Lecture III South Korean Economy today

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1 Lecture III South Korean Economy today

2 Lecture 3: South Korean Economy - Current Status and Issues in the future South Korean Economy: Current Status 1

3 Korean Economy with Numbers GDP (PPP based) S. Korea $ 2.03 Trillion (2017 est) N. Korea $ 40 Billion (2015 est) Germany $ 4.15 Trillion (2017 est) Taiwan $ Trillion (2017 est) Hong Kong $ Billion (2017 est) UK $ 2.88 Trillion (2017 est) Japan $ 5.41 Trillion (2017 est) China $ Trillion (2017 est) U.S. $ Trillion (2017 est) India $ 9.45 Trillion (2017 est)

4 Korean Economy with Numbers GDP/person S. Korea $ 39,400 (2017 est) N. Korea $ 1,700 (2015 est) Germany $ 50,200 (2017 est) Taiwan $ 50,300 (2017 est) Hong Kong $ 61,400 (2017 est) UK $ 43,600 (2017 est) Japan $ 42,700 (2017 est) China $ 16,600 (2017 est) U.S. $ 59,500 (2017 est) India $ 7,200 (2017 est)

5 Income/person: $42,500 Life Expectancy: 81 Iliteracy: 1% U.K. s average family and Possessions

6 Income/person: $18,900 Life Expectancy: 76 Illiteracy: 8% Mexico s average family and Possessions

7 Income/person: $2,300 Life Expectancy: 50 Iliteracy: 56% Mali s average family and Possessions

8 Korean Economy with Numbers GDP Growth Rate S. Korea 3.0% (2017 est) 2.7% (2016) N. Korea -1.1% (2015 est) 1% (2014) Germany 2.1% (2017 est) 1.7% (2016) Taiwan 2.8% (2017 est) 1.4% (2016) Hong Kong 3.8% (2017 est) 2.1% (2016) UK 1.7% (2017 est) 1.8% (2016) Japan 1.5% (2017 est) 0.5% (2016) China 6.8% (2017 est) 6.6% (2016) U.S. 2.2% (2017 est) 1.6% (2016) India 6.7% (2017 est) 7.6% (2016)

9 Korean Economy with Numbers Unemployment Rate S. Korea 3.8% (2017) N. Korea N.A. Taiwan 3.8% (2017) Germany 3.8% (2017) Hong Kong 3.1% (2017) UK 4.4% (2017) Japan 2.9% (2017) China 4.0% (2017) U.S. 4.4% (2017) India 8.8% (2017)

10 Korean Economy with Numbers Inflation Rate S. Korea 1.9% (2017 est) N. Korea N.A. Germany 1.6% (2017 est) Taiwan 0.6% (2017 est) Hong Kong 1.5% (2017 est) UK 2.6% (2017 est) Japan 0.4% (2017 est) China 1.8% (2017 est) U.S. 2.1% (2017 est) India 3.8% (2017 est)

11 Korean Economy with More Numbers GDP by Industrial Sector 2.4% 38.7% Agriculture and Fisheries Manufacturing 58.9% Service

12 Korean Economy with More Numbers Labor Force by Industrial Sector 6.90% 23.60% Agriculture and Fisheries Manufacturing Service 69.50%

13 Lecture 3: South Korean Economy - Current Status and Issues in the future South Korean Economy: Current Status 2

14 Korean Economy with More Numbers Income Distribution (2016) 6.40% Lowest 10% 37.70% Highest 10%

15 Korean Economy with More Numbers Gini Index S. Korea 34.1 (2015) N. Korea N.A. Germany 27 (2008) Taiwan 33.6 (2014) Hong Kong 53.9 (2016) U.K (2012) Japan 38 (2011) China 47.4 (2016) U.S. 45 (2007)

16 Philippines and Argentina

17 The Polarization of Income Distribution (Spoon Theory) Gold Spoon Silver Spoon Bronze Spoon Soil Spoon

18 The Polarization of Income Distribution

19 Korean Economy with More Numbers Export: $ 552 Billion (2017) - China (26%), U.S. (13.3%), HK (5.8%), Vietnam (5.3%), Japan (4.9%) Import: $ 448 Billion (2017) - China (20.7%), Japan (10.5%), US (10.1%), Germany (4.8%), Saudi Arabia (4.5%)

20 Korean Economy with More Numbers Foreign Reserve: - $ 402 Billion (end of 2017) Exchange Rate: Won/$ (as of October 2018) Won/$ (end of 2017) Won/$ (end of 2016) Won/$ (end of 2015)

21 The Shape of Korean Economy with Numbers Foreign reserves including gold*, $bn, latest Aregentina 45.3 Oct China 3,305.3Sep Brazil Oct Hong Kong 302.4Oct Chile 38.9 Oct India 295.3Oct Colombia 36.4 Oct Indonesia 110.3Oct Mexico Oct Malaysia 138.3Oct Peru 62Oct Pakistan 15.2Jun Venezuela 25.9 Oct Philippines 82.1Oct Czech Republic 44.1 Oct Singapore 254.2Oct Estonia 0.3Sep South Korea 323.5Oct Hungary 45.5 Oct Taiwan 398Q3 Latvia 6.9Oct Thailand 181.4Oct Lithuania 8.3Oct Vietnam 20.4Jul Poland Oct Egypt 15.5Oct Russia Oct Israel 75.9Oct Slovakia nil Sep Saudi Arabia 621.5Sep Slovenia 0.9Oct South Africa 50.7Oct Turkey Jul Souce: HaverAnalytics Ukraine 26.8Oct *Estonia, Slovenia, China, Taiwan, Vietnam, Saudi Arabia and Israel excluding gold

22 Lecture 3: South Korean Economy - Current Status and Issues in the future Current Economic Problems in Korea

23 Current Economic Problems in Korea Still Slow global (Chinese) Economy Young workers low employment N. Korea s threat with atomic bomb and THAAD Government, Households, and Corporations Debt US new government Structural reforms

24 The Best Economy in the World Luxembourg Best per person income 2012 reading: $106,958

25 The Best Economy in the World Luxembourg Best per person income 2012 reading: $106,958

26 The Best Economy in the World Madagascar Lowest government debt 2012 reading: 5%

27 The Best Economy in the World Madagascar Lowest government debt 2012 reading: 5%

28 The Best Economy in the World United States Largest economy 2012 reading: $15.6 Trillion

29 The Best Economy in the World Libya Fastest economic growth 2012 reading: 76%

30 The Best Economy in the World Libya Fastest economic growth 2012 reading: 76%

31 The Best Economy in the World Mongolia Largest Investment 64% of GDP

32 The Best Economy in the World Mongolia Largest Investment 64% of GDP

33 Lecture 3: South Korean Economy - Current Status and Issues in the future Issues in the future of Korean economy

34 Issues in the future of Korean economy Aging Economy Female workers more participation in labor mkt

35 Aging Economy Reasons? - Low Fertility Rate ( ) - Increase in Avg Life Expectancy (63 76) Entering the Aging Economy in 10 years - Unprecedented in other countries - U.S. 71 yrs, France 115 yrs, Sweden 85 yrs, Japan 24 yrs

36 The Fastest Progress to Aged Economy Male Female Male Female Source: Statistics Korea

37 Aging Economy Results? - decreasing labor force - decreasing savings - low economic growth - government budget worsens - pension worsens

38 Female Workers Without Increasing Female Workers Labor Force Participation, there will not be Economic Growth? If S. Korea want to be a member of the riches countries, the female labor force participation rate should be doubled!

39 Korean Female Workers Labor Force Participation Rate by Edu Level (%) year total Below Ele S Below Mid S Below High S Below College Above College

40 Korea s place in OECE countries in terms of women s labor activities Segment Rate Korea s ranking Female unemployment rate Female employmentto-population ratio Percentage of females working or seeking work Percentage of females among part-time workers Wage gap between male and female workers th th th th st Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

41 Other Issues in the future of Korean economy Integration of Far-East Asian Countries: China, Japan, Taiwan, and Korea Disappearing Industries: Which one? Old population: Very fast! Reunification of South and North Korea: Economic Effect China s Influence: Continues

42 Lecture 3: South Korean Economy - Current Status and Issues in the future The End

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