September 15-19, N= 1,131 Registered N= 1,007

Transcription

1 POLL September 15-19, 2006 N= 1,131 Registered N= 1,007 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only.

2 1. I'd like you to compare the way things are going in the United States to the way they were going five years ago. Generally, would you say things are going better today, worse today, or about the same today as they were going five years ago? Better Worse Same DK/NA 1/ / / / / /19-22/ /12-15/ /14-18/ /15-19/ And what is your best guess about the United States five years from now? Generally, if things go pretty much as you now expect, do you think things will be better, worse, or about the same as they are today? Better Worse Same DK/NA 1/ / / / / /19-22/ /12-15/ /14-18/ /15-19/

3 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Dis- Dis- Approve approve DK/NA Approve approve DK/NA 2/10-12/01 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /8-12/ /28-10/1/ /4-5/01 CBS /20-21/03 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /14-18/ /10-13/ /28-31/01 CBS /14-15/ /11-12/01 CBS /12-15/ /13-14/ /12-15/04 CBS /20-23/ /24-27/04 CBS /25-28/ /10-14/ /7-10/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /5-6/02 CBS /23-27/ /15-17/02 CBS /20-23/04 CBS /21-24/ /23-27/ /24-26/02 CBS /11-15/ /1-2/02 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /28-5/1/ /12-16/ /13-14/02 CBS /20-22/04 CBS /19-20/02 CBS /1-3/ /18-20/02 CBS /9-11/04 CBS /8-9/02 CBS /14-17/ /13-16/ /28-30/ /22-23/02 CBS /18-21/ /6-7/02 CBS /14-18/ /2-5/ /24-28/ /22-23/02 CBS /9-14/05 NYT /3-6/ /13-16/05 CBS /27-31/ /20-24/05 CBS /20-24/ /10-15/ /4-6/03 CBS /13-14/05 CBS /19-22/ /29-8/2/05 CBS /5-6/03 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /10-12/ /6-7/05 CBS /24-25/03 CBS /9-13/ /4-5/03 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /7-9/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /2-6/ /17/03 CBS /5-8/06 CBS /20/03 PANEL /20-25/ /20-21/ /22-26/06 CBS /22/ /9-12/06 CBS /23/ /6-9/06 CBS /24/ /28-30/06 CBS /20-24/ /4-8/ /26-27/03 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /2-3/03 CBS /21-25/ /11-13/ /11-13/06 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /17-21/ /9-12/ /15-19/ /13-27/ /26-28/03 CBS

4 4. What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today? 7/03 10/03 11/04 1/05 2/05 6/05 9/05 12/05 1/06 5/06 7/06 9/06 Health Care Social Security Budget Deficit Education Medicare/ Medicaid Taxes Economy Immigration Defense Poverty Crime Foreign Policy Jobs Abortion Moral Values Welfare War Iraq Hurricane Katrina Politicians/ Government Heating oil/gas Crisis Environment Religious Values Terrorism general Other DK/NA

5 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling foreign policy? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 3/8-12/ /28-10/1/ /4-5/01 CBS /20-21/03 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /10-13/ /10-12/01 CBS /14-15/ /14-18/ /12-15/ /25-28/ /12-15/04 CBS /07-10/ /24-27/04 CBS /15-17/02 CBS /10-14/ /21-24/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /24-26/02 CBS /23-27/ /1-2/02 CBS /20-23/04 CBS /15-18/02 CBS /23-27/ / CBS /11-15/ /19-20/02 CBS /1-3/ /18-20/02 CBS /14-17/ /8-9/02 CBS /28-30/ /13-16/ /18-21/ /2-5/ /14-18/ /22-23/02 CBS /24-28/ /3-6/ /20-24/05 CBS /27-31/ /10-15/ /20-24/ /29-8/2/05 CBS /4-6/03 CBS /9-13/ /19-22/ /2-5/ /5-6/03 CBS /20-25/ /10-12/ /9-12/ /24-25/03 CBS /4-8/ /4-5/03 CBS /21-25/ /7-9/ /11-13/06 CBS /13-27/ /17-21/ /26-28/03 CBS /15-19/ /15-16/03 CBS

6 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy? Dis- Dis- Approve approve DK/NA Approve approve DK/NA 3/8-12/ /28-10/1/ /4-5/01 CBS /10-13/ /23-25/01 CBS /14-15/ /10-12/01 CBS /12-15/ /14-18/ /12-15/04 CBS /25-28/ /24-27/04 CBS /7-10/ /10-14/ /5-6/02 CBS /30-4/1/04 CBS /15-17/02 CBS /23-27/ /21-24/ /20-23/04 CBS /24-26/02 CBS /23-27/ /13-14/02 CBS /11-15/ /18-20/02 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /8-9/02 CBS /12-16/ /13-16/ /1-3/ /22-23/02 CBS /9-11/04 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /14-17/ /2-5/ /28-30/ /22-23/02 CBS /18-21/ /3-6/ /14-18/ /27-31/ /24-28/ /20-24/ /13-16/05 CBS /4-6/03 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /19-22/ /10-15/ /5-6/03 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /10-12/ /29-31/05 CBS /24-25/03 CBS /9-13/ /4-5/03 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /7-9/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /20-21/ /2-6/ /22/ /5-8/06 CBS /23/ /20-25/ /24/ /22-26/06 CBS /20-24/ /9-12/06 CBS /11-13/ /6-9/06 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /9-12/ /4-8/ /13-27/ /10-11/06 CBS /11-12/03 CBS /21-25/ /26-28/03 CBS /11-13/06 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /17-21/ /15-19/

7 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 2/10-12/ /23-27/ /24-25/03 CBS /11-15/ /4-5/03 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /7-9/ /12-16/ /15-16/03 CBS /1-3/ /17/03 CBS /9-11/04 CBS /20/03 PANEL /14-17/ /20-21/ /28-30/ /22/ /18-21/ /23/ /14-18/ /24/ /24-28/ /20-24/ /13-16/04 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /2-3/03 CBS /10-15/ /11-13/ /28-8/2/05 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /9-12/ /6-7/05 CBS /27-28/03 CBS /9-13/ /8-9/03 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /11-12/03 CBS /30-11/1/05 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /2-6/ /28-10/1/ /5-8/06 CBS /20-21/03 CBS /20-25/ /10-12/03 CBS /22-26/ /10-13/ /9-12/ /14-15/ /6-9/ /12-15/ /28-30/06 CBS /12-15/04 CBS /4-8/ /24-27/04 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /10-14/ /21-25/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /11-13/06 CBS /23-27/ /17-21/ /20-23/04 CBS /15-19/

8 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the campaign against terrorism? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 10/25-28/ /9-11/04 CBS /07-10/ /14-17/ /5-6/02 CBS /28-30/ /15-17/02 CBS /18-21/ /21-24/ /14-18/ /24-26/02 CBS /24-28/ /1-2/02 CBS /13-16/05 CBS /13-14/02 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /19-20/02 CBS /10-15/ /18-20/02 CBS /13-14/05 CBS /8-9/02 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /6-7/05 CBS /2-5/ /9-13/ /22-23/02 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /27-28/03 CBS /30-11/01/05 CBS /10-13/ /2-6/ /14-15/ /5-8/06 CBS /12-15/ /20-25/ /12-15/04 CBS /22-26/06 CBS /24-27/04 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /10-14/ /6-9/06 CBS /30-4/1/04 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /23-27/ /4-8/ /20-23/04 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /23-27/ /21-25/ /11-15/ /11-13/06 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /17-21/ /12-16/ /15-19/ /1-3/ QUESTION READ HANDLING THE WAR ON TERRORISM 8

9 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA 8/74 CBS /98A / /98B / /98 CBS / / / /17/ / /19/ / /20/ / /99 CBS / /99 CBS / / / /99 CBS / /24/99 CBS / /28/99 CBS / /4-5/ / /99 CBS / /99 CBS / /99 CBS /90B /99 CBS / /99 CBS / / / / /91A / /92B /00B /92B /00D / /8-12/ / /4-5/01 CBS / /23-25/01 CBS /93B /10-12/01 CBS /93A /14-18/ /93 CBS /25-28/ / /07-10/ / /21-24/ /93 CBS /24-26/02 CBS / /18-20/02 CBS / /13-16/ / /22-23/02 CBS /95 CBS /3-6/ / /27-31/ / /9-12/ /95 CBS /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /12-15/ / /14-17/ / /14-18/ / /24-28/ /96 CBS /21-22/05 CBS / /13-16/05 CBS / /20-23/05 CBS /96 NYT /10-15/ / /13-14/05 CBS / /9-13/ / /3-5/05 CBS /97 CBS /30-11/1/05CBS /97 CBS /2-6/ /97 CBS /5-8/06 CBS / /20-25/ / /22-26/06 CBS /98B /9-12/06 CBS / /6-9/06 CBS /98 CBS /4-8/ /98B /10-11/06 CBS /98C /21-25/ /98 CBS /17-21/ /98 CBS /15-19/

10 10. How about the Representative in Congress from your district? Do you approve or disapprove of the way your Representative is handling his or her job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 6/ /78 CBS / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /13-16/05 CBS /2-6/ /20-25/ /6-9/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/ /15-19/

11 11. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? Very Fairly Fairly Very Very Fairly Fairly Very good good bad bad DK/NA good good bad bad DK/NA 8/ / / /00D* /90B / / / / /00 CBS / /01 CBS /91D /01 CBS / /8-12/ /92A /01B CBS /92B /01 CBS /92A /14-18/ /92B /20-23/ / /25-28/ / /07-10/ / /5-6/02 CBS /92A /15-17/02 CBS /92A /21-24/ /92A /24-26/02 CBS /92C /13-14/02 CBS /92D /18-20/02 CBS /92E /13-16/ / /22-23/02 CBS / /6-7/02 CBS / /2-5/ / /3-6/ /93A /27-31/ /93B /20-24/ / /4-6/03 CBS / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /20-24/ / /11-13/ / /9-12/ / /28-10/1/ / /20-21/03 CBS / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / /10-14/ / /23-27/ / /20-23/04 CBS / /23-27/ / /15-18/04 CBS / /12-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ / /18-21/ / /24-28/ / /10-15/ / /29-8/2/05 CBS /96B /9-13/ / /30-11/1/05 CBS / /2-6/ / /5-8/06 CBS / /20-25/ /96C /22-26/06 CBS / /9-12/06 CBS / /6-9/06 CBS / /28-30/06 CBS / /4-8/ / /21-25/ / /17-21/ / /15-19/ / / /11-13/ /19-20/ /98A /98B /

12 12. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA Better Worse Same DK/NA 9/ / /76A / /76B / / / / / / / / /96 NYT / / / /96C / / / / / / / / / / /80A / / /97 CBS / /97 CBS / / / / /86* /98A /87A /98B /87BNYT / / /01 CBS / /01 CBS / /8-12/ /88* /01B CBS /88A* /01 CBS /88A* /14-18/ /88B /20-23/ / /25-28/ / /07-10/ / /5-6/02 CBS /90B /21-24/ /91 CBS /13-14/02 CBS /91 CBS /13-16/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ /91D /19-22/ / /11-13/ /92A /9-12/ /92B /13-27/ /92B /26-28/03 CBS / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ /92A /12-15/ /92A /12-15/04 CBS /92A /10-14/ /92C /23-27/ /92D /20-23/04 CBS /92E /23-27/ / /15-18/04 CBS / /12-16/ / /14-17/ / /18-21/ /93A /14-18/ /93 CBS /24-28/ / /10-15/ / /29-8/2/05 CBS / /9-13/ / /30-11/1/05 CBS / /2-6/ / /5-8/06 CBS / /20-25/ /95 CBS /9-12/ / /4-8/ / /21-25/ / /15-19/

13 Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or election district where you now live, or aren't you? Yes No DK/NA 9/15-19/ How likely is it that you will vote in the 2006 election for Congress in November -- would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for Congress? Definitely vote Probably vote Probably not vote Definitely not vote DK/NA 9/15-19/06* How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2006 election campaign -- a lot, some, not much or no attention so far? A lot Some Not much No attention 9/15-19/06* If the 2006 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district? Rep. Dem. Other(vol.) Won t vote(vol.) Depends(vol.) DK/NA 12/2-6/ /2-6/05* /20-25/06* /4-8/06* /21-25/06* /17-21/06* /15-19/06* HISTORICAL DATA: IF THE 1994/1998/2002 ELECTION FOR U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WERE BEING HELD TODAY, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE OR THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE IN YOUR DISTRICT? OTHER WON'T VOTE DEPENDS REP. DEM. (VOL.) (VOL.) (VOL.) DK/NA 9/8-11/94* /94* CBS /29/11/1/94* /19-21/ /22-23/98* /12-13/98* /21-24/02* /13-16/ /2-5/ /3-5/02 LIKELY VTRS /27-31/02 LIKELY VTRS Compared to previous Congressional elections, this year are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic? More Less Same(vol.) DK/NA 10/31-11/1/98* CBS /27-31/02* /15-19/06*

14 17. Do you think of your vote for Congress this fall as a vote for George W. Bush, a vote against George W. Bush, or don t you think of your vote this fall as being about George W. Bush s presidency? For Against Not about GWB Won t vote DK/NA 10/27-31/02* /6-9/06* CBS /4-8/06* /21-25/06* /15-19/06* Do you think of your vote for Congress this fall as a vote to help put Democrats in control of Congress, a vote to help keep Republicans in control of Congress, or will your vote be about something else? Put Dems in Keep Reps in Something else Won t vote(vol.) DK/NA 7/21-25/06* /15-19/06* In the next Congressional election, how much will your vote be influenced by a candidate's position on the war in Iraq: 1) It is the single most important issue, OR 2) It is one of the top three issues I will consider, OR 3) It will have little influence on my vote? Most One of top Little important three issues influence DK/NA 9/15-19/06* RELATED TREND: IN THE NEXT CONGRESSIONAL ELECTION, HOW MUCH WILL YOUR VOTE BE INFLUENCED BY A CANDIDATE'S POSITION ON THE WAR IN IRAQ: 1) IT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT SINGLE ISSUE, OR 2) IT IS IMPORTANT, BUT SO ARE OTHER ISSUES, OR 3) IT WON'T INFLUENCE YOUR VOTE? MOST IMPORTANT BUT WON'T WON'T IMPORTANT SO ARE OTHERS INFLUENCE VOTE VOTE(VOL.) DK/NA 12/2-6/ In the next Congressional election, how much will your vote be influenced by a candidate's position on immigration: 1) It is the single most important issue, OR 2) It is one of the top three issues I will consider, OR 3) It will have little influence on my vote? Most One of top Little important t hree issues infl uence DK/ NA 9/15-19/06* In the next Congressional election, how much will your vote be influenced by how the candidate would deal with terrorism: 1) It is the single most important issue; OR 2) it is one of the top three issues I will consider; OR 3) It will have little influence on my vote? Most One of top Little important three issues influence DK/NA 9/15-19/06*

15 21. Think about the things Congress has done during the past year. Is there any one thing that Congress has done in the past year that stands out in your mind? 9/15-19/06* Taxes 1 Prescription drugs 1 Stem cell research 1 Hurricane Katrina relief 1 Legislation in general 4 Patriot Act 2 War 3 Immigration reform 4 Nothing 68 Other 8 DK/NA Regardless of how you intend to vote in November, which will matter more to you when you vote this November -- your state's local issues or national issues? Local National Both(vol.) DK/NA 10/27-31/02* /15-19/06* Regardless of how you intend to vote in November, who do you expect will win more seats in this year's election for the House of Representatives -- the Democrats or the Republicans? Democrats Republicans DK/NA 9/15-19/06* Would you agree or disagree with the following statement: it makes no real difference which party controls Congress -- things go on just as they did before. Agree Disagree DK/NA 6/14-18/ /21-24/ /27-31/ /15-19/

16 25. Is your opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary Rodham Clinton yet to have an opinion? THE ORDER OF QUESTIONS 25 AND 26 WERE ROTATED. Not DK Not DK Fav Fav Und engh Ref Fav Fav Und engh Ref 3/92* /21-25/ /92* /15-18/ /92A* /92D* /92A* / / / /93A 2 CBS /93B 2 CBS /93B /93 2 CBS / /93 2 CBS / /94 CBS / /94 CBS / / /94 CBS / / /94A /95 CBS / / /96* /96* /96* /96* NYT /96* /96* /96C* /96D* CBS /96* / / /97 CBS / /98B / / /98 CBS /98 CBS / / /99 CBS /99 CBS / / /13-17/ /12-13/03 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /20-25/ /4-8/ QUESTION READ: HILLARY CLINTON, BILL CLINTON'S WIFE,..." 2 QUESTION READ: " HILLARY CLINTON..." 16

17 26. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about John McCain yet to have an opinion? QUESTIONS 25 AND 26 WERE ROTATED Not Don t know Favorable Favorable Undecided enough Refused 4/ /99* CBS /99*CBS /99* /99*CBS /00* /00* CBS /00* /14-18/ /20-23/03 CBS /20-25/ /4-8/ /21-25/ /15-18/ Do you think the representative in Congress from your district has performed his or her job well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance? Deserves Time for re-election new person Depends(vol.) DK/NA 8/16-19/ /28-31/90* /20-23/92* /8-11/ /29-11/1/ /12-13/ /26-28/ /13-16/02* /27-31/02* /14-17/04* /15-18/ Do you think that the representative in Congress from your district is more interested in serving the people he or she represents, or more interested in serving special interest groups? People Special interest DK/NA 9/8-11/ /8-11/94* /15-18/ Do you think your own Representative in Congress understands the needs and problems of people like you, or not? Understands Does not understand DK/NA 10/29-11/1/ /17-20/96* /26-28/ /15-18/

18 30. During 2005 and 2006, do you think Congress has accomplished more or less than it usually does during a typical two year period? More Less Same(vol.) DK/NA 10/29-11/1/ /17-20/96* /31-11/1/ /27-10/1/ /3-5/02* /14-17/04* /15-18/ QUESTION ASKED ABOUT PREVIOUS AND CURRENT YEAR 31. Do you think most members of Congress have done a good enough job to deserve reelection, or do you think it's time to give new people a chance? Deserve Time for re-election new people Depends(vol.) DK/NA 3/26-29/ /20-23/92* /8-11/ /29-11/1/ /26-28/ /12-13/ /3-5/02* /27-31/02* /15-19/ Do you think most members of Congress are more interested in serving the people they represent, or more interested in serving special interest groups? People Special interest DK/NA 10/8-10/ /8-11/ /29-11/1/ /17-20/96* /26-28/ /15-19/ Do you think most members of Congress understand the needs and problems of people like you, or not? Understand Don't understand DK/NA 10/29-11/1/94* /17-20/96* /15-19/ George W. Bush gave a number of speeches and personal appearances to mark the 5th anniversary of September 11th, Some people say he used the occasion for his own political gain, other people say his actions were appropriate. Do you think George W. Bush used the 5 th anniversary of September 11 th 2001 for his own political gain, or do you think his actions were appropriate? Own gain Actions appropriate DK/NA 9/15-19/

19 34. Do you agree or disagree that the government would work better if all new people were elected this year? Agree Disagree DK/NA 5/27-30/92 CBS /29-11/1/ /12-14/ /26-28/ /15-19/ Do you think the future of the next generation of Americans will be better, or worse, or about the same as your life today? Better Worse Same DK/NA 6/ / / / / / /13-27/ /15-19/ SUBSTITUTED THE WORD "LIFE" FOR "PEOPLE" 35. How much say do you think people like yourself have about what the government does -- a good deal, some, or not much? A good deal Some Not much DK/NA 10/90B /92C /92C* / / / /99 CBS / / /13-27/ /15-19/

20 36. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right -- just about always, most of the time, or only some of the time? Always/ Some/ Always Most Some Never DK/NA Most Never 2/ / / / / / / / /83NYT /83NYT /84B /85NYT / / / / / / /88B / / /90B / /92C* / / / / / / / /98B /25-28/ /7-10/ /21-24/ /13-16/ /2-5/ /13-27/ /11-15/ /9-13/ /2-6/ /20-25/ /15-19/

21 37. In general, is your opinion of the Republican party favorable or not favorable? QUESTIONS 37 AND 38 WERE ROTATED. Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT /99 CBS /88B /99 CBS / /99 CBS / / / / /92 CBS /00* / /00B* /92* /00D* /92* /00L / /8-12/ / /14-18/ / /21-24/ /94 CBS /19-22/ /95 CBS /9-12/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ /96* /14-16/ /96* /12-15/ /96B* CBS /10-14/ /96C* /11-15/ /96D* CBS /14-17/ /96* /18-21/ / /14-18/ / /2-6/ / /20-25/ / /9-12/06 CBS / /6-9/-6 CBS /99 CBS /4-8/ / /21-25/ /15-19/

22 38. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable or not favorable? QUESTIONS 37 AND 38 WERE ROTATED. Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT / /88B / / / / /00* / /00B* /92 CBS /00D* / /00L /92* /8-12/ /92* /14-18/ / /21-24/ / /13-16/ / /3-5/ /94 CBS /27-31/ /95 CBS /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /9-12/ / /13-27/ /96* /28-10/1/ /96* /10-13/ /96B* CBS /14-16/ /96C* /12-15/ /96D* CBS /10-14/ /96* /11-15/ / /14-17/ / /18-21/ / /14-18/ / /2-6/ / /20-25/ /99 CBS /8-12/06 CBS / /6-9/06 CBS / /4-8/ / /21-25/ /15-16/ If the Republicans continue to control Congress after the election in November, what do you think will be their top priority? QUESTIONS 39 AND 40 WERE ROTATED. 9/15-19/06 Gas prices 1 Health care 1 Foreign Policy 1 National Security 2 Winning the presidency 2 Taxes 2 Economy 6 Immigration 6 Iraq 9 War 13 Terrorism 18 Other 13 DK/NA 26 22

23 40. If the Democrats control Congress after the election in November, what do you think will be their top priority? QUESTIONS 39 AND 40 WERE ROTATED. 9/15-19/06* Education 1 Social Security 1 Foreign Policy 1 National Security 1 Jobs 1 Health care 2 Taxes 2 Homeland Security 2 Immigration 3 Terrorism 5 Economy 11 Iraq 13 War 15 DK/NA Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to make the right decisions about the war in Iraq? Republican Democratic Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 7/11-15/ /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/ /11-13/06 CBS /15-19/

24 42. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to ensure a strong economy? Republican Democratic Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 1/14-21/84* /30-10/4/84* /8-10/88* /4-6/91* /3-5/96* / * CBS /16-18/96* /26-28/96* CBS /2-4/96* /4-7/ /20/23/00* /18-20/00* /22/ /23/ /24/ /22-24/ /9-12/ /10-12/03* CBS /10-13/ /14-16/ /2-6/ /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /21-25/ /11-13/06 CBS /15-19/ QUESTION READ: REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU INTEND TO VOTE, DO... 2 QUESTION READ: REGARDLESS OF WHICH PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE YOU INTEND TO VOTE FOR NEXT MONTH, DO Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to make the right decisions when it comes to dealing with terrorism? Republican Democratic Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 1/21-24/ /13-16/ /3-5/ /27-31/ /22-24/ /10-13/ /14-16/ /11-15/ /2-6/ /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/ /11-13/06 CBS /15-19/ Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think Republican candidates or Democratic candidates are more likely to tell the truth about how the war in Iraq is going? Republican Democratic Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/ NA 9/15-19/

25 45. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think Republican candidates or Democratic candidates are more likely to tell the truth about the threat of terrorism? Republican Democratic Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 9/15-19/ Regardless of how you usually vote, which party do you think takes the threat of terrorism more seriously do the Republicans take it more seriously, or do the Democrats take it more seriously, or do both parties take the threat of terrorism equally seriously? Republican Democratic Both equal Neith er(vol.) DK/ NA 9/15-19/ Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you think the Democrats have a clear plan for the country if they gain control of Congress this fall, or don't the Democrats have a clear plan for the country? Yes No DK/NA 10/27-31/02* /15-19/ Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you think the Republicans have a clear plan for the country if they gain control of Congress this fall, or don't the Republicans have a clear plan for the country? Yes No DK/NA 10/27-31/02* /15-19/ Do you think the Bush Administration has a clear plan for protecting the United States from terrorism, or not? Yes No DK/NA 9/15-19/ These days, when members of the Bush Administration talk about the threat of terrorism, do you think they are doing it mostly because they are worried about the threat of terrorism or mostly for their own political gain? Terrorism Political gain Both(vol.) DK/NA 9/15-19/ Do you think it is sometimes justified to use torture to get information from a suspected terrorist, or is torture never justified? Sometimes Never Depends(vol.) DK/NA 9/15-19/ When it comes to dealing with people suspected of involvement in terrorist attacks against the United States, which would you prefer: 1. Trying them in open criminal court with a jury, a unanimous verdict and a civilian judge, or 2. Trying them in a secret military court with a military judge and without a unanimous verdict? Criminal court Military court DK/NA 12/7-10/ /15-19/

26 56. Looking back, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq, or should the U.S. have stayed out? Right thing Stay out DK/NA 12/10-13/ /14-16/ /12-15/04 CBS /24-27/04 CBS /10-14/ /23-27/ /20-23/04 CBS /23-27/ /11-15/ /15-18/04 CBS /12-16/ /1-3/ /9-11/04 CBS /14-17/ /28-30/ /18-21/ /14-18/ /24-28/ /13-16/05 CBS 5/20-24/05 CBS /10-15/ /13-14/05 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /9-13/ /3-5/05 CBS /30-11/1/05 CBS /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /20-25/ /22-26/06 CBS /8-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/ /11-13/06 CBS /17-21/ /15-19/

27 57. How would you say things are going for the U.S. in its efforts to bring stability and order to Iraq? Would you say things are going very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly? Very Somewhat Somewhat Very well well badly badly DK/NA 5/27-28/03 CBS /8-9/03 CBS /11-12/03 CBS /26-28/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /20-21/03 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /21-22/03 CBS /8/04 CBS /23-27/ /20-23/04 CBS /23-27/ /11-15/ /15-18/ /12-16/ /14-17/ /28-30/ /18-21/ /14-18/ /24-28/05 4/13-16/05 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /10-15/05 7/13-14/05 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /29-31/05 CBS 10/3-5/05 CBS /30-11/1/05 CBS /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /20-25/ /22-26/06 CBS 3/9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /28-30/06 CBS 5/4-8/ /21-25/ /11-13/06 CBS 8/17-21/ /15-19/

28 58. Do you think of the war with Iraq as part of the war on terrorism, or do you think of it as separate from the war on terrorism? IF ANSWERED PART OF WAR ON TERRORISM, ASK: Is it a major part of the war on terrorism, or a minor part of the war on terrorism? Major part Minor part Not part DK/NA 4/2-3/02 CBS /11-13/ /9-12/ /15-16/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /10-13/03 CBS /21-22/03 CBS /12-15/04 CBS /30-4/1/04 CBS /2-6/ /9-12/06 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /11-13/06 CBS /17-21/ /15-19/ Do you think Saddam Hussein was personally involved in the September 11 th, 2001 terrorist attacks against the World Trade Center and the Pentagon? Yes No DK/NA 9/22-23/ /10-12/ /7-9/ /2-3/03 CBS /11-13/ /9-12/ /28-10/1/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /23-27/ /23-27/ /12-16/ /1-3/ /14-17/ /29-8/2/05 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /22-26/06 CBS /17-21/ /15-19/ Looking back on the Iraq war, which comes closer to your view: 1) The Bush Administration has handled the war as well as could be expected; OR 2) The Bush Administration handled the war well at the start, but in the last couple of years has handled it badly; OR 3) The Bush Administration has handled the war badly from the start. Well as could Well at start, be expected badly recently Badly from start DK/NA 9/15-19/ If the U.S. withdrew its troops from Iraq now, do you think the threat of terrorism against the United States would increase, decrease, or stay about the same? Increase Decrease Stay about the same DK/NA 8/29-31/05 CBS /2-6/ /15-19/

29 62. If the U.S. withdrew its troops from Iraq now, then do you think the U.S. will have lost the war in Iraq, or not? Yes, will have lost No, will not have lost DK/NA 9/15-19/ Based on what you have heard or read, do you think most Iraqis would prefer that U.S. troops leave Iraq, or would most Iraqis prefer that U.S. troops stay in Iraq? Prefer troops leave Prefer troops stay DK/NA 9/15-19/ Which comes closer to your view: In the long run, the U.S. will be safer from terrorism if it confronts the countries and groups that promote terrorism in the Middle East; OR In the long run, the U.S. will be safer from terrorism if it stays out of other countries' affairs in the Middle East? Confronts countries and groups Stays out DK/NA 9/15-19/ What do you think is the ultimate goal of groups like Al Qaeda? Is their goal to take over the Middle East and control that region for themselves, or is their goal to destroy the United States itself? Take over Middle East Destroy U.S. Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 9/15-19/ Do you believe the terrorist threat from Islamic fundamentalism is constantly growing and presents a real, immediate danger to the United States, or not? Yes No DK/NA 9/15-19/ When it comes to the treatment of prisoners of war, should the United States follow the international agreements that it and other countries have agreed to, or should the U.S. do what it thinks is right, even if other countries disagree? Should follow Should not DK/NA 7/21-25/ /15-19/ When he talks about how things are going for the U.S. in Iraq today, do you think George W. Bush is telling the entire truth, is mostly telling the truth but is hiding something, or is mostly lying? QUESTIONS 68 AND 69 WERE ROTATED. Entire Hiding Mostly truth something lying Depends(vol.) DK/NA 9/12-16/ /1-3/04* /15-19/

30 69. When Democrats in Congress talk about how things are going for the U.S. in Iraq today, do you think they are telling the entire truth, are mostly telling the truth but are hiding something, or are mostly lying? QUESTIONS 68 AND 69 WERE ROTATED. Entire Hiding Mostly truth something l ying Depends(v ol.) DK/ NA 9/15-19/ Think about your household income, would you say that it is more than enough so that you can save money or buy some extras, just enough to meet your bills and obligations, or is it not enough to meet your bills and obligations? Can save and Just enough to pay Not enough to buy extras bills and obligations pay bills etc. DK/NA 3/31-4/2/ /31-6/3/ /14-18/ /21-25/ /15-19/ How concerned are you that you will have enough money to pay for major expenses, for example, healthcare, tuition, buying a home, and retirement? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned, or not at all concerned? Very Somewhat Not very Not at all DK/NA 1/14-18/ /15-19/ Did you vote in the 2004 presidential election, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for John Kerry, George W. Bush, or Ralph Nader? Voted, won t Kerry Bush Nader say whom(vol.) Didn't vote DK/NA 9/15-19/ Did you vote for U.S. House of Representatives in the elections held in 2002, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote for U.S. House of Representatives in 2002? IF VOTED, ASK: In the election for U.S. House of Representatives, did you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district? 9/15-19/06 Prevented from voting 13 Chose not to vote 23 Voted Republican 27 Voted Democratic 24 Voted something else(vol.) 2 DK/NA 10 Some people think of themselves as evangelical or born again Christians. think of yourself in either of these ways? Do you ever Yes No DK/ NA 9/15-19/

31 Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Rep Dem Ind DK/NA Rep Dem Ind DK/NA 1/92A / /92B / /92A / /92B / / / / /98B /92A /98C / /98A / /98B /92B / /92A / /92D / /92E / /92A / /92A / /92C / /92D /00B /92E /00A / /00D / / / / / /00L /93A /8-12/ /93A /14-18/ /93B /25-28/ / /7-10/ / /21-24/ / /28-5/1/ / /13-16/ / /2-5/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / /10-14/ / /23-27/ / /23-27/ / /11-15/ /96 NYT /12-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ /96C /28-30/ / /18-21/ / /14-18/ /96C /24-28/ / /10-15/ / /9-13/ / /2-6/ / /20-25/ / /4-8/ /98B /21-25/ /17-21/ /15-19/

32 How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally, do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? Lib Mod Con DK/NA Lib Mod Con DK/NA 1/92A / /92B / /92A / /92B /98B / / / / /92A / / / / / /92B / /92A /98C /92D /98B /92A / /92C / /92D / /92E / / / / / / / / /00B /93A /00A /93A /00D /93B /7-10/ / /21-24/ / /28-5/1/ / /13-16/ / /2-5/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / /10-14/ / /23-27/ / /23-27/ / /11-15/ / /12-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ / /28-30/ / /18-21/ /96C /14-18/ / /24-28/ / /10-15/ /96C /9-13/ / /2-6/ / /20-25/ / /4-8/ /21-25/ /17-21/ /15-19/