Georgian National Study

Transcription

1 Georgian National Study October November, 0 International Republican Institute, Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization, The Institute of Polling And Marketing with funding from the United States Agency for International Development IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

2 INFORMATION ABOUT THE SURVEY The survey was conducted by the Institute of Polling and Marketing for Baltic Surveys/Gallup on behalf of the International Republican Institute. This national representative survey was carried out from October November, 0. The sample consisted of,00 Georgian residents older than the age of and eligible to vote, and is representative of the general population by age, gender, education and religion. The sample design was a multi-stage random sample. Stage One: Break country into official administrative regions. Stage Two: Select clusters of sampling points based on settlement population (large, medium, small towns and villages). One sample point approximately one percent of survey population (- surveys). Sampling points in each region were selected based on the percentage of population living in the various levels of settlement in that same region. Respondents were selected by the random route method, using the next birthday rule to select a respondent from within a household. Data was collected through face-to-face interviews with the respondents. The poll was conducted nationwide, including the capital and all major regional centers. The margin of error does not exceed +/-. percent. The response rate was percent. IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

3 ISSUES IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

4 What is the most important problem facing Georgia? Unemployment Lack of territorial integrity General economic problems General social problems Poor relations with Russia Poverty Poor healthcare Improper foreign policy Lack of agricultural development Inflation Lack of peace Low wages Low pensions First mention All mentions Poor education High taxes DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

5 What is the most important problem facing your town/village? Unemployment Poor roads Inadequate water supply Inadequate gas supply General economic situation Expensive transport Poverty Increased prices General social problems Lack of agricultural development Poor healthcare Cost of public utilities Inflation Inadequate irrigation High taxes No agricultural machinery DK/NA 0 0 First mention All mentions IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

6 What is the most important problem facing your household? Unemployment General economic situation Poor healthcare Low wages Poverty 0 Living conditions Low pensions General social situation Cost of public utilities First mention All mentions Expensive medicine Inadequate water supply None DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

7 Do you think it is acceptable for groups to use the following methods of protest? Collecting signatures for petitions Legal demonstrations Legal strikes Boycotts Unsanctioned demonstrations Unsanctioned strikes Corridor of shame* Blocking of major roads Blocking of railway lines Occupation of buildings or enterprises Blocking of airports Acceptable Not acceptable No opinion * - During protests in the summer of 00, protestors created a cordon around parliament and hurled abuse at parliamentarians and their staffs as they entered the building. IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

8 What is it that you fear the most? Unemployment Poor economy Poor healthcare Low wages Poverty 0 Poor living conditions Low pension Bad social situation First mention Increased cost of utility All mentions Expensive medicine Poor water quality None DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

9 Have you been in a situation over the last months when you had to pay a bribe in order to get a service? Nov May 0. Oct Mar Oct Jun Feb Sep Feb 0 Sep 0 0. Feb 0 Apr 0 0. No, have not been asked to pay Yes, have been asked to pay Refused to answer DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

10 In what field should the Georgian Government carry out reforms in first? Second? Third? Economy Healthcare Education Judiciary Defense Local governance Agriculture Penitentiary and corrections Environmental protection First Second Third Energy DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0 0

11 Please prioritize the top five issues that the government should address from one to five (one is most important)? Support business development Return refugees and IDPs to their homes.. Reevaluate foreign policy Improve education system Improve relations between government and society Revise tax system Improve road infrastructure Reform court system Improve ethnic relations Fight corruption Strengthen military power Improve and protect the environment IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

12 What effects of the world finance crisis do you feel? (those who feel effects, N=0) (by region) 0 Increased overall prices 0 0 Increased food prices Tbilisi Kakheti Shida Kartli Kvemo Kartli Samtskhe-Javakheti General economic difficulties 0 Ajara Guria Samegrelo Imereti Unemployment Mtskheta-Mtianeti Inflation IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

13 POLITICS IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

14 When considering which party to vote for, what is more important? No answer Both Party is more important Leader is more important 0 Nov May Oct 0 Mar 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 Feb 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 Apr 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 Oct 0 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

15 What are the three most important achievements of the Georgian government? Improved electricity supply Improved infrastructure Regulated roads Reduced crime 0 Reformed education Reformed patrol police Paid pensions on time Reorganized Ministry of Defense Developed tourism First mention Eradicated corruption All mentioned Stabilized the country Introduced Georgia to the world Increased social aid Improved environmental situation Nothing DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

16 What are the three biggest failures of the Georgian government? Failure to regain territories War with Russia in August 00 Unemployment Tensions with Russia Economic problems High communal taxes Inattention to villages Failure of healthcare reform First mention All mentioned Inflation Making false promises Increased emigration Nothing DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

17 What are three main issues that Parliament needs to address? Create jobs Economic development Solve territorial integrity Reform healthcare Reduce pension age Develop agriculture Reform education Solve social problems Pass fair laws Decrease taxes Decrease prices Improve foreign policy Solve Russian relations Restart industrial production 0 First mention All mentions Increasing salary DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

18 Is it important for Georgia to have a political opposition? Nov May Oct 0 Mar 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 Feb 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 Apr 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 Apr Yes No DK IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

19 Do you think that government and opposition should continue dialogue? Nov May 0 Oct 0 Mar 0 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 Feb 0 Sep 0 0 Feb Yes No DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

20 Do you feel the governor of your region is doing a good job effectively addressing the problems of your region? Nov May Oct 0 0 Mar 0 Oct Jun 0 0 Feb 0 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 Apr 0 0 Oct 0 Jun Very effective Mostly effective Mostly ineffective Very ineffective DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0 0

21 Do you feel the governor of your region is doing a good job effectively addressing the problems of your region? (by region) DK/NA Very ineffective Mostly ineffective Mostly effective Very effective Tbilisi Kakheti Shida Kartli Kvemo Kartli Samtske-Javakheti Adjara Guria Samegrelo Imereti Mtskheta-Mtianeti IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

22 What are three major issues that the governor of your region needs to address? (all regions except Tbilisi, N=) Create jobs Build/repair roads Develop agriculture Provide clean drinking water Improve gas supply Increase citizen contact General care for people General social problems Infrastructure repair Deal with economic problems Improve telephone system Sell local products Improve access to technology Regulate local councils Improve health care Regulate irrigation canals Increasing prices of products Restarting factories Develop tourism Supply firewood DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

23 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

24 How would you evaluate Georgia s relationship with...? United States Ukraine European Union Azerbaijan France Lithuania Poland Turkey Germany Armenia Iran Russia Good Neither good nor bad Bad No answer IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

25 Which countries are the most important partners for Georgia? Which comprise the most political and economic threat? Partners Threats United States European Union Ukraine Azerbaijan Turkey Armenia Poland Russia Lithuania Iran DK IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

26 Do you think that Russian aggression to Georgia is over or is it still going on? Nov May Oct 0 Mar 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 Feb It is over and unlikely to resume It is over but likely to resume It is still going on DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

27 Do you support further dialogue with Russia? Nov May Oct 0 May Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

28 Who should engage in the dialogue? (fully or somewhat supporting further dialogue) Nov N=0 May N= Georgian Government Georgian society Political parties Oct 0 N= 0 0 Other DK/NA Mar 0 N= 0 0 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

29 Do you support Georgia joining NATO? Nov 0 May 0 Oct 0 Mar 0 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 0 Feb 0 0 Sep Fully support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

30 When do you think Georgia will become a member of NATO? Nov May Oct 0 0. Mar 0 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 Feb 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 0 Sep 0 Feb In 00* (00) In 00 In 0 In 0** Never DK/NA *In 00 and 00 years the answer category was In 00, in February 00 this answer category was changed to In 00 ** Included from March 00 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0 0

31 If/when Georgia becomes a member of NATO, what do you expect from membership? NATO membership will ensure national security NATO membership will help restore territorial integrity NATO membership will promote stability NATO membership will improve public welfare NATO bases will be deployed in Georgia NATO membership will strengthen democracy NATO membership will inhibit relations with Russia Georgia's territory will be used in case of hostilities Georgia s military will be involved in NATO operations Georgia will be involved in war operations NATO membership will cause the loss of more territory Nothing DK/Refuse First mention 0 All mentions IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

32 Is Georgia s NATO membership more important/crucial after Russia-Georgia war? More important than before the war % DK/NA % As important as before the war % Not important % Less important than before the war % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

33 INSTITUTIONS IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

34 How do you feel about the work of the following institutions? Church Army Police President's office 0 Georgian media Cabinet of Ministers Central bank Education system Parliament Prosecutor's office Local authorities Courts 0 Governors Ombudsman's office 0 Central Election Commission Political parties 0 Trade unions 0 Favorable Unfavorable No opinion IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

35 SOURCES OF INFORMATION IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

36 Which of these sources do you use to obtain political information? TV news, programs Articles in newspapers Relatives, friends Internet 0 Nov Radio news, programs May Articles in magazines Colleagues at work Meetings with politicians Oct 0 Mar 0 Billboards, stands in the streets Leaflets and the other free information by post IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

37 Is Georgian mass media free to express various political views or there is control from the Government over media content? Nov May Oct 0 Mar 0 Oct 0 Jun 0 0 Feb 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 0 Sep 0 Feb 0 Apr 0 0 Oct Totally free Mostly free Mostly unfree Totally unfree DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

38 Is Georgian mass media free to express various political views or there is control from the government over media content? (by region) Tbilisi Kakheti 0 Shida Kartli Kvemo Kartli Samtske-Javakheti Adjara 0 Guria Samegrelo 0 Imereti 0 Mtskheta-Mtianeti DK/NA Totally unfree Mostly unfree Mostly free Totally free IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

39 Why do you think that Georgian mass media is not free to express various political views? (unfree or mostly unfree) Government puts pressure on media 0 0 Media does not report bad news Media is corrupt 0 Nov May Oct 0 Mar 0 Other Oct 0 Jun 0 Feb 0 DK/NA Sep 0 0 Feb 0 0 Sep 0 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

40 Do you feel that television stations offer a fair and balanced view of the political situation? DK/NA 0% Yes % No % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0 0

41 What would improve this situation? (TV stations don t offer a fair balanced view. N=) More interactive shows that allow participation from regular people More time spent covering opposition activities and events More debates between different parties Media should be independent The facts should be broadcasted fairly DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

42 Do you support further street protests in the future? Nov May Oct 0 Mar 0 0 Oct Definitely yes Likely yes Likely no Definitely no DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

43 For what reason would you go to the protest action? (Supporting further street protests. N=) Because of difficult social conditions To request free elections Because of injustice For early parliamentary and presidential elections IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

44 How many times per week do you access the Internet? Nov May Oct 0 Mar 0 Oct 0 Jun Every day - times per week - times per week - times per week Less often Never DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

45 How many times per week do you access the Internet? (by region) 00 0 Never Less often times per week - times per week - times per week Every day Tbilisi Kakheti Shida Kartli Kvemo Kartli Samtske-Javakheti Adjara Guria Samegrelo Imereti Mtskheta-Mtianeti IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

46 Where do you access the Internet? (Internet users) My home Friend's home Work Internet café By phone Other Nov N= May N= Oct 0 N= Mar 0 N= Oct 0 N= DK/NA Jun 0 N= IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

47 How often do you do the following activities on the internet? Read political news online Read a political blog Watch a video about politics Visit a party website 0 Take part in online political discussion Communicate with a politician Every day - times/week - times/week - times/week Less often Never IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

48 POLITICS IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

49 Do you plan to vote in the next parliamentary elections? Definitely will vote % DK/NA % Definitely will not vote % Not likely to vote % Likely will vote % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

50 Under what circumstances would you not participate in the elections? (Definitely or likely to vote. N=0) There is no reason I will not vote Because of health problems If there is no desirable candidate 0 If there are not legitimate elections If I will be outside Georgia If I am not on the voters list If Bidzina Ivanishvili does not participate If I am not alive First mention All mentions Because of family problems DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0 0

51 Under what circumstances would you decide to vote? (Not likely or definitely will not vote. N=) If there is an adequate candidate There is no reason that I would decide to vote If people become employed If elections will be democratic If elections will be impartial If I will be convinced that the elections are impartial If there is more economic development If the national government schedules elections If Bidzina Ivanishvili will not participate If I will be given voting papers If a desirable party participates If promises are kept If they bring the ballot-box to my house First mention All mentions Other DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

52 What qualities do you want to see in a candidate for Parliament? Determination 0 Integrity Diplomacy Patriotism Care for the people Honesty 0 Strength of character Hard worker Educated Love for the people Loyalty Purposefulness Professionalism Business-like Man of his word First mention All mentions Smart Principled 0. Sensitive 0. Orator 0. Leadership 0. DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

53 All things equal, which candidate would you vote for? Man % Woman % DK/NA % Does not matter % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

54 Do you agree with increasing the number of parliamentarians in the next parliament? Somewhat disagree % Somewhat agree % Strongly disagree % Definitely agree % DK/NA % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

55 How do you feel about political parties asking for money? Negative % Positive % DK/NA % Neutral % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

56 In what way do you think you could best contribute to the activity of the party you support? Meetings with party leaders Meetings with local authorities Volunteer as an Election Day poll watcher Public meetings with Parliamentarians Round tables with party members Hand out party literature Go door-to-door for the party Give financial contribution Yes No DK/NA IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

57 SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

58 Gender Male % Female % 0+ % Age groups - % 0- % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

59 University, higher % Education Primary % Unfinished secondary % Unfinished higher % Vocational % Secondary % Ethnicity Other % Azeri % Georgian % Armenian % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

60 Other % None % Religion Muslim 0% Orthodox % Attendance of religious service Once a week % Once a month % A few times a week % Never % A few times per year % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0 0

61 Sector of employment State sector % Nongovernmental 0.% Private sector % Don't work % Occupation Farmer % White collar % Executive % Retired % Student % Blue collar % Self-employed % Unemployed % Housewife % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0

62 Regions Tbilisi % Kakheti % Shida Kartli % Kvemo Kartli % Mtskheta-Mtianeti % Imereti % Samegrelo 0% Guria % Samtskhe-Javakheti % Ajara % IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, October -November, 0