Iraq Mood Improving Despite Divisions General Overview January-March 2014 Survey Findings. Page 1

Transcription

1 Iraq Mood Improving Despite Divisions General Overview January-March 2014 Survey Findings Page 1

2 The research National Survey 22 January 8 March interviews in the North; 600 interviews in the West; 0 interviews in the South; 500 interviews in Baghdad results weighted representatively National margin of error +/- 3 percent Margin of error +/- 4 percent on West sample, +/- 4.4 percent on North sample, +/- 4.4 percent on South sample, +/- 4.4 percent on Baghdad sample Page 2

3 Country mood stabilizes Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction? 80 Right direction Wrong direction Nov-10 Mar-11 Aug-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Feb-14 Page 3

4 80 All regions moods improve, but negative in West and North Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction? from Right Wrong Sep Total Baghdad South West North Page 4

5 Security and jobs continue to dominate concerns, services drop Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the Iraqi government to address. Security Jobs and unemployment Corruption Sectarianism Basic services like electricity and water Education and schools High prices Poverty Health care services Delegating more powers to the provincial governments Sep n/a Page 5

6 Perceived improvement on all major issues Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq. Ability of Iraq's sec. forces to maintain security Relations between Sunnis and Shias The Iraqi govt's responsiveness to ppl's needs *Change since April 12 Electricity supply Water supply Education Cost of living Job opportunities Security Distribution of oil revenues Sectarianism Corruption Worse Better Better Sept * Page 6

7 Regional perceptions differ on core issues Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq. Security Ability of Iraq's security forces to maintain security Relations between Sunnis and Shias Government responsiveness to people s needs Baghdad South West North Baghdad South West North Baghdad South West North Baghdad South West North Worse Better Page 7

8 Solid minority see sectarianism as too deeply-rooted Sectarianism is too deeply-rooted in Iraqi society to ever really go away. With time, sectarianism will become less of a factor in Iraq. Sept out of 3 Iraqis Total Baghdad South West North Page 8

9 Democracy & Election Fairness Issues Page 9

10 Support for democracy in Iraq Democracy is the best form of government for Iraq. Another form of government aside from democracy is better for Iraq. Sept Total Baghdad South West North Page 10

11 View elections as a good thing Generally speaking, elections are a good thing for Iraq. Generally speaking, elections do not make Iraq a better country Total Baghdad South West North Page 11

12 Enthusiasm for the elections, though tempered in West Generally speaking, would you say you are more or less enthusiastic about voting in this April's parliamentary election compared to previous elections? 100 More enthusiastic Less enthusiastic Total Baghdad South West North Page 12

13 Only West questions elections fairness Based on what you know, do you think that the April parliamentary elections will be mostly free and fair? 100 Free and Fair Not Free and Fair Total Baghdad South West North Page 13

14 Most will respect election outcomes, but less so in West I will respect the outcome of the April elections regardless of who wins. I will only respect the outcome of the April elections if the coalition or party I support wins out of 3 Sunni will not respect outcome Total Shia Kurds Sunni Page 14

15 Majority are unlikely to vote in the West Likely voters are determined by respondents responses to past and future voting behavior questions. 100 Likely Not likely Total Baghdad South West North Page 15

16 Inspiration encourages most to vote, then safety and fairness Thinking about the April parliamentary elections, which TWO of the following would make you even more likely to vote? Among unlikely voters If I felt like my vote would change things If I felt safer when voting If I was sure my vote would be counted accurately If there was a candidate or party I really liked If politicians talked more about things I care about If it was easier to register If I had more time to get to the polls If I had help with transportation to the polls If I knew where to go vote If I knew my neighbors were going to vote Page 16

17 Attitudes toward Iraq direction improve, Kurdistan worsen Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq/Kurdistan are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction? (North) Right direction Iraq Wrong direction Nov-10 Mar-11 Aug-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Feb Kurdistan Nov-10 Mar-11 Aug-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Nov-12 Apr-13 Sep-13 Feb Page 17

18 Jobs and corruption dominant concern in North Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the Iraqi government to address. (North) Jobs and unemployment Corruption High prices Health care services Education and schools Security Sectarianism Basic services like electricity and water Poverty More powers to the provincial governments Sep NA Page 18

19 Solutions for Key Issues Page 19

20 Improving security situation Now I am going to read a list of things some people say are needed to improve the security situation in Iraq. Which of the following TWO things are most needed to improve security? Better armed forces equipment 39 Better armed forces training Disband all militias Tighter border control Develop a special military force solely focused on destroying terrorists Higher salaries for armed forces Improve economic conditions 13 Better integrate all sects into the armed forces Page 20

21 Improving economic situation Now I am going to read a list of things some people say are needed to improve the economic situation in Iraq. Which of the following TWO things are most needed to improve the economy? Provide access to loan for small business entrepreneurs Provide incentives for companies to hire more employees Bring in more foreign oil companies to develop Iraq's oil fields Develop non-oil related industries Provide subsidies to help Iraqi farmers Improve the security situation Provide incentives to attract foreign investment Increase infrastructure development such as roads and bridges Page 21

22 Improving education Now I am going to read a list of things some people say are needed to improve education in Iraq. Which of the following TWO things are most needed to improve education? Improve quality of teachers 46 Build more schools 39 Improve school curriculum 31 Increase punishments for teachers who ask for bribes Provide free school supplies and uniforms for students Reduce class sizes Increase teacher salaries Monetarily reward families if their children have over 95 percent attendance Expand access to university education Page 22

23 Improving health care Now I am going to read a list of things some people say are needed to improve health care in Iraq. Which of the following TWO things are most needed to improve health care? Decrease price of medicines Build more hospitals and clinics Increase availability of medicines Improve the quality of care Increase punishments for doctors who ask for bribes Modernize hospital equipment Shorter waiting times at hospitals Increase doctors' salaries Provide equal access for patients to state-run and privately-run hospitals Page 23

24 Decreasing corruption Now I am going to read a list of things some people say are needed to reduce corruption in Iraq. Which of the following TWO things are most needed to reduce corruption? Focus more on central government corruption 45 Increase jail sentences for officials found guilty of corruption Focus more on local government corruption Prosecute government officials and clerks who demand bribes Increase salaries of government employees so they do not have to ask for bribes Have elected officials declare their assets before and after they serve in government Put the entire central government budget online so people can see how every dinar is spent Page 24

25 Candidate and accomplishments most important When it comes time to vote, which of the following are the TWO main factors that determine how you will vote? The individual candidate By accomplishments of candidate The party's policies The party leader The political party According to the suggestions of family Ties you might have to a party The candidate's sect or ethnicity By suggestions of religious leaders According to suggestions of tribal leaders Page 25

26 Candidate and party most influential Now I am going to read you a list of various people and organizations. Please tell me how influential each of these is to you when deciding who to support in the next parliamentary elections. Total influential The candidates The political party The party leader Family members Religious leaders Tribal leaders The media Neighborhood or community leaders Your employer Page 26

27 The End Page 27