Tim Malloy, Assistant Director (203) Rubenstein Pat Smith (212) FOR RELEASE: DECEMBER 18, 2018
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1 Tim Malloy, Assistant Director (203) FOR RELEASE: DECEMBER 18, 2018 Rubenstein Pat Smith (212) U.S. VOTERS SAY NO WALL AND DON T SHUT DOWN GOVERNMENT, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; FOCUS ON ISSUES, NOT IMPEACHMENT, VOTERS TELL DEMS 7-1 American voters oppose building a wall on the Mexican border percent and say percent the wall is not necessary to improve border security, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. This is the highest level of support for the wall since the independent Quinnipiac (KWINuh-pe-ack) University National Poll first asked the question in November Opposition to the wall is percent among women, 90 8 percent among Democrats. Republicans support the wall percent. Independent voters are divided as 45 percent support the wall, with 51 percent opposed. Men also are divided as 47 percent support the wall, with 51 percent opposed. White voters are divided percent. Opposition is percent among black voters and percent among Hispanic voters. By a wider percent, American voters oppose shutting down the government because of funding differences over the wall. Republicans support shutting down the government over the wall percent, the only listed party, gender, education, age or racial group supporting a shutdown. If there is a shutdown, 51 percent of voters would blame President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress more, as 37 percent would blame Democrats in Congress more. Independent voters would blame Trump and Republicans more than Democrats percent. American voters say percent that border security is an important issue. A blunt holiday greeting card for President Donald Trump: Don t build a border wall and don t shut down the government to try to get it done, said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. American voters say percent, including percent among Democrats, that Democrats in Congress should focus more on other national issues rather than on impeaching President Trump. -more-
2 Quinnipiac University Poll/December 18, 2018 page 2 Listing top priorities for Congress next year, American voters say: 24 percent for immigration; 23 percent for health care; 14 percent for the economy; 11 percent for the environment; 8 percent for impeachment. The Economy In the last two years, Trump has done his best job handling the economy, 38 percent of voters say, as 10 percent list taxes and 9 percent say he has done his best job on trade. Trump has done his worst job on race relations, 20 percent of voters say, as 19 percent list immigration, 13 percent say the environment and 12 percent cite health care. A total of 65 percent of American voters say the nation s economy is excellent or good, while 35 percent say not so good or poor. Trump s policies have helped the economy, 43 percent say, as 30 percent say his policies have hurt the economy and 25 percent say his policies aren t making much of a difference. A total of 75 percent of voters say their financial situation is excellent or good, as 24 percent say not so good or poor. Their financial situation will get better in the coming year, 38 percent of voters say, as 9 percent say it will get worse and 51 percent say it will stay the same. The Environment A total of 69 percent of American voters are very concerned or somewhat concerned about climate change. Voters say percent, including percent among voters 18 to 34 years old, that climate change will have a significant negative effect on the world in their lifetime. It s their world to inherit and it s clear younger voters see a looming environmental catastrophe on the horizon, Malloy said. From December 12 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,147 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points, including the design effect. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues. Visit poll.qu.edu or Call (203) , or follow us on 2
3 16. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Very satisfied 13% 28% 1% 11% 16% 10% 15% 16% Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA Very satisfied 10% 15% 14% 11% 18% 13% 15% 3% 4% Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Very Smwht Smwht Very sat sat dis dis DK/NA Dec 18, Sep 10, Jun 06, Feb 20, Jan 18, Dec 20, Nov 22, Nov 14, Oct 11, Sep 27, See additional trend information on website 17. Do you think that there are enough checks and balances in the federal government, or don't you think so? Yes/Enough 39% 52% 28% 42% 49% 31% 50% 33% No DK/NA Yes/Enough 33% 44% 44% 35% 52% 32% 41% 26% 42% No DK/NA
4 18. Which of the following issues do you think should be the top priority for Congress next year: the economy, health care, immigration, taxes, infrastructure, the environment, gun policy, or the impeachment of President Trump? Economy 14% 16% 10% 14% 16% 12% 12% 14% Health care Immigration Taxes Infrastructure Environment Gun policy Impeachment of Trump SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA Economy 21% 10% 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% 11% 18% Health care Immigration Taxes Infrastructure Environment Gun policy Impeachment of Trump SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
5 21. Out of the following issues, which one do you think President Trump has done the best job handling over the last two years: the economy, health care, immigration, taxes, the environment, foreign policy, trade, or race relations? The economy 38% 57% 21% 40% 41% 35% 42% 41% Health care Immigration Taxes Environment Foreign policy Trade Race relations SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA The economy 31% 41% 39% 39% 47% 38% 42% 21% 26% Health care Immigration Taxes Environment Foreign policy Trade Race relations SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA
6 22. Out of the following issues, which one do you think President Trump has done the worst job handling over the last two years: the economy, health care, immigration, taxes, the environment, foreign policy, trade, or race relations? The economy 3% 1% 4% 4% 3% 3% 1% 3% Health care Immigration Taxes Environment Foreign policy Trade Race relations SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA The economy 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 7% 2% Health care Immigration Taxes Environment Foreign policy Trade Race relations SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) DK/NA Do you think Nancy Pelosi would make a good Speaker of the House, or don't you think so? Yes 43% 18% 75% 37% 42% 44% 48% 35% No DK/NA Yes 43% 35% 45% 52% 39% 43% 41% 69% 25% No DK/NA
7 28. In general, do you think that the Democrats in Congress should focus more on impeaching President Trump, or focus more on other national issues? Impeaching Trump 12% 4% 19% 12% 10% 13% 9% 6% National issues DK/NA Impeaching Trump 13% 11% 12% 12% 6% 9% 7% 32% 16% National issues DK/NA Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Excellent 14% 29% 2% 13% 17% 11% 15% 17% Good Not so good Poor DK/NA Excellent 8% 14% 15% 19% 21% 12% 16% 2% 5% Good Not so good Poor DK/NA TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Not so Exclnt Good Good Poor DK/NA Dec 18, Sep 10, Aug 14, Jun 06, Apr 11, Mar 07, Feb 07, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 22, See additional trend information on website 7
8 30. Do you think President Trump's policies are helping the nation's economy, hurting the nation's economy, or aren't making much of a difference? Helping 43% 84% 6% 47% 48% 39% 45% 54% Hurting No difference DK/NA Helping 30% 48% 47% 44% 56% 44% 49% 8% 31% Hurting No difference DK/NA TREND: Do you think President Trump's policies are helping the nation's economy, hurting the nation's economy, or aren't making much of a difference? Help Hurt NoDiff DK/NA Dec 18, Jan 10, Nov 22,
9 31. Would you describe your financial situation these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Excellent 17% 23% 12% 19% 18% 16% 25% 12% Good Not so good Poor DK/NA Excellent 10% 19% 19% 18% 19% 17% 18% 8% 11% Good Not so good Poor DK/NA TREND: Would you describe your financial situation these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Not so Exclnt Good Good Poor DK/NA Dec 18, Jun 06, Apr 11, Mar 07, Feb 07, Jan 10, Dec 19, Nov 22, Nov 15, Oct 11, See additional trend information on website 9
10 32. Compared to 2 years ago, do you think your financial situation has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Better 38% 61% 14% 42% 43% 33% 37% 41% Worse Same DK/NA Better 40% 47% 37% 28% 47% 33% 39% 22% 41% Worse Same DK/NA TREND: Compared to 2 years ago, do you think your financial situation has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA Dec 18, Aug 14, In the coming year, do you think that your financial situation will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Better 38% 47% 27% 39% 41% 35% 32% 35% Worse Same DK/NA Better 51% 47% 32% 24% 40% 29% 33% 44% 58% Worse Same DK/NA
11 34. Thinking about this holiday season, do you plan to spend more on gifts this year than last year, less on gifts or about the same as last year? More 13% 19% 5% 17% 17% 10% 14% 16% Less Same DK/NA More 21% 16% 12% 7% 20% 11% 15% 3% 8% Less Same DK/NA TREND: Thinking about this holiday season, do you plan to spend more on gifts this year than last year, less on gifts or about the same as last year? About More Less Same DK/NA Dec 18, Dec 20, Nov 26, Dec 11, Nov 13, Dec 11, Are you worried that you or someone in your family might be affected by an extreme weather event, or is that not something you're worried about? Yes/Worried 40% 17% 56% 42% 36% 43% 35% 38% No/Not worried DK/NA Yes/Worried 45% 38% 43% 33% 30% 42% 36% 63% 38% No/Not worried DK/NA
12 39. Do you think that the extreme weather events in the United States over the past few years are related to climate change, or don't you think so? Yes/Related 61% 24% 90% 63% 57% 64% 61% 55% No DK/NA Yes/Related 72% 58% 59% 58% 53% 61% 57% 80% 72% No DK/NA Would you support or oppose shutting down the government over differences about federal government funding for a wall along the border with Mexico? Support 34% 59% 12% 33% 39% 29% 35% 39% Oppose DK/NA Support 22% 34% 40% 34% 45% 31% 38% 10% 24% Oppose DK/NA As you may know, Congress must pass a new spending bill in order to prevent a government shutdown. If a government shutdown does occur, who would you blame more: President Trump and the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress? Trump/Reps in Congrs 51% 13% 90% 48% 49% 53% 52% 41% Dems in Congress DK/NA Trump/Reps in Congrs 64% 46% 48% 54% 42% 50% 47% 79% 59% Dems in Congress DK/NA
13 45. How concerned are you about climate change; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all? Very concerned 42% 9% 72% 40% 37% 46% 43% 32% Smwht concerned Not so concerned Not concerned at all DK/NA Very concerned 47% 37% 43% 43% 33% 41% 37% 60% 47% Smwht concerned Not so concerned Not concerned at all DK/NA TREND: How concerned are you about climate change; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all? Very Smwht NotSo Not Concern Concern Concern Concern DK/NA Dec 18, Mar 22, Sep 28, Aug 16, Jun 07, Apr 05, Mar 24, Mar 08, Feb 08, Jan 27, See additional trend information on website 46. Do you think that climate change is going to have a significant negative effect on the world in your lifetime, or don't you think that? Yes/Negative effect 50% 20% 75% 52% 46% 54% 50% 41% No DK/NA Yes/Negative effect 65% 47% 51% 44% 40% 49% 45% 74% 53% No DK/NA
14 47. Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico? Support 43% 86% 8% 45% 47% 40% 42% 55% Oppose DK/NA Support 25% 49% 48% 45% 54% 44% 49% 16% 27% Oppose DK/NA TREND: Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico? Sup Opp DK/NA Dec 18, Aug 15, Jun 18, Apr 11, Feb 06, Jan 11, Dec 13, Sep 28, May 11, Apr 20, See additional trend information on website 48. Do you think that a wall along the border with Mexico is necessary to improve U.S. border security, or don't you think so? Yes/Necessary 44% 85% 10% 46% 47% 41% 42% 55% No DK/NA Yes/Necessary 21% 51% 50% 46% 54% 44% 48% 21% 30% No DK/NA
15 49. Do you think border security is an important issue, or don't you think so? Yes/Important 81% 97% 66% 84% 83% 80% 83% 84% No DK/NA Yes/Important 67% 88% 86% 78% 87% 81% 83% 66% 78% No DK/NA
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