Islamophobia and the American Elections How Does It Look in America and The Middle East?

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download "Islamophobia and the American Elections How Does It Look in America and The Middle East?"

Dwain Potter
5 years ago
Views:

the School of Public Policy welcome you to Islamophobia and the American Elections How

1 The Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development with the College of Behavioral and Social Sciences and The Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland with the School of Public Policy welcome you to Islamophobia and the American Elections How Does It Look in America and The Middle East? To Tweet about this event, please use #Islamophobia

2 Survey Methodology (May 2016) The survey was conducted May 20-31, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probabilitybased representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided by Survey Sampling International. A total of 1580 panelists completed the survey including a national sample of 855 adults, plus an oversample of 735 millennials (18-34), making for a total sample of millennials of 863. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was also weighted by partisan identification and millennials were down-weighted consistent with these groups incidence rate in the U.S. Census. The margins of error for the national sample and for each subgroup is: National 855 respondents, MoE: 3.4% Millennials 863, MoE: 3.3%

3 Survey Methodology (June 2016) The survey was conducted June 24-30, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probabilitybased representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided by Survey Sampling International. A national sample of 1312 panelists completed the survey. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was also weighted by partisan identification. The margin of error is 2.7%

4 What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People

5 What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People 53 Favorable Unfavorable Nov May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

6 IND DEM REP What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable Nov May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

7 Clinton Supporters Trump Supporters What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

8 What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim People [Crossed with In your life, how familiar are you with people who are Muslim? ] 51 Favorable Unfavorable I don't know any I know some but not very well I know some very well June 2016

9 What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim Religion

10 What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim Religion 37 Favorable Unfavorable Nov May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

11 REP DEM IND What is your attitude about each of the following? Favorable The Muslim Religion Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable Nov May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

12 Trump Supporters Clinton Supporters What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim Religion Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

13 What is your attitude about each of the following? The Muslim Religion [Crossed with In your life, how familiar are you with people who are Muslim? ] 37 Favorable Unfavorable I don't know any I know some but not very well I know some very well June 2016

14 Which position is closer to yours?

15 Which position is closer to yours? Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground Nov May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

16 IND DEM REP Which position is closer to yours? Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground Nov May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

17 Trump Supporters Clinton Supporters Which position is closer to yours? Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground Islamic and Western religious and social traditions are incompatible with each other Most people in the West & the Islamic world have similar needs & wants, so it is possible to find common ground May 2016 (Pre-Orlando) June 2016 (Post-Orlando)

18 American Responses to the Orlando Shooting

19 June 2016 Now, in your opinion, which one of these is the most important factor that may have contributed to the Orlando shooter s behavior?

20 Now, in your opinion, which one of these is the most important factor that may have contributed to the Orlando shooter s behavior? Hate for LGBT Community 16 Self-hate 19 Feeling rejected as a Muslim in America 2 Militant Islamist ideology 33 Mental illness 21 June 2016

21 June 2016 How would you rate the effectiveness of the following actions in reducing the chance of an Orlando-like shooting? Please rate on a scale of 0-10 where 0 is not effective and 10 is most effective.

22 [On a 0-10 scale, where 0 is not effective and 10 is most effective] How would you rate the effectiveness of the following actions in reducing the chance of an Orlando-like shooting (mean)? Banning the sale of any weapons to people on terrorist and criminal watch lists 7.84 Better security at public venues 7.32 Fighting ISIS and similar groups abroad more effectively 7.24 Banning the sale of assault rifles, that is a rifle that fires rapid bursts of bullets 5.75 Closely monitoring Mosques and Muslim American groups 5.46 June 2016

23 June 2016 Now, of these actions, which would be the most likely to reduce the chance of an Orlando-like shooting?

24 Now, of these actions, which would be the most likely to reduce the chance of an Orlando-like shooting? Banning the sale of any weapons to people on terrorist and criminal watch lists Banning the sale of assault rifles, that is a rifle that fires rapid bursts of bullets Better security at public venues 17 Other 12 Fighting ISIS and similar groups abroad more 12 Closely monitoring Mosques and Muslim American groups 10 June 2016

25 American attitudes on refugees from the Middle East

26 Survey Methodology The survey was conducted May 20-31, 2016 with a panel consisting of a probability-based representative sample. The panel was recruited by Nielsen Scarborough from its larger probability-based national panel, which was recruited by mail and telephone using a random sample of households provided by Survey Sampling International. A total of 1580 panelists completed the survey including a national sample of 845 adults, plus an oversample of 735 millennials (18-34), making for a total sample of millennials of 863. Responses were weighted by age, gender, income, education, race, and geographic region using benchmarks from the US Census. The survey was also weighted by partisan identification and millennials were down-weighted consistent with these groups incidence rate in the U.S. Census. The margins of error for the national sample and for each subgroup is: National 845 respondents, MoE: 3.4% Millennials 863, MoE: 3.3%

27 As you may know, since 2001 the United States has admitted about 800,000 persons with refugee status from around the world, or about 50,000 people a year on average. In U.S. law, a refugee is a person who is already living outside their own country because of a well-founded fear of persecution. This definition can include those fleeing civil war in their home country. It excludes those who participated in the persecution of any person on account of race, religion, nationality, membership in a particular social group, or political opinion. Those applying as refugees for asylum in the U.S. are investigated by various arms of the U.S. government. This process takes about two years. In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks?

28 In general, do you support or oppose the United States taking in refugees from the conflicts in Syria and other Middle Eastern countries after screening them for security risks? Republican Democrat Independent Total Support Oppose May 2016

29 [Among those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you most about absorbing refugees?

30 [Among those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you most about absorbing refugees? I'm concerned about terrorism 46 I'm concerned about having more Muslims in the U.S., even if they are peaceful 9 I'm concerned about the economic burden of absorbing refugees of any kind 41 Other 4 May 2016

31 [Among those opposing absorbing refugees] Which of the following concerns you most about absorbing refugees? Republican Democrat Independent I'm concerned about terrorism I'm concerned about having more Muslims in the U.S., even if they are peaceful I'm concerned about the economic burden of absorbing refugees of any kind Other May 2016

32 In your estimation, how many refugees have been arrested since 9/11 over terrorism charges?

33 In your estimation, how many refugees have been arrested in the United States since 9/11 over terrorism charges? Fewer than 5 14 Fewer than Fewer than or more 28 May 2016

34 Conclusion

35 Thinking about the Muslim religion for a moment, would you say you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of Islam? ABC News Poll October (2001)* Sadat Chair Poll August (2011) Latest Sadat Chair Poll June (2016) Favorable Unfavorable

36 March 2016 Assuming that you agree with the general positions of the presidential candidates on issues that are important to you, would you vote for that candidate if he/she were (Evangelical Christian, Jewish American, Muslim American):

37 Assuming that you agree with the general positions of the presidential candidates on issues that are important to you, would you vote for that candidate if he/she were: Evangelical Christian Jewish American Muslim American Yes No Don't know/notsure May 2016

38 The Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development with the College of Behavioral and Social Sciences and The Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland with the School of Public Policy welcome you to Islamophobia and the American Elections How Does It Look in America and The Middle East? To Tweet about this event, please use #Islamophobia

American attitudes toward the Middle East (May 2016)

American attitudes toward the Middle East (May 2016) Shibley Telhami Principal Investigator A survey sponsored by The Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development at the University of Maryland fielded by