After his Convention, a Tepid Bump for Kerry

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "After his Convention, a Tepid Bump for Kerry"

Transcription

1 ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: POST-CONVENTION 8/1/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Aug. 2, 2004 After his Convention, a Tepid Bump for Kerry John Kerry took a tepid bump in support out of his nominating convention, gaining an advantage over George W. Bush among registered voters but not so among those most likely to vote. Kerry s gain is smaller than usual for a convention bounce, testament to the unusually polarized race, with many voters committing early to each candidate. Still, it comes at a crucial time for Kerry, countering a loss of momentum leading up to his convention. Kerry gained five to eight points among registered voters on issues and attributes alike, while Bush lost about as many. And after a convention that focused heavily on his military experience in Vietnam, Kerry leads Bush as better qualified to be commanderin-chief, by percent. 70% The 2004 Election ABC News/Washington Post poll 60% Bush Kerry Nader 50% 44% 50% 47% 49% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2% 2% 0% Registered voters Likely voters Perhaps most critically, Kerry solidified more of his support. He sharply boosted the level of enthusiasm among his supporters; made some progress on being more than not Bush

2 (but needs more); and produced a solid increase in his strong support, up 13 points to 85 percent, now on par with Bush. While Kerry won some ground on Iraq, his gains occurred disproportionately among people who say the economy is the most important issue in their vote making the economy look increasingly likely to be the tipping point in this election. THE RACE Among registered voters, 50 percent support Kerry in this ABC News/Washington Post poll, 44 percent Bush and two percent Ralph Nader a gain of four points for Kerry and a loss of four for Bush from the pre-convention ABC/Post poll. That net shift of eight points is about half the average, 15 points, for challengers running against incumbents in elections since 1968 (ranging from +30 for Bill Clinton in 1992 to -3 for George McGovern in 1972). The average bounce for all candidates is 12 points. Among likely voters, Kerry s six-point edge slips to an insignificant two points 49 percent support for Kerry, 47 percent for Bush and two percent for Nader, a net (and at best very slight) six-point shift toward Kerry from the pre-convention poll. Last week s ABC/Post poll did not show a notable difference between registered voters and likely voters; it now appears across a range of questions (but not, however, the commander-in-chief question). Likely voters are defined by factors such as intention to vote and past voting behavior. Each campaign can take some bragging rights from these results: Kerry, that he moved the ball in his direction in a tight and highly polarized contest; Bush, that Kerry s bounce was smaller than usual, and that after Kerry held center stage for four days, the race is still essentially tied among likely voters. The changes measured here do not involve the vast bulk of the population; most people are firmly set on one of the two candidates. It s a small segment moveable voters that shifts preferences as the campaign progresses, and there are fewer moveables than usual this year. (Indeed nearly all the changes in this survey are within single digits for each candidate.) The next key question is how well Bush bounces out of his own convention late this month. ISSUES Kerry, even after his convention, still needs to make his views better known. Fifty-three percent of registered voters say they have a good idea where he stands on the issues up a bit (seven points) from before the convention, but still far behind Bush. Kerry leads Bush among registered voters in trust to handle five of eight individual issues tested in this poll health care, education, the economy, international relations and (more closely) taxes, with the two about even in three others Iraq, counter-intelligence and terrorism. Among likely voters, though, Kerry leads in fewer, three of the eight education, health care and international relations.

3 This is in any case a gain for Kerry from before the convention, when he didn t lead among registered voters in any of six issues tested. Bush had an advantage on Iraq, terrorism and taxes, and they were about tied on the economy, education and health care. On each of these, Kerry gained six to eight points in this poll, and Bush lost five to eight. Trust to handle Now Pre-convention Net change Health care Kerry +19 Kerry +3 Kerry +16 Terrorism Bush +3 Bush +18 Kerry +15 Iraq Kerry +2 Bush +12 Kerry +14 Taxes Kerry +6 Bush +6 Kerry +12 Education Kerry +13 Kerry +1 Kerry +12 Economy Kerry +11 Bush +1 Kerry +12 Int l relations Kerry +9 NA NA Intelligence Kerry +5 NA NA Note, the advantages and net change in this table (as in following ones) combine the shifts toward Kerry and away from Bush on each item. For example, if on one item Kerry gained six points and Bush lost six, that would be a net change toward Kerry of 12. As such these shifts are moderate ones, representing small albeit significant movement. The top three issues remain the same: The economy, cited by 25 percent of registered voters as the most important issue in their vote; the war in Iraq, cited by 23 percent; and the campaign against terrorism, 20 percent. There s a vast difference in vote preferences among these groups: Among registered voters, those who say terrorism is the top issue favor Bush by percent; those who say it s Iraq prefer Kerry by percent. ECONOMY Preferences among terrorism voters are little changed from before the convention; among Iraq voters there s been a bit of a shift to Kerry. But it s the economy that looks to be the tipping point: Those who say it s the top issue in their vote favor Kerry over Bush by percent in this poll, compared with an even split before the convention. It s the biggest change among any single group in this survey. Now Pre-convention Net change Economy voters Kerry +27 Kerry +1 Kerry +26 Iraq voters Kerry +46 Kerry +33 Kerry +13 Terrorism voters Bush +68 Bush +62 Bush +6 It s telling, too, that moveable voters are more apt than definite ones to pick the economy as the top issue in their vote. Among those who say they ll definitely stick with their candidate, 22 percent pick the economy as their No. 1 issue; among those who are moveable, it s 39 percent. (Moveables, however, also are paying less attention to the election. An open question is how many of them actually will vote this fall.) All Definite Moveable Economy voters 25% 22% 39% Iraq voters Terrorism voters

4 A key variable in the race, then, is the extent to which Kerry can persuade voters that Bush has mismanaged the economy and in this poll 47 percent say most people have gotten worse off since he took office, which the Democrats were able to nudge up from 41 percent last week. Kerry s task is made more difficult by the fact that consumer confidence as measured by the ongoing ABC News/Money magazine poll turned sharply up earlier this summer, after a springtime flop. TERRORISM Kerry also looks able to garner some votes on the issue of winning the peace in Iraq. But he has a far tougher task on terrorism likely to be made no easier by the focus on 9/11 and its aftermath at congressional hearings on the 9/11 commission report his month, leading up to the Republican convention in New York City. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 83% Vote Preference Among Issue Groups ABC News/Washington Post poll Support Bush Support Kerry 72% 60% 50% 40% 33% 30% 26% 20% 15% 10% 0% Terrorism voters Iraq voters Economy voters This survey was conducted Friday through Sunday. Another potential concern for the Kerry camp is that their lead was largest in Friday interviews, immediately after the convention, and less so in Saturday and Sunday interviews. There s no significant difference in results from Sunday interviews compared with those the day before, suggesting the heightened terrorism alert had no meaningful impact on the views measured here. All the same, it s clear that terrorism is Bush s strongest issue by far the one, above any other, that he wants the election to be about. His Rose Garden appearance today announcing action on the 9/11 report underscores the point.

5 ATTRIBUTES Kerry leads Bush among registered voters in five of eight personal attributes tested in this poll a vision for the future, empathy, understanding complex issues, and (more narrowly) honesty and values. Bush has the advantage in consistency and, more narrowly, leadership; the two are about even on who can keep the country safer. Among likely voters, Kerry s lead again slips, to two of these: empathy and vision. This still is better for Kerry than before the convention, when Bush led among registered voters in five of six attributes tested. Personal attributes Now Pre-convention Net change Leadership Bush +6 Bush +19 Kerry +13 Security Bush +3 Bush +16 Kerry +13 Values Kerry +6 Bush +6 Kerry +12 Honesty Kerry +6 Bush +6 Kerry +12 Consistency Bush +29 Bush +40 Kerry +11 Empathy Kerry +14 Kerry +4 Kerry +10 Vision Kerry +13 NA NA Complexity Kerry +8 NA NA 100% 90% Candidate Attributes ABC News/Washington Post polls 80% Applies more to Bush Applies more to Kerry 70% Strong leader Understands your problems Will make country safer 60% 50% 40% 50% 44% 55% 36% 37% 51% 46% 42% 48% 45% 54% 38% 30% 20% 10% 0% Now Pre-convention Now Pre-convention Now Pre-convention OPTIMISM/FAVES Kerry also managed a shift on the optimism factor: The number of registered voters who see him as an optimist gained 10 points, to 65 percent, while the number who call Bush optimistic lost eight, to 64 percent. Bush has criticized Kerry for a dour outlook; today, though, the two are evenly rated as optimists a result that holds among likely voters and registered voters alike.

6 Kerry did not manage much movement in favorability: Fifty-one percent of registered voters have a favorable opinion of him overall, about the same as pre-convention (48 percent). Bush s favorability rating slipped by seven points, to 47 percent. (John Edwards is seen favorably by 49 percent, essentially unchanged; Teresa Heinz Kerry by 34 percent, up seven points.) APPROVAL Bush s overall job approval rating remains a split decision: Among all Americans, 47 percent approve, matching his career low, and 49 percent disapprove. The only post-war president to win re-election despite less-than-majority approval was Harry Truman. On the other hand, none has lost re-election with consumer confidence as high as it is now (in data since Eisenhower). One of those long-term trends will break this fall. STRENGTH/ENTHUSIASM As noted, Kerry s best feat was to rally his troops. The number of his supporters who are strongly behind him has advanced from 66 percent in April to 72 percent before the convention and 85 percent now. Bush s strong support has been steady, now 86 percent. 100% 90% Kerry Supporters Who Back Him "Strongly" ABC News/Washington Post polls 85% 80% 70% 66% 72% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 18-Apr 25-Jul Now Similarly, 56 percent of Kerry s supporters now say they re very enthusiastic about him, up 15 points from before the convention. Bush s support, though, is about as energized 53 percent very enthusiastic.

7 Half of Kerry s supporters now support him more on his own merits, rather than mainly because he s not Bush, and that s up from 41 percent before the convention. But he has more work to do here; much more of Bush s support is affirmative in nature 82 percent. In an indication of how much ice there is in the river, 83 percent of Kerry s supporters, and 79 percent of Bush s, say they will definitely stick with their guy. By contrast Bush s support was 68 percent definite, Al Gore s 65 percent, at about this time in It s these kind of numbers that make big movement in the election difficult. Just 19 percent of registered voters, and 15 percent of likely voters, say there s any chance they ll change their mind, down from 26 percent in June. And fewer say there s a good chance they ll reconsider only seven percent of registered voters. GROUPS Among groups, the largest shifts in Kerry s favor occurred among economy voters, young adults, Southerners, white Catholics and college graduates. Kerry and Bush now run about evenly among white Catholics, a key swing voter group. And they re even in this poll in the South, customarily a Bush stronghold. Edwards might have moved that number; it ll be important to watch whether or not it moves back. PARTY There was some movement in political party identification in this poll: Among registered voters, 39 percent say they re Democrats, 29 percent Republicans and 26 percent independents (among likely voters, who account for 55 percent of adults in this poll, it s ). That s more Democratic, and less Republican, than usual; it was percent among registered voters in the last ABC/Post poll. Moving loyalty, of course, is precisely what conventions are all about. METHODOLOGY This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone July 30-Aug. 1, 2004, among a random national sample of 1,200 adults, including 940 self-identified registered voters. The results have a three-point error margin. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa. Analysis by Gary Langer. ABC News polls can be found at ABCNEWS.com at Media contact: Cathie Levine, (212) , or Lisa Finkel, (212) Full results follow (*= less than 0.5 percent). 1. How closely are you following the 2004 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No closely closely closely at all opin. 8/1/04 RV * 7/25/ * 7/11/04* /20/ * 5/23/ * 4/18/ /7/ *

8 2/11/ * 1/18/ * 10/29/ /13/ * Compare to 2000: 8/10/ * 2. I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? Don't think Certain Probably Chances Less than will vote No to vote vote 50/50 50/50 (vol.) opin. 8/1/04 RV * 7/25/04 RV * * 10/29/ Compare to 2000: 8/10/00 RV * 3. (and 3a) If the 2004 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for (George W. Bush and Dick Cheney, the Republicans), (John Kerry and John Edwards, the Democrats), or Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo, the independents? Which candidates are you leaning toward? Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters: Other Neither Would No Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) not vote op. 8/1/ * /25/ * 1 * 1 Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters: Other Neither Would No Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) not vote op. 8/1/ * /25/ * 1 * 1 7/11/04* /20/ * 1 * 1 5/23/ * /18/ * 2 1 * 3/7/ * Net Leaned Vote, General Population: Other Neither Would No Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) not vote op. 7/11/04* /20/ * /23/ * /18/ * 2 1 * 3/7/ * (IF NAMED CANDIDATE) Will you definitely vote for (CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a good chance you'll change your mind, or would you say it's pretty unlikely?

9 Definitely ---Chance change mind---- No vote NET Good Unlikely opin. Registered voters: 8/1/04 All Bush Kerry /25/04 All Bush Kerry /11/04*All Bush * Kerry /20/04 All * Bush * Kerry General Population: 6/20/04 All Bush * Kerry Compare to 2000: Registered voters: 8/6/00 Gore Bush (and 5a) (ASKED OF NADER VOTERS AND DON'T KNOWS) If Nader does not run or is not on the ballot, for whom would you vote - (Bush) or (Kerry)? Which one are you leaning toward? Net Leaned Vote, Likely Voters: Write in Other Neither Would No Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) not vote op. 8/1/ * /25/ * 1 * 1 Net Leaned Vote, Registered Voters: Write in Other Neither Would No Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) not vote op. 8/1/ * /25/ * /20/ * 1 1 * 5/23/ * * /18/ * * 2 1 * Net Leaned Vote, General Population: Write in Other Neither Would No Bush Kerry Nader (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) not vote op. 6/20/ * 1 1 * 5/23/ * * /18/ * * 2 1 * 6. (and 7) (ASKED OF UNLEANED BUSH/KERRY SUPPORTERS) Do you support Bush/Kerry strongly or not strongly? Bush Kerry

10 Strongly Not strongly No op. Strongly Not strongly No op. 8/1/04 RV * /25/04 RV /18/04 RV /18/ /7/ * /11/ (ASKED OF LEANED BUSH SUPPORTERS) Is your vote more for Bush or more against Kerry? For Bush Against Kerry No opinion 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/ /23/ /7/ (ASKED OF LEANED KERRY SUPPORTERS) Is your vote more for Kerry or more against Bush? For Kerry Against Bush No opinion 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/ /23/ /7/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? Approve Disapprove No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opin. 8/1/ /25/ /11/04* /20/ /23/ /18/ /7/ /11/ /18/ /21/ /14/ /7/ /16/ /29/ /13/ /30/ /13/ /7/ /11/ /10/ /22/ /30/ /16/ /9/ /3/

11 3/23/03 68 NA NA 27 NA NA 4 3/20/03 67 NA NA 28 NA NA 5 3/2/ /23/03 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6 2/9/ /1/ /28/ /27/ /20/ /15/ /4/02 LV /3/02 LV /2/02 LV /27/02 All /27/02 LV /26/ /8/ /28/ /15/ /17/ /9/ /19/ /21/ /28/ /10/ /27/ /19/ /27/ /6/ /9/ /27/ /13/ /9/ /12/ /30/ /3/ /22/ /25/01 58 NA NA 33 NA NA 8 2/25/01 55 NA NA 23 NA NA Regardless of how you might vote, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of (NAME) or perhaps you don't know enough to say. 8/1/04 - Summary Table, Registered voters Favorable Unfavorable No opinion a. John Kerry b. George W. Bush c. John Edwards d. Teresa Heinz Kerry Trend: a. John Kerry Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /7/ b. George W. Bush

12 Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /7/ /6/00 RV /11/ /2/ /27/ /31/ /2/ /6/ /14/ /14/ /19/ c. John Edwards Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV d. Teresa Heinz Kerry Favorable Unfavorable No opinion 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV What will be the single most important issue in your vote for president this year: (The U.S. campaign against terrorism), (the war in Iraq), (the economy and jobs), (education), (health care), or something else? Economy/ Educ- Health No Terrorism Iraq jobs ation care Other op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV Who do you trust to do a better job handling (ITEM), (Bush) or (Kerry)? 8/1/04 - Summary table, registered voters Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op. a. The economy * 3 4 b. The situation in Iraq * 2 4 c. Education d. The US campaign against terrorism * 1 5 e. Health care * 3 5 f. Taxes g. Relations with other countries h. Improving the U.S. intelligence agencies * 3 6 Trend where available: a. The economy Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin. 8/1/04 RV * 3 4 7/25/04 RV

13 7/11/04*RV /11/ /20/04 RV /20/ /23/ * 5 3 4/18/ /7/ * 4 2 2/11/ b. The situation in Iraq Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin. 8/1/04 RV * 2 4 7/25/04 RV /11/04*RV /11/ /20/04 RV * 3 1 6/20/ * 4 1 5/23/ * 6 3 4/18/ * 4 2 3/7/ /11/ c. Education Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /11/04*RV /11/ /20/ /20/04 RV /20/ /18/ /7/ /11/ d. The U.S. campaign against terrorism Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin. 8/1/04 RV * 1 5 7/25/04 RV /11/04*RV /11/ /20/ /20/04 RV * 3 2 6/20/ /23/ /18/ /7/ /11/ e. Health care Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin. 8/1/04 RV * 3 5 7/25/04 RV /20/04 RV * 3 2 6/20/ * 4 2

14 Compare to: The cost, availability, and coverage of health insurance 4/18/ /7/ /11/ f. Taxes Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) opin. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/ /18/ * 6 2 3/7/ g,h. No trend. 15. Please tell me whether the following statement applies more to (Bush) or more to (Kerry). 8/1/04 - Summary Table, Registered voters Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op. a. He is honest and trustworthy b. He understands the problems of people like you c. He is a strong leader d. He takes a position and sticks with it e. He will make the country safer and more secure f. He shares your values g. He s got a vision for the future h. He understands complex issues Trend: a. He is honest and trustworthy Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/ b. He understands the problems of people like you Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/

15 c. He is a strong leader Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/ d. He takes a position and sticks with it Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/ e. He will make the country safer and more secure Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/ f. He shares your values Bush Kerry (vol.) (vol.) op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/ g,h. No trend. 19. Would you say (NAME) is more of an optimist, or more of a pessimist? Bush Kerry Optimist Pessimist No op. Optimist Pessimist No op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04* RV *What about (NAME) would you say he s more of an optimist, or more of a pessimist? 16. Who do you think is better qualified to be commander in chief of the U.S. military, (Kerry) or (Bush)? Bush Kerry Both (vol.) Neither (vol.) No opinion 8/1/04 RV Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about (Kerry/Bush) - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? 8/1/04 - Summary Table, Among Leaned Kerry/Bush Supporters ----Enthusiastic Not Enthusiastic----- No

16 NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all op. a. Kerry b. Bush * Trend: ----Enthusiastic Not Enthusiastic----- No NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all op. Kerry 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /20/04 RV /20/04 All Enthusiastic Not Enthusiastic----- No NET Very Fairly NET Not too Not at all op. Bush 8/1/04 RV * 7/25/04 RV * 6/20/04 RV * 6/20/04 All * 22. How much do you feel you know about Kerry s positions on specific issues a great deal, a good amount, only some, or hardly anything? Great deal/ --Some/Hardly anything/nothing- ---Good amount--- Nothing No NET Great Good NET Some Hardly any. (vol.) op. 8/1/04 RV /25/04 RV /23/ /29/03* *Asked of leaned Democrats 31. Would you say most Americans are better off financially than they were in 2001 when Bush became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially? Better Not as The No off well off same opinion 8/1/04 RV /25/ /20/ /18/ /7/ /11/ /18/ /21/ /29/ /13/ /30/ George H. W. Bush 8/9/ /21/ /4/ /16/

17 32. How closely did you follow the Democratic National Convention in Boston (this week/last week) where John Kerry was nominated for president: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Closely Not closely No NET Very Somewhat NET Not too Not at all op. 8/1/04 RV * Compare to: Closely Not closely No NET Very Somewhat NET Not too Not at all op. 8/17/00 RV* * 8/3/00 RV** * 8/21/96 RV** * 8/25/88 RV* * 8/25/88 RV** * 8/17/88 RV** * 7/20/88 RV* * *Democratic convention. **Republican convention and 1996 by NBC/WSJ. 8/25/88 by Times Mirror. Variations in wording. Call for details. *7/11 poll, Washington Post only ***END***

Kerry Gains in Personal Ratings, Though Bush Maintains a Lead

Kerry Gains in Personal Ratings, Though Bush Maintains a Lead ABC NEWS POLL: CAMPAIGN TRACKING #1 10/3/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Oct. 4, 2004 Kerry Gains in Personal Ratings, Though Bush Maintains a Lead John Kerry s personal popularity forged

More information

Economic Issues in Ohio Work to Kerry s Advantage

Economic Issues in Ohio Work to Kerry s Advantage ABC NEWS POLL: THE RACE IN OHIO 10/17/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 19, 2004 Economic Issues in Ohio Work to Kerry s Advantage The economy and jobs dominate as the top issue in Ohio,

More information

At the Opening of his Convention, the Currents Shift Toward Bush

At the Opening of his Convention, the Currents Shift Toward Bush ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: GOP CONVENTION OPENER 8/29/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Aug. 30, 2004 At the Opening of his Convention, the Currents Shift Toward Bush The ice in the river

More information

Bush Loses Ground on Terrorism Amid Concerns about the Iraq War

Bush Loses Ground on Terrorism Amid Concerns about the Iraq War ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IRAQ & THE ELECTION 6/20/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, June 21, 2004 Bush Loses Ground on Terrorism Amid Concerns about the Iraq War Amid rising disenchantment

More information

Bush Inches Above 50%; First-Timers are a Wildcard

Bush Inches Above 50%; First-Timers are a Wildcard ABC NEWS POLL: CAMPAIGN TRACKING #14 10/18/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 19, 2004 Bush Inches Above 50%; First-Timers are a Wildcard Support for George W. Bush has crept above the

More information

McCain Pushes Back on Attributes But the Dynamic Holds for Obama

McCain Pushes Back on Attributes But the Dynamic Holds for Obama ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: ELECTION TRACKING #1 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Oct. 20, 2008 McCain Pushes Back on Attributes But the Dynamic Holds for Obama John McCain has climbed back

More information

Obama s Support is Broadly Based; McCain Now -10 on the Economy

Obama s Support is Broadly Based; McCain Now -10 on the Economy ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: ELECTION TRACKING #8 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Oct. 27, 2008 Obama s Support is Broadly Based; McCain Now -10 on the Economy With a final full week of campaigning

More information

Voters Economic Jitters Shake the Race in Virginia

Voters Economic Jitters Shake the Race in Virginia ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE RACE IN VIRGINIA EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Sept. 22, 2008 Voters Economic Jitters Shake the Race in Virginia Economic jitters and a favorable Democratic

More information

McCain Stays Competitive on Iraq; It s About More than Withdrawal

McCain Stays Competitive on Iraq; It s About More than Withdrawal ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IRAQ AND AFGHANISTAN EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 6:30 p.m. Monday, July 14, 2008 McCain Stays Competitive on Iraq; It s About More than Withdrawal Americans divide evenly

More information

2012 Presidential Race Is its Own Perfect Storm

2012 Presidential Race Is its Own Perfect Storm ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Election Tracking No. 7 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Monday, Oct. 29, 2012 2012 Presidential Race Is its Own Perfect Storm As it enters its frenetic final week

More information

Iraq, Economy and the Democrats Push Bush s Popularity to a Career Low

Iraq, Economy and the Democrats Push Bush s Popularity to a Career Low ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BUSH, KERRY & WMDs 2/11/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 6:30 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 12, 2004 Iraq, Economy and the Democrats Push Bush s Popularity to a Career Low George W.

More information

Trump s Approval Improves, Yet Dems Still Lead for the House

Trump s Approval Improves, Yet Dems Still Lead for the House ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Trump and the Midterms EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Sunday, Oct. 14, 2018 Trump s Approval Improves, Yet Dems Still Lead for the House Donald Trump s job approval

More information

First-time voters. Go Big for Obama

First-time voters. Go Big for Obama ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: ELECTION TRACKING #2 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2008 First-Time Voters Go Big for Obama First-time voters underscore Barack Obama's organizational

More information

Campaign '00 in the Interregnum: A Close Race, With Room to Move

Campaign '00 in the Interregnum: A Close Race, With Room to Move ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: CAMPAIGN UPDATE - 6/11/00 EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 9 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Monday, June 12, 2000 Campaign '00 in the Interregnum: A Close Race, With Room to Move With fishing

More information

Incumbent Support its Lowest Since 94 In a Mine-Strewn Political Environment

Incumbent Support its Lowest Since 94 In a Mine-Strewn Political Environment ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2010 POLITICS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Wednesday, April 28, 2010 Incumbent Support its Lowest Since 94 In a Mine-Strewn Political Environment Just a third of

More information

Bush s Approval Stabilizes, Though Reservations Remain

Bush s Approval Stabilizes, Though Reservations Remain ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BUSH/POLITICS EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 8 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Wednesday, August 1, 2001 Bush s Approval Stabilizes, Though Reservations Remain George W. Bush's job approval

More information

Dead Heat in Vote Preferences Presages an Epic Battle Ahead

Dead Heat in Vote Preferences Presages an Epic Battle Ahead ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: The 2012 Election EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, July 10, 2012 Dead Heat in Vote Preferences Presages an Epic Battle Ahead Economic discontent and substantial

More information

Iraqi Elections, Economic Gains Lift Bush from his Career Lows

Iraqi Elections, Economic Gains Lift Bush from his Career Lows ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BUSH 12/18/05 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Dec. 19, 2005 Iraqi Elections, Economic Gains Lift Bush from his Career Lows The successful elections in Iraq and

More information

A Revolt Against the Status Quo Gives the Republicans a Record Lead

A Revolt Against the Status Quo Gives the Republicans a Record Lead ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE 2010 MIDTERMS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, September 7, 2010 A Revolt Against the Status Quo Gives the Republicans a Record Lead Swelling economic

More information

Obama Approval Moves Ahead Though Challenges Aplenty Remain

Obama Approval Moves Ahead Though Challenges Aplenty Remain ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2011 POLITICS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 18, 2011 Obama Approval Moves Ahead Though Challenges Aplenty Remain Aided by his response to the Tucson

More information

Enthusiasm Rises for Romney; Obama Has a Right-Track Retort

Enthusiasm Rises for Romney; Obama Has a Right-Track Retort ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2012 Election Update EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Monday, Oct. 15, 2012 Enthusiasm Rises for Romney; Obama Has a Right-Track Retort Rising enthusiasm and declining

More information

Bush Shows Improvement; The Race Remains Close

Bush Shows Improvement; The Race Remains Close ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: CAMPAIGN 2000 10/9/00 EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 9 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Tuesday, Oct. 10, 2000 Bush Shows Improvement; The Race Remains Close George W. Bush found some traction

More information

Outlook for 2005 is Less Bright; Iraq and the Election are Factors

Outlook for 2005 is Less Bright; Iraq and the Election are Factors ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE YEAR AHEAD 12/19/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Sunday, Jan. 2, 2005 Outlook for 2005 is Less Bright; Iraq and the Election are Factors Public optimism about the

More information

An Edge to Bush on Issues and Qualities In a Race That's Still Closely Matched

An Edge to Bush on Issues and Qualities In a Race That's Still Closely Matched ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BEFORE THE CONVENTIONS 7/23/00 EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 9 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Monday, July 24, 2000 An Edge to Bush on Issues and Qualities In a Race That's Still Closely

More information

Weak Ratings Confront Bush Ahead of State of the Union

Weak Ratings Confront Bush Ahead of State of the Union ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BEFORE THE SOTU 1/26/06 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Sunday, Jan. 29, 2006 Weak Ratings Confront Bush Ahead of State of the Union A weakened George W. Bush faces the

More information

Right Direction Rating Advances With Drop in Economic Pessimism

Right Direction Rating Advances With Drop in Economic Pessimism ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: ECONOMY AND POLITICS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, March 31, 2009 Right Direction Rating Advances With Drop in Economic Pessimism Americans views of the

More information

In Iowa Democratic Caucuses, Turnout Will Tell the Tale

In Iowa Democratic Caucuses, Turnout Will Tell the Tale ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Wednesday, Dec. 19, 2007 In Iowa Democratic Caucuses, Turnout Will Tell the Tale Turnout will tell the tale

More information

A Dead Heat in Vote Preference, But Advantage to Gore on Issues

A Dead Heat in Vote Preference, But Advantage to Gore on Issues ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE DECISIVE PHASE 9/6/00 EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 9 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Thursday, Sept. 7, 2000 A Dead Heat in Vote Preference, But Advantage to Gore on Issues Al Gore

More information

Concerns on Iraq and Domestic Policy Underlie a Rising Political Alienation

Concerns on Iraq and Domestic Policy Underlie a Rising Political Alienation ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: INTO THE SECOND TERM 6/5/05 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Tuesday, June 7, 2005 Concerns on Iraq and Domestic Policy Underlie a Rising Political Alienation The corrosive

More information

A Post-Primary Rally Boosts Trump, Albeit with Challenges Aplenty

A Post-Primary Rally Boosts Trump, Albeit with Challenges Aplenty ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Clinton vs. Trump EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Sunday, May 22, 2016 A Post-Primary Rally Boosts Trump, Albeit with Challenges Aplenty A new ABC News/Washington

More information

In Health Reform s Hot Summer, Public Doubts are on the Rise

In Health Reform s Hot Summer, Public Doubts are on the Rise ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: HEALTH CARE REFORM EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Friday, Aug. 21, 2009 In Health Reform s Hot Summer, Public Doubts are on the Rise Public doubt about health care

More information

Obama Finds Help in Iowa With a Focus on New Ideas

Obama Finds Help in Iowa With a Focus on New Ideas ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Nov. 19, 2007 Obama Finds Help in Iowa With a Focus on New Ideas A growing focus on fresh ideas coupled

More information

It s Democrats +8 in Likely Voter Preference, With Trump and Health Care on Center Stage

It s Democrats +8 in Likely Voter Preference, With Trump and Health Care on Center Stage ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: The 2018 Midterm Elections EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:00 a.m. Sunday, Nov. 4, 2018 It s Democrats +8 in Likely Voter Preference, With Trump and Health Care on Center

More information

People to Congress: Walk This Way

People to Congress: Walk This Way ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Congress Issues - 9/2/99 EMBARGOED FOR USE AFTER 6:30 p.m. Thursday, Sept. 9, 1999 People to Congress: Walk This Way As Congress resumes the people s business, its members

More information

Summer of Discontent Slams Obama And Congressional Republicans to Boot

Summer of Discontent Slams Obama And Congressional Republicans to Boot ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Politics and the Economy EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, September 6, 2011 Summer of Discontent Slams Obama And Congressional Republicans to Boot More than

More information

Two Holiday Gifts Boost Bush: Saddam, and the Economy Too

Two Holiday Gifts Boost Bush: Saddam, and the Economy Too ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BUSH/ 04 ELECTION 12/21/03 EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 8 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Monday Dec. 22, 2003 Two Holiday Gifts Boost Bush: Saddam, and the Economy Too More than the capture

More information

Iraq Looms Large Over 2 nd Bush Term; Ratings are Tepid, Expectations Mixed

Iraq Looms Large Over 2 nd Bush Term; Ratings are Tepid, Expectations Mixed ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BUSH S SECOND TERM 1/16/05 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Jan. 17, 2005 Iraq Looms Large Over 2 nd Bush Term; Ratings are Tepid, Expectations Mixed George W.

More information

As Economy Damages Obama, A GOP Congress Gains Support

As Economy Damages Obama, A GOP Congress Gains Support ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE POLITICS OF DISCONTENT EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, July 13, 2010 As Economy Damages Obama, A GOP Congress Gains Support Increasingly disenchanted

More information

Clinton, Trump at Campaign s End: Still Close and Still Unpopular

Clinton, Trump at Campaign s End: Still Close and Still Unpopular ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2016 Election Tracking No. 16 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Monday, Nov. 7, 2016 Clinton, Trump at Campaign s End: Still Close and Still Unpopular Hillary Clinton and

More information

Bush s Popularity is Narrowly Based; Democrats Match Him in Public Trust

Bush s Popularity is Narrowly Based; Democrats Match Him in Public Trust ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: STATE OF THE UNION 1/18/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5:00 p.m., Monday, Jan. 19, 2004 Bush s Popularity is Narrowly Based; Democrats Match Him in Public Trust George W.

More information

Democrats, Clinton, Giuliani Hold Strongest Hands

Democrats, Clinton, Giuliani Hold Strongest Hands ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: CONGRESS/08 ELECTION 12/11/06 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2006 Democrats, Clinton, Giuliani Hold Strongest Hands In the current round of political

More information

Romney Leads in Confidence on Recovery But Obama Escapes Most Economic Blame

Romney Leads in Confidence on Recovery But Obama Escapes Most Economic Blame ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Election Tracking No. 11 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Thursday, Nov. 1, 2012 Romney Leads in Confidence on Recovery But Obama Escapes Most Economic Blame More likely

More information

Policy Divisions Challenge Obama, But GOP Battles its Own Discontent

Policy Divisions Challenge Obama, But GOP Battles its Own Discontent ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Politics, Immigration, Health Care EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Tuesday, July 23, 2013 Policy Divisions Challenge Obama, But GOP Battles its Own Discontent Challenges

More information

A Deep Deficit for the Republicans Reflects a Beleaguered President

A Deep Deficit for the Republicans Reflects a Beleaguered President ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 06 POLITICS 10/8/06 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Oct. 9, 2006 A Deep Deficit for the Republicans Reflects a Beleaguered President An unpopular war led by a

More information

2018 Vote Margin Narrows as Democratic Engagement Slips

2018 Vote Margin Narrows as Democratic Engagement Slips ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2018 Midterms EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7:00 a.m. Monday, April 16, 2018 2018 Vote Margin Narrows as Democratic Engagement Slips A Democratic advantage in the upcoming

More information

Experience Trumps for Clinton; New Direction Keeps Obama Going

Experience Trumps for Clinton; New Direction Keeps Obama Going ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE DEMOCRATIC FIELD EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Monday, July 23, 2007 Experience Trumps for Clinton; New Direction Keeps Obama Going A steady hand outscores a fresh

More information

Public Preference for a GOP Congress Marks a New Low in Obama s Approval

Public Preference for a GOP Congress Marks a New Low in Obama s Approval ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Obama and 2014 Politics EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, April 29, 2014 Public Preference for a GOP Congress Marks a New Low in Obama s Approval Weary of waiting

More information

Doubts Drag Bush Back Down to Earth

Doubts Drag Bush Back Down to Earth ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: GUNS, BUTTER AND POLITICS 9/13/03 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 9 a.m. Sunday, Sept. 14, 2003 Doubts Drag Bush Back Down to Earth After two years in the political stratosphere,

More information

Obama Holds Most Cards in Cliff Talks, But With No Mandate and Risks Aplenty

Obama Holds Most Cards in Cliff Talks, But With No Mandate and Risks Aplenty ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: POLITICS AND THE FISCAL CLIFF EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7:00 a.m. Tuesday, Dec. 18, 2012 Obama Holds Most Cards in Cliff Talks, But With No Mandate and Risks Aplenty President

More information

Obama Hits a New Low for Leadership, With Criticism on ISIS & Immigration Alike

Obama Hits a New Low for Leadership, With Criticism on ISIS & Immigration Alike ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: The President and the Midterms EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, Sept. 9, 2014 Obama Hits a New Low for Leadership, With Criticism on ISIS & Immigration Alike

More information

Bush Base Erodes On Immigration Debate

Bush Base Erodes On Immigration Debate ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IMMIGRATION EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Monday, June 4, 2007 Bush Base Erodes On Immigration Debate George W. Bush s immigration reform package has badly damaged his

More information

Hint of Momentum for Clinton, With Issues a Defining Factor

Hint of Momentum for Clinton, With Issues a Defining Factor ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2016 Election Tracking No. 13 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Friday, Nov. 4, 2016 Hint of Momentum for Clinton, With Issues a Defining Factor A hint of momentum for Hillary

More information

Views of Palin Sour Sharply; Six in 10 Doubt Her Readiness

Views of Palin Sour Sharply; Six in 10 Doubt Her Readiness ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: PALIN/BIDEN EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Thursday, Oct. 2, 2008 Views of Palin Sour Sharply; Six in 10 Doubt Her Readiness Skepticism about Sarah Palin has soared

More information

State of the Union: Unhappy with Bush

State of the Union: Unhappy with Bush ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BUSH/SOTU 1/19/07 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Monday, Jan. 22, 2007 State of the Union: Unhappy with Bush George W. Bush faces the nation this week more unpopular

More information

Six Months in, Rising Doubts on Issues Underscore Obama s Challenges Ahead

Six Months in, Rising Doubts on Issues Underscore Obama s Challenges Ahead ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: OBAMA AT SIX MONTHS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Monday, July 20, 2009 Six Months in, Rising Doubts on Issues Underscore Obama s Challenges Ahead Rising doubts

More information

Clinton Shows Strengths for 2016 Yet With Some Chinks in Her Armor

Clinton Shows Strengths for 2016 Yet With Some Chinks in Her Armor ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Clinton-2016 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Sunday, June 8, 2014 Clinton Shows Strengths for 2016 Yet With Some Chinks in Her Armor Hillary Clinton is strongly positioned

More information

Republicans Gain on Deficit, Economy; But Trust in Neither Hits a 25-Year High

Republicans Gain on Deficit, Economy; But Trust in Neither Hits a 25-Year High ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Trust on the Issues EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Thursday, June 9, 2011 Republicans Gain on Deficit, Economy; But Trust in Neither Hits a 25-Year High The Republicans

More information

Energized Against Donald Trump, Democrats Reach +14 in the Midterms

Energized Against Donald Trump, Democrats Reach +14 in the Midterms ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: The 2018 Midterms EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 6 a.m. Tuesday, Sept. 4, 2018 Energized Against Donald Trump, Democrats Reach +14 in the Midterms With their supporters energized

More information

Little Gain for Bush's Tax Cut; Job Rating is Positive, but Subpar

Little Gain for Bush's Tax Cut; Job Rating is Positive, but Subpar ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: BUSH-TAXES; CLINTON-PARDONS EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 9 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Monday, Feb. 26, 2001 Little Gain for Bush's Tax Cut; Job Rating is Positive, but Subpar George

More information

Obama Leaves on a High Note Yet with Tepid Career Ratings

Obama Leaves on a High Note Yet with Tepid Career Ratings ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Obama s Legacy EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Wednesday, Jan. 18, 2017 Obama Leaves on a High Note Yet with Tepid Career Ratings Boosted by an improving economy, Barack

More information

Most are Dismayed by Prisoner Abuse, But Few Call for Rumsfeld s Resignation

Most are Dismayed by Prisoner Abuse, But Few Call for Rumsfeld s Resignation ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE PRISONER ABUSE SCANDAL 5/6/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 11:45 a.m. Friday, May 7, 2004 Most are Dismayed by Prisoner Abuse, But Few Call for Rumsfeld s Resignation

More information

Trouble Looms for Obama, Democrats With the 2014 Midterms Approaching

Trouble Looms for Obama, Democrats With the 2014 Midterms Approaching ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: The 2014 Midterms EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Wednesday, Oct. 15, 2014 Trouble Looms for Obama, Democrats With the 2014 Midterms Approaching Barack Obama and his political

More information

Two-Thirds Approve of Transition; Expectations on Economy Pull Back

Two-Thirds Approve of Transition; Expectations on Economy Pull Back ABC NEWS POLL: OBAMA TRANSITION EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 3 p.m. Monday, Nov. 24, 2008 Two-Thirds Approve of Transition; Expectations on Economy Pull Back Americans have eased back on their expectations

More information

A Record Shortfall in Personal Popularity Challenges Romney in the Race Ahead

A Record Shortfall in Personal Popularity Challenges Romney in the Race Ahead ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Favorability #23 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, April 16, 2012 A Record Shortfall in Personal Popularity Challenges Romney in the Race Ahead Mitt Romney has emerged

More information

Better Job Rating, Advantage on Debt Limit Mark the Start of Obama s Second Term

Better Job Rating, Advantage on Debt Limit Mark the Start of Obama s Second Term ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Obama s Second Term EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2013 Better Job Rating, Advantage on Debt Limit Mark the Start of Obama s Second Term Barack Obama

More information

Obama Surges on Electability, Challenges Clinton on Leadership

Obama Surges on Electability, Challenges Clinton on Leadership ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE 08 RACE EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE 12:01 a.m. Wednesday, April 16, 2008 Obama Surges on Electability, Challenges Clinton on Leadership Barack Obama has knocked down one of

More information

Support for Air Strikes is Vast Easily Eclipsing Gulf War Levels

Support for Air Strikes is Vast Easily Eclipsing Gulf War Levels ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE AIR STRIKES FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE - Sunday, Oct. 7, 2001 Support for Air Strikes is Vast Easily Eclipsing Gulf War Levels Americans reacted with overwhelming support

More information

Drop for Obama on Afghanistan; Few See a Clear Plan for the War

Drop for Obama on Afghanistan; Few See a Clear Plan for the War ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: AFGHANISTAN EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2009 Drop for Obama on Afghanistan; Few See a Clear Plan for the War Barack Obama s ratings for handling

More information

Economy Hits Dems, GOP Out of Touch Pushing Anti-Incumbency to a 25-Year High

Economy Hits Dems, GOP Out of Touch Pushing Anti-Incumbency to a 25-Year High ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2014 Politics EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, March 4, 2014 Economy Hits Dems, GOP Out of Touch Pushing Anti-Incumbency to a 25-Year High Anti-incumbent sentiment

More information

Persistent Economic Discontent Casts a Continuing Political Pall

Persistent Economic Discontent Casts a Continuing Political Pall ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: POST-ELECTION POLITICS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Tuesday, Dec. 14, 2010 Persistent Economic Discontent Casts a Continuing Political Pall Congressional Republicans

More information

McCain s Rejection Rate Spikes; Matches Clinton s, Romney s Higher

McCain s Rejection Rate Spikes; Matches Clinton s, Romney s Higher ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 08 CAMPAIGN EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Wednesday, April 18, 2007 McCain s Rejection Rate Spikes; Matches Clinton s, Romney s Higher Voter rejection of John McCain,

More information

McCain Stays in Range Amid Challenges for Obama

McCain Stays in Range Amid Challenges for Obama ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 08 ELECTION EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Tuesday, June 17, 2008 McCain Stays in Range Amid Challenges for Obama The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll underscores

More information

Congress Improves Among Hispanics; Obama, SCOTUS Hold Majority Popularity

Congress Improves Among Hispanics; Obama, SCOTUS Hold Majority Popularity ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Congress/POTUS/SCOTUS EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Wednesday, March 27, 2013 Congress Improves Among Hispanics; Obama, SCOTUS Hold Majority Popularity Popularity of

More information

Phone-Records Surveillance Is Broadly Acceptable to Public

Phone-Records Surveillance Is Broadly Acceptable to Public ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: PHONE RECORDS 5/11/06 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Friday, May 12, 2006 Phone-Records Surveillance Is Broadly Acceptable to Public Americans by nearly a 2-1 margin

More information

Most Support Allied Attack Even Without U.N. Support

Most Support Allied Attack Even Without U.N. Support ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IRAQ AND THE U.S. - 2/9/03 EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 8 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Monday, Feb. 10, 2003 Most Support Allied Attack Even Without U.N. Support Most Americans say they

More information

Rising Hopes Greet Obama at 100 Days But with No Post-Partisanship in Sight

Rising Hopes Greet Obama at 100 Days But with No Post-Partisanship in Sight ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE FIRST 100 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Sunday, April 26, 2009 Rising Hopes Greet Obama at 100 Days But with No Post-Partisanship in Sight Barack Obama approaches

More information

Despite Hints of Economic Recovery, Optimism s Scarce for the Year Ahead

Despite Hints of Economic Recovery, Optimism s Scarce for the Year Ahead ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: THE YEAR AHEAD EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Monday, Dec. 24, 2012 Despite Hints of Economic Recovery, Optimism s Scarce for the Year Ahead With three-quarters of Americans

More information

Some Gun Measures Broadly Backed But the Politics Show an Even Split

Some Gun Measures Broadly Backed But the Politics Show an Even Split ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Gun Control EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Tuesday, March 12, 2013 Some Gun Measures Broadly Backed But the Politics Show an Even Split While Senate negotiators struggle

More information

The Gender Gap's Back

The Gender Gap's Back ABC NEWS POLLING UNIT BACKGROUNDER: THE GENDER GAP - 4/00 The Gender Gap's Back The gender gap, in hibernation earlier in the presidential campaign, is back and as big as ever. And its reappearance raises

More information

Iraq and Afghanistan: A Tale of Two Wars

Iraq and Afghanistan: A Tale of Two Wars ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IRAQ/AFGHANISTAN EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Wednesday, July 22, 2009 Iraq and Afghanistan: A Tale of Two Wars Americans increasingly see progress in Iraq yet

More information

Sharp Swings in Political Popularity As the Wild Ride of 2012 Continues

Sharp Swings in Political Popularity As the Wild Ride of 2012 Continues ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Favorability #14 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Tuesday, Jan. 24, 2012 Sharp Swings in Political Popularity As the Wild Ride of 2012 Continues Unfavorable views of Mitt

More information

Hurricane Preparedness is Faulted; Fewer Blame Bush for Problems

Hurricane Preparedness is Faulted; Fewer Blame Bush for Problems ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: KATRINA 9/2/05 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Sunday, Sept. 4, 2005 Hurricane Preparedness is Faulted; Fewer Blame Bush for Problems Americans are broadly critical of

More information

Amid Record Low One-Year Approval, Half Question Trump s Mental Stability

Amid Record Low One-Year Approval, Half Question Trump s Mental Stability ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Trump s First Year EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Sunday, Jan. 21, 2018 Amid Record Low One-Year Approval, Half Question Trump s Mental Stability A year in the presidential

More information

N.H. Voters Boost Insurgents But Does it Translate Nationally?

N.H. Voters Boost Insurgents But Does it Translate Nationally? ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: CAMPAIGN 2000, N.H. and National EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 6:30 p.m. Thursday, Dec. 16, 1999 N.H. Voters Boost Insurgents But Does it Translate Nationally? Anti-establishment

More information

Views on Iraq are Unchanged Despite Better Casualty Reports

Views on Iraq are Unchanged Despite Better Casualty Reports ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IRAQ EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2007 Views on Iraq are Unchanged Despite Better Casualty Reports Recent reports of fewer casualties in Iraq haven

More information

Lackluster Popularity Dogs the Political Parties

Lackluster Popularity Dogs the Political Parties ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Favorability #44 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 6 a.m. Wednesday, Oct. 3, 2012 Lackluster Popularity Dogs the Political Parties It s no party being a political party: The Democrats,

More information

Concern About Peacekeeping Grows, But More Also See a Benefit of the War

Concern About Peacekeeping Grows, But More Also See a Benefit of the War ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: WAR AND PEACE 4/16/03 EMBARGO: 6:30 P.M. BROADCAST, 8 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Thursday, April 17, 2003 Concern About Peacekeeping Grows, But More Also See a Benefit of the War A

More information

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat? This Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone March 23-26, 2010, among a random national sample of 1,000 adults including users of both conventional and cellular phones. The results from the full

More information

q1 How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2004 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

q1 How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2004 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? CBS NEWS POLL After the Democratic Convention July 30 August 1, 2004 q1 How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2004 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

More information

Behind Kerry s New Hampshire Win: Broad Base, Moderate Image, Electability

Behind Kerry s New Hampshire Win: Broad Base, Moderate Image, Electability ABC NEWS EXIT POLL ANALYSIS: THE NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 1/27/04 Behind Kerry s New Hampshire Win: Broad Base, Moderate Image, Electability A broad base on issues, a moderate image

More information

Sanders is Up, GOP Race is Steady and Terrorism Worries are Back

Sanders is Up, GOP Race is Steady and Terrorism Worries are Back ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: 2016 Election EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12:01 a.m. Sunday, Nov. 22, 2015 Sanders is Up, GOP Race is Steady and Terrorism Worries are Back Terrorism suddenly rivals the

More information

DATE: October 7, 2004 CONTACT: Adam Clymer at or (cell) VISIT:

DATE: October 7, 2004 CONTACT: Adam Clymer at or (cell) VISIT: DATE: October 7, 2004 CONTACT: Adam Clymer at 202-879-6757 or 202 549-7161 (cell) VISIT: www.naes04.org Kerry Gained Favorability after Debate but Bush Is Still Preferred As Commander-In-Chief, Annenberg

More information

Six in 10 Say Ban Assault Weapons, Up Sharply in Parkland s Aftermath

Six in 10 Say Ban Assault Weapons, Up Sharply in Parkland s Aftermath ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Gun Policy EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Friday, April 20, 2018 Six in 10 Say Ban Assault Weapons, Up Sharply in Parkland s Aftermath Support for new gun laws has risen

More information

Nearly Six in 10 Back Arizona Law But Also a Pathway to Citizenship

Nearly Six in 10 Back Arizona Law But Also a Pathway to Citizenship ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: IMMIGRATION EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 12 p.m. Thursday, June 17, 2010 Nearly Six in 10 Back Arizona Law But Also a Pathway to Citizenship Most Americans back tougher measures

More information

Obama and Immigration: What He Did vs. How He Did it

Obama and Immigration: What He Did vs. How He Did it ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Immigration EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Wednesday, Dec. 17, 2014 Obama and Immigration: What He Did vs. How He Did it A slim majority of Americans support the immigration

More information

Six in 10 Support Kosovo Call-Up, Though Many Question Who's Winning

Six in 10 Support Kosovo Call-Up, Though Many Question Who's Winning ABC NEWS: CRISIS IN KOSOVO EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 6:30 p.m. Tuesday, April 27, 1999 Six in 10 Support Kosovo Call-Up, Though Many Question Who's Winning Six in 10 Americans support committing additional

More information

Discomfort with Social Directions Marks a Charged Political Landscape

Discomfort with Social Directions Marks a Charged Political Landscape ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Social Issues EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Wednesday, July 22, 2015 Discomfort with Social Directions Marks a Charged Political Landscape Americans by a wide margin

More information

No Consensus for Urgency on Iraq, Though Most Support a First Strike

No Consensus for Urgency on Iraq, Though Most Support a First Strike ABC NEWS POLL: IRAQ AND THE WAR ON TERRORISM 10/6/02 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Monday, Oct. 7, 2002 No Consensus for Urgency on Iraq, Though Most Support a First Strike In a mixed message for George W. Bush,

More information

Support for Gun Checks Stays High; Two-Thirds Back a Path for Immigrants

Support for Gun Checks Stays High; Two-Thirds Back a Path for Immigrants ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Gun Control, Immigration & Politics EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Tuesday, April 16, 2013 Support for Gun Checks Stays High; Two-Thirds Back a Path for Immigrants Support

More information

Public Shows Fatigue With Kosovo Conflict

Public Shows Fatigue With Kosovo Conflict ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: CRISIS IN KOSOVO EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 6:30 p.m. Monday, May 17, 1999 Public Shows Fatigue With Kosovo Conflict Americans are showing some fatigue with the Kosovo conflict.

More information