Colorado Governor Democrat Primary Ballot Test by Voter Subgroup*

Transcription

1 March th, 0 MEMORANDUM TO: INTERESTED PARTIES FR: DAVID FLAHERTY, MAGELLAN STRATEGIES RE: COLORADO 0 OCRAT GOVERNOR AND ATTORNEY GENERAL PRIMARY SURVEY SUMMARY RELEASE This is a summary of a voter opinion survey of 0 Democrat and unaffiliated voters who are likely to vote in the 0 Colorado Democrat primary election. The interviews were conducted from March 0 th to rd, 0. The interviews were completed using live interviewers, and the survey has a margin of error of +/-.% at the percent confidence interval. The survey results were slightly weighted to reflect the demographics of past Democrat primary elections in Colorado. Key Findings Ø Congressman Jared Polis currently leads the field for the Democrat nomination for Governor with % support followed by former state Treasurer Cary Kennedy with % support. Former state Senator Mike Johnston is third with % support, Lt. Governor Donna Lynne has % support, % support a generic other candidate and % of Democrat primary voters are undecided. Ø In the Democrat primary for Attorney General, State Representative Joe Salazar currently has a commanding -point lead over former Obama Justice Department official Phil Weiser, % to % respectively. Rounding out the field is federal prosecutor Amy Padden with % support, defense attorney Brad Levin with % support and % of respondents are undecided. Colorado Governor Democrat Primary Ballot Test by Voter Subgroup* All Voters Men Wom Dem Unaf Wht Hisp Very Lib Smwt Lib Mod Polis Lead Polis % % % % 0% % % % % 0% Kennedy % 0% % % % % % % % % Johnston % 0% % % % % 0% % % % Lynne % % % % % % % % % % Other % % % % 0% % 0% % % % Undec. % % % % % % % % % % Subgroup %: Dem %, Unaf %, Wht %, Hisp %, Very Lib %, SMWT Lib %, Mod %.

2 Magellan Strategies Colorado 0 Governor Democrat Primary Survey Summary Field Dates: March 0 th to rd, 0, 0n, MoE +/-.% Observations of the Colorado Governor Democrat Primary Ballot Test Since January, the conventional wisdom among political observers in Colorado was that Jared Polis was the likely front runner in the Democrat primary for Governor. The results of this survey change that story, with Cary Kennedy emerging from the pack of Polis challengers. It appears Cary Kennedy has built some momentum from her victory in the preference polls taken at the March th Democrat precinct caucuses, defeating Jared Polis 0% to.%. Looking closer at the ballot test results by voter subgroup, we find among male voters Jared Polis leads Cary Kennedy by an -point margin, % to 0% respectively. Among female voters it is a statistical tie, with Cary Kennedy leading Jared Polis by point, % to % respectively. However, female voters historically contribute about 0% to the total votes cast in a Democrat primary election in Colorado. Another observation is Jared Polis holds a -point lead over Cary Kennedy among unaffiliated voters, 0% to %. However, it is important to note that the survey interviewed only unaffiliated voters and that measurement has a margin of error of +/-.%. Colorado Governor Democrat Primary Candidate Image Ratings It is notable, but not surprising, that none of Democrat primary candidates for Governor have a negative image rating. However, the early period of the primary campaign is ending and the time to put money to work is just around the corner. A measurement of name recognition is perhaps more relevant. At this time, the most well-known Democrat candidate for Governor is Jared Polis, with % of respondents having an opinion of him and % having heard of him. Cary Kennedy is the second most well-known candidate, with % having an opinion of her and % having heard of her. The other two candidates in the race, Mike Johnston (0% never heard of) and Donna Lynne (% never heard of) have a lot of work to do introducing themselves to voters. Jared Polis Image Rating by Voter Subgroup All Very SMWT Voters Men Wom Dem Unaf Wht Hisp Lib Lib Mod Favorable % % % % % % % % % % Unfavorable % % % % % % % % % % Hrd of, No Opinion % % % % % % 0% % % 0% Never Heard Of % % % % % 0% % % % 0% Cary Kennedy Image Rating by Voter Subgroup All Very SMWT Voters Men Wom Dem Unaf Wht Hisp Lib Lib Mod Favorable % % % % % % 0% % % % Unfavorable % % % % % % % % % % Hrd of, No Opinion % % % % % % 0% 0% % % Never Heard Of % % 0% % % 0% % % % % Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

3 Magellan Strategies Colorado 0 Governor Democrat Primary Survey Summary Field Dates: March 0 th to rd, 0, 0n, MoE +/-.% Observations of the Colorado Attorney General Democrat Primary Ballot Test State Representative Joe Salazar currently leads the three other candidates in the Democratic nomination for Attorney General by points, with % of likely voters being undecided. For many political observers in Colorado, this ballot test finding will generate questions about how well informed Democrat primary voters are about Joe Salazar. It is reasonable to wonder if Joe Salazar s support is based upon a misperception that he is former U.S. Senator Ken Salazar, or his brother former Congressman John Salazar. However, regardless of any misperceptions about voters knowing who Joe Salazar is, the state legislator has a very strong image rating. Among all respondents, % have a favorable opinion of him and only % having an unfavorable opinion of him. The other three candidates for the nomination are completely unknown, with an average of 0% of respondents having never heard of any of them. The bottom line is it will be very difficult and expensive for any of the opposing candidates to clarify who Joe Salazar is and then convince them they are the better choice. Colorado Attorney General Democrat Primary Ballot Test by Voter Subgroup* All Voters Men Wom Dem Unaf Wht Hisp Very Lib Smwt Lib Mod Salazar Lead Salazar % % % % % % 0% % % 0% Weiser % % % % 0% % % % % % Padden % % % % % % 0% % % % Levin % % % % % % % % % % Undec. % % 0% % % % % % % % Refused % % 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% % % 0% Top Issue Priorities Democrat Primary Voters Want Addressed From the following list of issues, which do you think should be the top priority that Governor Hickenlooper and the state legislature should be addressing the most? All Voters Men Wom Dem Unaf Wht Hisp Very Lib SMWT Lib Mod Affordable Healthcare 0% % % 0% % 0% 0% % % % Ending Gun Violence % % % % % 0% % % % % Public Education % % % % % % % % % % Rising Cost of Housing % % 0% % % % % % % % Transportation % % % % % % % % % % Protecting Environment % 0% % % % % % % % % Solution to Immigration % % % % % % % 0% % % Create Jobs & Economy % % % % % % % % % % Sexual Harassment % 0% % 0% % 0% % 0% 0% 0% Other % % % % % % % % % % Unsure/No Opinion % % % % % % 0% % % % Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

4 Magellan Strategies Colorado 0 Governor Democrat Primary Survey Summary Field Dates: March 0 th to rd, 0, 0n, MoE +/-.% Conclusion At this early stage of the campaign Cary Kennedy has succeeded in making herself the alternative to Jared Polis and potentially the front runner in the nomination for Democrat Governor. The next test of support for her campaign and the other candidates will be at the Democratic state assembly on April th. However, there are millions of dollars about to be spent by several campaigns. They will be introducing themselves to primary voters and making their best arguments why they should be the nominee for Governor. For Colorado political observers, it will be very interesting to see the twists and turns of this primary through Election Day on June th. Our Weighting Methodology for This Survey We have made every effort to properly forecast the demographics of the Democrat primary voter turnout expected on Election Day, June th. To accurately project what the demographics (age, gender, party, race) on Election Day will be, we use an approach that aggregates data from our Colorado voter file. A table showing our approach is included in this document. Survey Commissioned By This survey was fielded and paid for by Magellan Strategies. We are not working with any candidates, individuals or independent expenditure committees with an interest in the 0 Colorado Democrat primary for Governor. For any questions regarding the survey findings or methodology, please contact David Flaherty by calling our office at 0-- or at dflaherty@magellanstrategies.com. Survey Sample The survey sample was randomly drawn from a Colorado voter file among households containing at least one registered Democrat or unaffiliated voter. The survey topline and crosstab results are included in this document. A survey presentation is also available on our website at About Magellan Strategies Magellan Strategies is a national full-service voter opinion polling and survey research firm. We have provided polling services to Republican candidates, ballot issue campaigns, government relation firms, trade associations, and local governments since 00. We also offer voter data mining, voter data analysis and campaign consulting services. Our office is in Louisville, Colorado. To learn more about our company please visit or call 0--. The Democrat primary demographics, survey toplines and crosstab results follow. Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

5 Colorado Statewide Democrat Primary Election Demographics Sex 0 0 Female,0 0.%, 0.%,0 0.%, 0.% Male 0,.%,.%,0.%,.% 0 Total,0,0,0,0 00 Age Group - 0,0.% 0,0.0% 0,.% 00,.% -,.%,0.%,.% 0,.% -,0.%,0.%,.%,0.% -,.0%,.%,.%,.% +,.% 0,0.%,.%,.0% Total,,0 0,, Party Democrat, %,0 %, %,0 % Region CD0 0,.% 0, 0.0% 0,.% 00,.0% CD0,0.%,0.%,.%,.% CD0,.%,0.%,.%,0.% CD0,.%,.0%, 0.%, 0.% CD0,.% 0,.%,.%,.% CD0,.%,.%,.%,.% CD0,.0%,0.%,.%,.% AL,,0,,0 Hispanic Hispanic,.%,.%,0.%, 0.%

6 Magellan Strategies Colorado Democrat Primary Survey Topline Results Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results for a 0n live survey of likely 0 Democrat Primary voters in the state of Colorado. The interviews were conducted March 0 th rd, 0. This survey has a margin of error of +/-.% at the percent confidence interval. This survey was weighted based upon past Democrat primary election voting demographics. T. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an unaffiliated voter? Democrat... % Unaffiliated... % T. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming June Democrat primary election, to choose candidates for Governor, Attorney General, the state legislature and other statewide offices? Would you say you are Extremely Likely... % Very Likely... % Somewhat likely... % T. As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can now participate in the Democrat or Republican primary election for next June. Although it is a long way off, do you intend to vote in the Democrat primary, the Republican primary or do not plan on voting in the primary election at all? Democrat Primary... 00%

7 Magellan ID#: CO-00 Colorado 0 Democrat Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: /0/ - //, MoE +/-.%, 0n, CONFIDENTIAL T. From the following list of issues, which do you think should be the top priority that Governor Hickenlooper and the state legislature should be addressing the most? Making healthcare accessible and affordable... 0% Putting an end to gun violence... % Improving public education... % Addressing the rising costs of housing... % Fixing our traffic and transportation problems... % Protecting Colorado s environment... % Finding a humane solution to immigration... % Creating jobs and growing the economy... % Addressing sexual harassment... % Other... % Unsure or no opinion... % I am now going to read to you names of people involved in Democratic politics. After hearing each name, please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you do not know the name of the person, just say so. Let s get started, the first name is T. CARY KENNEDY Total Favorable... % Total Unfavorable... % Very Favorable... % Somewhat Favorable... 0% Very Unfavorable... % Somewhat Unfavorable... % Heard Of, No Opinion... % Never Heard Of... % Refused... 0% Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

8 Magellan ID#: CO-00 Colorado 0 Democrat Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: /0/ - //, MoE +/-.%, 0n, CONFIDENTIAL T. MIKE JOHNSTON Total Favorable... % Total Unfavorable... % Very Favorable... % Somewhat Favorable... % Very Unfavorable... % Somewhat Unfavorable... % Heard Of, No Opinion... % Never Heard Of... 0% Refused... 0% T. JARED POLIS Total Favorable... % Total Unfavorable... % Very Favorable... % Somewhat Favorable... % Very Unfavorable... % Somewhat Unfavorable... % Heard Of, No Opinion... % Never Heard Of... % Refused... 0% T. DONNA LYNNE Total Favorable... % Total Unfavorable... % Very Favorable... % Somewhat Favorable... % Very Unfavorable... 0% Somewhat Unfavorable... % Heard Of, No Opinion... % Never Heard Of... % Refused... 0% Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

9 Magellan ID#: CO-00 Colorado 0 Democrat Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: /0/ - //, MoE +/-.%, 0n, CONFIDENTIAL T. BRAD LEVIN Total Favorable... % Total Unfavorable... % Very Favorable... % Somewhat Favorable... % Very Unfavorable... % Somewhat Unfavorable... % Heard Of, No Opinion... 0% Never Heard Of... % Refused... 0% T0. JOE SALAZAR Total Favorable... % Total Unfavorable... % Very Favorable... % Somewhat Favorable... % Very Unfavorable... % Somewhat Unfavorable... % Heard Of, No Opinion... % Never Heard Of... % Refused... % T. PHIL WEISER Total Favorable... % Total Unfavorable... % Very Favorable... % Somewhat Favorable... % Very Unfavorable... % Somewhat Unfavorable... % Heard Of, No Opinion... % Never Heard Of... 0% Refused... 0% Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

10 Magellan ID#: CO-00 Colorado 0 Democrat Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: /0/ - //, MoE +/-.%, 0n, CONFIDENTIAL T. AMY PADDEN Total Favorable... % Total Unfavorable... % Very Favorable... % Somewhat Favorable... % Very Unfavorable... % Somewhat Unfavorable... % Heard Of, No Opinion... 0% Never Heard Of... 0% Refused... 0% T. If the Democratic primary election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Cary Kennedy, Mike Johnston, Jared Polis, and Donna Lynne? Total Polis... % Total Kennedy... % Total Johnston... % Total Lynne... % Definitely Polis... % Probably Polis... % Definitely Kennedy... % Probably Kennedy... 0% Definitely Johnston... % Probably Johnston... % Definitely Lynne... % Probably Lynne... % Other Candidate... % Undecided... % Refused... 0% Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

11 Magellan ID#: CO-00 Colorado 0 Democrat Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: /0/ - //, MoE +/-.%, 0n, CONFIDENTIAL T. If the Democratic primary election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Brad Levin, Joe Salazar, Phil Weiser, and Amy Padden? Total Salazar... % Total Weiser... % Total Padden... % Total Levin... % Definitely Salazar... % Probably Salazar... % Definitely Weiser... % Probably Weiser... % Definitely Padden... % Probably Padden... % Definitely Levin... % Probably Levin... % Undecided... % Refused... % T. If you could have voted in the 0 Democratic Presidential Primary, would you have voted for Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders or some other candidate? Clinton... % Sanders... % Other Candidate... % Undecided or Refused... % And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only. T. Do you consider yourself to be very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate or conservative in your political beliefs? Very Liberal... % Somewhat Liberal... % Moderate... % Conservative... % Unsure or No Opinion... % Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

12 Magellan ID#: CO-00 Colorado 0 Democrat Primary Survey Topline Results Field Dates: /0/ - //, MoE +/-.%, 0n, CONFIDENTIAL T. Which of the following age groups applies to you? % % -... % -... % +... % Refused... 0% T. To ensure that we have a representative sample what is your race or ethnicity? Are you white, Hispanic or Latino, black or African American, or do you consider yourself to be part of another racial or ethnic group? White... % Hispanic or Latino... % African American or Black... % Other Racial Group... % Refused... 0% T. Are you married, separated or divorced, widowed, single and never been married, or unmarried and living with a partner? Married... % Single, Never Been Married... % Separated or Divorced... % Widowed... % Single, Living with Partner... % No Opinion... 0% T0. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman? Female... 0% Male... 0% Survey Methodology This survey was conducted by live dialing landline and cell phone sample. The sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from a state of Colorado voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past Democrat primary election voting demographics. The interviews were conducted on March 0 th rd, 0. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample. This survey has a margin of error of +/-.% at the percent confidence interval. Magellan Strategies Boxelder St. Suite 00 Louisville, CO 00 (0) -

13 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, or an unaffiliated voter? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - OCRAT FILIATED

14 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, or an unaffiliated voter? RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 OCRAT FILIATED

15 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, or an unaffiliated voter? REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 OCRAT FILIATED

16 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming June Democrat primary election, to choose candidates for Governor, Attorney General, the state legislature and other statewide offices? Would you say you are... GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY 0 MOD - - EXTREMELY LIKELY VERY LIKELY LIKELY

17 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming June Democrat primary election, to choose candidates for Governor, Attorney General, the state legislature and other statewide offices? Would you say you are... RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS 0 KENN JOHN - POLI LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN EXTREMELY LIKELY VERY LIKELY LIKELY

18 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming June Democrat primary election, to choose candidates for Governor, Attorney General, the state legislature and other statewide offices? Would you say you are... REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 EXTREMELY LIKELY VERY LIKELY LIKELY

19 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can now participate in the Democrat or Republican primary election for next June. Although it is a long way off, do you intend to vote in the Democrat primary, the Republican primary or do not plan on voting in the primary election at all? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY 0 MOD - - OCRAT PRIMARY 0 0 0

20 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can now participate in the Democrat or Republican primary election for next June. Although it is a long way off, do you intend to vote in the Democrat primary, the Republican primary or do not plan on voting in the primary election at all? RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR PADN OCRAT PRIMARY

21 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. As you may know, unaffiliated voters in Colorado can now participate in the Democrat or Republican primary election for next June. Although it is a long way off, do you intend to vote in the Democrat primary, the Republican primary or do not plan on voting in the primary election at all? REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD CD CD CD CD - AL 0 OCRAT PRIMARY 0

22 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. From the following list of issues, which do you think should be the top priority that Governor Hickenlooper and the state legislature should be addressing the most? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - MAKING HEALTHCARE ACCESSIBLE AFFORDABLE PUTTING AN END TO GUN VIOLENCE IMPROVING PUBLIC EDUCATION ADDRES RI COST OF HOU FIXING OUR TRAFFIC TRANSPORTATION PROBLEMS PROTECTING COLORADO'S ENVIRONT FINDING A HUMANE SOLUTION TO IMMIGRATION CREATING GOOD JOBS GROWING OUR ECONOMY ADDRES SEXUAL HARASST SOME ER ISSUE I DID NOT TION UNSURE NO OPINION REFUSED

23 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. From the following list of issues, which do you think should be the top priority that Governor Hickenlooper and the state legislature should be addressing the most? RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 MAKING HEALTHCARE ACCESSIBLE AFFORDABLE PUTTING AN END TO GUN VIOLENCE IMPROVING PUBLIC EDUCATION ADDRES RI COST OF HOU FIXING OUR TRAFFIC TRANSPORTATION PROBLEMS PROTECTING COLORADO'S ENVIRONT FINDING A HUMANE SOLUTION TO IMMIGRATION CREATING GOOD JOBS GROWING OUR ECONOMY ADDRES SEXUAL HARASST SOME ER ISSUE I DID NOT TION UNSURE NO OPINION REFUSED

24 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. From the following list of issues, which do you think should be the top priority that Governor Hickenlooper and the state legislature should be addressing the most? REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 MAKING HEALTHCARE ACCESSIBLE AFFORDABLE PUTTING AN END TO GUN VIOLENCE IMPROVING PUBLIC EDUCATION ADDRES RI COST OF HOU FIXING OUR TRAFFIC TRANSPORTATION PROBLEMS PROTECTING COLORADO'S ENVIRONT FINDING A HUMANE SOLUTION TO IMMIGRATION CREATING GOOD JOBS GROWING OUR ECONOMY ADDRES SEXUAL HARASST SOME ER ISSUE I DID NOT TION UNSURE NO OPINION REFUSED

25 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - I am now going to read to you names of people involved in Democratic politics. After hearing each name, please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you do not know the name of the person, just say so. Let's get started, the first name is... T. CARY KENNEDY GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

26 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - I am now going to read to you names of people involved in Democratic politics. After hearing each name, please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you do not know the name of the person, just say so. Let's get started, the first name is... T. CARY KENNEDY RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

27 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - I am now going to read to you names of people involved in Democratic politics. After hearing each name, please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable opinion of that person. If you do not know the name of the person, just say so. Let's get started, the first name is... T. CARY KENNEDY REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED 0. 0.

28 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. MIKE JOHNSTON GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

29 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. MIKE JOHNSTON RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

30 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. MIKE JOHNSTON REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED 0. 0.

31 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. JARED POLIS GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

32 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. JARED POLIS RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

33 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. JARED POLIS REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED 0. 0.

34 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. DONNA LYNNE GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

35 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. DONNA LYNNE RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

36 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. DONNA LYNNE REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE 0... UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

37 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. BRAD LEVIN GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

38 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. BRAD LEVIN RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

39 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. BRAD LEVIN REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE 0... UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

40 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table 0- T0. JOE SALAZAR GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

41 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table 0- T0. JOE SALAZAR RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

42 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table 0- T0. JOE SALAZAR REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED 0...

43 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. PHIL WEISER GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

44 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. PHIL WEISER RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

45 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. PHIL WEISER REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED 0. 0.

46 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. AMY PADDEN GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

47 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. AMY PADDEN RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED

48 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. AMY PADDEN REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL FAVORABLE AL UNFAVORABLE VERY FAVORABLE FAVORABLE VERY UNFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE HEARD OF NO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF REFUSED 0. 0.

49 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If the Democratic primary election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Cary Kennedy, Mike Johnston, Jared Polis, and Donna Lynne? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL POLIS AL KENNEDY AL JOHNSTON AL LYNNE DEFINITELY POLIS PROBABLY POLIS DEFINITELY KENNEDY PROBABLY KENNEDY DEFINITELY JOHNSTON PROBABLY JOHNSTON DEFINITELY LYNNE PROBABLY LYNNE SOME ER CANDIDATE ECIDED REFUSED

50 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If the Democratic primary election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Cary Kennedy, Mike Johnston, Jared Polis, and Donna Lynne? RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL POLIS AL KENNEDY AL JOHNSTON AL LYNNE DEFINITELY POLIS PROBABLY POLIS DEFINITELY KENNEDY PROBABLY KENNEDY DEFINITELY JOHNSTON PROBABLY JOHNSTON DEFINITELY LYNNE PROBABLY LYNNE SOME ER CANDIDATE ECIDED REFUSED

51 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If the Democratic primary election for Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Cary Kennedy, Mike Johnston, Jared Polis, and Donna Lynne? REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL POLIS AL KENNEDY AL JOHNSTON AL LYNNE DEFINITELY POLIS PROBABLY POLIS DEFINITELY KENNEDY PROBABLY KENNEDY DEFINITELY JOHNSTON PROBABLY JOHNSTON DEFINITELY LYNNE..... PROBABLY LYNNE SOME ER CANDIDATE..... ECIDED REFUSED

52 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If the Democratic primary election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Brad Levin, Joe Salazar, Phil Weiser, and Amy Padden? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - AL SALAZAR AL WEISER AL PADDEN AL LEVIN DEFINITELY SALAZAR PROBABLY SALAZAR DEFINITELY WEISER PROBABLY WEISER DEFINITELY PADDEN PROBABLY PADDEN DEFINITELY LEVIN PROBABLY LEVIN ECIDED UNSURE NO OPINION REFUSED

53 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If the Democratic primary election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Brad Levin, Joe Salazar, Phil Weiser, and Amy Padden? RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 AL SALAZAR AL WEISER AL PADDEN AL LEVIN DEFINITELY SALAZAR PROBABLY SALAZAR DEFINITELY WEISER PROBABLY WEISER DEFINITELY PADDEN PROBABLY PADDEN DEFINITELY LEVIN PROBABLY LEVIN ECIDED UNSURE NO OPINION REFUSED

54 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If the Democratic primary election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Brad Levin, Joe Salazar, Phil Weiser, and Amy Padden? REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 AL SALAZAR AL WEISER AL PADDEN AL LEVIN DEFINITELY SALAZAR PROBABLY SALAZAR DEFINITELY WEISER PROBABLY WEISER DEFINITELY PADDEN PROBABLY PADDEN DEFINITELY LEVIN PROBABLY LEVIN ECIDED UNSURE NO OPINION REFUSED

55 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If you could have voted in the 0 Democratic Presidential Primary, would you have voted for Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders or some other candidate? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - HILLARY CLINTON BERNIE SANDERS SOME ER CANDIDATE ECIDED REFUSED

56 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If you could have voted in the 0 Democratic Presidential Primary, would you have voted for Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders or some other candidate? RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 HILLARY CLINTON BERNIE SANDERS SOME ER CANDIDATE ECIDED REFUSED

57 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. If you could have voted in the 0 Democratic Presidential Primary, would you have voted for Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders or some other candidate? REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD - CD CD CD CD AL 0 0 HILLARY CLINTON BERNIE SANDERS SOME ER CANDIDATE ECIDED REFUSED

58 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only... T. Do you consider yourself to be very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate or conservative in your political beliefs? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD - - VERY ERAL ERAL MODERATE CONSERVATIVE DON'T KNOW REFUSED

59 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only... T. Do you consider yourself to be very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate or conservative in your political beliefs? RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN 0 VERY ERAL ERAL MODERATE CONSERVATIVE DON'T KNOW REFUSED

60 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - And now I have a few questions for statistical purposes only... T. Do you consider yourself to be very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate or conservative in your political beliefs? REGION BY CD AL CD CD CD CD CD CD CD - AL 0 0 VERY ERAL ERAL MODERATE CONSERVATIVE DON'T KNOW REFUSED.....

61 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. Which of the following age groups applies to you? GENDER~MARITAL AGE IDEOLOGY PARTY AL AL PLUS VERY MOD REFUSED

62 Colorado Democrat Primary Survey, March 0th - rd, 0, 0N,.% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, Boxelder St. Suite 00, Louisville, CO 00, 0-- Table - T. Which of the following age groups applies to you? RACE 0 PRIMARY GOVERNOR PRIMARY ATT. GENERAL PRIMARY AL AL 0 WHIT HISP AA BLCK - CLIN TON 0 SAND ERS KENN JOHN - POLI 0 LYNN LEVN SLZR - WESR 0 PADN REFUSED