trump is damaging the country's image globally; flunking the decency test and setting a bad example for kids. There s no way to spin or sugarcoat it. The optics are ugly. -more-
2 Quinnipiac University Poll/March 21, 2018 page 2 American voters say percent that President Trump is not honest. Looking at other qualities, voters say: embarrassed percent that he does not have good leadership skills; percent that he does not care about average Americans; percent that he is not level headed; percent that he is a strong person; percent that he is intelligent; percent that he does not share their values. Only 30 percent of voters are proud to have Trump as president, while 50 percent are Trump and the Media American voters disapprove percent of the way the media covers Trump. Voters disapprove by a similar percent of the way Trump talks about the media Mid-Term Elections American voters disapprove percent of the way Republicans in Congress are doing their job and disapprove percent of Democrats in Congress. Republicans are narrowing the gap with Democrats in the so-called generic ballot for the House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate elections this year: 49 percent of voters want the Democratic Party to win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, as 43 percent want Republicans to control the House. Independent voters are divided as 44 percent back Democrats and 41 percent go Republican. Democrats should win control of the U.S. Senate, voters say by a narrow percent. Independent voters are split with 44 percent for Democrats and 43 percent for Republicans. Health care is the most important issue in the 2018 mid-term elections, 23 percent of American voters say, with 22 percent for the economy, 21 percent for gun policy and 19 percent for immigration. From March 16 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,291 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points, including the design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts nationwide public opinion surveys, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa and Colorado as a public service and for research. Visit poll.qu.edu or Call (203) , or follow us on 2
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4 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Approve 40% 84% 4% 38% 48% 32% 38% 55% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 34% 39% 41% 43% 56% 38% 46% 11% 28% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? App Dis DK/NA Mar 21, Mar 07, Feb 21, Feb 07, Jan 25, Jan 17, Jan 10, Dec 19, Dec 12, Dec 05, a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? Approve strongly 30% 70% 2% 24% 36% 24% 25% 43% Approve smwht Disapprove smwht Disapprove strongly DK/NA Approve strongly 25% 25% 30% 35% 42% 28% 34% 6% 23% Approve smwht Disapprove smwht Disapprove strongly DK/NA
5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? APPROVE... DISAPPROVE... Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA Mar 21, Mar 07, Feb 21, Feb 07, Jan 25, Jan 17, Jan 10, Dec 19, Dec 12, Dec 05, Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Approve 25% 56% 5% 19% 29% 22% 25% 31% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 25% 26% 23% 23% 32% 25% 28% 11% 22% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? App Dis DK/NA Mar 21, Feb 21, Jan 24, Jan 11, Dec 13, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Jun 29, Jun 08,
6 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Approve 28% 9% 54% 22% 22% 33% 32% 20% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 25% 28% 29% 29% 19% 32% 26% 36% 37% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? App Dis DK/NA Mar 21, Feb 21, Jan 24, Jan 11, Dec 13, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Jun 29, Jun 08, If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives? Republican Party 43% 93% 1% 41% 50% 36% 41% 61% Democratic Party DK/NA Republican Party 38% 44% 41% 46% 59% 44% 51% 7% 30% Democratic Party DK/NA
7 TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives? Rep Dem Party Party DK/NA Mar 21, Mar 07, Feb 20, Feb 07, Jan 24, Jan 18, Jan 11, Dec 19, Dec 13, Dec 05, If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate? Republican Party 43% 92% 1% 43% 51% 36% 42% 60% Democratic Party DK/NA Republican Party 38% 46% 42% 47% 59% 44% 51% 7% 32% Democratic Party DK/NA TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate? Rep Dem Party Party DK/NA Mar 21, Mar 07, Feb 20, Feb 07, Jan 24, Jan 18, Jan 11, Dec 19, Dec 13, Dec 05,
8 6. Would you say that Donald Trump - is honest, or not? Yes 38% 79% 5% 36% 44% 31% 32% 53% No DK/NA Yes 40% 32% 35% 41% 49% 37% 43% 17% 24% No DK/NA TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump is honest, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02, Would you say that Donald Trump - has good leadership skills, or not? Yes 41% 84% 4% 39% 49% 33% 37% 57% No DK/NA Yes 39% 43% 38% 41% 54% 41% 47% 8% 30% No DK/NA
9 TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump has good leadership skills, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02, Would you say that Donald Trump - cares about average Americans, or not? Yes 43% 87% 5% 43% 52% 35% 41% 58% No DK/NA Yes 36% 40% 44% 48% 59% 41% 49% 11% 35% No DK/NA TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump cares about average Americans, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02,
10 9. Would you say that Donald Trump - is level headed, or not? Yes 32% 66% 3% 31% 37% 27% 27% 45% No DK/NA Yes 22% 29% 32% 39% 41% 32% 36% 9% 29% No DK/NA TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump is level headed, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02, Would you say that Donald Trump - is a strong person, or not? Yes 62% 95% 30% 64% 68% 56% 60% 73% No DK/NA Yes 61% 60% 60% 65% 71% 63% 67% 34% 59% No DK/NA
11 TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump is a strong person, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02, Would you say that Donald Trump - is intelligent, or not? Yes 57% 92% 25% 58% 66% 49% 53% 71% No DK/NA Yes 55% 55% 58% 59% 68% 56% 62% 36% 53% No DK/NA TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump is intelligent, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02,
12 12. Would you say that Donald Trump - is someone who shares your values, or not? Yes 37% 80% 2% 35% 46% 29% 34% 53% No DK/NA Yes 36% 35% 36% 43% 52% 36% 44% 7% 28% No DK/NA TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump is someone who shares your values, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, Aug 23, Aug 17, Aug 02, Do you feel proud to have Donald Trump as president, embarrassed to have Donald Trump as president, or don't you feel either of these ways? Proud 30% 71% 1% 25% 36% 25% 25% 46% Embarrassed Don't feel either DK/NA Proud 25% 27% 29% 37% 41% 30% 36% 8% 21% Embarrassed Don't feel either DK/NA
13 TREND: Do you feel proud to have Donald Trump as President, embarrassed to have Donald Trump as President, or don't you feel either of these ways? Proud Embarrassed Neither DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Dec 05, Sep 27, Aug 02, Apr 04, Do you believe that Donald Trump is more honest than most of the previous presidents, less honest than most previous presidents, or that Donald Trump is just about as honest as most previous presidents? More honest 27% 57% 5% 23% 32% 23% 24% 37% Less honest Just about as honest DK/NA More honest 28% 26% 28% 26% 35% 26% 30% 11% 24% Less honest Just about as honest DK/NA TREND: Do you believe that Donald Trump is more honest than most of the previous presidents, less honest than most previous presidents, or that Donald Trump is just about as honest as most previous presidents? More Less JustAs Honest Honest Honest DK/NA Mar 21, Aug 23, Aug 17, Mar 22, Do you think that President Trump is a good role model for children, or not? Yes/Good role model 29% 61% 2% 28% 35% 23% 25% 39% No DK/NA Yes/Good role model 26% 28% 26% 31% 39% 27% 32% 10% 25% No DK/NA
14 TREND: Do you think that President Trump is a good role model for children, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 25, Would you say that President Trump has a sense of decency or not? Yes/Sense of decency 42% 80% 7% 42% 51% 33% 37% 57% No DK/NA Yes/Sense of decency 39% 39% 40% 46% 57% 38% 47% 8% 35% No DK/NA Do you believe that President Trump respects women just as much as he respects men, or not? Yes/Respects as much 37% 76% 4% 35% 44% 30% 36% 50% No DK/NA Yes/Respects as much 29% 36% 37% 41% 51% 36% 43% 7% 26% No DK/NA TREND: Do you believe that President Trump respects women just as much as he respects men, or not? Yes/ Respcts No DK/NA Mar 21, Feb 21, Dec 19, Nov 21,
15 18. Do you think that President Trump has improved the United States' reputation around the world or damaged the United States' reputation around the world? Improved 34% 75% 1% 30% 43% 26% 32% 47% Damaged NEITHER(VOL) DK/NA Improved 25% 34% 35% 39% 49% 31% 40% 7% 25% Damaged NEITHER(VOL) DK/NA Do you believe that President Trump has too friendly of an attitude towards authoritarian leaders, or do you think he has about the right attitude towards authoritarian leaders? Too friendly 38% 8% 67% 37% 31% 44% 44% 27% Right attitude DK/NA Too friendly 38% 36% 41% 39% 29% 41% 35% 56% 48% Right attitude DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the Republican tax plan? Approve 38% 79% 6% 34% 48% 28% 38% 47% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 34% 36% 36% 42% 53% 32% 42% 15% 30% Disapprove DK/NA
16 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the Republican tax plan? App Dis DK/NA Mar 21, Mar 07, Feb 07, Jan 11, Dec 13, Dec 05, Nov 15, Do you have confidence in President Trump to handle the situation with North Korea or not? Yes/Confidence 46% 89% 6% 48% 57% 36% 42% 63% No DK/NA Yes/Confidence 42% 46% 45% 48% 64% 43% 53% 12% 37% No DK/NA TREND: Do you have confidence in President Trump to handle the situation with North Korea or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 11, Dec 12, Nov 14, Oct 12, Sep 28, Aug 24, Aug 16, Do you think the United States will be able to resolve the situation with North Korea diplomatically or will the United States need to use military force to resolve the situation with North Korea? Diplomatically 65% 64% 66% 65% 69% 61% 70% 63% Military force DK/NA Diplomatically 63% 66% 67% 66% 71% 63% 67% 71% 58% Military force DK/NA
17 TREND: Do you think the United States will be able to resolve the situation with North Korea diplomatically, or will the United States need to use military force to resolve the situation with North Korea? Diplom- Miltry atic Force DK/NA Mar 21, Jan 11, Dec 12, Nov 14, Oct 12, Sep 28, Aug 24, Aug 16, Do you think it is more important to avoid war with North Korea, or do you think it is more important to take away North Korea's nuclear weapons? Avoid war 53% 27% 75% 55% 49% 58% 59% 43% Take away weapons DK/NA Avoid war 70% 50% 50% 49% 48% 54% 51% 74% 54% Take away weapons DK/NA TREND: Do you think it is more important to avoid war with North Korea, or do you think it is more important to take away North Korea's nuclear weapons? Avoid War TakeAwy Weapns DK/NA Mar 21, Nov 14, Oct 12, Sep 28, Aug 24,
18 24. Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump's meeting with the leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-Un? Approve 66% 89% 41% 69% 77% 55% 66% 74% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 61% 69% 64% 70% 81% 60% 70% 43% 66% Disapprove DK/NA Do you believe that President Trump is prepared for the negotiations with the leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-Un? Yes/Prepared 44% 82% 9% 44% 56% 33% 41% 60% No DK/NA Yes/Prepared 45% 40% 43% 46% 62% 40% 50% 16% 38% No DK/NA Do you think that North Korea will ever give up their nuclear weapons, or not? Yes/Will give up 26% 34% 18% 25% 37% 15% 26% 26% No DK/NA Yes/Will give up 32% 28% 25% 19% 38% 15% 26% 18% 24% No DK/NA
19 31. Compared to past midterm elections, how motivated would you say you are to vote in this year's midterm election; are you more motivated to vote than usual, less motivated, or are you just as motivated as usual? More 46% 38% 59% 41% 45% 47% 47% 39% Less As usual DK/NA More 48% 44% 48% 42% 42% 43% 42% 61% 60% Less As usual DK/NA TREND: Compared to past midterm elections, how motivated would you say you are to vote in this year's midterm election; are you more motivated to vote than usual, less motivated, or are you just as motivated as usual? More Less Just As Motivtd Motivtd Motivtd DK/NA Mar 21, Feb 20, What is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote in this year's midterm election: the economy, taxes, health care, immigration, or gun policy? Economy 22% 27% 13% 25% 24% 19% 22% 22% Taxes Health care Immigration Gun policy SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA Economy 22% 22% 24% 19% 25% 19% 22% 24% 19% Taxes Health care Immigration Gun policy SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
20 33. Will your vote in this year's midterm election be more to express support for President Trump, more to express opposition to President Trump, or will President Trump not be an important factor in your vote? Support 27% 64% 1% 22% 33% 22% 23% 43% Opposition Not important factor DK/NA Support 23% 20% 30% 34% 38% 28% 33% 5% 17% Opposition Not important factor DK/NA If President Trump campaigns for a political candidate, does that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate, or would it have no impact on your vote? More likely 12% 30% 1% 8% 16% 9% 11% 17% Less likely No impact DK/NA More likely 11% 14% 12% 12% 18% 10% 14% 4% 9% Less likely No impact DK/NA Does the Republican tax plan make you more likely to vote for a Republican candidate in this year's midterm election, less likely to vote for a Republican, or does the Republican tax plan have no impact on your vote in this year's midterm election? More likely 24% 52% 2% 21% 29% 19% 22% 33% Less likely No impact DK/NA More likely 16% 23% 23% 31% 33% 23% 27% 7% 20% Less likely No impact DK/NA
21 36. (Split Sample A) Do you approve or disapprove of the way the news media has covered President Trump? Approve 35% 6% 63% 35% 28% 42% 38% 23% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the news media has covered President Trump? App Dis DK/NA Mar 21, Nov 14, Oct 12, Aug 23, Aug 16, May 25, May 10, Mar 07, Feb 22, (Split Sample A) Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Trump talks about the media? Approve 38% 77% 5% 33% 50% 26% 32% 53% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Trump talks about the media? App Dis DK/NA Mar 21, Nov 14, Oct 12, Aug 23, Aug 16, May 25, May 10, Mar 07, Feb 22, (Split Sample B) Do you approve or disapprove of the way the reporters have covered President Trump? Approve 39% 7% 74% 33% 35% 42% 39% 26% Disapprove DK/NA
22 39. (Split Sample B) Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Trump talks about reporters? Approve 34% 67% 2% 36% 41% 27% 31% 45% Disapprove DK/NA
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