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1 Job Approval: Barack Obama - Time Series- Approve Disapprove /14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 8/14 9/14 /14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 September 15 1

2 6 Job Approval: Barack Obama App. Disapp. East Midwest South West Right Direction 95 5 Wrong Track Approve Obama. 48 Disapprove Obama Favorable Clinton Unfavorable Clinton Vote Republican Vote Democrat Vote Undecided Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP 48 Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton Republican Democrat 8 19 Independent Liberal 79 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. September Moderate 47 Conservative White 39 6 African- American 91 6 Hispanic Under Over Men Women 44 53

3 Generic Ballot for Congress - Time Series- Democratic Republican Undecided /14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 8/14 9/14 /14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 September 15 3

4 Generic Ballot: U.S. Congress GOP DEM. UND. East Midwest South West Right Direction Wrong Track Approve Obama Disapprove Obama Favorable Clinton Unfavorable Clinton Vote Republican Vote Democrat Vote Undecided Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton Republican Democrat Independent Liberal Moderate Conservative White GOP Def. Prob. Lean DEM Def. Prob. Lean UND. September 15 4 African- American Hispanic Under Over Men Women 48 13

5 Approve/Disapprove: Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare - Time Series- Approve Disapprove /14 4/14 5/14 6/14 8/14 9/14 /14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 National M&A September 15 5

6 6 Approve/Disapprove: Obamacare 47 App. Disapp. East Midwest South West 48 Right Direction Wrong Track Approve Obama Disapprove Obama Favorable Clinton 76 Unfavorable Clinton Vote Republican 18 8 Vote Democrat Vote Undecided Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton Republican Democrat Independent 54 Liberal Moderate Conservative White African- American 8 11 APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref. September 15 6 Hispanic Under Over Men Women 55

7 Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services, or a larger government with many services?- Time Series- Smaller Larger /15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 National M&A September 15 7

8 Would you say you most favor a smaller government with fewer services, or a larger government with many services? 8 7 Smaller Larger East Midwest South West Right Direction 55 Wrong Track Approve Obama Disapprove Obama Favorable Clinton Unfavorable Clinton Vote Republican Vote Democrat Vote Undecided Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP 38 Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton Republican Democrat 51 Independent Liberal Moderate 33 Conservative 7 16 White 53 African- American Smaller Gov't Larger Gov't DK/Ref. National M&A September 15 Hispanic Under Over Men Women

9 Direction: United States - Time Series- Right Direction Wrong Track /14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 National M&A September 15 9

10 RD WT Direction: United States East Midwest South West Right Direction Wrong Track Approve Obama Disapprove Obama 3 94 Favorable Clinton Unfavorable Clinton Vote Republican Vote Democrat Vote Undecided Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton 3 89 Republican Democrat Independent Liberal Moderate 59 Conservative 7 88 White African- American Right Direction Wrong Track DK/Ref. National M&A September 15 Hispanic Under Over Men Women 24 67

11 Opinion: Hillary Clinton - Time Series- Favorable Unfavorable /15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 September 15 11

12 Fav. Unfav Opinion: Hillary Clinton East 42 Midwest South West Right Direction 75 Wrong Track Approve Obama Disapprove Obama Favorable Clinton Unfavorable Clinton Vote Republican Vote Democrat Vote Undecided Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP 47 Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton Republican Democrat Independent Liberal Moderate Conservative White FAV. Very S mwt UNFAV. S mwt Very NO OPIN. September African- American Hispanic Under Over Men Women 38 52

13 Generally speaking, would you like the next President to? 1. Continue the policies of President Obama 2. Change Direction and move away from the policies of President Obama 8 7 Cont. Change East Midwest South 31 6 West Right Direction Wrong Track Approve Obama. 68 Disapprove Obama 2 93 Favorable Clinton Unfavorable Clinton Vote Republican 9 88 Vote Democrat Vote Undecided Disapp. B.O./Not Vote GOP Wrong Track/Not Vote GOP Disapp. B.O./Fav. Clinton 7 84 Republican 8 88 Democrat Independent Liberal Moderate Conservative 8 87 White African- American 7 17 Continue Policies Change Direction DK/Ref. National M&A September 15 Hispanic Under Over Men Women 59 13

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