Scott Brown retains popularity, leads Dems by at least nine

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1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE June 7, 2011 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE retains popularity, leads Dems by at least nine Raleigh, N.C. s election over Martha Coakley was a harbinger of things to come for Democrats in 2010, but he did not ride into town on the Tea Express. There are too few s (27%) and Republicans (15%) in Massachusetts for that to have succeeded, even in a special election. Instead, because more than % of Massachusetts voters are Democrats and another 40% independents, Brown won and has remained popular because he has cultivated an image as a moderate, as someone far more mainstream than a typical Republican. So he leads the full gamut of potential Democratic challengers for a full term by at least nine points Coakley, 49-40; Rep. Mike Capuano, 48-38; Rep. Ed Markey, 47-37; Harvard Law professor Elizabeth Warren, 47-32; entrepreneur Alan Khazei, 50-31; TV host Rachel Maddow, 49-; activist Bob Massie, 48-25; and Newton Mayor Setti Warren, % of Bay State voters approve of Brown s job performance, including 31% of Democrats and 58% of independents. 36% disapprove. Half see Brown s views as about right, something only 27% say about the GOP as a whole. A third of Democrats and 61% of independents see his ideology as acceptable, while only 11% of Democrats and 31% of independents say that about Brown s party. It is no surprise, then, that Brown earns 47-50% of the vote against any of the Democrats, both veterans and little-known figures. Almost everyone is familiar with Coakley, but she still loses a rematch by nine points. Brown takes 19-24% of Democrats votes and 61-66% of independents accounting for 33-37% of the overall vote without even factoring his overwhelming 86-94% share of Republicans into the equation. s still doing a good job of getting voters in Massachusetts to see him as not like all the other Republicans, said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. It s a delicate balance but that combined with the Democrats still not having a high profile challenger has him continuing to look like a favorite for reelection. PPP surveyed 957 Massachusetts voters from June 2 nd to 5 th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.2%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates. Public Policy Polling Phone: Web: information@publicpolicypolling.com

2 Massachusetts Survey Results Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Q6 Q7 Q8 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown s job performance? Approve...48% Disapprove...36%...16% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Capuano?...27%...44%... 28% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Martha Coakley?...49%...12%... 39% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Alan Khazei?...15%...63%... 23% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rachel Maddow?...22%...48%... 30% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ed Markey?...33%...40%... 27% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bob Massie?... 3%...76%... 21% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elizabeth Warren?...21%...61%... 17% Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Setti Warren?... 7%...74%... 19% Q10 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Republican and Democrat Mike Capuano, who would you vote for?...48% Mike Capuano...38% Undecided...14% Q11 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Republican and Democrat Martha Coakley, who would you vote for?...49% Martha Coakley...40% Undecided...10% Q12 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Republican and Democrat Alan Khazei, who would you vote for?...50% Alan Khazei...31% Undecided...19% Q13 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Republican and Democrat Rachel Maddow, who would you vote for?...49% Rachel Maddow...% Undecided...21% Survey of 957 Massachusetts voters

3 Q14 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Republican and Democrat Ed Markey, who would you vote for?...47% Ed Markey...37% Undecided...16% Q15 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Republican and Democrat Bob Massie, who would you vote for?...48% Bob Massie...25% Undecided...27% Q16 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Republican and Democrat Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for?...47% Elizabeth Warren...32% Undecided...21% Q17 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Republican and Democrat Setti Warren, who would you vote for?...48% Setti Warren...23% Undecided...% Q18 Do you think is too liberal, too, or about right? Too liberal...12% Too...33% About right...50%... 6% Q19 Do you think the Republican is too liberal, too, or about right? Too liberal...12% Too...54% About right...27%... 7% Q20 Who did you vote for President in 2008?...34% Barack Obama...60% Someone else/don't... 6% Q21 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat, or very? liberal...16% Somewhat liberal...24% Moderate...33% Somewhat...19%... 8% Q22 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Woman...54% Man...46% Q23 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. Democrat...46% Republican...15% Independent/Other...40% Q24 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2. White...89% Other... 11% Q25 If you are years old, press 1. If, press 2. If, press 3. If you are older, press %...26%...42%...20% Survey of 957 Massachusetts voters

4 Brown Approval Capuano Favorability Approve 48% 72% 35% 39% 27% 10% 38% 15% Disapprove 36% 17% 48% 20% 28% 46% 18% % 16% 10% 17% 40% 44% 44% 43% 56% Coakley Favorability 49% 22% % 35% 39% 71% 22% 37% 12% 7% 13% 28% Khazei Favorability 15% 9% 19% 7% 23% 30% 19% 12% 63% 61% 62% 81%

5 Maddow Favorability Markey Favorability 22% 4% 34% 13% 33% 11% 46% 19% 30% 49% 20% 23% 27% 53% 13% 30% 48% 47% 47% 64% 40% 36% 41% 51% Massie Favorability 3% 2% 4% 1% 21% % 17% 18% 76% 70% 79% 81% E. Warr e n Favorability 21% 6% 31% 11% 17% 26% 12% 23% 61% 68% 58% 66%

6 S. Warren Favorability 7% 4% 10% 3% 19% 30% 14% 11% 74% 67% 76% 86% Brown/Capuano Mike Capuano Undecide d 48% 90% 25% 52% 38% 6% 57% 28% 14% 5% 18% 20% Brown/Coakley 49% 88% 26% 54% Martha Coakley Undecide d 40% 7% 60% 33% 10% 5% 13% 13% Brown/Khazei 50% 89% 28% 54% Alan Khazei 31% 6% 46% 28% Undecide d 19% 5% 27% 19%

7 Brown/Maddow Rachel Maddow Undecide d 49% 88% 27% 52% % 5% 44% 24% 21% 7% % 24% Brown/Markey Ed Markey Undecide d 47% 88% 23% 54% 37% 8% 54% 32% 16% 4% 23% 14% Brown/Massie Bob Massie Undecide d 48% 88% 25% 53% 25% 3% 38% 20% 27% 8% 37% 27% Brown/E. Warren Elizabeth Warren 47% 87% 24% 54% 32% 6% 47% 24% Undecide d 21% 7% % 22%

8 Brown/S. Warren Setti Warren Undecide d 48% 90% 23% 53% 23% 1% 36% 18% % 8% 41% % Brown Too liberal Too About right 12% 23% 4% 23% 33% 5% 50% 14% 50% 71% 38% 52% 6% 2% 7% 11% GOP Too liberal Too About right 12% 20% 7% 19% 54% 19% 76% 33% 27% 57% 10% 35% 7% 4% 7% 13% Brown Approval Approve 48% 15% 31% 59% 74% 63% Disapprove 36% 78% 47% 22% 14% 25% 16% 7% 22% 19% 12% 12%

9 Capuano Favorability 27% 49% 36% 25% 11% 4% 28% 21% 16% 26% % 52% 44% 30% 48% 49% 44% 44% Coakley Favorability 49% 68% 68% 48% 25% 8% 39% 25% 16% 38% 66% 81% 12% 7% 16% 14% 9% 12% Khazei Favorability 15% 31% 19% 11% 5% 4% 23% 20% 15% 23% % 36% 63% 49% 66% 66% 66% 60% Maddow Favorability 22% 50% 35% 16% 2% 2% 30% 22% 15% 28% 49% 53% 48% 28% 50% 56% 49% %

10 Markey Favorability 33% 53% 50% 30% 8% 5% 27% 16% 6% 25% 55% 62% 40% 30% 44% % 36% 33% Massie Favorability 3% 3% 6% 3% 0% 2% 21% 25% 12% 23% 21% 32% 76% 73% 82% 74% 78% 66% E. Warr e n Favorability 21% % 31% 17% 2% 3% 17% 14% 9% 18% 25% % 61% 41% 61% % 73% 68% S. Warren Favorability 7% 12% 12% 5% 3% 1% 19% 17% 11% 20% 23% 37% 74% 71% 77% 75% 74% 63%

11 Brown/Capuano 48% 12% 23% 55% 87% 85% Mike Capuano 38% 75% 57% % 9% 7% Undecide d 14% 13% 20% 16% 3% 8% Brow n/coakley 49% 15% 24% 55% 85% 90% Martha Coakley 40% 70% 66% 32% 11% 3% Undecide d 10% 15% 10% 13% 4% 7% Brow n/khaze i 50% 14% 21% 60% 88% 84% Alan Khazei 31% 64% 52% 17% 8% 14% Undecide d 19% 22% 28% 23% 4% 2% Brown/Maddow 49% 14% 20% 58% 87% 84% Rachel Maddow % 56% 49% 19% 5% 12% Undecide d 21% 30% 30% 23% 7% 4%

12 Brow n/marke y 47% 15% 16% 54% 88% 84% Ed Markey 37% 64% % 26% 8% 12% Undecide d 16% 21% 19% 20% 4% 4% Brown/Massie 48% 16% 18% 56% 86% 84% Bob Massie 25% 50% 42% 15% 6% 12% Undecide d 27% 34% 41% % 8% 4% Brow n/e. Warren 47% 13% 18% 54% 86% 83% Elizabeth Warren 32% 62% 54% 20% 5% 12% Undecide d 21% 26% 28% 25% 8% 5% Brow n/s. Warren 48% 11% 19% 56% 86% 89% Setti Warren 23% 50% 40% 13% 5% 1% Undecide d % 39% 42% 31% 9% 10%

13 Brown Too liberal 12% 9% 2% 8% 19% 48% Too 33% 76% 54% 19% 3% 3% About right 50% 14% 36% % 73% 49% 6% 1% 8% 8% 6% 1% GOP Too liberal 12% 9% 2% 9% 20% 43% Too 54% 84% 84% 49% 18% 8% About right 27% 4% 9% 33% 56% 44% 7% 3% 6% 10% 5% 4% Brown Approval Approve Disapprove Wom an Man 48% 48% 49% 36% 35% 36% 16% 17% 15% Wom an Man Capuano Favorability 27% 24% 31% 28% 23% 35% 44% 53% 34%

14 Wom an Man Wom an Man Coakley Favorability Khazei Favorability 49% 57% 39% 15% 13% 17% 39% 31% 49% 23% 20% 26% 12% 12% 12% 63% 67% 57% Maddow Favorability Wom an Man 22% 19% 26% 30% 24% 37% 48% 57% 37% Wom an Man Markey Favorability 33% 28% 38% 27% 21% 35% 40% 51% 27%

15 Wom an Man Wom an Man Massie Favorability 3% 3% 4% 21% 18% 24% 76% 79% 72% E. Warr e n Favorability 21% 17% 27% 17% 16% 19% 61% 67% 55% S. Warren Favorability Wom an Man 7% 5% 10% 19% 17% 22% 74% 78% 69% Wom an Man Brown/Capuano 48% 46% 51% Mike Capuano 38% 37% 39% Unde cided 14% 17% 10%

16 Wom an Man Wom an Man Brow n/coakley Brow n/khazei 49% 44% 55% 50% 46% 55% Martha Coakley 40% % 35% Alan Khazei 31% 32% 30% Unde cided 10% 11% 10% Unde cided 19% 22% 15% Brown/Maddow Rachel Maddow Unde cided Wom an Man 49% 46% 54% % 31% 28% 21% 24% 18% Wom an Man Brow n/markey 47% % 50% Ed Markey 37% 36% 38% Unde cided 16% 19% 12%

17 Wom an Man Wom an Man Brow n/massie Brow n/e. Warren 48% % 52% 47% 43% 51% Bob Massie 25% 24% 26% Elizabeth Warren 32% 31% 32% Unde cided 27% 31% 23% Unde cided 21% 26% 16% Wom an Man Wom an Man Brow n/s. Warren Brow n 48% 44% 52% Too liberal 12% 11% 12% Setti Warren 23% 22% 24% Too 33% 31% 34% Unde cided % 34% 23% About right 50% 49% 50% 6% 8% 3%

18 GOP Too liberal Too Wom an Man 12% 11% 12% 54% 52% 57% Brown Approval Approve Disapprove Democrat Republican Independent/Other 48% 31% 74% 58% 36% 52% 15% 25% 16% 17% 11% 17% About right 27% 27% 28% 7% 9% 3% Capuano Favorability Democrat Republican Independent/Other 27% 40% 6% 21% 28% 18% 48% 32% 44% 42% 46% 47% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Coakley Favorability 49% 66% 18% 40% 39% 22% 70% 48% 12% 12% 12% 12%

19 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Democrat Republican Independent/Other Khazei Favorability Maddow Favorability 15% 19% 6% 13% 22% 35% 4% 14% 23% 19% % 25% 30% 19% 52% 34% 63% 62% % 62% 48% 46% 43% 52% Markey Favorability Democrat Republican Independent/Other 33% 47% 9% 25% 27% 12% 52% 36% 40% 41% 39% 39% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Massie Favorability 3% 5% 1% 2% 21% 17% 28% 23% 76% 78% 71% 75%

20 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Democrat Republican Independent/Other E. Warren Favorability S. Warren Favorability 21% 30% 7% 16% 7% 11% 4% 4% 17% 13% 24% 20% 19% 12% 22% 26% 61% 57% 70% 64% 74% 77% 73% 70% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown/Capuano 48% 21% 86% 66% Mike Capuano 38% 62% 7% 21% Undecided 14% 17% 6% 13% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown/Coakley 49% 24% 91% 63% Martha Coakley 40% 64% 5% 26% Undecided 10% 12% 4% 11%

21 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown/Khazei 50% 23% 92% % Alan Khazei 31% 52% 6% 16% Undecided 19% 25% 2% 19% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown/Maddow 49% 23% 88% % Rachel Maddow % 49% 8% 15% Undecided 21% 28% 5% 20% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown/Markey 47% 19% 92% 63% Ed Markey 37% 62% 6% 20% Undecided 16% 20% 2% 17% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown/Massie 48% 21% 91% 63% Bob Massie 25% 43% 5% 12% Undecided 27% 36% 3% 25%

22 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown/E. Warren 47% 21% 89% 61% Elizabeth Warren 32% 51% 8% 18% Undecided 21% 27% 3% 21% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown/S. Warren 48% 19% 94% 63% Setti Warren 23% 41% 1% 10% Undecided % 40% 5% 26% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Brown Too liberal 12% 6% 24% 13% Too 33% 53% 1% 21% About right 50% 33% 71% 61% 6% 8% 4% 4% Democrat Republican Independent/Other GOP Too liberal 12% 8% 19% 14% Too 54% 75% 7% 47% About right 27% 11% 70% 31% 7% 6% 5% 7%

23 White Other White Other Brown Approval Capuano Favorability Approve 48% 49% 40% 27% 27% 26% Disapprove 36% 36% 35% 28% 27% 35% 16% 15% 25% 44% % 39% Coakley Favorability White Other 49% 49% 44% 39% 39% 43% 12% 12% 13% White Other Khazei Favorability 15% 14% 22% 23% 22% 31% 63% % 47%

24 White Other White Other Maddow Favorability Markey Favorability 22% 23% 19% 33% 33% 34% 30% 28% 43% 27% 27% 30% 48% 49% 38% 40% 40% 35% Massie Favorability White Other 3% 3% 5% 21% 20% 28% 76% 77% 67% E. Warr e n Favorability White Other 21% 21% 25% 17% 17% 21% 61% 62% 54%

25 White Other White Other S. Warren Favorability 7% 7% 7% 19% 18% 28% 74% 75% % Brown/Capuano Mike Capuano Unde cided 48% 50% 34% 38% 37% 47% 14% 13% 18% Brow n/coakley Martha Coakley Unde cided White Other 49% 50% 39% 40% 41% 39% 10% 9% 22% White Other Brow n/khazei 50% 52% 35% Alan Khazei 31% 30% 42% Unde cided 19% 18% 24%

26 White Other White Other Brown/Maddow Brow n/markey 49% 51% 39% 47% 48% 36% Rachel Maddow % % 31% Ed Markey 37% 36% % Unde cided 21% 20% % Unde cided 16% 15% 19% Brow n/massie Bob Massie Unde cided White Other 48% 49% 36% 25% 24% 31% 27% 26% 33% White Other Brow n/e. Warren 47% 48% 36% Elizabeth Warren 32% 31% 38% Unde cided 21% 21% 26%

27 White Other White Other Brow n/s. Warren Brow n 48% 48% 42% Too liberal 12% 12% 12% Setti Warren 23% 23% 27% Too 33% 33% 33% Unde cided % % 31% About right 50% 50% % 6% 5% 11% GOP Too liberal Too About right White Other 12% 12% 14% 54% 54% 58% 27% 28% 23% 7% 7% 5% Brown Approval Approve Dis approve 48% 22% 54% 50% 51% 36% 59% % 35% 32% 16% 19% 17% 14% 18%

28 Capuano Favorability Coakley Favorability 27% 9% 26% 33% 27% 49% 47% 38% 54% 53% 28% 41% 26% 25% 30% 39% 41% 47% 36% 34% 44% 50% 48% 41% 43% 12% 13% 15% 10% 13% Khazei Favorability 15% 13% 11% 19% 12% 23% 31% 20% 22% 23% 63% 56% 69% 60% % Maddow Favorability 22% 13% 23% 25% 21% 30% 41% 35% 26% 25% 48% 47% 43% 49% 54%

29 Markey Favorability Massie Favorability 33% 19% 25% 39% 38% 3% - 2% 3% 6% 27% 31% 27% 25% 31% 21% 41% 20% 17% 18% 40% 50% 48% 36% 30% 76% 59% 78% 79% 76% E. Warr e n Favorability 21% 22% 19% 22% 23% 17% 34% 18% 14% 14% 61% 44% 63% % 64% S. Warren Favorability 7% 3% 8% 8% 7% 19% 41% 16% 17% 14% 74% 56% 76% 75% 79%

30 Brown/Capuano Brow n/coakley 48% 31% 51% 47% 59% 49% 38% 56% % 56% Mike Capuano 38% 44% 37% 40% 31% Martha Coakley 40% 41% 38% 44% 36% Undecide d 14% 25% 12% 13% 10% Undecide d 10% 22% 6% 11% 8% Brow n/khazei Alan Khazei Undecide d 50% 38% 52% 48% 59% 31% 44% 30% 30% 26% 19% 19% 18% 22% 15% Brown/Maddow Rachel Maddow 49% 38% 50% 48% 59% % 34% 32% 28% 25% Undecide d 21% 28% 17% 24% 17%

31 Brow n/markey Brow n/massie 47% 41% 50% 44% 53% 48% 41% 49% 46% 57% Ed Markey 37% 38% 33% 40% 37% Bob Massie 25% 31% 26% 24% 23% Undecide d 16% 22% 17% 16% 10% Undecide d 27% 28% 25% 31% 21% Brow n/e. Warren Elizabeth Warren Undecide d 47% 34% 49% % 55% 32% 41% 30% 31% 30% 21% 25% 21% 24% 15% Brow n/s. Warren Setti Warren 48% 41% 48% 46% 55% 23% 22% 27% 22% 21% Undecide d % 38% 25% 32% 24%

32 Brow n GOP Too liberal 12% 16% 14% 10% 9% Too liberal 12% 13% 13% 12% 10% Too 33% 31% 31% 36% 28% Too 54% 50% 54% 59% 47% About right 50% 47% 50% 48% 55% About right 27% 25% 28% 24% 36% 6% 6% 5% 6% 8% 7% 13% 5% 6% 7%