Final Court Rulings: Public Equally Interested in Voting Rights, Gay Marriage

Transcription

1 JUNE 24, 2013 Final Court Rulings: Public Equally Interested in Voting Rights, Gay Marriage FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT THE PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS Michael Dimock Director Carroll Doherty Associate Director Rob Suls Research Associate 1615 L St, N.W., Suite 700 Washington, D.C Tel (202) Fax (202)

2 Final Court Rulings: Public Equally Interested in Voting Rights, Gay Marriage A new poll finds that the public is as interested in the Supreme Court s upcoming ruling on the Voting Rights Act as in its long-awaited decisions on same-sex marriage. Roughly a third of Americans (35% each) say they are very interested in both how the court will rule on whether parts of the Voting Rights Act are still necessary and on federal and state laws on gay marriage. Public Interest in End-of-Term Supreme Court Rulings Whether parts of Voting Rights Act are still necessary interested / Federal and state laws about gay marriage interested A third (33%) express little or no interest in how the court rules on the Voting Rights Act, while 40% say they are not too or not at all interested in the court s rulings on gay marriage. / Affirmative action in college admissions interested / The Pew Research Center survey was PEW RESEARCH CENTER June 20-23, Don t know responses not shown. conducted June among 1,005 adults, before the Supreme Court s ruling Monday on affirmative action in college admissions. About three-in-ten (31%) had said they were very interested in that decision There are wide racial differences in interest in all three court rulings. More whites than blacks say they are very interested in the same-sex marriage decisions (37% vs. 23%). Blacks express much more interest than whites in both the voting rights and affirmative action decisions.

3 2 Blacks, in particular, express a great deal of interest in both the voting rights and affirmative action decisions (56% each). About a third (32%) of whites say they are very interested in the voting rights ruling while 25% are very interested in the affirmative action ruling. There are no partisan differences in interest in the court s upcoming decisions on same-sex marriage: 39% of Republicans and 38% of Democrats are very interested, as are 34% of independents. Racial Differences in Interest in Major Court Decisions % very interested in the Supreme Court s decision on Gay marriage Voting rights Affirmative action % % % Total Men Women White Black Republican Democrat Independent But there are wide partisan differences in interest in the voting rights and affirmative action decisions. A plurality of Democrats (44%) are very interested in the court s ruling on the Voting Rights Act, compared with about three-in-ten Republicans (32%) and independents (30%). On the affirmative action case, 42% of Democrats were very interested in the decision, compared with 25% of Republicans and 27% of independents. PEW RESEARCH CENTER June 20-23, Whites and blacks include only those who are not Hispanic.

4 3 About the Survey The analysis in this report is based on telephone interviews conducted June 20-23, 2013, among a national sample of 1,005 adults 18 years of age or older living in the continental United States (501 respondents were interviewed on a landline telephone, and 504 were interviewed on a cell phone, including 244 who had no landline telephone). The survey was conducted by interviewers at Princeton Data Source under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International. A combination of landline and cell phone random digit dial samples were used; both samples were provided by Survey Sampling International. Interviews were conducted in English. Respondents in the landline sample were selected by randomly asking for the youngest adult male or female who is now at home. Interviews in the cell sample were conducted with the person who answered the phone, if that person was an adult 18 years of age or older. For detailed information about our survey methodology, see: The combined landline and cell phone sample are weighted using an iterative technique that matches gender, age, education, race, Hispanic origin and region to parameters from the 2011 Census Bureau's American Community Survey and population density to parameters from the Decennial Census. The sample also is weighted to match current patterns of telephone status, based on extrapolations from the 2012 National Health Interview Survey. The weighting procedure also accounts for the fact that respondents with both landline and cell phones have a greater probability of being included in the combined sample and adjusts for household size among respondents with a landline phone. Sampling errors and statistical tests of significance take into account the effect of weighting. The following table shows the unweighted sample sizes and the error attributable to sampling that would be expected at the 95% level of confidence for different groups in the survey: Unweighted Group sample size Plus or minus Total sample 1, percentage points Republican percentage points Democrat percentage points Independent percentage points White percentage points Black percentage points Sample sizes and sampling errors for other subgroups are available upon request. In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. Pew Research Center, 2013

5 4 PEW RESEARCH CENTER June 20-23, 2013 OMNIBUS FINAL TOPLINE N=1,005 ASK ALL: PEW.1 As I read a list of some stories covered by news organizations this past week, please tell me if you happened to follow each news story very, fairly, not too, or not at all. First, [INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE] [IF NECESSARY Did you follow [ITEM] very, fairly, not too or not at all? ] a. Reports about the condition of the U.S. economy June 20-23, June 13-16, * June 6-9, * May 16-19, * May 9-12, March 28-31, March 7-10, * January 31-February 3, January 17-20, * January 3-6, December 6-9, November 8-11, November 1-4, October 25-28, October 18-21, October 12-14, October 4-7, * September 27-30, September 20-23, * September 13-16, September 7-9, August 31-September 3, August 23-26, August 16-19, * August 9-12, August 2-5, July 26-29, * July 19-22, * July 12-15, July 5-8, June 28-July 1, June 21-24, * June 14-17, * June 7-10, * May 31-June 3, May 24-27, May 17-20, * May 10-13, * May 3-6, * April 26-29, April 19-22, April 12-15, April 5-8, March 29-April 1, March 22-25, March 15-18, March 8-11, *

6 5 PEW.1 CONTINUED March 1-4, February 23-26, February 16-20, February 9-12, February 2-5, January 26-29, * January 19-22, January 12-15, January 5-8, * SEE TREND FOR PREVIOUS YEARS: b. Debate over immigration policy in the U.S. June 20-23, June 13-16, June 6-9, May 23-26, May 9-12, April 25-28, * April 18-21, April 4-7, * January 31-February 3, 2013: Debate in Washington over immigration policy June 28-July 1, 2012: The Supreme Court decision on Arizona s immigration law April 26-29, 2012: The issue of immigration May 12-15, September 2-6, August 12-15, July 29-August 1, 2010: A court ruling that stops most of Arizona s immigration law from going into effect July 8-11, 2010: The U.S. Justice Department challenging the legality of Arizona s recent immigration law July 1-5, 2010: The issue of immigration May 7-10, 2010: A new Arizona law that gives police more authority to question people they suspect might be illegal immigrants April 30-May 3, * October 12-15, 2007: The issue of immigration * June 29-July 2, 2007: The debate in Congress over new immigration policy * June 22-25, * June 15-18, * June 8-11, May 24-27, April 12-16, 2007: The issue of immigration * August, June, May, April,

7 6 PEW.1 CONTINUED December, 1994: Passage of Proposition 187, the California law that bars education, health and welfare benefits from illegal immigrants and their children * c. Debate over government phone and internet surveillance programs June 20-23, June 13-16, 2013: The government collecting information about telephone calls, s and other online communications as part of efforts to monitor terrorist activity June 7-9, 2013: The government collecting s and other online activities directly from large internet companies to track foreign suspects in terror investigations June 6-9, 2013: The government collecting records about Verizon phone calls for national security purposes * April 27-May 22, 2006: Reports that the National Security Agency has been collecting telephone records of millions of American citizens d. Recent Supreme Court rulings and cases before the court June 20-23, March 28-31, 2013: The Supreme Court hearing cases about same-sex marriage July 2-5, 2009: The Supreme Court ruling that a group of firefighters were unfairly denied promotions because of their race * May 29-June 1, 2009: The California Supreme Court upholding a ban on gay marriage Nov. 7-10, 2008: CA vote bans gay marriage * June 20-23, 2008: Same sex marriage in CA * May 16-19, 2008: CA Supreme Court ruling June 29-July 2, 2007: A Supreme Court ruling that public schools cannot use race to decide where students attend classes

8 7 ASK ALL: PEW.2 Thinking about some cases the Supreme Court will decide on next week How interested are you in the court s decision on [INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE] [READ RESPONSE OPTIONS AS NECECESSARY] - very interested, fairly interested, not too interested, or not at all interested? interested interested interested interested a. Federal and state laws about gay marriage June 20-23, b. Affirmative action in college admissions June 20-23, c. Whether parts of the Voting Rights Act are still necessary June 20-23,

9 8 PEW RESEARCH CENTER June 13-16, 2013 OMNIBUS FINAL TOPLINE N=1,004 ASK ALL: PEW.1 As I read a list of some stories covered by news organizations this past week, please tell me if you happened to follow each news story very, fairly, not too, or not at all. First, [INSERT ITEM; RANDOMIZE] [IF NECESSARY Did you follow [ITEM] very, fairly, not too or not at all? ] a. Reports about the condition of the U.S. economy June 13-16, * June 6-9, * May 16-19, * May 9-12, March 28-31, March 7-10, * January 31-February 3, January 17-20, * January 3-6, December 6-9, November 8-11, November 1-4, October 25-28, October 18-21, October 12-14, October 4-7, * September 27-30, September 20-23, * September 13-16, September 7-9, August 31-September 3, August 23-26, August 16-19, * August 9-12, August 2-5, July 26-29, * July 19-22, * July 12-15, July 5-8, June 28-July 1, June 21-24, * June 14-17, * June 7-10, * May 31-June 3, May 24-27, May 17-20, * May 10-13, * May 3-6, * April 26-29, April 19-22, April 12-15, April 5-8, March 29-April 1, March 22-25, March 15-18, March 8-11, * March 1-4,

10 9 PEW.1 CONTINUED February 23-26, February 16-20, February 9-12, February 2-5, January 26-29, * January 19-22, January 12-15, January 5-8, * SEE TREND FOR PREVIOUS YEARS: b. Debate over immigration policy in the U.S. June 13-16, June 6-9, May 23-26, May 9-12, April 25-28, * April 18-21, April 4-7, * January 31-February 3, 2013: Debate in Washington over immigration policy June 28-July 1, 2012: The Supreme Court decision on Arizona s immigration law April 26-29, 2012: The issue of immigration May 12-15, September 2-6, August 12-15, July 29-August 1, 2010: A court ruling that stops most of Arizona s immigration law from going into effect July 8-11, 2010: The U.S. Justice Department challenging the legality of Arizona s recent immigration law July 1-5, 2010: The issue of immigration May 7-10, 2010: A new Arizona law that gives police more authority to question people they suspect might be illegal immigrants April 30-May 3, * October 12-15, 2007: The issue of immigration * June 29-July 2, 2007: The debate in Congress over new immigration policy * June 22-25, * June 15-18, * June 8-11, May 24-27, April 12-16, 2007: The issue of immigration * August, June, May, April, December, 1994: Passage of Proposition 187, the California law that bars education, health and welfare benefits from illegal immigrants and their children *

11 10 PEW.1 CONTINUED c. The government collecting information about telephone calls, s and other online communications as part of efforts to monitor terrorist activity June 13-16, June 7-9, 2013: The government collecting s and other online activities directly from large internet companies to track foreign suspects in terror investigations June 6-9, 2013: The government collecting records about Verizon phone calls for national security purposes * April 27-May 22, 2006: Reports that the National Security Agency has been collecting telephone records of millions of American citizens d. The NBA Finals June 13-16, June 14-17, * June 2-5, * June 10-13, June 5-8, * June 20-23, 2008: The Boston Celtics winning the NBA Finals e. The trial of George Zimmerman for the shooting death of Florida teen Trayvon Martin June 13-16, April 26-29, 2012: Developments in the case against George Zimmerman in the shooting death of Trayvon Martin April 20-22, April 12-15, 2012: George Zimmerman being charged with second-degree murder in the death of Trayvon Martin April 5-8, 2012: Controversy over the shooting death of Trayvon Martin, an African American teen in Florida * March 29-April 1, * March 22-25, July 31-August 3, 2009: Reports about the arrest of Harvard professor Henry Louis Gates and President Obama s response to the incident July 24-27, 2009: The arrest of Henry Louis Gates, a black Harvard professor, at his home after a dispute with a police officer April 25-28, 2008: The acquittal of three New York City police officers in the shooting of an unarmed man on his wedding day September 21-24, 2007: Demonstrations in Jena, Louisiana, about six black teenagers involved in a schoolyard fight *

12 11 PEW.1 CONTINUED April 2001: Rioting in Cincinnati after an unarmed black man was shot by police July 2000: The video showing Philadelphia police kicking and beating a carjacking suspect March 2000: The acquittal of four New York policemen who shot and killed Amadou Diallo, an African immigrant February 1999: The Texas murder trial of a man accused of dragging a black man behind a pickup truck May 1993: The Rodney King trial and verdict in Los Angeles * May 1992: The verdict in the Rodney King case and the riots and disturbances that followed March 1991: The videotaped beating by Los Angeles police of a suspect they apprehended in an auto chase f. Political protests and rioting in Turkey June 13-16, * June 6-9, * ASKED JUNE 14-16, 2013 ONLY [N=733]: g. Charges that Syria has used chemical weapons against anti-government groups June 14-16, April 25-28, June 6-9, 2013: Political violence in Syria * May 9-12, March 28-31, December 13-16, December 6-9, November 29-December 2, August 16-19, July 19-22, June 28-July 1, * June 14-17, May 31-June 3, April 12-15, 2012: International efforts to stop political violence in Syria April 5-8, March 15-18, 2012: Political violence in Syria March 8-11, February 23-26, February 9-12, * January 12-15, August 4-7, 2011: Political violence following uprisings in Syria June 2-5, 2011: Anti-government protests and violence in some Middle Eastern countries * May 5-8, 2011: Political violence following uprisings in Syria April 28-May 1, 2011: Anti-government protests and violence in some Middle Eastern countries

13 12 PEW.1 CONTINUED February 3-6, 2011: Anti-government protests in Egypt and other Middle Eastern countries * January 27-30, *