64 PERCENT OF U.S. VOTERS SAY TRUMP COMMITTED A CRIME, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; PRESIDENT GETS MIXED GRADES FOR NORTH KOREA

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1 Tim Malloy, Assistant Director (203) FOR RELEASE: MARCH 5, 2019 Rubenstein Pat Smith (212) PERCENT OF U.S. VOTERS SAY TRUMP COMMITTED A CRIME, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; PRESIDENT GETS MIXED GRADES FOR NORTH KOREA President Donald Trump committed crimes before he became president, American voters say percent in a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. Republicans say percent that President Trump did not commit crimes before he was president, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll finds. Every other listed party, gender, education, age and racial group says by wide margins that Trump committed crimes. But U.S. voters are divided percent on whether Trump committed any crimes while he has been president. A presidential candidate paying money to hide a negative story during a campaign, and not disclosing that payment, is unethical and a crime, 40 percent of voters say. Another 21 percent say it is unethical, but not a crime, and 20 percent say it is not unethical. Congress should not begin impeachment proceedings against Trump, American voters say percent. But Congress should do more to investigate Michael Cohen s claims about President Trump s unethical and illegal behavior, voters say percent. American voters believe Cohen more than Trump percent. Cohen told the truth, 44 percent of voters say, while 36 percent say he did not tell the truth. Voters approve percent of the way Democrats in Congress handled Cohen s testimony before the U.S. House Oversight Committee. Voters disapprove percent of the way Republicans handled the Cohen hearing. Cloudy and 38. The future of Donald Trump s presidency and the percentage of people who support him mirror the March weather in D.C., said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. question. The answers to two survey questions deliver a double-barreled gut punch to the honesty -more-

2 Quinnipiac University Poll/March 5, 2019 page 2 When two-thirds of voters think you have committed a crime in your past life, and almost half of voters say it s a tossup over whether you committed a crime while in the Oval Office, confidence in your overall integrity is very shaky, Malloy added. Add to that, Michael Cohen, a known liar headed to the big house, has more credibility than the leader of the free world. American voters give Trump a negative percent job approval rating, compared to a negative percent in a January 29 Quinnipiac University National Poll. Voters say percent that Trump is not honest, his worst grade ever on that character trait. He gets negative grades on other traits: percent that he has good leadership skills; percent that he cares about average Americans; percent that he is a good role model for children. Trump gets mixed or negative grades for handling key issues: 49 percent approve his handling of the economy and 45 percent disapprove; Negative percent for handling foreign policy; Negative percent for handling immigration issues. North Korea American voters are divided on Trump s handling of U.S. policy toward North Korea as 44 percent approve and 45 percent disapprove. But voters say percent they do not have confidence in Trump to handle the situation with North Korea. Trump s decision to try to create a close relationship with North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un is a good idea, voters say percent. Voters are divided percent on whether the president s meetings with Kim Jong- Un have been a success or a failure. From March 1 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,120 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points, including the design effect. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues. Visit poll.qu.edu or Call (203) , or follow us on 2

3 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Approve 38% 82% 6% 34% 48% 30% 38% 52% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 22% 39% 44% 41% 55% 36% 45% 12% 20% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? App Dis DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 29, Jan 15, Dec 19, Nov 20, Oct 02, Sep 10, Aug 14, Jul 24, Jul 03,

4 1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? Approve strongly 28% 67% 4% 22% 36% 21% 27% 43% Approve smwht Disapprove smwht Disapprove strongly DK/NA Approve strongly 12% 26% 35% 35% 43% 27% 35% 7% 13% Approve smwht Disapprove smwht Disapprove strongly DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove? APPROVE... DISAPPROVE... Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 29, Jan 15, Dec 19, Nov 20, Oct 02, Sep 10, Aug 14, Jul 24, Jul 03,

5 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Approve 27% 59% 5% 24% 29% 24% 25% 38% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 26% 26% 27% 25% 33% 29% 31% 11% 22% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? App Dis DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 29, Jan 15, Dec 19, Nov 20, Jul 25, Jun 20, Apr 25, Mar 21, Feb 21,

6 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Approve 38% 8% 74% 33% 28% 46% 43% 28% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 39% 39% 41% 35% 26% 44% 35% 49% 44% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? App Dis DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 29, Jan 15, Dec 19, Nov 20, Jul 25, Jun 20, Apr 25, Mar 21, Feb 21,

7 4. Would you say that Donald Trump - is honest, or not? Yes 30% 66% 3% 26% 39% 22% 31% 45% No DK/NA Yes 19% 29% 34% 32% 46% 30% 38% 7% 11% No DK/NA TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump is honest, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 15, Nov 20, Sep 10, Jul 03, Jun 06, Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19,

8 5. Would you say that Donald Trump - has good leadership skills, or not? Yes 39% 78% 7% 38% 49% 31% 38% 54% No DK/NA Yes 31% 41% 43% 38% 54% 38% 46% 11% 24% No DK/NA TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump has good leadership skills, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 15, Nov 20, Sep 10, Jul 03, Jun 06, Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19,

9 6. Would you say that Donald Trump - cares about average Americans, or not? Yes 39% 83% 7% 36% 48% 32% 39% 55% No DK/NA Yes 26% 35% 47% 41% 56% 39% 47% 13% 21% No DK/NA TREND: Would you say that Donald Trump cares about average Americans, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 15, Nov 20, Sep 10, Jul 03, Jun 06, Mar 21, Jan 25, Jan 10, Dec 19,

10 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the economy? Approve 49% 89% 14% 48% 58% 41% 49% 60% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 39% 49% 51% 50% 63% 47% 55% 18% 38% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy? App Dis DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 29, Jan 15, Nov 20, Jul 24, Jul 03, Jun 20, Jun 06, Apr 10, Mar 07,

11 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - foreign policy? Approve 38% 79% 6% 34% 48% 29% 39% 51% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 25% 38% 42% 41% 53% 36% 45% 12% 24% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling foreign policy? App Dis DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 29, Jan 15, Nov 20, Jul 24, Jul 03, Jun 20, Jun 06, Apr 10, Mar 07,

12 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - immigration issues? Approve 40% 83% 7% 37% 49% 32% 39% 56% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 23% 38% 47% 43% 55% 40% 47% 14% 20% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling immigration issues? App Dis DK/NA Mar 05, Jan 29, Jan 15, Nov 20, Jul 03, Jun 06, Apr 10, Feb 07, Jan 17, Dec 19,

13 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the nation's policy toward North Korea? Approve 44% 78% 14% 43% 57% 32% 44% 56% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 34% 43% 47% 45% 63% 38% 50% 18% 28% Disapprove DK/NA TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the nation's policy toward North Korea? App Dis DK/NA Mar 05, Jul 03, Jun 06, Apr 25, May 10, Apr 19, Do you think that President Trump is a good role model for children, or not? Yes/Good role model 22% 54% 3% 17% 27% 18% 22% 34% No DK/NA Yes/Good role model 11% 21% 29% 25% 32% 24% 28% 7% 11% No DK/NA TREND: Do you think that President Trump is a good role model for children, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 05, Jun 06, Mar 21, Jan 25,

14 12. Do you believe that Donald Trump is more honest than most of the previous presidents, less honest than most previous presidents, or that Donald Trump is just about as honest as most previous presidents? More honest 20% 43% 1% 18% 26% 14% 17% 30% Less honest Just about as honest DK/NA More honest 16% 22% 19% 18% 30% 17% 23% 6% 13% Less honest Just about as honest DK/NA TREND: Do you believe that Donald Trump is more honest than most of the previous presidents, less honest than most previous presidents, or that Donald Trump is just about as honest as most previous presidents? More Less JustAs Honest Honest Honest DK/NA Mar 05, Nov 20, Jun 06, Mar 21, Aug 23, Aug 17, Mar 22,

15 13. Do you think that Congress should begin the process to impeach President Trump, which could lead to his removal from office, or don't you think so? Yes/Begin process 35% 6% 66% 30% 23% 45% 33% 26% No DK/NA Yes/Begin process 42% 38% 36% 29% 20% 38% 29% 61% 45% No DK/NA TREND: Do you think that Congress should begin the process to impeach President Trump, which could lead to his removal from office, or don't you think so? Yes/ Begin No DK/NA Mar 05, Dec 19, Do you think Donald Trump should publicly release his tax returns, or not? Yes/Should 64% 29% 91% 66% 57% 69% 66% 53% No DK/NA Yes/Should 67% 63% 64% 66% 52% 66% 60% 78% 78% No DK/NA TREND: Do you think Donald Trump should publicly release his tax returns, or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 05, Nov 20, Feb 21, May 11, Apr 04, Mar 22, Mar 08, Feb 23,

16 15. If President Trump refuses to release his tax returns, do you think that Congress should investigate the situation, or not? Yes/Should 57% 20% 90% 58% 48% 64% 54% 45% No DK/NA Yes/Should 74% 57% 52% 53% 42% 57% 50% 87% 70% No DK/NA TREND: If President Trump refuses to release his tax returns, do you think that Congress should investigate the situation, or not? Yes/ Should No DK/NA Mar 05, Nov 20,

17 18. Do you have confidence in President Trump to handle the situation with North Korea or not? Yes/Confidence 42% 82% 7% 41% 53% 33% 43% 55% No DK/NA Yes/Confidence 32% 40% 46% 43% 58% 39% 49% 14% 28% No DK/NA TREND: Do you have confidence in President Trump to handle the situation with North Korea or not? Yes No DK/NA Mar 05, Jun 20, Jun 06, Apr 25, Mar 21, Jan 11, Dec 12, Nov 14, Oct 12, Sep 28, Do you think that President Trump's decision to try to create a close relationship with the leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-Un, is a good idea or a bad idea? Good idea 54% 80% 27% 57% 65% 45% 55% 64% Bad idea DK/NA Good idea 50% 53% 57% 54% 69% 51% 59% 33% 45% Bad idea DK/NA

18 20. Do you think that President Trump's meetings with the leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-Un, during his presidency have so far been a success or a failure? Success 42% 72% 15% 40% 51% 33% 43% 53% Failure DK/NA Success 36% 40% 44% 42% 58% 39% 48% 20% 26% Failure DK/NA As you may know, Special Counsel Robert Mueller was appointed to oversee the criminal investigation into any links or coordination between President Trump's campaign and the Russian government. Do you think that he is conducting a fair investigation into this matter, or not? Yes/Fair 54% 33% 75% 56% 52% 56% 61% 46% No DK/NA Yes/Fair 53% 56% 55% 59% 51% 55% 53% 70% 51% No DK/NA TREND: As you may know, Special Counsel Robert Mueller was appointed to oversee the criminal investigation into any links or coordination between President Trump's campaign and the Russian government. Do you think that he is conducting a fair investigation into this matter, or not? Yes/ Fair No DK/NA Mar 05, Dec 19, Nov 20, Sep 10, Aug 14, Jul 24, Jun 08, Apr 26, Apr 10, Mar 07,

19 29. As you may know, President Trump's former attorney, Michael Cohen, publicly testified before the U.S. House Oversight Committee. Do you think Cohen told the truth during his testimony before the U.S. House Oversight Committee, or don't you think so? Yes/Told truth 44% 11% 70% 47% 39% 48% 49% 32% No DK/NA Yes/Told truth 41% 43% 44% 51% 37% 45% 41% 63% 47% No DK/NA In general, who do you believe more: President Trump or Michael Cohen? Trump 35% 79% 4% 31% 45% 27% 35% 50% Cohen DK/NA Trump 26% 30% 41% 38% 51% 34% 42% 12% 19% Cohen DK/NA Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress handled Michael Cohen's testimony before the U.S. House Oversight Committee? Approve 41% 8% 72% 42% 37% 45% 46% 30% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 38% 43% 42% 46% 33% 43% 38% 61% 50% Disapprove DK/NA

20 32. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress handled Michael Cohen's testimony before the U.S. House Oversight Committee? Approve 25% 47% 9% 24% 29% 21% 26% 28% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 20% 23% 28% 26% 31% 24% 27% 13% 28% Disapprove DK/NA Do you think that Congress should do more to investigate Michael Cohen's claims about President Trump's unethical and illegal behavior, or don't you think so? Yes/Should do more 58% 27% 87% 60% 52% 64% 59% 46% No DK/NA Yes/Should do more 75% 59% 53% 56% 45% 59% 52% 81% 77% No DK/NA Which comes closer to your point of view: Congress can investigate President Trump and work on other national issues at the same time, or the investigation into President Trump is distracting Congress from other national issues? Work at same time 46% 14% 74% 49% 39% 52% 47% 35% Distracting DK/NA Work at same time 53% 49% 44% 45% 34% 48% 41% 67% 52% Distracting DK/NA

21 35. Do you think that President Trump committed any crimes before he was president, or don't you think so? Yes/Committed crime 64% 33% 89% 65% 57% 69% 62% 57% No DK/NA Yes/Committed crime 78% 64% 59% 62% 54% 65% 60% 80% 77% No DK/NA Do you think that President Trump has committed any crimes while he has been president, or don't you think so? Yes/Committed crime 45% 12% 75% 46% 39% 51% 46% 36% No DK/NA Yes/Committed crime 55% 44% 45% 44% 36% 47% 41% 65% 44% No DK/NA Do you think that a presidential candidate paying money to hide a negative story about themselves during a presidential campaign and not disclosing that expense is unethical, or not? Yes/Unethical 73% 51% 94% 72% 66% 78% 75% 64% No DK/NA Yes/Unethical 80% 77% 70% 70% 64% 75% 70% 89% 77% No DK/NA

22 37a. Do you think that a presidential candidate paying money to hide a negative story about themselves during a presidential campaign and not disclosing that expense is unethical, or not? COMBINED WITH: (If unethical q37) Do you think it is a crime, or not? Unethical/A crime 40% 17% 65% 38% 32% 47% 36% 36% Unethical/Not crime Not unethical DK/NA Unethical/A crime 48% 38% 39% 41% 28% 44% 36% 57% 43% Unethical/Not crime Not unethical DK/NA

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