PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE AND THE PRESS AUGUST 1997 NEWS INTEREST INDEX -- FINAL TOPLINE -- August 7-10, 1997 N = 1,213
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1 PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE AND THE PRESS AUGUST 1997 NEWS INTEREST INDEX -- FINAL TOPLINE -- August 7-10, 1997 N = 1,213 Hello, I am calling for Princeton Survey Research Associates in Princeton, New Jersey. We are conducting a telephone opinion survey for leading newspapers and TV stations around the country. I'd like to ask a few questions of the youngest male, 18 years of age or older, who is now at home. [IF NO MALE, ASK: May I please speak with the oldest female, 18 years of age or older, who is now at home?] Q.1 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President? [IF DK ENTER AS DK. IF DEPENDS PROBE ONCE WITH: Overall do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President? IF STILL DEPENDS ENTER AS DK] Approve Disapprove Don't Know August, =100 June, =100 May, =100 April, =100 February, =100 Early February, =100 January, =100 November, =100 July, =100 June, =100 April, =100 March, =100 February, =100 January, =100 October, =100 September, =100 August, =100 June, =100 April, =100 March, =100 February, =100 December, =100 November, =100 October, =100 Early October, =100 September, =100 July, =100 June, =100 May, =100 March, =100 January, =100 Early January, =100 1
2 Q.1 con't... Approve Disapprove Don't Know December, =100 October, =100 September, =100 Early September, =100 August, =100 May, =100 Early May, =100 April, =100 February, =100 Q.2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job the Republican leaders in Congress are doing? [IF DK ENTER AS DK. IF DEPENDS PROBE ONCE WITH: Overall do you approve or disapprove of the job the Republican leaders in Congress are doing? IF STILL DEPENDS ENTER AS DK] Approve Disapprove Don t know August, =100 June, =100 May, =100 April, =100 February, =100 January, =100 November, =100 July, =100 June, =100 April, =100 March, =100 February, =100 January, =100 October, =100 September, =100 August, =100 June, =100 April, =100 March =100 December, =100 2
3 Q.3 Can you recall anything you have heard or read about Bill Clinton in the news recently? (ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES; PROBE ONCE) Feb SCANDAL (NET) Sexual Harassment (Net) Sexual harassment (unspecified) -- 6 Paula Jones 6 1 Accused of harassment by woman in White House -- 5 Whitewater 18 3 Campaign Finance 7 23 DOMESTIC POLICY (NET) Balanced Budget (Net) Budget agreement -- 6 Tax bill -- 3 Line item veto -- 4 UPS Strike -- 1 Welfare Reform 2 2 Bad things, Don t like him (general) -- 2 Knee Injury -- 2 His Travels -- 1 Personal Life (general) 4 1 Weight Loss Other Don't know/no answer 47 3
4 Q.4 All in all, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in this country today? Satisfied Dissatisfied No Opinion August, =100 January, =100 July, =100 March, =100 October, =100 June, =100 April, =100 July, =100 March, =100 October, =100 September, =100 May, =100 January, =100 January, =100 November, =100 Late February, 1991 (Gallup) =100 August, =100 May, =100 January, =100 September, =100 May, =100 January, =100 ON ANOTHER SUBJECT... Q.4a Do you happen to know the name of the professional boxer who bit off part of the ear of his opponent in a recent championship bout? 79 Mike Tyson 4 Other answer 17 DK/Refused 100 Q.4b Can you name the country which recently re-acquired a piece of territory that had been a British colony? 40 China 12 Other answer 48 DK/Refused 100 4
5 Q.5 Now I will read a list of some stories covered by news organizations this past month. As I read each item, tell me if you happened to follow this news story very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not at all closely? [READ AND ROTATE LIST] Very Fairly Not too Not at all (VOL) Closely Closely Closely Closely DK a. The debate in Washington about the federal budget =100 May, =100 February, =100 March, *=100 January, *=100 September, *=100 August, =100 b. Senate hearings on improper foreign campaign contributions =100 May, =100 April, =100 February, =100 January, *=100 December, *=100 c. An attempt by some Republican House members to replace Newt Gingrich as Speaker =100 d. The problems aboard the Russian space station Mir *=100 e. The exploration of the planet Mars by the Pathfinder spacecraft *=100 f. The slaying of designer Gianni Versace and the search for the suspect, Andrew Cunanan *=100 g. The expansion of NATO to include Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic =100 April, =100 January, = In this month the story was listed as "The debate in Congress over the federal budget." In this month story was listed as Charges of improper campaign contributions to the Democrats by foreign business interests. In previous months story was listed as "Charges of improper campaign contributions to the Democrats by Indonesian business interests." In previous months story was listed as The discussion and debate about expanding NATO into Eastern Europe. 5
6 Q.5 con t... Very Fairly Not too Not at all (VOL) Closely Closely Closely Closely DK h. The reunification of Hong Kong and China =100 i. The suicide bombing by Palestinian terrorists in a Jerusalem market *=100 ON ANOTHER SUBJECT... Q.6 If the elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district? IF RESPONDENT ANSWERED "3" OR "9" IN Q.6, ASK: Q.6a As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to the Republican or the Democrat? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: [N=904] Early Late Early Early Nov Oct Sept Sept July June March Jan Oct Aug Nov Oct Oct Sept July Rep/Lean Rep Dem/Lean Dem Other/Undecided Based on Likely Voters. 6
7 ON A DIFFERENT SUBJECT... ASK OF FORM 1 ONLY: [N=610] Q.7F1 Now I'd like your views on some people and things in the news. As I read from a list, please tell me which category best describes your overall opinion of who or what I name. (First,) would you say your overall opinion of... (INSERT ITEM; ROTATE) is very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly UNfavorable, or very unfavorable? (INTERVIEWERS: PROBE TO DISTINGUISH BETWEEN "NEVER HEARD OF" AND "CAN'T RATE") Very Mostly Mostly Very Never Favor- Favor- Unfavor- Unfavor- Heard Can't able able able able Of Rate a. Bill Clinton =100 April, * 2=100 January, * 2=100 October, =100 June, * 2=100 April, =100 February, =100 January, =100 August, =100 February, =100 December, =100 July, * 1=100 May, =100 July, =100 June, =100 May, * 5=100 March, =100 February, =100 January, =100 November, =100 b. Al Gore =100 April, =100 January, =100 July, =100 August, =100 July, =100 September, =100 c. Newt Gingrich =100 April, =100 January, =100 August, =100 February, =100 December, =100 July, = October 1996 trend based on registered voters. July 1992 trend based on 461 respondents asked on July 9, 1992 only. 7
8 Q.7F1 con't... Very Mostly Mostly Very Never Favor- Favor- Unfavor- Unfavor- Heard Can't able able able able Of Rate d. Congress =100 June, =100 May, * 9=100 February, * 8=100 January, * 4=100 June, * 5=100 April, =100 January, * 4=100 October, =100 August, * 7=100 June, * 5=100 February, =100 July, * 4=100 May, =100 November, =100 May, =100 May, =100 January, =100 May, * 6=100 January, =100 June, * 7=100 e. The Democratic Party =100 June, * 6=100 January, * 5=100 October, =100 July, * 4=100 May, =100 July, * 6=100 f. The Republican Party * 6=100 June, =100 January, * 5=100 October, * 4=100 July, * 4=100 May, =100 July, * 6=100 8
9 Q.9 Generally, what's the better situation: that a President's political party also have a controlling majority in Congress OR is it better that one party control the White House, while the other party controls the Congress...or don't you think it matters too much one way or the other? May President's party also control Congress One party control each Doesn't matter 40 8 Can't say NO QUESTION Q.11 As I read some pairs of opposite phrases, tell me which ONE best reflects your impression of Bill Clinton. (First,) does Bill Clinton impress you as... (READ AND ROTATE) Sept July Dec Aug Jan a. 47 Trustworthy or Not trustworthy (DO NOT READ) Neither particularly (DO NOT READ) Don't know/refused Sept July Dec Aug b. 64 Able to get things done or Not able to get things done (DO NOT READ) Neither particularly (DO NOT READ) Don't know/refused July Dec Aug c. 31 Liberal, Middle of the road or Conservative (DO NOT READ) Neither particularly (DO NOT READ) Don't know/refused d. 45 Keeps his promises or Doesn't keep his promises (DO NOT READ) Neither particularly (DO NOT READ) Don't know/refused
10 ON A DIFFERENT SUBJECT... Q.12 Would you like to see your Representative in Congress be re-elected in the next congressional election, or not? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: [N=904] Early Late Early Early ---Gallup--- Nov Oct Sept Sept Nov Oct Oct Oct Yes No Congressman is 0 not running (VOL) No opinion Q.12a Regardless of how you feel about your own Representative, would you like to see most members of Congress re-elected in the next congressional election, or not? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS: [N=904] Early Late Early Sept Nov Oct Oct Yes No Don t know/refused Q.13 Now, I'm going to read you some phrases. Please tell me if you think each one better describes the REPUBLICAN Party and its leaders or the DEMOCRATIC Party and its leaders. (First,) which party do you think is better described by the phrase... (INSERT ITEM; ROTATE START) Republican Democratic Both Don't Party Party Equally Neither Know a. Able to manage the Federal government well =100 July, =100 April, =100 July, =100 May, =100 May, =100 January, =100 May, =100 10
11 Q.13 con't... Republican Democratic Both Don't Party Party Equally Neither Know b. Can bring about the kind of changes the country needs =100 July, =100 April, =100 July, =100 May, =100 May, =100 January, =100 May, =100 c. Is concerned with the needs of people like me =100 July, =100 April, =100 July, =100 May, =100 May, =100 January, =100 d. Governs in an honest and ethical way =100 July, =100 April, =100 July, =100 e. Well organized =100 July, =100 July, =100 May, =100 May, =100 January, =100 May, =100 Q.14 This year, have Republicans and Democrats in Washington been working together more to solve problems, OR have they been bickering and opposing one another more than usual? June Oct Aug Working together more Opposing each other more Same as in past (VOL) Don't know/refused
12 Now, I d like to ask you about some things that have been in the news recently. Not everyone will have heard about them... Q.15 Compared to five years ago, has the federal budget deficit increased, decreased, or stayed about the same? May Increased Decreased 9 17 Stayed about the same 8 11 DK/Refused Q.16 Now thinking about the PAST YEAR, please tell me whether you think each of the following has increased, decreased or stayed the same... (First), INSERT ITEM; ROTATE Increased Decreased Stayed the Same DK a. The crime rate =100 b. Unemployment =100 c. Inflation =100 12
13 Q.17 Over the PAST FEW MONTHS has the stock market been going up, going down, or not changing too much either way? May Going up 11 6 Going down Staying the same DK/Refused Q.18 Have you heard that Congress recently passed legislation to balance the federal budget and cut taxes for many Americans? IF RESPONDENT ANSWERED 1' HAVE HEARD ABOUT THE BUDGET LEGISLATION, ASK: Q.19 From what you ve heard or read, would you say you approve or disapprove of the balanced budget legislation? 75 Yes, have heard about the budget legislation 52 Approve 14 Disapprove 9 DK/Refused 23 No, have not heard GO TO Q.20 2 DK/Refused GO TO Q
14 ASK ALL: ON A DIFFERENT SUBJECT... Q.20 Now I m going to ask you about several things the federal government has done in recent years. For each item I read, please tell me how important you think it has been for country. (First),(INSERT ITEM; ROTATE)...has this been very important, somewhat important, not too important or not at all important? Q.21 Of all the things I just read, which ONE has been most important to you and your family personally? (READ LIST AGAIN IF NECESSARY) Ranked Importance Level Most Very Somewhat Not too Not at all DK Important a. The Family Leave Act, which allows people to take time off from work to care for a new baby or a sick family member = b. An increase in the minimum wage =100 9 c. A new ratings system for television programs =100 3 d. Welfare reform =100 8 e. A deal reached between several states and the tobacco industry to severely restrict the advertising and sale of cigarettes =100 4 f. The recent agreement to balance the federal budget and cut taxes for many Americans = g. The decision to expand the membership of NATO, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization =100 1 h. A law which allows people to keep their health insurance even if they lose their job or change jobs =
15 Now thinking about the balanced budget legislation passed by Congress and signed into law by President Clinton... ASK Q.22 AND Q.23 OF FORM 1 ONLY: [N=610] Q.22F1 In your opinion, if the federal budget IS balanced in five years, do you think this will help you and your family financially, hurt you and your family financially, or not affect you and your family too much? May Feb Jan Help Hurt Not much affect Don't know/refused Q.23F1 Do you think the federal budget will actually be balanced by the year 2002, or won t the budget be balanced by then? May Feb Will be balanced Won't be balanced Don't know/refused % 9 ASK Q.24 AND Q.25 OF FORM 2 ONLY: [N=603] Q.24F2 From what you ve heard or read about the balanced budget agreement, do you think it will help you and your family financially, hurt you and your family financially, or not affect you and your family too much? 30 Help GO TO Q.25 9 Hurt GO TO Q Not much affect GO TO Q.26 7 DK/Refused GO TO Q In January 1996, the question referred to a seven year balanced budget plan. In February 1997 question was based on the percent of respondents who thought President Clinton and the Republican leaders in Congress would be able to reach an agreement (28% yes, 62% no, 2% depends, 8% don't know/refused). 15
16 IF HELP IN Q.24, ASK: Q.25F2 In what ways will the budget agreement help you and your family? (Open-end) 36 Will cut taxes 20 People will have more money 10 Capital gains tax change/reduce capital gains tax 8 Balanced budget good for future generations 8 Tax credit for children 6 Cut for college tuition/deductions for college/tuition assistance 4 Improve economy 3 Will help to lower debt 16 Other 11 Don t know/no answer 16
17 ASK ALL: Q.26 Now, I d like to ask you about some specific parts of the recent balanced budget agreement. The (first one) is... (INSERT ITEM; ROTATE) Have you heard or read about this, or not? IF RESPONDENT ANSWERS YES, HAVE HEARD ABOUT THE ITEM, CONTINUE WITH Q.27 BEFORE READING NEXT ITEM IN Q.26; IF NO OR DK, MOVE ON TO NEXT ITEM IN Q.26. IF 1' HAVE HEARD, ASK: Q.27 Do you approve or disapprove of this? INTERVIEWER NOTE: SPLIT FORM ITEMS WHERE INDICATED -- Heard Of Based On Those Who Heard -- Yes No DK Approve Disapprove DK a. A $500 tax credit for each child under *= =100 b. Tax credits and incentives for college tuition expenses = =100 c. A reduction in the capital gains tax rate = =100 d. New rules for Individual Retirement Accounts, making these accounts available to more Americans = =100 e. An increase in the amount of inherited wealth which is exempt from federal estate taxes *= =100 f. A new program to finance health care for children without insurance = =100 ASK FORM 1 ONLY: [N=610] g.f1 Changes in the Medicare system, including offering new insurance options, such as HMOs, to the elderly = =100 ASK FORM 2 ONLY: [N=603] h.f2 Changes in the Medicare system, including limiting payments to hospitals, doctors and other health care providers = =100 ASK ALL: i. Restoring some welfare benefits to legal immigrants = =100 j. A limit on the amount of capital gains that can be exempted in the sale of a home = =100 17
18 ASK ALL: Q.28 Now that Congress and the President have reached an agreement on how to balance the federal budget by the year 2002, which ONE of the following issues do you think they should address next? (READ ITEMS; ROTATE) (ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES, BUT DO NOT PROBE) 2 Reforming the campaign finance system 12 Improving the long term stability of the Medicare system 29 Improving the long term stability of the Social Security system 30 Improving the educational system 4 Improving race relations 18 Reducing poverty and homelessness 1 None of the above 2 Other (SPECIFY) 1 DK/Refused ON ANOTHER SUBJECT... Q.29 There is a proposal that the country apologize to African Americans for slavery. Do you favor or oppose this? 33 Favor 58 Oppose 9 Don't know/refused
19 Q.30 How often if ever do you listen to radio shows that invite listeners to call in to discuss current events, public issues and politics regularly, sometimes, rarely or never? Early Sept July June April March Oct April Nov July Dec April Regularly Sometimes Rarely Never * Don't know/refused 1 * 1 * * * * 1 * 0 * Q.31 Some people say we should have a third major political party in this country in addition to the Democrats and Republicans. Do you agree or disagree? ABC/Washington Post 10 July Oct April July Jan Sept Agree Disagree Don't know/refused Trends based on a somewhat different question wording: "Tell me if you tend to agree or disagree with [the following statement], or if perhaps, you have no opinion about the statement -- 'We should have a third major political party in this country in addition to the Democrats and Republicans.'" 19
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