fragility and crisis

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "fragility and crisis"

Transcription

1 strategic asia fragility and crisis Edited by Richard J. Ellings and Aaron L. Friedberg with Michael Wills Country Studies Pakistan: A State Under Stress John H. Gill restrictions on use: This PDF is provided for the use of authorized recipients only. For specific terms of use, please contact <publications@nbr.org>. To purchase the print volume in which this chapter appears please visit < or contact <orders@nbr.org> NE 42nd Street, Suite 300 Seattle, Washington USA the national bureau of asian research

2 Pakistan 209 PAKISTAN A STATE UNDER STRESS John H. Gill ABSTRACT Pakistan faces two critical near-term regional security issues: bilateral tensions with India and the reconstruction of Afghanistan. Developing and sustaining Pakistan s progress toward political moderation and economic modernization looms as an equally important security challenge in the medium term. The most direct threats to Pakistan stem from internal problems. Violent Islamists with a variety of domestic, Afghan, Kashmiri, and millenarian agendas undermine the state, endanger its citizens, and threaten its neighbors. Disturbing social indicators compound the growing radicalism and rising anti-american sentiment. Pakistan s future will therefore rest upon its ability to defeat the forces of extremism and to direct its resources toward pressing domestic issues such as education, rule of law, poverty, and population growth. The international community can help by supporting the rebuilding of Pakistan s civil society and governing institutions, but Pakistan s behavior on issues relating to terrorism, proliferation, and democracy will be crucial in determining the level of external assistance that is available. John (Jack) Gill is a U.S. Army South Asia Foreign Area Officer on the faculty of the Near East-South Asia Center for Strategic Studies at the National Defense University. He would like to express his appreciation to Stephen Cohen, Richard Ellings, Aaron Friedberg, Neil Joeck, Deepa Ollapally, Marvin Weinbaum, Michael Wills, and an anonymous reader for their insights in reviewing this chapter.

3 210 Strategic Asia Introduction Pakistan finds itself at the intersection of two immediate and vital South Asian security issues: bilateral tensions with India and the reconstruction of Afghanistan. If these two issues dominate the short term, a third crucial issue for South Asian and indeed global security looms in the medium term: developing and sustaining Pakistan s progress toward political moderation and economic modernization. 1 While the India-Pakistan question has been discussed in the preceding chapter, this chapter will address internal threats to Pakistan s national stability and coherence in the context of the situation in Afghanistan and its critical ramifications for Pakistan. From the U.S. perspective, Pakistan will also continue to be a crucial pillar in the global war on terrorism through the short term. Additionally, the danger of proliferation will attract high-level attention from Washington and other capitals for the foreseeable future. Domestic Challenges: The Threat from Within Pakistan in the early twenty-first century is a country under severe pressure. Although the rivalry with India colors much of Islamabad s worldview and its responses to challenges, the most direct threats to the Pakistani state and society stem from internal problems, especially from militant extremists who seek to promote their causes through violence, often under the cloak of radical Islam. These extremists threaten Pakistan s domestic order and international standing from three directions: continuing terrorism in Afghanistan, domestic sectarian violence, and insurgency in Kashmir. 2 They also endanger the tentative attempts to revive Pakistan s economy. Often loosely termed jihadis, many of the groups and individuals involved in these causes are closely interlinked and move across the porous inter-group boundaries with ease. Using violence as their means of expression, they foster a culture of radicalism and intolerance, defying government control and fraying the fabric of Pakistan s civil society. In the wake of the October 2002 elections, some of these groups now have a significant voice in Pakistan s national policy-making as well as in the local governments of the two provinces bordering Afghanistan. Moreover, the severe challenges posed by radical groups threaten to undermine progress made across the border in Afghanistan just as they complicate relations with India, the United States, and the rest of the world community. To some extent, these problems are manifestations of the definitional questions concerning the role of the military and religion in the state that have dogged Pakistan since its inception, problems that have become more acute since September 2001 and will remain key variables in Pakistan s political calculus as the military government attempts to incorporate some

4 Pakistan 211 democratic reforms without losing ultimate authority over key policy decisions. 3 At its founding in 1947, Pakistan was faced with vital security concerns, but lacked a strong civilian institutional base and quickly lost its key civilian leaders. As a result, the military, specifically the army, played a disproportionate role in setting the country s priorities and has ruled Pakistan directly or indirectly for most of its history. The appropriate role of the uniformed services in governance has never been resolved satisfactorily, but the military s institutional interests have often dominated the government s domestic and foreign agendas. This issue lies at the heart of the current debate between the regime of President and Chief of the Army Staff General Pervez Musharraf and opposition members of the National Assembly. Similarly, the relationship of the state to Islam has been a subject of debate since Established as the putative homeland for the subcontinent s Muslims, Pakistan still struggles to reconcile competing interpretations of Islam with the demands of domestic governance (most visibly in the legal code and banking practices) and international affairs. The question of how Islam relates to the functions of the state is also linked to the national legislature, which was re-established through elections in October For the first time, Islamist parties are strongly represented in the legislature, and they have been among the most vocal opponents of President Musharraf s domestic and international policies. Trouble on the Western Frontier: Continued Support for the Taliban Pakistan has been central to the success of coalition military operations in Afghanistan (Operation Enduring Freedom) and the U.S. war on terrorism. By providing transit, logistical, and basing support to coalition forces and by cooperating in the apprehension of several hundred terrorist suspects, including some very senior Al Qaeda operatives, Islamabad has garnered lavish praise from Washington for its absolutely magnificent assistance. 4 Beyond comforting words, Pakistan has gained substantial economic relief since aligning itself with the United States in the war on terrorism, most dramatically in the form of the five-year $3 billion package announced during Musharraf s June 24, 2003 visit to Camp David. Even before the Camp David meeting, Islamabad had benefited from measures such as a $600 million grant that gave critical balance-of-payment and budget support (November 2001), the extension of payment terms for $3 billion in credits (August 2002), the provision of credits through the Export-Import Bank and the Overseas Private Investment Corporation, U.S. support in international lending institutions, and forgiveness of $1 billion in debts. Furthermore, Washington has established a five-year, $100 mil-

5 212 Strategic Asia lion education project and a $73 million program to assist in border control. The latter included provision of helicopters, surveillance aircraft, communications equipment, and 1,000 ground vehicles. Of course, in the long run, the greatest benefit to Islamabad is that the 400 to 500 individuals captured thus far are no longer free to foment unrest or perpetrate terrorist acts in Pakistan. As U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Armitage has noted, Pakistan has very high stakes in the outcome of the war on terrorism, as success in that war has a direct bearing on the stability of Pakistan itself. 5 In addition to arresting terrorists inside Pakistan, coordination between U.S. and Pakistani forces along the rugged Afghan-Pakistan border has been, and will remain, an important element of American operations in Afghanistan. The United States continues to regard the Pakistani government as a partner, but the presence of some key Taliban figures in Pakistan and recurring attacks against coalition and Afghan troops by former Taliban, Al Qaeda, and other extremists based in Pakistan could become a serious point of friction between the two capitals. 6 Indeed, the former commander of U.S. forces in Afghanistan, Lieutenant General Dan K. McNeill, has criticized Islamabad for not controlling the movement of terrorists and militants across the border from their havens in Pakistan. 7 Afghan President Hamid Karzai and UN representative Ambassador Lakhdar Brahimi have also complained to Pakistan. Terrorism was a major theme during Karzai s April 2003 visit to Islamabad, and he returned to Kabul with promises of greater cooperation in the arrest and extradition of criminals of war against the Afghan people, as well as plans for biannual consultations on bilateral security issues and a new trilateral commission with the United States and Pakistan to work on border matters. Border clashes, the attack on the Pakistani embassy in Kabul, and flares in rhetoric, however, show that Pakistan- Afghan relations remain tentative and vulnerable to shocks. 8 These challenges on its western border illuminate a vital national security interest for Islamabad: the promotion of stability and development in Afghanistan. For some in Pakistan, especially in the border provinces of Balochistan and the Northwest Frontier Province (NWFP), however, the Taliban represented a desirable political order that should be replicated in Pakistan. These groups saw the swift coalition victory as a dire threat. Historically opposed to U.S. global and regional policies, they have responded to events in Afghanistan with intense anti-americanism and continued support or tolerance for attacks against coalition forces and the Karzai government. Many of these Pakistanis are ethnic Pushtuns, and their links to fellow Pushtuns in Afghanistan reinforce their inclination to counter the U.S. presence on their borders and derail reconstruction efforts under the new Afghan administration. They are particularly angered by what they

confronting terrorism in the pursuit of power

confronting terrorism in the pursuit of power strategic asia 2004 05 confronting terrorism in the pursuit of power Edited by Ashley J. Tellis and Michael Wills Regional Studies South Asia: A Selective War on Terrorism? Walter K. Andersen restrictions

More information

strategic asia asian aftershocks Richard J. Ellings and Aaron L. Friedberg with Michael Wills

strategic asia asian aftershocks Richard J. Ellings and Aaron L. Friedberg with Michael Wills strategic asia 2002 03 asian aftershocks Edited by Richard J. Ellings and Aaron L. Friedberg with Michael Wills Regional Studies Southeast Asia Sheldon W. Simon restrictions on use: This PDF is provided

More information

Edited by Ashley J. Tellis, Mercy Kuo, and Andrew Marble. A Regional Approach to Afghanistan and Its Neighbors S. Frederick Starr

Edited by Ashley J. Tellis, Mercy Kuo, and Andrew Marble. A Regional Approach to Afghanistan and Its Neighbors S. Frederick Starr Edited by Ashley J. Tellis, Mercy Kuo, and Andrew Marble Regional Studies A Regional Approach to Afghanistan and Its Neighbors S. Frederick Starr restrictions on use: This PDF is provided for the use of

More information

Overview of the Afghanistan and Pakistan Annual Review

Overview of the Afghanistan and Pakistan Annual Review Overview of the Afghanistan and Pakistan Annual Review Our overarching goal remains the same: to disrupt, dismantle, and defeat al-q ida in Afghanistan and Pakistan, and to prevent its capacity to threaten

More information

White Paper of the Interagency Policy Group's Report on U.S. Policy toward Afghanistan and Pakistan INTRODUCTION

White Paper of the Interagency Policy Group's Report on U.S. Policy toward Afghanistan and Pakistan INTRODUCTION White Paper of the Interagency Policy Group's Report on U.S. Policy toward Afghanistan and Pakistan INTRODUCTION The United States has a vital national security interest in addressing the current and potential

More information

WikiLeaks Document Release

WikiLeaks Document Release WikiLeaks Document Release February 2, 2009 Congressional Research Service Report RS22632 Pakistan and Terrorism: A Summary K. Alan Kronstadt, Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division March 27, 2007

More information

Pakistan and Terrorism: A Summary

Pakistan and Terrorism: A Summary name redacted Specialist in South Asian Affairs March 27, 2007 Congressional Research Service CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress 7-... www.crs.gov RS22632 Summary This

More information

India and Pakistan: On the Heels of President Bush s Visit

India and Pakistan: On the Heels of President Bush s Visit No. 927 Delivered March 6, 2006 March 13, 2006 India and Pakistan: On the Heels of President Bush s Visit The Honorable R. Nicholas Burns It is a great pleasure for me to be back at Heritage. I have deep

More information

AGORA ASIA-EUROPE. Regional implications of NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan: What role for the EU? Nº 4 FEBRUARY Clare Castillejo.

AGORA ASIA-EUROPE. Regional implications of NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan: What role for the EU? Nº 4 FEBRUARY Clare Castillejo. Nº 4 FEBRUARY 2012 AGORA ASIA-EUROPE Regional implications of NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan: What role for the EU? Clare Castillejo The US and NATO may have a date to leave Afghanistan, but they still

More information

Britain and Afghanistan: policy and expectations 1 Jon Bennett, Oxford Development Consultants June 2009

Britain and Afghanistan: policy and expectations 1 Jon Bennett, Oxford Development Consultants June 2009 Britain and Afghanistan: policy and expectations 1 Jon Bennett, Oxford Development Consultants June 2009 Even a cursory reading of events in Afghanistan would reveal an undeniable sense of confusion in

More information

Stability and Statebuilding: Cooperation with the International Community

Stability and Statebuilding: Cooperation with the International Community Statement By His Excellency Dr Rangin Dadfar Spanta Foreign Minister of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan Stability and Statebuilding: Cooperation with the International Community Finnish Institute of

More information

US DRONE ATTACKS INSIDE PAKISTAN TERRITORY: UN CHARTER

US DRONE ATTACKS INSIDE PAKISTAN TERRITORY: UN CHARTER US DRONE ATTACKS INSIDE PAKISTAN TERRITORY: UN CHARTER Nadia Sarwar * The US President, George W. Bush, in his address to the US. Military Academy at West point on June 1, 2002, declared that America could

More information

Pakistan Elections 2018: Imran Khan and a new South Asia. C Raja Mohan 1

Pakistan Elections 2018: Imran Khan and a new South Asia. C Raja Mohan 1 ISAS Brief No. 595 2 August 2018 Institute of South Asian Studies National University of Singapore 29 Heng Mui Keng Terrace #08-06 (Block B) Singapore 119620 Tel: (65) 6516 4239 Fax: (65) 6776 7505 www.isas.nus.edu.sg

More information

Triangular formations in Asia Genesis, strategies, value added and limitations

Triangular formations in Asia Genesis, strategies, value added and limitations 11 th Berlin Conference on Asian Security (BCAS) Triangular formations in Asia Genesis, strategies, value added and limitations Berlin, September 7-8, 2017 A conference organized by the German Institute

More information

Americans to blame too August 29, 2007

Americans to blame too August 29, 2007 Americans to blame too August 29, 2007 India has celebrated the 60th anniversary of its independence. Sixty years is a long time in the life of a nation. On August 15, 1947, Jawaharlal Nehru announced

More information

US NSA s visit to South Asia implications for India

US NSA s visit to South Asia implications for India Author: Amb. Yogendra Kumar 27.04.2016 CHARCHA Photograph: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters US NSA s visit to South Asia implications for India An indication of the Administration s regional priorities has been

More information

UN Security Council Resolution on Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs)

UN Security Council Resolution on Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) Friday September 19 - V7 - BLUE UN Security Council Resolution on Foreign Terrorist Fighters (FTFs) 1. Reaffirming that terrorism in all forms and manifestations constitutes one of the most serious threats

More information

Reconciling With. The Taliban? Ashley J. Tellis

Reconciling With. The Taliban? Ashley J. Tellis Reconciling With The Taliban? Toward an Alternative Grand Strategy in Afghanistan Ashley J. Tellis Synopsis The stalemate in coalition military operations in Afghanistan has provoked a concerted search

More information

AFGHANISTAN. The Trump Plan R4+S. By Bill Conrad, LTC USA (Ret) October 6, NSF Presentation

AFGHANISTAN. The Trump Plan R4+S. By Bill Conrad, LTC USA (Ret) October 6, NSF Presentation AFGHANISTAN The Trump Plan R4+S By Bill Conrad, LTC USA (Ret) October 6, 2017 --NSF Presentation Battle Company 2 nd of the 503 rd Infantry Regiment 2 Battle Company 2 nd of the 503 rd Infantry Regiment

More information

Husain Haqqani. An Interview with

Husain Haqqani. An Interview with An Interview with Husain Haqqani Muhammad Mustehsan What does success in Afghanistan look like from a Pakistani perspective, and how might it be achieved? HH: From Pakistan s perspective, a stable Afghanistan

More information

The Geopolitical Importance of Pakistan

The Geopolitical Importance of Pakistan The Geopolitical Importance of Pakistan A Country Caught between the Threat of Talibanisation and the Return to Democracy by Dr. Heinrich Kreft The murder of Benazir Bhutto on 27 December focused world

More information

TESTIMONY FOR MS. MARY BETH LONG PRINCIPAL DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

TESTIMONY FOR MS. MARY BETH LONG PRINCIPAL DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES TESTIMONY FOR MS. MARY BETH LONG PRINCIPAL DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR INTERNATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES HOUSE ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE Tuesday, February 13, 2007,

More information

Any response to Uri must factor in the Pakistani state s relationship with non-state actors.

Any response to Uri must factor in the Pakistani state s relationship with non-state actors. Inside, outside Any response to Uri must factor in the Pakistani state s relationship with non-state actors. Soldiers guard outside the army base which was attacked suspected militants in Uri, Jammu and

More information

Engaging Regional Players in Afghanistan Threats and Opportunities

Engaging Regional Players in Afghanistan Threats and Opportunities Engaging Regional Players in Afghanistan Threats and Opportunities A Report of the CSIS Post-Conflict Reconstruction Project author Shiza Shahid codirectors Rick Barton Karin von Hippel November 2009 CSIS

More information

Pakistan After Musharraf

Pakistan After Musharraf CARNEGIE ENDOWMENT FOR INTERNATIONAL PEACE Pakistan After Musharraf Q&A with: Frederic Grare, visiting scholar, Carnegie South Asia Program Wednesday, August 20, 2008 What are the implications of Musharraf

More information

Weekly Geopolitical Report

Weekly Geopolitical Report August 17, 2009 Pakistan and the Death of Baitullah Mehsud Reports indicated that on Aug. 5, Baitullah Mehsud, the notorious leader of the Taliban in Pakistan, died from a U.S. missile strike. In this

More information

Cover Story. - by Shraddha Bhandari. 24 JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2016 FSAI Journal

Cover Story. - by Shraddha Bhandari. 24 JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2016 FSAI Journal - by Shraddha Bhandari 24 JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2016 FSAI Journal Following the spate of terror attacks in Paris, Beirut, and downing of the Russian Metrojet liner in November 2015, concerns have been raised

More information

IRI Index: Pakistan. Voters were also opposed to the various measures that accompanied the state of emergency declaration.

IRI Index: Pakistan. Voters were also opposed to the various measures that accompanied the state of emergency declaration. IRI Index: Pakistan State of Emergency On November 3, 2007, Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf, who was then Army Chief of Staff, declared a state of emergency and suspended the constitution. IRI s most

More information

Report- In-House Meeting with Mr. Didier Chaudet Editing Director of CAPE (Center for the Analysis of Foreign Affairs)"

Report- In-House Meeting with Mr. Didier Chaudet Editing Director of CAPE (Center for the Analysis of Foreign Affairs) INSTITUTE OF STRATEGIC STUDIES web: www.issi.org.pk phone: +92-920-4423, 24 fax: +92-920-4658 Report- In-House Meeting with Mr. Didier Chaudet Editing Director of CAPE (Center for the Analysis of Foreign

More information

Civil War and Political Violence. Paul Staniland University of Chicago

Civil War and Political Violence. Paul Staniland University of Chicago Civil War and Political Violence Paul Staniland University of Chicago paul@uchicago.edu Chicago School on Politics and Violence Distinctive approach to studying the state, violence, and social control

More information

The Future of China-Pakistan Relations after Osama bin Laden

The Future of China-Pakistan Relations after Osama bin Laden 8 August 2011 The Future of China-Pakistan Relations after Osama bin Laden Dr Jabin T. Jacob Future Directions International Associate Key Points Despite its high profile, the killing of Osama bin Laden

More information

CRS Report for Congress

CRS Report for Congress Order Code RS21584 Updated November 3, 2003 CRS Report for Congress Received through the CRS Web Summary Pakistan: Chronology of Events K. Alan Kronstadt Analyst in Asian Affairs Foreign Affairs, Defense,

More information

Afghanistan has become terrain for India-Pakistan proxy war

Afghanistan has become terrain for India-Pakistan proxy war Afghanistan has become terrain for India-Pakistan proxy war Ramananda Sengupta* March 2010 Al Jazeera Centre for Studies Tel: +974-4930181 Fax: +974-4831346 jcforstudies@aljazeera.net www.aljazeera.net/studies

More information

PROGRESS AND PROSPECTS

PROGRESS AND PROSPECTS COUNTER TERRORISM EXPERIENCE OF PAKISTAN PROGRESS AND PROSPECTS 1 INTRODUCTION 2 BADAKSHAN MINTAKA NURISTAN CHITRAL AFGHANISTAN PAKTIA KHOWST PAKTIKA ZABUL KUNAR NANGARHAR NWA SWA BANNU KHYBER PESHAWAR

More information

The motivations behind Afghan Taliban leaders arrest in Pakistan. Saifullah Ahmadzai 1 15 th March 2010

The motivations behind Afghan Taliban leaders arrest in Pakistan. Saifullah Ahmadzai 1 15 th March 2010 The motivations behind Afghan Taliban leaders arrest in Pakistan Saifullah Ahmadzai 1 15 th March 2010 The Christian Science Monitor reported that Pakistani officials had arrested seven out of fifteen

More information

Adopted by the Security Council at its 6629th meeting, on 12 October 2011

Adopted by the Security Council at its 6629th meeting, on 12 October 2011 United Nations S/RES/2011 (2011) Security Council Distr.: General 12 October 2011 Resolution 2011 (2011) Adopted by the Security Council at its 6629th meeting, on 12 October 2011 The Security Council,

More information

Pakistan and China formalized plans for the CPEC in April 2015, when they signed fifty-one

Pakistan and China formalized plans for the CPEC in April 2015, when they signed fifty-one 1 of 8 30.05.2016 10:18 Authors: Daniel S. Markey, Adjunct Senior Fellow for India, Pakistan, and South Asia, and James West, Research Associate, India, Pakistan and South Asia May 12, 2016 The China-Pakistan

More information

Adopted by the Security Council at its 6459th meeting, on 20 December 2010

Adopted by the Security Council at its 6459th meeting, on 20 December 2010 United Nations S/RES/1963 (2010)* Security Council Distr.: General 20 December 2010 Resolution 1963 (2010) Adopted by the Security Council at its 6459th meeting, on 20 December 2010 The Security Council,

More information

AFGHANISTAN: TRANSITION UNDER THREAT WORKSHOP REPORT

AFGHANISTAN: TRANSITION UNDER THREAT WORKSHOP REPORT AFGHANISTAN: TRANSITION UNDER THREAT WORKSHOP REPORT On December 17-18, 2006, a workshop was held near Waterloo, Ontario Canada to assess Afghanistan s progress since the end of the Taliban regime. Among

More information

Center for Strategic & Regional Studies

Center for Strategic & Regional Studies Center for Strategic & Regional Studies Kabul Weekly Analysis-Issue Number 256 (June 16-23, 2018) Weekly Analysis is one of CSRS publications, which significantly analyses weekly economic and political

More information

After bin Laden, Still No Choice for U.S. with Pakistan

After bin Laden, Still No Choice for U.S. with Pakistan After bin Laden, Still No Choice for U.S. with Pakistan An Interview C. Christine Fair By Graham Webster May 26, 2011 The U.S.-Pakistan relationship has received renewed attention in both countries after

More information

The Earthquake in Kashmir

The Earthquake in Kashmir Commentary The Earthquake in Kashmir Sumita Kumar The massive destruction caused by the earthquake in India and Pakistan has thrown up huge challenges of rescue, relief and rehabilitation. The magnitude

More information

12 Reconnecting India and Central Asia

12 Reconnecting India and Central Asia Executive Summary The geopolitical salience of Central Asia for India was never in doubt in the past and is not in doubt at present. With escalating threats and challenges posed by religious extremism,

More information

CRS Report for Congress

CRS Report for Congress Order Code RS21584 Updated August 4, 2003 CRS Report for Congress Received through the CRS Web Summary Pakistan: Chronology of Events K. Alan Kronstadt Analyst in Asian Affairs Foreign Affairs, Defense,

More information

THE AFGHAN SUMMER OF WAR Paul Rogers

THE AFGHAN SUMMER OF WAR Paul Rogers International Security Monthly Briefing September 2006 THE AFGHAN SUMMER OF WAR Paul Rogers Lebanon During September, substantial numbers of foreign troops entered southern Lebanon to act as an enhanced

More information

Pakistan, our paradoxical partner in the war on terror by Raspal Khosa

Pakistan, our paradoxical partner in the war on terror by Raspal Khosa 19 Pakistan, our paradoxical partner in the war on terror by Raspal Khosa 22 February 2008 Pakistan is experiencing a failure in governance brought about by eight years of unpopular military rule, decaying

More information

POLICY BRIEF. Engaging Pakistan. W h a t i s t h e p r o b l e m? W h a t s h o u l d b e d o n e? December 2008

POLICY BRIEF. Engaging Pakistan. W h a t i s t h e p r o b l e m? W h a t s h o u l d b e d o n e? December 2008 POLICY BRIEF December 2008 CLAUDE RAKISITS claude.rakisits@canberra.net.au W h a t i s t h e p r o b l e m? Pakistan is a critical player in international efforts to counter global and regional terrorist

More information

one time. Any additional use of this file, whether for

one time. Any additional use of this file, whether for one time. Any additional use of this file, whether for Islamabad and The Taliban sales, alterations or copying is strictly prohibited without written permission and fair compensation to BENAZIR BHUTTO,

More information

Security Council. United Nations S/RES/1806 (2008) Resolution 1806 (2008) Distr.: General 20 March Original: English

Security Council. United Nations S/RES/1806 (2008) Resolution 1806 (2008) Distr.: General 20 March Original: English United Nations S/RES/1806 (2008) Security Council Distr.: General 20 March 2008 Original: English Resolution 1806 (2008) Adopted by the Security Council at its 5857th meeting, on 20 March 2008 The Security

More information

INDIA AND PAKISTAN: STEPS TOWARDS RAPPROCHEMENT

INDIA AND PAKISTAN: STEPS TOWARDS RAPPROCHEMENT Prepared Testimony of STEPHEN P. COPHEN Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Studies, The Brookings Institution Before the SENATE FOREIGN RELATIONS COMMITTEE January 28, 2004 INDIA AND PAKISTAN: STEPS TOWARDS

More information

Report - In-House Meeting with Egyptian Media Delegation

Report - In-House Meeting with Egyptian Media Delegation INSTITUTE OF STRATEGIC STUDIES web: www.issi.org.pk phone: +92-920-4423, 24 fax: +92-920-4658 Report - In-House Meeting with Egyptian Media Delegation December 3, 2018 Rapporteur: Arhama Siddiqa Edited

More information

Round Table Discussion on Pak-Afghan Relations: Future Prospects

Round Table Discussion on Pak-Afghan Relations: Future Prospects Phone: +92 51 2514555 Email: info@muslim-institute.org www.muslim-institute.org Round Table Discussion on Pak-Afghan Relations: Future Prospects Organized by MUSLIM Institute MUSLIM Institute organized

More information

Letter dated 12 May 2008 from the Secretary-General to the President of the Security Council

Letter dated 12 May 2008 from the Secretary-General to the President of the Security Council United Nations S/2008/319 Security Council Distr.: General 13 May 2008 Original: English Letter dated 12 May 2008 from the Secretary-General to the President of the Security Council I have the honour to

More information

Securing Indian Interests in Afghanistan Beyond 2014

Securing Indian Interests in Afghanistan Beyond 2014 Securing Indian Interests in Afghanistan Beyond 2014 C. Christine Fair Asia Policy, Number 17, January 2014, pp. 27-32 (Article) Published by National Bureau of Asian Research DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/asp.2014.0016

More information

The United States & South Asia: New Possibilities. It is an honor to appear before the Senate Foreign

The United States & South Asia: New Possibilities. It is an honor to appear before the Senate Foreign The United States & South Asia: New Possibilities Senate Foreign Relation's Committee January 28, 2004 It is an honor to appear before the Senate Foreign Relation's Committee again and a particular pleasure

More information

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNTIL RELEASED BY THE HOUSE ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE STATEMENT OF LIEUTENANT GENERAL KARL W. EIKENBERRY, U.S.

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNTIL RELEASED BY THE HOUSE ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE STATEMENT OF LIEUTENANT GENERAL KARL W. EIKENBERRY, U.S. FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY UNTIL RELEASED BY THE HOUSE ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE STATEMENT OF LIEUTENANT GENERAL KARL W. EIKENBERRY, U.S. ARMY FORMER COMMANDING GENERAL COMBINED FORCES COMMAND-AFGHANISTAN BEFORE

More information

The US s Withdrawal from Afghanistan and Its Impact on Indo-Pak Relations

The US s Withdrawal from Afghanistan and Its Impact on Indo-Pak Relations 27 J. Glob. & Sci. Issues, Vol 1, Issue 2, (June 2013) ISSN 2307-6275 The US s Withdrawal from Afghanistan and Its Impact on Indo-Pak Relations Naheed Anjum Chishti 1 Abstract The US President Barak Obama

More information

Pakistan and China: cooperation in counter-terrorism

Pakistan and China: cooperation in counter-terrorism Pakistan and China: cooperation in counter-terrorism Rashid Ahmad Khan * Introduction T he Pakistan-China strategic relationship is based on multi-faceted bilateral cooperation in diverse fields. During

More information

Pakistan and the Crescent of Crisis

Pakistan and the Crescent of Crisis Pakistan and the Crescent of Crisis Paper Prepared for the Crescent of Crisis Workshop, Paris, April 19-20, 2005 Stephen P. Cohen, The Brookings Institution Situated at the intersection of many American

More information

Strategies for Combating Terrorism

Strategies for Combating Terrorism Strategies for Combating Terrorism Chapter 7 Kent Hughes Butts Chapter 7 Strategies for Combating Terrorism Kent Hughes Butts In order to defeat terrorism, the United States (U. S.) must have an accepted,

More information

Sharif Out: What s Changed in US-Pakistan Relations?

Sharif Out: What s Changed in US-Pakistan Relations? THE NAVIGAT R Weekly Analysis of Muslim Geopolitics No. 4 Sharif Out: What s Changed In U.S.-Pakistan Relations? Center for Global Policy Aug 2, 2017 Sharif Out: What s Changed in US-Pakistan Relations?

More information

FIGHTING DRUGS AND CREATING ALTERNATIVE LIVELIHOODS

FIGHTING DRUGS AND CREATING ALTERNATIVE LIVELIHOODS FIGHTING DRUGS AND CREATING ALTERNATIVE LIVELIHOODS 1.01 The Government of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan is committed to tackling and ending the cultivation and trafficking of drugs. At the National

More information

Operation OMID PANJ January 2011 Naweed Barikzai 1

Operation OMID PANJ January 2011 Naweed Barikzai 1 Operation OMID PANJ January 2011 Naweed Barikzai 1 With the passage of every day, as the security situation becomes more volatile in Afghanistan, international forces in coordination with the Afghan National

More information

Happymon Jacob China, India, Pakistan and a stable regional order

Happymon Jacob China, India, Pakistan and a stable regional order Happymon Jacob China, India, Pakistan and a stable regional order 12 Three powers China, India, and Pakistan hold the keys to the future of south Asia. As the West withdraws from Afghanistan and US influence

More information

Prospects of Hostilities on Western Border For Pakistan

Prospects of Hostilities on Western Border For Pakistan 2012 Prospects of Hostilities on Western Border For Pakistan By Ammarah RabbaniRao The Conflict Monitoring Center Center I-10 Markaz, Islamabad Phone: +92-51-4448720 Email: conflictmonitor@gmail.com website:

More information

Emerging Scenarios and Recent Operations in Southern Afghanistan

Emerging Scenarios and Recent Operations in Southern Afghanistan Afghanistan Emerging Scenarios and Recent Operations in Southern Afghanistan Samarjit Ghosh Since March 2010, the Multi National Forces (MNFs) in Afghanistan have been implementing a more comprehensive

More information

Gen. David Petraeus. On the Future of the Alliance and the Mission in Afghanistan. Delivered 8 February 2009, 45th Munich Security Conference

Gen. David Petraeus. On the Future of the Alliance and the Mission in Afghanistan. Delivered 8 February 2009, 45th Munich Security Conference Gen. David Petraeus On the Future of the Alliance and the Mission in Afghanistan Delivered 8 February 2009, 45th Munich Security Conference Well, thank you very much chairman, and it's great to be with

More information

Radicalization/De-radicalization:

Radicalization/De-radicalization: Center on Global Counterterrorism Cooperation Project on U.S. Global Engagement Radicalization/De-radicalization: Lessons for the Next U.S. President 4 December 2008 SUMMARY In the third installment in

More information

Notes of the conference given by His Excellency Ghalib Iqbal, Ambassador of Pakistan in France February 17, 2014

Notes of the conference given by His Excellency Ghalib Iqbal, Ambassador of Pakistan in France February 17, 2014 Notes of the conference given by His Excellency Ghalib Iqbal, Ambassador of Pakistan in France February 17, 2014 France-Amériques and Forum du Future were privileged to host his Excellency for a talk.

More information

The most important geostrategic issue for the UK? Pakistan with friends like these.

The most important geostrategic issue for the UK? Pakistan with friends like these. RS 57 The most important geostrategic issue for the UK? Pakistan with friends like these. By Professor Shaun Gregory PSRU, Department of Peace Studies, University of Bradford This paper is taken from an

More information

Statement Ьу. His Ехсеllепсу Nick Clegg Deputy Prime Minister United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland

Statement Ьу. His Ехсеllепсу Nick Clegg Deputy Prime Minister United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Statement Ьу His Ехсеllепсу Nick Clegg Deputy Prime Minister United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland To the General Debate ofthe 65TH Session of the United Nations General Assembly [Check

More information

FATA: A Situational Analysis

FATA: A Situational Analysis INSTITUTE OF STRATEGIC STUDIES web: www.issi.org.pk phone: +92-920-4423, 24 fax: +92-920-4658 Issue Brief FATA: A Situational Analysis June 05, 2017 Written by: Amina Khan, Research Fellow Edited by: Najam

More information

The European Union Strategy for Combating Radicalisation and Recruitment to Terrorism

The European Union Strategy for Combating Radicalisation and Recruitment to Terrorism COUNCIL OF THE EUROPEAN UNION The European Union Strategy for Combating Radicalisation and Recruitment to Terrorism Justice and Home Affairs Council meeting, Brussels 1 December 2005 1. Terrorism is a

More information

Letter dated 9 September 2008 from the Secretary-General to the President of the Security Council

Letter dated 9 September 2008 from the Secretary-General to the President of the Security Council United Nations S/2008/597 Security Council Distr.: General 10 September 2008 English Original: French Letter dated 9 September 2008 from the Secretary-General to the President of the Security Council I

More information

Craig Charney December, 2010

Craig Charney December, 2010 Pakistan: Public Opinion Trends and Strategic Implications Craig Charney December, 2010 Polls: Jan 2009 500 respondents FATA Columbia U Poll October 15 November 3, 2008; 1199 respondents National Columbia

More information

A Regional Overview of South Asia

A Regional Overview of South Asia A Regional Overview of South Asia By Richard A. Boucher Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asian Affairs [The following are excerpts of the speech presented to the House Committee on Foreign

More information

Pakistan s Policy Objectives in the Indian Ocean Region

Pakistan s Policy Objectives in the Indian Ocean Region 12 2 September 2013 Pakistan s Policy Objectives in the Indian Ocean Region Associate Professor Claude Rakisits FDI Senior Visiting Fellow Key Points Pakistan s key present foreign policy objectives are:

More information

Report In-House Meeting

Report In-House Meeting INSTITUTE OF STRATEGIC STUDIES web: www.issi.org.pk phone: +92-920-4423, 24 fax: +92-920-4658 Report In-House Meeting Thai Media Delegation July 4, 2018 Rapporteur: Majid Mahmood Edited by: Najam Rafique

More information

PAKISTAN STATEMENT BY H.E. MR. КНURSHID M. KASURI FOREIGN MINISTER OF PAKISTAN IN THE

PAKISTAN STATEMENT BY H.E. MR. КНURSHID M. KASURI FOREIGN MINISTER OF PAKISTAN IN THE PAKISTAN PERMANENT мission TO THE UNITED NATIONS 8 EAST 65th STREET NEW YORK, NY 10021 (212) 879-8600 Please check against delivery STATEMENT BY H.E. MR. КНURSHID M. KASURI FOREIGN MINISTER OF PAKISTAN

More information

The DISAM Journal, Spring 2005

The DISAM Journal, Spring 2005 Momentum for Progress in South Asia By Donald A. Camp Department of State Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary for Asian Affairs [The following are excerpts of the statement presented to the U.S. Senate

More information

\mj (~, 17 June Excellency,

\mj (~, 17 June Excellency, (~, \mj ~ THE PRESIDENT OFTHE GENERAL ASSEMBLY 17 June 2015 Excellency, I have the honour to transmit herewith a Summary of the key messages, recommendations and initiatives from the High-Level Thematic

More information

The legal basis for the invasion of Afghanistan

The legal basis for the invasion of Afghanistan The legal basis for the invasion of Afghanistan Standard Note: SN/IA/5340 Last updated: 26 February 2010 Author: Ben Smith and Arabella Thorp Section International Affairs and Defence Section The military

More information

In the two years since Pakistani President Pervez

In the two years since Pakistani President Pervez "The expansion of Pakistani-Russian ties to include a significant arms relationship appears to depend on a deterioration in the Russian-Indian relationship that Moscow will not initiate and desperately

More information

Q2. (IF RIGHT DIRECTION) Why do you say that? (Up to two answers accepted.)

Q2. (IF RIGHT DIRECTION) Why do you say that? (Up to two answers accepted.) Q1. Generally speaking, do you think things in Afghanistan today are going in the right direction, or do you think they are going in the wrong direction? 2005 2004 Right direction 40 54 55 77 64 Wrong

More information

A SELECTIVE WAR ON TERRORISM?

A SELECTIVE WAR ON TERRORISM? South Asia 227 SOUTH ASIA A SELECTIVE WAR ON TERRORISM? Walter K. Andersen ABSTRACT Adjustments in foreign and domestic policies in post-cold War Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India have provided opportunities

More information

After the Cold War. Europe and North America Section 4. Main Idea

After the Cold War. Europe and North America Section 4. Main Idea Main Idea Content Statements: After the Cold War The Soviet Union collapsed in 1991 and the Cold War came to an end, bringing changes to Europe and leaving the United States as the world s only superpower.

More information

trade, interdependence, and security

trade, interdependence, and security strategic asia 2006 07 trade, interdependence, and security Edited by Ashley J. Tellis and Michael Wills Country Studies Rising China: The Search for Power and Plenty Michael R. Chambers restrictions on

More information

India-US Counterterrorism Cooperation: The Way Forward

India-US Counterterrorism Cooperation: The Way Forward India-US Counterterrorism Cooperation: The Way Forward by Vinay Kaura BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 555, August 8, 2017 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Narendra Modi s visit to the Trump White House in June was

More information

Center for Strategic & Regional Studies

Center for Strategic & Regional Studies Center for Strategic & Regional Studies Kabul Weekly Analysis-Issue Number 248 (April 14-21, 2018) Weekly Analysis is one of CSRS publications, which significantly analyses weekly economic and political

More information

IRI Pakistan Index. Three Crises: Economic, Political and Security

IRI Pakistan Index. Three Crises: Economic, Political and Security IRI Pakistan Index Three Crises: Economic, Political and Security The most significant event since IRI s last poll was the assassination of Pakistan People s Party (PPP) Chairperson and former Prime Minister

More information

An Unarguable Fact: American Security is Tied to Afghanistan and Pakistan

An Unarguable Fact: American Security is Tied to Afghanistan and Pakistan Statement before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on the Middle East and North Africa and Subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific on After the Withdrawal: The Way Forward in Afghanistan

More information

Countering Violent Extremism and Humanitarian Action

Countering Violent Extremism and Humanitarian Action Photo: NRC / Christopher Herwig Position Paper June 2017 Countering Violent Extremism and Humanitarian Action Background Preventing crises will do more to contain violent extremists than countering violent

More information

Post-2014 Afghanistan Wargame Analysis STRATEGIC WARGAMING SERIES

Post-2014 Afghanistan Wargame Analysis STRATEGIC WARGAMING SERIES Post-2014 Afghanistan Wargame Analysis STRATEGIC WARGAMING SERIES 14-15 January 2014 UNITED STATES ARMY WAR COLLEGE Center for Strategic Leadership & Development 650 Wright Ave Carlisle Barracks, PA 17013

More information

Strategy, Diplomacy and Neighborhood: Af-Pak Region

Strategy, Diplomacy and Neighborhood: Af-Pak Region Strategy, Diplomacy and Neighborhood: Af-Pak Region Dr. Manish Kumar Assistant Professor Dept. Of Defence and Strategic Studies Post Graduate Government College, Sector-11 Chandigarh Abstract: The modern

More information

USIPeace Briefing. Pakistan s Growing Instability

USIPeace Briefing. Pakistan s Growing Instability .usip.org U N I T E D S T A T E S I N S T I T U T E O F P E A C E 1200 17th Street, NW, Suite 200 Washington D.C. 20036-3011 202.457.1700 Fax 202.429.6063 Web Site www.usip.org February 2008 USIPeace Briefing

More information

Confronting Extremism and Terrorism. Chairman of the Committee for Defense and National Security, and the House of Representatives.

Confronting Extremism and Terrorism. Chairman of the Committee for Defense and National Security, and the House of Representatives. Confronting Extremism and Terrorism Major General Dr. Kamal Ahmed Amer Chairman of the Committee for Defense and National Security, and the House of Representatives. Terrorism is one of the most significant

More information

H.E. Dr. Rangin Dadfar Spanta Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan. at the General Debate

H.E. Dr. Rangin Dadfar Spanta Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan. at the General Debate Please Check Against Delivery Permanent Mission of Afghanistan to the United Nations STATEMENT OF H.E. Dr. Rangin Dadfar Spanta Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan at the

More information

Breakfast in Amritsar, lunch in Lahore, dinner in Kabul * Simbal Khan **

Breakfast in Amritsar, lunch in Lahore, dinner in Kabul * Simbal Khan ** Breakfast in Amritsar, lunch in Lahore, dinner in Kabul * Simbal Khan ** Breakfast in Amritsar, Lunch in Lahore, dinner in Kabul These words spoken by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in January 2007, envisioning

More information

Putin s Predicament: Russia and Afghanistan after 2014

Putin s Predicament: Russia and Afghanistan after 2014 Putin s Predicament: Russia and Afghanistan after 2014 Mark N. Katz Asia Policy, Number 17, January 2014, pp. 13-17 (Article) Published by National Bureau of Asian Research DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/asp.2014.0009

More information

Chinese Views of Post-2014 Afghanistan

Chinese Views of Post-2014 Afghanistan Chinese Views of Post-2014 Afghanistan Zhao Huasheng Asia Policy, Number 17, January 2014, pp. 54-58 (Article) Published by National Bureau of Asian Research DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/asp.2014.0008

More information