An Update on Brexit. Tim Oliver European University Institute and LSE IDEAS
|
|
- Osborn Bridges
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 An Update on Brexit Tim Oliver European University Institute and LSE IDEAS 1
2 a. How did Britain vote? b. Why did 52% of Britons vote Leave? 2. What does Brexit mean? a. Britain s Brexit b. UK-EU Brexit c. Europe s Brexit 3. What are the challenges and opportunities of Brexit? Page title goes here as footer 2
3 3
4 Cameron, Renegotiation and Referendum Tensions within the Tory party Another concession Coalition government Rise of UKIP Referendum a norm in UK pol. EU was changing 4
5 Why a renegotiation? Show UK could win concessions Provide cover for Remain MPs Gave time Unclear what UK wanted 4 areas of renegotiation: ever closer union ; competitiveness; EU- U; Immigration It failed to convince 5
6 The Referendum Campaign Cabinet divisions Remain = economics and not much else No single Leave campaign Leave sovereignty and immigration Immigration = predominant issue Post-truth politics? 6
7 a. How did Britain vote? Geography 7
8 a. How did Britain vote? MPs v s constituents By constituency: result on left, MPs on right 8
9 a. How did Britain vote? English votes 9
10 a. How did Britain vote? Social and age differences 10
11 a. How did Britain vote? Educational background 11
12 a. How did Britain vote? Party alignment 12
13 a. How did Britain vote? Liberalism v s authoritarianism 13
14 a. How did Britain vote? Immigration v s Economics Leave Voters 14
15 a. How did Britain vote? Immigration v s Economics Remain Voters 15
16 a. How did Britain vote? Immigration v s Economics Undecided Voters 16
17 a. Why did 52% of Britons vote Leave? Renegotiation failed to convince Leave = Stronger Messengers Leave better positioned Economics secondary Remain struggled on immigration Media was for Leave EU a difficult sell Vote on matters other than EU 17
18 2. What does Brexit mean? a. Britain s Brexit Key has been the Brexit Narrative HM Government has struggled with strategy Parliament and the judiciary Party politics and Brexit A united Kingdom? British society: immigration? The British economy: what model? 18
19 2. What does Brexit mean? b. UK-EU Brexit 1. Exit negotiation (Article 50) Northern Ireland, budget, Citizens rights Agreed last December maybe fudge on key issues? 2. Transition negotiation How long and to what end? 3. New Relationship (Article 218) New or off-the-shelf? 19
20 20
21 2. What does Brexit mean? b. UK-EU Brexit = Acceptable to UK. = Unacceptable to UK. *EU Rules Apply? Equivalence? Mutual recognition? Harmonisation? Divergence Convergence Free Movement Goods Services People Requirements Financial Payment EU Rules Apply (ECJ) UK Influence in EU Sign Own FTAs UK s Cake YES YES NO NO NO YES YES EU YES YES YES YES YES YES NO EEA YES (Norway) (Mostly) YES YES SOME YES NO YES EFTA (Switzerland) Customs Union (Turkey) YES (Mostly) YES (Mostly) SOME (Complex) YES SOME SOME NO YES NO NO NO NO NO NO FTA (Canada) YES Limited NO NO NO NO YES Canada +++ YES UK: Please NO Maybe? * Security YES Association Agreement Some Limited NO NO NO NO YES WTO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES 21
22 2. What does Brexit mean? c. Europe s Brexit Adjusting the EU Balance of power in reu (institutions, policies, between MS) Integration, disintegration, something in-between? The EU in Europe EEA, EFTA, multipolar Europe Business as usual? Britain and EU play fair? 22
23 3. What are the challenges and opportunities of Brexit? Challenges: Political Uncertainty Another referendum? Opportunity costs for UK UK Gov. consumed by Brexit Divided UK politics Dysfunctional/Tory government? Jeremy Corbyn/Labour government? Who are the losers? London: No. Rest of UK. EU unity Challenges: Economic Legal basis for UK-EU/other trade? E.g. transfer of personal data What tariffs and when? Access will not be the same as now Border problems? Work permits? Seasonal workers? Mutual Recognition, harmonisation etc.? In what areas? EU s future economic direction? 23
24 3. What are the challenges and opportunities of Brexit? Opportunities: Political Puts a limit on populism in UK UK single market benefits Possible regulatory change An end to blaming the EU UK push own agenda at WTO etc. EU can focus on Eurozone reform Opportunities: Economic UK needs trade deals More nimble negotiator eventually UK remains open for business London remains a global city Remaining EU picks up business Biggest Question: What would a good Brexit look like? 24
25 Questions? 25
BREXIT Seven alternatives to EU membership. Dr David Rees
BREXIT Seven alternatives to EU membership. Dr David Rees Referendum results UK budget contributions Difficult to get agreement on data (CAP?) See EU Commissionfigures UK immigration and salaries Option
More informationVOTE TO LEAVETHE EU. Brexit/Iceland Option
VOTE TO LEAVETHE EU Brexit/Iceland Option Iceland Option Page 1 If I asked any of you to tell me what our objective is in this fight, you would tell me that the answer is obvious: our objective is to win
More informationBrexit: recent developments and some reflections. Professor Alex de Ruyter, Director, Centre for Brexit Studies
Brexit: recent developments and some reflections Professor Alex de Ruyter, Director, Centre for Brexit Studies Outline What is the Centre for Brexit Studies? Some Scenarios The way forward? What is the
More informationBrexit. Alan V. Deardorff University of Michigan. For presentation at Adult Learning Institute April 11,
Brexit Alan V. Deardorff University of Michigan For presentation at Adult Learning Institute April 11, 2017 Brexit Defined: The exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union What that actually means
More informationDISCUSSION PAPER. Brexit: Towards a deep and comprehensive partnership? Fabian Zuleeg
5 December 2017 DISCUSSION PAPER Brexit: Towards a deep and comprehensive partnership? Fabian Zuleeg An amicable divorce? Negotiations for the United Kingdom's (UK) withdrawal from the European Union (EU)
More informationBrexit: Six Months Later. Karl Whelan University College Dublin AEA Meetings, Chicago January 6, 2017
Brexit: Six Months Later Karl Whelan University College Dublin AEA Meetings, Chicago January 6, 2017 Reasons for Brexit Vote Brexit Referendum followed Years of fiscal austerity. Flat GDP per capita for
More informationIn or Out: the EU referendum
In or Out: the EU referendum Discussion document prepared by Richard Nabavi for Mayfield Conservatives meeting MBF would like to thank Richard Nabavi for letting us use this paper that he has prepared
More informationThe international legal implications of a unilateral withdrawal by the United Kingdom from the European Union
BREXIT Seminar Week 7: Post-BREXIT Effects of Pre-BREXIT Measures, and Implications of BREXIT Otherwise than Pursuant to Article 50 of the Treaty of the European Union The seventh BREXIT seminar was held
More informationThe EU on the move: A Japanese view
The EU on the move: A Japanese view H.E. Mr. Kazuo KODAMA Ambassador of Japan to the EU Brussels, 06 February 2018 I. The Japan-EU EPA Table of Contents 1. World GDP by Country (2016) 2. Share of Japan
More informationBREXIT. Employment law consequences of Brexit
BREXIT Employment law consequences of Brexit INTRODUCTION 1. On 23 June 2016, the United Kingdom (UK) voted to leave the European Union (EU). The precise timing of the formal exit process remains unclear.
More informationIntroduction. Definition of Key Terms. General Overview. Why Exit?
Forum: Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC) Topic: The exit of Britain from the European Union and the drop of value of the British Pound Student Officer: Duygu Mercan Position: Deputy President Introduction
More informationBREXIT th June 2018 Garvan Walshe
BREXIT-22 24 th June 2018 Garvan Walshe BREXIT POLITICAL UPDATE TRD POLICY Brexit-22 GAME OF CHICKEN The EU has maintained its unity while the UK has divided into increasing number of factions. 1. Withdrawal
More informationMIND THE GAP: UNCERTAINTY POST-BREXIT
MIND THE GAP: UNCERTAINTY POST-BREXIT JUNE 27, 2016 For interviews with ASG Vice Chair Jim O Brien, who leads the firm s Europe practice, or ASG Senior Counselor Wendy Sherman, please contact Mary Clare
More informationThe consequences of Brexit
The consequences of Brexit on Services and Establishment Different Scenarios for Exit and Future Cooperation Prof. Dr. Friedemann Kainer University of Mannheim 28 February 2017 IMCO workshop on Implications
More informationWhy this model WON T work for the UK after Brexit EFTA 4 UK Briefing paper 06/11/2018
The Canada option? Why this model WON T work for the UK after Brexit EFTA 4 UK Briefing paper 06/11/2018 Page1 Brexit Timetable: 23 June 2016 - the UK votes to leave the European Union in a public referendum.
More informationBrexit: A Negotiation Update. Testimony by Dr. Thomas Wright Director, Center for the U.S. and Europe, and Senior Fellow The Brookings Institution
Brexit: A Negotiation Update Testimony by Dr. Thomas Wright Director, Center for the U.S. and Europe, and Senior Fellow The Brookings Institution Hearing by the Subcommittee on Europe, Europe and Emerging
More informationTHE TRUTH ABOUT TRADE BEYOND THE EU. Why exiting the EU takes the UK into a world of new opportunity.
THE TRUTH ABOUT TRADE BEYOND THE EU Why exiting the EU takes the UK into a world of new opportunity. THE TRUTH ABOUT TRADE BEYOND THE EU The Truth About Trade Beyond the EU booklet outlines the reasons
More informationWhich way to the (Br)exit? Finding the most acceptable outcome for Britain s political tribes
Which way to the (Br)exit? Finding the most acceptable outcome for Britain s political tribes By breaking down each party s vote by tribe, we can identify the pressure points that may shape how the Labour
More informationWhat does a soft Brexit mean for immigration from the EU?
What does a soft Brexit mean for immigration from the EU? European Union: MW 415 Summary 1. A Soft Brexit entails the UK remaining in the Single Market when the UK leaves the EU. While this claims to prioritise
More informationBREXIT: WHAT HAPPENED? WHY? WHAT NEXT?
BREXIT: WHAT HAPPENED? WHY? WHAT NEXT? By Richard Peel, published 22.08.16 On 23 June 2016, the people of the United Kingdom voted in a referendum. The question each voter had to answer was: Should the
More informationMay 2016 April / 2015 Special Issue SPECIAL ISSUE. EU Referendum
May 2016 April / 2015 Special Issue SPECIAL ISSUE EU Referendum ??? What is a referendum? A referendum is a single vote on a special issue.? A referendum is held sometimes to help the government make a
More informationEvidence submitted by Dr Federica Bicchi, Dr Nicola Chelotti, Professor Karen E Smith, Dr Stephen Woolcock
1 Submission of evidence for inquiry on the costs and benefits of EU membership for the UK s role in the world, for the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee Evidence submitted by Dr Federica Bicchi,
More informationLife after BREXIT: What are the UK s options outside the European Union? Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson
PAPERBREXIT01 Life after BREXIT: What are the UK s options outside the European Union? #CEPBREXIT Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson Disclaimer: The Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) is a politically
More informationBrexit essentials: Alternatives to EU membership
Brexit essentials: Alternatives to EU membership This is the second in a series of briefings covering the essential aspects of the UK s referendum on EU membership, which Prime Minister David Cameron has
More informationPublic Opinion Monitor
The Public Opinion Monitor UK membership of the European Union This month s edition of the Public Opinion Monitor looks at two new areas: attitudes to coalition and attitudes towards the UK s membership
More information* * * Regulatory Cooperation and Technical Barriers to Trade
London School of Economics and Political Science Department of International Relations Annotated Agenda for an EU-UK FTA Negotiation * * * Regulatory Cooperation and Technical Barriers to Trade 1. Introduction:
More informationBrexit Referendum: An Incomplete Verdict
King s Student Journal for Politics, Philosophy and Law Brexit Referendum: An Incomplete Verdict Authors: C Penny Tridimas and George Tridimas King s Student Journal for Politics, Philosophy and Law, Issue
More informationBREXIT THE MOMENT OF UNCERTAINTY
BREXIT THE MOMENT OF UNCERTAINTY ÍNDEX 1 Lisbon Attorneys Corp. Who we are 2 Introduction 3 The statute for citizens of the European Union and the United Kingdom 4 Family Law 5 Cross-border workers and
More informationCSI Brexit 2: Ending Free Movement as a Priority in the Brexit Negotiations
CSI Brexit 2: Ending Free Movement as a Priority in the Brexit Negotiations 18 th October, 2017 Summary Immigration is consistently ranked as one of the most important issues facing the country, and a
More informationThe EU debate #1: Identity
The EU debate #1: Identity Q: Britain is a European nation. A: Geography has given Britain a shared cultural history with continental Europe. From the Roman Empire, to the Renaissance, and now through
More informationAdrian Gahan. Brexit Update. British Frozen Food Federation 22 February 2018
Adrian Gahan Brexit Update British Frozen Food Federation 22 February 2018 Brexit is going to happen A50 triggered 29 March 2017- two year countdown Possible to revoke or extend A50 no current sign that
More informationBrexit & Trade - Policy Recommendation to Government
Brexit & Trade - Policy Recommendation to Government Contents Introduction 1 EFTA 2 Candidate countries 4 Preferential Agreement 5 WTO (unilateral free trade) 5 Conclusion 7 Limitations 8 Bibliography
More informationQuestionnaire for the representative sample of 1,012 respondents
Questionnaire for the representative sample of 1,012 respondents SHOWCARD CN1 CN1. like to ask you how you would react to each of the following possible consequences of Brexit for the border between Northern
More informationWhat happens next? Legal Consequences of Brexit FABIAN AMTENBRINK ANASTASIA KARATZIA RENÉ REPASI
REFERENDUM IN THE UNITED KINGDOM TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION European Research Centre for Economic and Financial Governance euro-cefg.eu What happens next? Legal Consequences of Brexit FABIAN AMTENBRINK
More informationHerbert Smith Freehills Insights membership, each of which provide to a greater or
COMPETITION REGULATION & TRADE BRIEFING FUTURE UK TRADE RELATIONS WITH THE EU AND WITH THIRD COUNTRIES AUGUST 2016 London As an EU member state the UK is currently part of the EU internal market, which
More informationBREXIT MEANS BREXIT. REFLECTIONS ON THE LEGAL ASPECTS REGARDING THE EUROPEAN UNION AND THE UNITED KINGDOM
Law Brexit Review means brexit vol. VII, issue 1, January-June 2017, pp. 11-20 11 BREXIT MEANS BREXIT. REFLECTIONS ON THE LEGAL ASPECTS REGARDING THE EUROPEAN UNION AND THE UNITED KINGDOM Ionuţ-Bogdan
More informationAfter the referendum: Establishing the Best Outcome for Northern Ireland
After the referendum: Establishing the Best Outcome for Northern Ireland Phinnemore, D., & McGowan, L. (2016). After the referendum: Establishing the Best Outcome for Northern Ireland. Belfast: Centre
More informationCURRENT IMPASSE IN BREXIT NEGOTIATIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK
CURRENT IMPASSE IN BREXIT NEGOTIATIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK Ryuji Hiraishi Strategic Information & Research Dept. Mitsui & Co. Europe PLC BREXIT NEGOTIATIONS DEADLOCKED AS TIME RUNS OUT The negotiations
More informationChristian KEUSCHNIGG. Europe after Brexit
Christian KEUSCHNIGG Europe after Brexit Executive MBL-HSG & HSG Alumni, Zürich, 13. September 2016 Wirtschaftspolitisches Zentrum Wien St. Gallen www.wpz-fgn.com, office@wpz-fgn.com Plan of Talk Brexit
More informationThe sure bet by Theresa May ends up in a hung Parliament
The sure bet by Theresa May ends up in a hung Parliament Vincenzo Emanuele and Bruno Marino June 9, 2017 The decision by the British Prime Minister, Theresa May, to call a snap election to reinforce her
More informationBrexit Update: Agreement Reached by Negotiators but may be rejected by UK Parliament, and Significant Uncertainties Remain
November 26, 2o18 Brexit Update: Agreement Reached by Negotiators but may be rejected by UK Parliament, and Significant Uncertainties Remain Following months of negotiations, on November 25 th, the negotiating
More informationUK Referendum For professional clients only. Economic research note
For professional clients only Economic research note UK Referendum 16 May 16 The United Kingdom (UK) will hold a Remain/Leave referendum on their membership of the European Union (EU) on 23 June 16. Within
More informationGunnar Beck. The ECJ. An Imperial or Impartial Court? Adjudicating Treaty Rights After Brexit POLITEIA A FORUM FOR SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC THINKING
Gunnar Beck The ECJ An Imperial or Impartial Court? Adjudicating Treaty Rights After Brexit POLITEIA A FORUM FOR SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC THINKING POLITEIA A Forum for Social and Economic Thinking Politeia
More informationFree-from thresholds, may contain what happens at the moment of Brexit?
Free-from thresholds, may contain what happens at the moment of Brexit? 21 November 2017 Brian Kelly bkelly@cov.com Overview of Covington In an increasingly regulated world, we have an exceptional ability
More informationSend My Friend to School 2017: General Election resource
Send My Friend to School 2017: General Election resource On June 8 th 2017 the UK will have a General Election. The last election was in 2015 and the next one was not due until 2020. However, in April
More informationBreaking News English.com Ready-to-Use English Lessons by Sean Banville
Breaking News English.com Ready-to-Use English Lessons by Sean Banville 1,000 IDEAS & ACTIVITIES FOR LANGUAGE TEACHERS breakingnewsenglish.com/book.html Thousands more free lessons from Sean's other websites
More informationhuman-synthesis.ghost.io
DAILY EXPRESS - 30 April 2018 LORDS AMENDMENT BREAKS IN BREXIT NEGOTIATIONS human-synthesis.ghost.io Britain's upper house backed an amendment designed to give Parliament the power to set the Government
More informationPost Referendum Scenarios. The impact of the UK referendum on EU membership
Post Referendum Scenarios The impact of the UK referendum on EU membership Risk Assessment Issues Brexit: How We Got Here In the build-up to the UK General Election of 2015, Prime Minister David Cameron
More informationDR LIAM FOX ANDREW MARR SHOW 18 TH DECEMBER, 2016
ANDREW MARR SHOW 18 TH DECEMBER, 2016 1 AM: A year ago I had you on the show and you announced that you were going to campaign to leave the EU and you were very clear about what that meant. You said no
More informationSummary of the EEX & EPEX SPOT Panel Discussion Integration of UK & Irish Power Markets the Impact of the Clean Energy Package and Brexit
Summary of the EEX & EPEX SPOT Panel Discussion Integration of UK & Irish Power Markets the Impact of the Clean Energy Package and Brexit 7 September 2017 London On 7 September 2017, EEX, The European
More informationThe future relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union Briefing Note HM Government s White Paper on Brexit 19 July 2018
Introduction The future relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union Briefing Note HM Government s White Paper on Brexit 19 July 2018 On 12 July 2018, the Government published a white
More informationSecuring designated Special Status for the north within the EU April 2017
Securing designated Special Status for the north within the EU April 2017 April 2017 Securing designated Special Status for the north within the EU April 2017 On 23rd June 2016 the people of the North
More informationBrexit Britain : Where does the UK growth model go from here?
Diverging Capitalisms? series Brief No. 3 Brexit Britain : Where does the UK growth model go from here? Analysis by Andrew Gamble and Scott Lavery with additional research and writing by Colin Hay, Daniel
More informationIpsos MORI June 2016 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI June 2016 Political Monitor Topline Results 16 June 2016 Fieldwork: 11 h 14 th June 2016 Technical Details Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,257 adults aged 18+ across Great
More informationBrexit Scenario Planning Session 2 Report June 2018
Brexit Scenario Planning Session 2 Report June 2018 PROFESSIONAL STANDARDS cipr.co.uk/policy CIPR Brexit Scenario Planning / 2 A summary from a meeting held May 24 2018 at the Institute to develop scenarios
More informationBREXIT: TRADE POLICY IMPLICATIONS AND CHALLENGES a Swedish perspective
BREXIT: TRADE POLICY IMPLICATIONS AND CHALLENGES a Swedish perspective MATS RINGBORG AND PETER KLEEN 2 BREXIT: TRADE POLICY IMPLICATIONS AND CHALLENGES A SWEDISH PERSPECTIVE In this paper we review the
More informationANDREW MARR SHOW 4 TH MARCH 2018 SIMON COVENEY
1 ANDREW MARR SHOW 4 TH MARCH 2018 SIMON COVENEY AM: Can I ask you first of all what you made of the Irish border part of Theresa May s speech? SC: Well, look, I mean, we certainly welcome the fact that
More informationANDREW MARR SHOW 10 TH JUNE 2018 KEIR STARMER
1 ANDREW MARR SHOW 10 TH JUNE 2018 AM: You ve let her off the hook basically, haven t you? KS: No, we ve pushed the Prime Minister all the way on the really big issues, and the two most important for this
More informationwww.newsflashenglish.com The 4 page 60 minute ESL British English lesson 20/02/16 Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Today, the question is: Should the
More informationCM1903 Note on the Position of UK nationals living in the EU in the case of a No Deal Brexit
CM1903 Note on the Position of UK nationals living in the EU in the case of a No Deal Brexit 4 February 2019 SUMMARY The wishes to bring to the attention of the EU Institutions the position of UK nationals
More information5 TAKEAWAYS ON BREXIT: Outlining Possible Scenarios for a New UK-EU Relationship and their Impact on Citizens POLICY DIGEST
5 TAKEAWAYS ON BREXIT: Outlining Possible Scenarios for a New UK-EU Relationship and their Impact on Citizens POLICY DIGEST TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction... 3 Partnership and objectives... 3 Structure
More informationCompare the vote Level 3
Compare the vote Level 3 Elections and voting Not all elections are the same. We use different voting systems to choose who will represent us in various parliaments and elected assemblies, in the UK and
More informationTHE ANDREW MARR SHOW, BBC1 9 TH SEPTEMBER 2018 FRANCES O GRADY, GENERAL SECRETARY OF THE TUC
1 THE ANDREW MARR SHOW, BBC1 9 TH SEPTEMBER 2018 FRANCES O GRADY, GENERAL SECRETARY OF THE TUC Andrew Marr (AM): Now, 150 years ago groups of trade unionists gathered in Manchester to form one single organisation
More informationLabour can win in Stoke-on-Trent
Labour Leave Polling Analysis Labour can win in Stoke-on-Trent How Labour can win in Stoke-on-Trent by-election, so long as they select a staunch Brexit candidate Date: 24th January 2017 This paper does
More informationDeloitte Brexit Briefing Brexit Scenarios 2.0. February 2017
Deloitte Brexit Briefing Brexit Scenarios 2.0 2 February 2017 Introduction Scenario design is required to manage the high uncertainty and complexity resulting from the Brexit Since the British referendum
More informationList of topics for papers
General information List of topics for papers The paper has to consist of 5 000-6 000 words (including footnotes). Please consider the formatting requirements. The deadline for submission will generally
More informationLet me start by reflecting on some very familiar words from the great poet W.B. Yeats.
Introduction Let me start by reflecting on some very familiar words from the great poet W.B. Yeats. Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold; Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,. The best lack all
More informationResearch UK Hung parliament adds government risk premium to GBP
Investment Research General Market Conditions 09 June 2017 Hung parliament adds government risk premium to GBP Hung parliament but the Conservative Party seems likely to form a minority government backed
More informationUnrevised transcript of evidence taken before. The Select Committee on the European Union. Sub-Committee C (External Affairs)
Unrevised transcript of evidence taken before The Select Committee on the European Union Sub-Committee C (External Affairs) Inquiry on TRANSLATLANTIC TRADE AND INVESTMENT PARTNERSHIP Evidence Session No.
More informationBrexit Seminar : Emergent Understandings of Consequences and Impacts: The Potential Impact of Brexit on Scotland and UK
Brexit Seminar : Emergent Understandings of Consequences and Impacts: The Potential Impact of Brexit on Scotland and UK @UofGVC @UofGlasgow Professor Sir Anton Muscatelli Principal, University of Glasgow
More informationThis week s update focusses on the content of and reaction to the Prime Minister s speech in Florence.
ǀ This regular paper produced by SPICe sets out developments in the UK s negotiations to leave the European Union, the process for which has now formally begun following the Prime Minister s triggering
More informationEconomic Dynamics and Integration in Eastern Europe and Asia
Economic Dynamics and Integration in Eastern Europe and Asia Monday 16:00-18:00 M.14.22 Prof. Paul J.J. Welfens / David Hanrahan/Tian Xiong Bergische Universität Wuppertal WS 2017/2018 5. EU DISINTEGRATION?
More informationCompare the vote Level 1
Compare the vote Level 1 Elections and voting Not all elections are the same. We use different voting systems to choose who will represent us in various parliaments and elected assemblies, in the UK and
More informationVolt s position on Brexit
Volt s position on Brexit Summary Volt respects the results of the 2016 referendum, in which the UK voted to leave the EU. However, Volt will welcome the UK to rejoin the EU in the future. We advocate
More informationEuropean? British? These Brexit Voters Identify as English
https://nyti.ms/1rrnm34 EUROPE European? British? These Brexit Voters Identify as English By STEVEN ERLANGER JUNE 16, 2016 SOUTH BENFLEET, England The topic of the local debate was Britain s imminent vote
More informationLORD ASHCROFT KCMG PC BREXIT DEAL POLL DECEMBER 2018
LORD ASHCROFT KCMG PC BREXIT DEAL POLL DECEMBER 2018 4,935 adults in Great Britain were interviewed online between 4 and 7 December 2018. Data have been weighted to be representative of all adults in Great
More informationThe prospects for the post-brexit Irish border
The prospects for the post-brexit Irish border Katy Hayward Rural Society in Transition conference, Dundalk, 26 th April 2018 @hayward_katy; k.hayward@qub.ac.uk Outline Still great uncertainty Potential
More informationSnap! Crackle... Pop? The UK election's meaning for sterling
Snap! Crackle... Pop? The UK election's meaning for sterling Jeremy Cook Chief Economist and Head of Currency Strategy Called by Theresa May a little after Easter as a need to heal divisions within Westminster
More informationCBI MEMBERS AND THE UK-EU NEGOTIATION
CBI MEMBERS AND THE UK-EU NEGOTIATION POST-REFERENDUM INFORMATION PACK 21 JULY 2016 Introduction The UK has voted to leave the European Union. Now there are important questions that must be answered on
More informationTHE EU REFERENDUM WHY YOU SHOULD VOTE
BME communities and the EU In-Out debate THE EU REFERENDUM WHY YOU SHOULD VOTE ON THURSDAY 23rd JUNE, THE EUROPEAN UNION (EU) REFERENDUM WILL TAKE PLACE. IT WILL DETERMINE WHETHER OR NOT THE UK SHOULD
More informationStructure of Governance: The UK
Structure of Governance: The UK Political Parties The Labour Party Left leaning Political Party Started in early 20th century to support trade unions and workers rights Traditionally connected to Labor
More information6 UK-EU relations after Brexit: What is best for the UK economy?
6 UK-EU relations after Brexit: What is best for the UK economy? LSE; LSE and CEPR Several models exist for the UK s relationship with the EU following Brexit. This chapter argues that from an economic
More informationTowards a hung Parliament? The battleground of the 2017 UK general election
Towards a hung Parliament? The battleground of the 2017 UK general election June 5, 2017 On the next 8 th June, UK voters will be faced with a decisive election, which could have a profound impact not
More informationCBI, EU NEGOTIATIONS
CBI, EU NEGOTIATIONS The CBI s recent business preparedness survey showed that businesses are taking action to assess the risks from Brexit. 57% of businesses say: Brexit has taken time away from other
More informationUnknown Citizen? Michel Barnier
Unknown Citizen_Template.qxd 13/06/2017 09:20 Page 9 Unknown Citizen? Michel Barnier On 22 March 2017, a week before Mrs May invoked Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union to commence the UK s withdrawal,
More informationWHAT SORT OF BREXIT DEAL DOES THE BRITISH PUBLIC WANT?
WHAT SORT OF BREXIT DEAL DOES THE BRITISH PUBLIC WANT? A REVIEW OF THE EVIDENCE SO FAR NOAH CARL CENTRE FOR SOCIAL INVESTIGATION NUFFIELD COLLEGE, OXFORD AUGUST, 2017 This work is part of a project funded
More informationThe United Kingdom in the European context top-line reflections from the European Social Survey
The United Kingdom in the European context top-line reflections from the European Social Survey Rory Fitzgerald and Elissa Sibley 1 With the forthcoming referendum on Britain s membership of the European
More informationMeanwhile, in Europe LECTURE 6
Meanwhile, in Europe LECTURE 6 Macron and Merkel Allied? Trying to solve Europe s current challenges: Domestic economics Eurozone issues/brexit Migrant crisis Domestic Economics - France Which problems
More informationUK Election Results and Economic Prospects. By Tony Brown 21 July 2017
UK Election Results and Economic Prospects By Tony Brown 21 July 2017 This briefing note summarises recent developments in the UK and presents a snapshot of the British political and economic state of
More informationI am a Brit talking at an international conference. So, of course, I am here to talk about one thing.
Guy Platten Remarks to ICS conference Ladies and Gentlemen it s a great honour to be addressing you today. Thank you to the ICS for asking me to speak to you and thanks also for organising this excellent
More informationDr Andreas Dombret Member of the Executive Board of the Deutsche Bundesbank. Where do we go from here? The future of US-EU financial relations
Dr Andreas Dombret Member of the Executive Board of the Deutsche Bundesbank Where do we go from here? The future of US-EU financial relations following the finalisation of Basel III Speech at the Institute
More informationPossible models for the UK/EU relationship
Possible models for the UK/EU relationship This paper summarizes some potential alternative models for the UK s future relationship with the European Union, together with the key differences between the
More informationDepartment of Politics Commencement Lecture
Department of Politics Commencement Lecture Introduction My aim: to reflect on Brexit in the light of recent British political development; Drawing on the analysis of Developments of British Politics 10
More informationThe UK s Referendum on EU Membership: The debates and the consequences of a Brexit
Lawrence Kettle The UK s Referendum on EU Membership: The debates and the consequences of a Brexit Introduction The United Kingdom s upcoming referendum on its membership of the European Union (EU) is
More informationThe European Council: Brexit, refugees and beyond
COUNCIL SUMMIT The European Council: Brexit, refugees and beyond María Abascal / Matías Cabrera / Agustín García / Miguel Jiménez / Massimo Trento The European Council that took place on February 18-19
More informationDRAFT OPINION. EN United in diversity EN. European Parliament 2018/0158(COD) of the Committee on Agriculture and Rural Development
European Parliament 2014-2019 Committee on Agriculture and Rural Development 2018/0158(COD) 12.7.2018 DRAFT OPINION of the Committee on Agriculture and Rural Development for the Committee on International
More informationTHE ANDREW MARR SHOW 24 TH APRIL 2016 THERESA MAY. AM: Good morning to you, Home Secretary. TM: Good morning, Andrew.
1 THE ANDREW MARR SHOW 24 TH APRIL 2016 THERESA MAY AM: Good morning to you, Home Secretary. TM: Good morning, Andrew. AM: If we stay in the EU will immigration go up or down? TM: Well, first of all nobody
More informationIS BRITAIN LEAVING THE EU?
CICERO FOUNDATION COMMENTARY No. 13/01 April 2013 IS BRITAIN LEAVING THE EU? ANDREW GEDDES Professor of Politics at the University of Sheffield, UK 2012-2013 Robert Schuman Fellow in the Migration Policy
More informationAll change? The new political landscape and what Britain expects from Brexit. Lord Ashcroft KCMG PC April Lord Ashcroft Polls
All change? The new political landscape and what Britain expects from Brexit Lord Ashcroft KCMG PC April 2017 Lord Ashcroft Polls Lord Ashcroft KCMG PC April 2017 Lord Ashcroft Polls 2 Contents Methodology
More informationEconomics Summer Term Task
Economics Summer Term Task 1. Research the impact of the vote to leave the EU on the UK economy a. In the short term (the next year) b. In the long term (the next 5 to 10 years) -use the links on slide
More information