Global Opinions on the U.S.-China Relationship

Transcription

1 Global Opinions on the U.S.-China Relationship Richard Wike Director of Global Attitudes Research

2 Pew Research Center Funded largely by the Pew Charitable Trusts Non-profit, non-partisan fact tank in Washington Research areas U.S. domestic politics Media & news Social trends Religion and public life Internet and technology Hispanics Global public opinion Since 2002, Pew has surveyed in 82 countries 2

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4 CHINA S IMAGE 4

5 October 23, Views of China 35% % U.S. Pakistan Bangladesh Malaysia Thailand Indonesia South Korea Philippines India Vietnam Japan Greece UK France Spain Poland Germany Italy Ukraine Russia Unfavorable Favorable

6 Views of China Unfavorable Favorable Tunisia Palest. ter. Lebanon Israel Egypt Jordan Turkey % % 61 Venezuela Chile Nicaragua Peru El Salvador Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia Tanzania Kenya Senegal Nigeria Uganda Ghana South Africa

7 Americans Express Increasingly Negative Views about China 75% U.S. views of China Unfavorable Favorable

8 Age Gap on Views of China in Many Countries Favorable view of China by age Youngest - oldest gap % % % France UK Mexico U.S Brazil Spain Venezuela Senegal Peru South Africa Tanzania Ukraine Israel

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10 Which Country Is Greatest Ally/Threat? Top choice (%) Views in: Ally Threat Bangladesh U.S. (43%) India (27%) China Russia (25) U.S. (36) India U.S. (33) Pakistan (45) Indonesia U.S. (28) U.S. (25) Japan U.S. (62) China (68) Malaysia China (27) U.S. (26) Pakistan China (57) U.S. (38) Philippines U.S. (83) China (58) South Korea U.S. (68) North Korea (36) Thailand U.S. (29) Cambodia (11) Vietnam U.S. (30) China (74) U.S. Britain (31) Russia (23) 10

11 Many Say China s Growing Economy Is Good for Own Country Overall, do you think China s growing economy is a good thing or a bad thing for our country? U.S. 42% Bad thing Good thing 49% Thailand Bangladesh Malaysia Pakistan South Korea Indonesia Japan Philippines India Vietnam UK Greece Germany France Spain Poland Italy Russia Ukraine

12 Many Say China s Growing Economy Is Good for Own Country Overall, do you think China s growing economy is a good thing or a bad thing for our country? Bad thing Good thing Tunisia Lebanon Israel Jordan Palest. ter. Egypt Turkey % % Nicaragua Venezuela Chile Peru El Salvador Argentina Brazil Mexico Colombia Kenya Uganda Senegal Nigeria Tanzania Ghana South Africa

13 VIEWS OF THE U.S. October 23,

14 Western Europe Much More Confident in Obama 100 % Confidence in U.S. president to do the right thing in world affairs France UK Germany Spain George W. Bush Barack Obama 14

15 October 23, Views of U.S. 6% % Philippines South Korea Vietnam Bangladesh Thailand Japan Indonesia India Malaysia China Pakistan Italy France Poland UK Spain Germany Greece Ukraine Russia Favorable Unfavorable

16 Views of U.S. Israel Tunisia Lebanon Palest. ter. Turkey Jordan Egypt Unfavorable 16% Favorable % El Salvador Chile Nicaragua Peru Brazil Colombia Mexico Venezuela Argentina Kenya Ghana Tanzania Senegal Nigeria South Africa Uganda

17 Age Gap on Views of U.S. in Many Countries Favorable view of U.S. by age Youngest - oldest gap % % % Vietnam Thailand China Tanzania Mexico Senegal Peru Brazil Japan Ukraine South Africa Spain India Argentina Jordan

18 Most Around the World Oppose U.S. Drone Strikes Disapprove Approve Latin America Middle East 86% % Asia Europe Africa U.S Israel Note: Regional medians. Europe median excludes Russia and Ukraine. Middle East median excludes Israel. 18

19 Widespread Opposition to U.S. Surveillance Is U.S. monitoring of acceptable or unacceptable? Citizens from your country 81% Leaders of your country 73 American citizens 62 Terrorist suspects 64 12% Acceptable Unacceptable Note: Percentages are global medians excluding the U.S. 19

20 Eroding Faith that U.S. Protects Personal Freedoms of Its People U.S. government respects personal freedoms Change % % El Salvador Brazil Germany Pakistan Argentina Russia South Africa Nigeria Mexico Greece Chile Malaysia Spain France UK Uganda

21 But Most Still Say U.S. Respects Personal Freedoms Does the government of respect the personal freedoms of its people? U.S. 58% France 56 China* 36 Russia 28 Note: Percentages are global medians saying yes. *Not asked in China. 21

22 Views of U.S. Culture, Ideas Positive Negative U.S. technological & scientific advances U.S. music, movies & TV U.S. ideas about democracy U.S. ways of doing business U.S. ideas & customs spreading here World medians based on 20 countries surveyed in 2012 (not including U.S.) Pew Global Attitudes survey. 22

23 Young Chinese Embrace American Soft Power Views of American soft power by age % 55% 40% Like U.S. ideas about democracy Like U.S. pop culture Source: Spring 2012 Global Attitudes survey. Like U.S. business practices Diffusion of U.S. ideas is good 23

24 THE EVOLVING BALANCE OF POWER: U.S. VS. CHINA 24

25 Worldwide China Gaining on U.S. as Top Economic Power Today, which one of the following do you think is the world s leading economic power? 49% U.S. China % Note: Median percentages based on the 20 countries surveyed in both 2008 and

26 Europeans Say It Is China Today, which one of the following do you think is the world s leading economic power? U.S. China Change Change % % % Spain % % % UK France Germany

27 Asia: U.S. Still Seen as World s Leading Economy Today, which one of the following do you think is the world s leading economic power? U.S. China Japan EU Other/None/ Don t know % % % % % Philippines Bangladesh South Korea Japan Vietnam China India Indonesia Malaysia Pakistan Thailand MEDIAN Note: Bolded figures represent statistically significant majorities or pluralities. 27

28 Globally China Seen Replacing U.S. as World Superpower Which comes closer to your view? China will never replace U.S. China will eventually replace/has replaced U.S % 41% Note: Median percentages based on the 20 countries surveyed in both 2008 and

29 AMERICAN VIEWS OF U.S. POWER & ROLE IN THE WORLD 29

30 Nearly Half of Americans Say U.S. Is Less Important as a World Leader Than It Was a Decade Ago Compared with 10 years ago, the U.S. role as a world leader today is % Less important and powerful As important and powerful More important and powerful Survey conducted August 20-24, Other/Don t know response not shown. Pew Research Center/USA Today. 30

31 CFR Members, Like Public, Say U.S. Power Has Declined Compared with 10 years ago, the U.S. role as a world leader today is Less important More important As important 62% 48 30% 34 7% 15 CFR Elites General Public CFR data from 2013 America s Place in the World survey. General public survey conducted August 20-24, 2014 with Pew Research Center/USA Today. 31

32 All Pew Research Center reports and data are available online at 32