Polling Results on Cuban Americans Viewpoint on the Cuba Opportunity April 1, 2015

Transcription

1 Polling Results on Cuban Americans Viewpoint on the Cuba Opportunity April 1, 2015

2 Methodology Sample 400 Cuban American adults living in the United States Dates of Interviews March 20 25, 2015 Languages of Interviews Margin of Error English, Spanish +/- 4.9 percentage points 2

3 Change in United States - Cuba Policy 3

4 Summary of President Obama s Announcement On December 17 th, 2014 President Barack Obama announced that the United States would begin to normalize relations with Cuba for the first time since Normalizing relations with Cuba would mean: re-establishing an embassy in Havana; carrying out high-level exchanges and visits between the two governments; working with Cuba on issues like drug trafficking, environmental protection and human trafficking; easing travel restrictions; allowing greater banking ties; raising the level of remittances allowed to be sent to Cuban nationals; and allowing American travelers to import goods from Cuba. 4

5 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? 9% 40% 51% Agree Disagree Don t know/no answer 5

6 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 45% 46% 8% Born in the U.S. 66% 22% 12% Agree Disagree Don t know/no answer 6

7 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born in Cuba) Before % 60% 8% After % 35% 8% Agree Disagree Don't know/no answer 7

8 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By Age 18 to 29 69% 20% 11% 30 to 49 60% 32% 8% 50 to 64 47% 45% 8% % 54% 8% Agree Disagree Don't know/no answer 8

9 Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? By State of Residence Living in Florida 41% 49% 10% Living in the rest of U.S. 69% 23% 8% Agree Disagree Don't know/no answer 9

10 60% 50% 40% Do you agree or disagree with President Obama s announcement to begin normalizing relations with Cuba? 2014 vs % 20% 44% 51% 48% 40% 10% 0% 8% 9% Agree Disagree Don't know/no answer Dec-14 Mar-15 10

11 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? 9% 35% 56% Favor Oppose Don't know/no answer 11

12 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 51% 39% 10% Born in the U.S. 69% 21% 10% Favor Oppose Don t know/no answer 12

13 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born in Cuba) Before % 49% 8% After % 32% 10% Favor Oppose Don't know/no answer 13

14 Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? By State of Residence Living in Florida 46% 43% 11% Living in the rest of U.S. 74% 18% 8% Favor Oppose Don't know/no answer 14

15 60% 50% 40% Do you favor or oppose easing restrictions on travel between the United States and Cuba? 2014 vs % 20% 10% 0% 56% 47% 39% 35% 14% 9% Favor Oppose Don't know/no answer Dec-14 Mar-15 15

16 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? 9% 24% 67% Yes No Don't know/no answer 16

17 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 17% 75% 8% Born in the U.S. 40% 45% 15% Yes No Don t know/no answer 17

18 Do you plan on traveling to Cuba in the near future? By Age 18 to 29 49% 36% 15% 30 to 49 25% 61% 14% 50 to 64 19% 72% 9% % 83% 3% Yes No Don't know/no answer 18

19 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? 17% 36% 47% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/no answer 19

20 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Country of Birth Born in Cuba 41% 43% 16% Should continue Should not continue Don t know/no answer Born in the U.S. 23% 60% 17% 20

21 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born in Cuba) Before % 35% 15% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/no answer After % 49% 16% 21

22 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? By Age 18 to 29 26% 51% 23% 30 to 49 28% 56% 15% Should continue 50 to 64 40% 48% 12% Should not continue Don't know/no answer % 36% 19% 22

23 Do you think that the U.S. embargo on Cuba should continue or should not continue? 2014 vs % 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 47% 40% 44% 36% 16% 17% Should continue Should not continue Don't know/no answer Dec-14 Mar-15 23

24 Image Ratings 24

25 Barack Obama 2% 55% 43% 25

26 60% Barack Obama 2014 vs % 40% 30% 20% 41% 43% 56% 55% 10% 0% 3% 2% Dec-14 Mar-15 26

27 Barack Obama By Voter Registration Status Registered voters 44% 55% 1% Non voters 40% 55% 5% 27

28 Barack Obama By Country of Birth U.S. 52% 48% Cuba 40% 57% 3% 28

29 Barack Obama By Decade of Arrival Before % 69% After % 49% 4% 29

30 Barack Obama By Political Party Affiliation Democratic 78% 21% 1% Republican 15% 84% 1% Independent 54% 46% 30

31 Barack Obama By Age % 41% 2% % 51% 3% % 59% 1% % 62% 1% 31

32 Barack Obama By Opinion on Normalization Agree 64% 35% 1% Disagree 19% 80% 1% Undecided 33% 50% 17% 32

33 Barack Obama By Opinion of the Embargo Shouldn't Continue 62% 38% Should Continue 20% 80% Undecided 40% 48% 12% 33

34 Barack Obama By Region Florida 37% 62% 1% Rest of the U.S. 55% 42% 3% 34

35 Barack Obama By Political Ideology Liberal 71% 29% Moderate 50% 48% 2% Conservative 27% 73% 35

36 Barack Obama By Language of Interview English 51% 47% 2% Spanish 38% 60% 2% 36

37 Hillary Clinton 6% 46% 48% 37

38 Hillary Clinton By Voter Registration Status Registered voters 48% 45% 7% Non voters 46% 48% 6% 38

39 Hillary Clinton By Country of Birth U.S. 62% 38% Cuba 43% 49% 8% 39

40 Hillary Clinton By Decade of Arrival Before % 57% 11% After % 42% 8% 40

41 Hillary Clinton By Political Party Affiliation Democratic 84% 10% 6% Republican 19% 75% 6% Independent 64% 24% 12% 41

42 Hillary Clinton By Age % 29% 3% % 54% 2% % 49% % 44% 21% 42

43 Hillary Clinton By Gender Female 47% 44% 9% Male 48% 47% 5% 43

44 Hillary Clinton By Region Rest of the U.S. 60% 34% 6% Florida 41% 52% 7% 44

45 Hillary Clinton By Political Ideology Liberal 51% 44% 6% Moderate 51% 39% 10% Conservative 26% 69% 5% 45

46 Hillary Clinton By Language of Interview English 51% 44% 5% Spanish 46% 47% 7% 46

47 Jeb Bush 19% 22% 59% 47

48 Jeb Bush By Voter Registration Status Registered voters 58% 25% 17% Non voters 61% 16% 23% 48

49 Jeb Bush By Country of Birth U.S. 43% 41% 16% Cuba 64% 17% 19% 49

50 Jeb Bush By Decade of Arrival Before % 9% 19% After % 24% 20% 50

51 Jeb Bush By Decade of Arrival Before % 9% 19% After % 24% 20% 51

52 Jeb Bush By Political Party Affiliation Democratic 30% 46% 24% Republican 82% 9% 9% Independent 59% 22% 19% 52

53 Jeb Bush By Political Party Affiliation Democratic 30% 46% 24% Republican 82% 9% 9% Independent 59% 22% 19% 53

54 Jeb Bush By Age % 37% 26% % 31% 17% % 19% 15% % 11% 20% 54

55 Jeb Bush By Age % 37% 26% % 31% 17% % 19% 15% % 11% 20% 55

56 Jeb Bush By Age % 37% 26% % 31% 17% % 19% 15% % 11% 20% 56

57 Jeb Bush By Gender Male 63% 27% 10% Female 57% 19% 24% 57

58 Jeb Bush By Region Rest of the U.S. 43% 35% 22% Florida 67% 17% 16% 58

59 Jeb Bush By Language of Interview English 44% 33% 23% Spanish 69% 15% 16% 59

60 Fidel Castro 2% 1% 97% 60

61 Raul Castro 5% 1% 94% 61

62 United States - Cuba Policy The Cuba Economic Opportunity 62

63 Do you think that companies owned by Cuban Americans in the United States should be able to sell their products in Cuba? 10% 32% 58% Yes No Don't know/no answer 63

64 Do you think that companies owned by Cuban Americans in the United States should be able to sell their products in Cuba? By Age 18 to 29 64% 20% 16% 30 to 49 62% 28% 10% 50 to 64 63% 34% 3% % 42% 11% Yes No Don't know/no answer 64

65 The U.S. government recently made regulatory changes to authorize for certain goods and services produced by independent Cuban entrepreneurs to be imported into the United States. Do you think that independent businesses opened and operated by Cubans living in Cuba should be able to sell their products in the United States? 10% 34% 56% Yes No Don't know/no answer 65

66 Do you think Cubans living in the United States should be able to provide funding to help their friends and family members living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? 8% 26% 66% Yes No Don't know/no answer 66

67 Do you think Cubans living in the United States should be able to provide funding to help their friends and family members living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? By Decade of Arrival (Among Cuban Americans born in Cuba) Before % 40% 11% After % 14% 6% Yes No Don't know/no answer 67

68 Do you think Cubans living in the United States should be able to provide funding to help their friends and family members living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? By Age 18 to 29 77% 13% 10% 30 to 49 79% 14% 7% 50 to 64 62% 31% 7% % 38% 9% Yes No Don't know/no answer 68

69 Do you think any individual or company in the United States should be able to provide funding to Cubans living in Cuba to open and operate their own business? 10% 35% 55% Yes No Don't know/no answer 69

70 Currently, U.S. companies like Coca-Cola, Nike and Apple sell their products in communist countries like China and Vietnam. Do you think U.S. companies should be able to sell their products in Cuba? 7% 31% 62% Yes No Don't know/no answer 70

71 Do you think passenger cruise lines like Carnival and Royal Caribbean should be allowed to take passengers between the United States and Cuba? 10% 38% 52% Yes No Don't know/no answer 71

72 Do you think passenger cruise lines like Carnival and Royal Caribbean should be allowed to take passengers between the United States and Cuba? By Age 18 to 29 64% 23% 13% 30 to 49 58% 36% 6% 50 to 64 52% 41% 7% % 43% 15% Yes No Don't know/no answer 72

73 Fernand Amandi, Principal 3250 Mary Street, Suite 403 Miami, FL For additional information on the firm please visit our website at: