Chapter 2 Spatial Distribution and Density of Population

Transcription

1 2.1 The Concept of Spatial Distribution Chapter 2 Spatial Distribution and Density of Population One of the major results of a population census is the insight it provides into the patterns of population settlement across the country. This chapter examines the spatial distribution of the population of Cambodia as revealed by the 2008 Census of Cambodia. Data on distribution of population among the administrative areas are useful for several purposes. They generally form the basis for determining the electoral constituencies. They are useful in connection with social economic and administrative planning and provide basic data for making population projections. The concepts of population distribution and density are so closely related to each other that it would be appropriate to discuss them in the same chapter. However the two concepts are different, as distribution is based on location while density is a ratio. Population distribution denotes the spatial pattern due to dispersal of population, formation of agglomeration, linear spread etc. Population density is the ratio of people to physical space. It shows the relationship between a population and the size of the area in which it lives. Of the several methods of describing the spatial distribution of population the simplest way is percentage distribution of population over the geographical areas. Another methodology usually adopted is to list the geographical areas of a given class into rank order which enables comparison of ranking from census to census. This provides changes in population trends over time. There are also other methods which are generally used to study population distribution like calculation of median point, the mean point or the centre of population, the point of minimum aggregate travel, and the point of maximum population potential. In this report, however, the simple methods of percentage distribution and population composition of the geographical areas are used to study the population distribution in Cambodia. The density of population is usually computed as population per square kilometer (Km 2 ) of land area excluding area occupied by water. Different scholars have devised different types of densities for utilization in different situations with the aim to arrive at a better indicator for the population resource relationship. These ratios are known as arithmetic density, physiological or nutritional density, agricultural density, economic density etc. In this chapter the analysis of population density will be confined to the ratio of population of a given geographical or administrative unit to the area occupied by that unit. In most countries of the world the geographic distribution of the population is not even with varying degrees of concentration of population giving rise to varying densities in the different parts of the world. According to the 2007 Demographic Year Book of the United Nations there were 49 persons per km 2 in the surface area of the world. Among the continents Asia with a density of 126 persons per km 2 was the most densely populated continent followed by Europe (32), Africa (32), Latin America (28), Northern America (16) and Oceania (4). Even within a country striking contrasts are noted in the population distribution at both the national and sub-national levels. 6

2 2.2 Factors Affecting Population Distribution The main factors determining population distribution are : climate, landforms, topography, soil, energy and mineral resources, accessibility like distance from sea coast, natural harbours, navigable rivers or canals, cultural factors, political boundaries, controls on migration and trade, government policies, types of economic activities, technology including type of farming and transportation facilities, social organization and but not the least, demographic factors like changes in natural increase and migration. Adverse physical conditions and lack of sufficient opportunities for means of livelihood have been mainly responsible for discouraging inhabitation in certain areas. Climatic conditions are perhaps the most important of all the geographic influences on population distribution. Apart from physical factors several social, demographic, economic, political and historical factors affect population distribution. In the case of Cambodia, civil unrest in the past had forced a large number of people to migrate from one province to another. Though a majority of the population is engaged in agriculture and rarely shift their residence in normal times, there have been movements of population mainly for economic reasons. There is a clear pattern in the distribution of human settlements in Cambodia. For instance the majority of the inhabitants of the country are settled in fairly permanent villages near the major water courses in the Tonle Sap Basin-Mekong Lowlands region. The highland tribes in Cambodia are found mostly in the northeastern provinces of Ratanak Kiri, Stung Treng, Mondul Kiri and Kratie. They mainly live in scattered temporary villages that are abandoned when the cultivated land in the vicinity is exhausted. These villages have only a few hundred inhabitants. Cham people who are Muslims engaged mostly in fishing and in growing vegetables usually occupy an entire village. These villages are mostly located on or near the banks of a river or channel. 2.3 Physical Features and Administrative Divisions Situated in the southwestern part of the East Asia peninsula, Cambodia has an area of 181,035 km 2 of which about 3,000 km 2 is occupied by the Tonle Sap Lake. About one fifth of the land area is used for agriculture. The country is bounded on the west by Thailand, on the north by Lao People s Democratic Republic, on the east and south by Viet Nam (See Map 1). The Gulf of Thailand serves as the southwest boundary. The country has a coastline of about 440 km and contains extensive forests. Monsoon dominates the climatic condition of Cambodia. Throughout the country, temperatures are fairly uniform, varying slightly from an average annual temperature of around 28 degree centigrade in a typical year. The maximum and minimum temperatures are 33 degree centigrade and about 24 degree centigrade respectively. 7

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4 The centrally located Tonle Sap (Great Lake), and the Bassac River and the Mekong River systems which run from the north to the south constitute the dominant feature of the Cambodian landscape. The Central Plains which accounts for most of the land area are surrounded by dense forests and highlands. Cambodia is divided into the following four natural regions: Plain, Tonle Sap, Coastal, and Plateau and mountain. The administrative divisions of Cambodia which has 23 provinces and one municipality (Phnom Penh) are as described under the sub-paragraph on Royal Sub-Decree in Chapter 1.The provinces comprised in each Natural Region are shown in Table

5 2.4 Population Distribution Table 2.1 shows the distribution of population of Cambodia by sex and province in 1998 and Table 2.1 Population of Cambodia by Province, 1998 and 2008 Cambodia / Code Province / Municipality Both Sexes Males Females Both Sexes Males Females (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Cambodia 11,437,656 5,511,408 5,926,248 13,395,682 6,516,054 6,879, Banteay Meanchey 577, , , , , , Battambang 793, , ,530 1,025, , , Kampong Cham 1,608, , ,118 1,679, , , Kampong Chhnang 417, , , , , , Kampong Speu 598, , , , , , Kampong Thom 569, , , , , , Kampot 528, , , , , , Kandal 1,075, , ,129 1,265, , , Koh Kong 116,061 59,523 56, ,481 59,327 58, Kratie 263, , , , , , Mondul Kiri 32,407 16,380 16,027 61,107 31,372 29, Phnom Penh 999, , ,893 1,327, , , Preah Vihear 119,261 59,333 59, ,139 85,319 85, Prey Veng 946, , , , , , Pursat 360, , , , , , Ratanak Kiri 94,243 46,396 47, ,466 76,115 74, Siem Reap 696, , , , , , Preah Sihanouk 170,655 84,576 86, , , , Stung Treng 81,074 40,124 40, ,671 55,634 56, Svay Rieng 478, , , , , , Takeo 790, , , , , , Otdar Meanchey 68,279 34,472 33, ,819 93,646 92, Kep 28,660 14,014 14,646 35,753 17,674 18, Pailin 22,906 12,392 10,514 70,486 36,340 34,146 The population distribution in Cambodia in 1998 and 2008 is also represented in Map 2. Since 80.5 percent of the population of Cambodia resides in the rural areas mainly depending on the agriculture sector, the pattern of population distribution in the country mostly corresponds to the factors governing agricultural practices. The population distribution in the country has been traditionally determined by the availability of land for cultivation, quality of soil, availability of water resources, favourable climatic conditions, topography and availability of transportation facilities. The main concentration of the population occurs in the plain region consisting of the Tonle Sap Basin- Mekong Lowlands.On a geographic area of about 14 percent of the country, the plain region accounts for nearly 49 percent of the population. The concentration becomes more conspicuous as one moves 10

6 from Kampong Cham towards the capital city of Phnom Penh and then to Kandal and Takeo. The Tonle Sap and the coastal regions also account for population concentration though to a much lower extent. However, by contrast, the plateau and mountain region is characterized by sparse population. The highlands comprise the Elephant Mountains and Cardamom Mountains of the southwest and western regions; the Dangrek Mountain of the north adjacent to the Korat Plateau of Thailand; and the Ratanak Kiri Plateau and Chlong Highlands on the east. The upland plateaus have rugged topography, poor soils, unfavourable climatic conditions and shortage of water for any large scale agricultural operations which give rise to overall sparse population. The general patterns of population distribution had also undergone changes during the decades of war and Khmer Rouge occupation. Moreover there has been a considerable amount redistribution of population since the mid 1990s due to internal peace, development of free market economy, promotion of tourism, gradual clearance of land mines, growth of the garment industry, urbanization, advent of new centers of administration and commerce, development of communication networks, construction of roads and bridges connecting the provinces, expansion of irrigation facilities and mining of gems and other precious metals in the north and northwest. Table 2.2 gives the ranking of provinces by population both in 1998 and 2008 Table 2.2 Ranking of Provinces by Population Size: 1998 and 2008 Rank in 2008 Province/ Municipality Percent to total population of Cambodia Rank in 1998 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) 1 Kampong Cham Phnom Penh Kandal Battambang Prey Veng Siem Reap Takeo Kampong Speu Banteay Meanchey Kampong Thom Kampot Svay Rieng Kampong Chhnang Pursat Kratie Preah Sihanouk Otdar Meanchey Preah Vihear Ratanak Kiri Koh Kong Stung Treng Pailin Mondul Kiri Kep Note: 1998 and 2008 populations of Koh Kong and Preah Sihanouk provinces are for areas according to the new frame. Ranks are based on these populations. 11

7 The changes in the population distribution among the provinces in the last decade have given rise to changes in the ranks of some of them. Kampong Cham continues to be the biggest province in terms of population although it contains a lesser proportion of the country s population in There are shifts in ranks in respect of 13 provinces while there is no change in ranks in the remaining 11 provinces. Notably, Phnom Penh moved up to the second position with Kandal coming down to the third position. Otdar Meanchey which has registered a very high growth rate during the last decade has moved to the 17 th position from the 21 st position. On the other hand Koh Kong has gone to the 20 th position (2008) from the 18 th position (1998). 2.5Distribution of Population by Districts/ Khans/ Cities/ Table 2.3 shows the number of Districts/ Khans/ Cities in each size class of population. The word city generally refers to a big town of a population size of 100,000 and more. But in the Royal Sub-Decree, Krongs are referred to as cities. Hence the term city used in this report refers to towns of all size classes. There are 159 Districts, 8 Khans and 26 Krongs or Cities which may be considered as one group of administrative units for the purpose of the present analysis. Out of these 193 administrative units, the highest number is in the population size class 40,000 to 59,999 (21percent). However the 15 Districts/ Khans/ Cities which are distributed over the four size classes of population 140,000 and more account for nearly 20 percent of the population of Cambodia. Table 2.3 Districts/Khans/Cities distributed by Population Size, Cambodia, 2008 Population Size Class Number of Districts/Khans/Cities Total 193 Less than 20, ,000 to 39, ,000 to 59, ,000 to 79, ,000 to 99, ,000 to 119, ,000 to 139, ,000 to 159, ,000 to 179, ,000 to 199, , Meanchey Khan of Phnom Penh Municipality and Ou Reang district of Mondul Kiri Province account for the highest (266,865) and the lowest (3,948) populations among Districts/ Khans/ Cities in Cambodia. The average size of these administrative units is 69,408. As many as 104 out of 193 units (54 percent) are having each a population less than About 25 percent of these units are each of population size 100,000 and more. Hence it is evident that there is unevenness in the distribution of population over these units. 12

8 The variation in the number of districts by population size at the national level is depicted by bar diagrams in Figure 2.2. Map 3 shows in respect of each province the number of districts falling in each of the broad population size classes of less than 40,000, 40,000 to 79,999 and 80,

9 2.6 Distribution of Population by Communes/ Sangkats There are 1,417 Communes (administrative unit below a district) within 159 Districts and 204 Sangkats (administrative unit below Khan/ Krong) within Phnom Penh Municipality and 26 Krongs. Thus there are 1,621 Communes/ Sangkats in Cambodia. The average population size of a Commune/Sangkat works out to 8,264.These units are distributed according to their population sizes in Table 2.4 (See also Figure 2.3). Table 2.4 Distribution of Communes/ Sangkats by Population Size Class, Cambodia 2008 Population Size Class Number of Communes Percentage of Communes (1) (2) (3) Total number of Communes Less than 2, ,000-4, ,000-9, ,000-19, ,000-29, ,000-39, ,000-49, , About 97 percent of the Communes/ Sangkats have each a population less than 20,000. The biggest among Communes/ Sangkats in terms of population is Paoy Paet Sangkat (89,549) of Krong Paoy Paet 14

10 in Banteay Meanchey province. Chumnob Commune of Thma Bang district of Koh Kong province has the lowest population (298) among Communes/ Sangkats. Figures 2.4 to 2.7 show the number of Communes in each broad size class of population by province and Natural Region. 15

11 Analytical Table AT01 given in Annex 1 shows the distribution of Cambodia s population by District/ Khan/ Krong as well as Commune/ Sangkat for 2008 and comparable areas in Population Density If the population of a country or region increases over a period with area remaining constant, its density increases proportionately. That is what is noted in Cambodia during the decade The average density of population of Cambodia as per the 2008 Census is 75 as against 64 according to the 1998 Census. Barring Prey Veng and Koh Kong the population density has increased in all the provinces during the ten years (Table 2.5). 16

12 Table 2.5 Population Density by Natural Region and Province, 2008 and 1998 Cambodia / Population Density Area* Population Province / (Km 2 (Persons/Km 2 ) ) in 2008 Municipality (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Cambodia 181,035 13,395, Plain Region 25,069 6,547, Kampong Cham 9,799 1,679, Kandal 3,564 1,265, Phnom Penh 294 1,327,615 3,401 4,516 Prey Veng 4, , Svay Rieng 2, , Takeo 3, , Tonle Sap Region 67,668 4,356, Banteay Meanchey 6, , Battambang 11,702 1,025, Kampong Chhnang 5, , Kampong Thom 13, , Pursat 12, , Siem Reap 10, , Otdar Meanchey 6, , Pailin , Coastal Region 17, , Kampot 4, , Koh Kong 10, , Preah Sihanouk 1, , Kep , Plateau and Montain Region 68,061 1,530, Kampong Speu 7, , Kratie 11, , Mondul Kiri 14,288 61, Preah Vihear 13, , Ratanak Kiri 10, , Stung Treng 11, , Note: 1.*Includes area of Tonle Sap Lake (3,000Km 2 ). 2. Source for area figures: Ministry of Interior 3. Areas of Phnom Penh Municipality Kandal, Koh Kong and Preah Sihanouk provinces were 290; 3,568; 11,160; and 868 Km 2 respectively in Their areas have changed in 2008 as shown in the Table. 4. Population density calculated excluding area of Tonle Sap Lake. 17

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14 Among the provinces, Phnom Penh Municipality has the highest density in the country. With an area as low as 0.17 percent of the country s land area, it accounts for nearly one tenth of Cambodia s population. With 4,516 persons per Km 2 Phnom Penh may well be one of the densely populated capital cities in Southeast Asia. Other provinces which have a higher density than the nation s average are: Kampong Cham, Kandal, Prey Veng, Svay Rieng, Takeo, in the Plain region; Banteay Meanchey, Battambang, Kampong Chhang, Siem Reap and Pailin in the Tonley Sap region; Kampot, Preah Sihanouk and Kep in the coastal region; and Kampong Speu in the Plateau and Mountain region. The population density levels in all the provinces of the Plain region are significantly higher than the country average density of 75. Apart from these provinces the population density is more than 100 only in the provinces of Banteay Meanchey, Kampot, Preah Sihanouk, Kep and Kampong Speu. A considerably wider regional variation in the pattern of population density may be observed in Map 4 which depicts the population density at the district level. 2.8 Measure of Population Concentration in Provinces It would be useful to study the extent of concentration of population by means of Lorenz curve. This graphical measure involves plotting cumulative percentages of population of provinces against the cumulative percentages of the area of the provinces. This has been done after arranging the provinces in the ascending order in terms of density and calculating the percentages of population (xi) and area (yi) of each province. Table 2.6 shows the cumulative percentages of population (Xi) and area (Yi) in columns 9 and 10 and Figure 2.7 shows the Lorenz curve. The concentration index CI is algebraically given by ½ xi-yi = percent for i=1, 2, 3.24 provinces (see column 8). It is equal to the maximum of Xi-Yi with the corresponding value of Xi as Geometrically CI is as shown in Figure 2.7. It is the deviation of the curve from the diagonal line which is the line of equal distribution. CI is the proportion of inequality in the distribution of population in relation to the area. An index of concentration equal to zero would indicate that each province of Cambodia contained a proportion of the country s total population equal to its proportion of the country s total land area. Conversely, an index of concentration equal to 100 would indicate that the entire population of Cambodia was contained in one province only. Another interpretation of the index of concentration (CI=42.30) is that 42.3 percent of the Cambodia s population would have to be redistributed in different provinces to produce an exact correspondence between population size and land area. 19

15 Table 2.6 Computation of Index of Concentration and Gini Concentration Ratio for Provinces of Cambodia Sl. Cambodia / No. Province/ Municipality Population in 2008 Area (Km 2 ) Density Proportion xi-yi Cumulative Proportion 20 xi yi Xi Yi Xi-Yi (Xi+1)Yi Xi(Yi+1) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) Cambodia 13,395, , , , Mondul Kiri 61,107 14, ,197 9,954 2 Stung Treng 111,671 11, , , Koh Kong 117,481 10, , , Preah Vihear 171,139 13, , , Ratanak Kiri 150,466 10, , , Kratie 319,217 11, , , Otdar Meanchey 185,819 6, , , Pursat 397,161 12, , , Kampong Thom 631,409 13, , , Kampong Chhnang 472,341 5, , , Siem Reap 896,443 10, , , Battambang 1,025,174 11, , , Pailin 70, , , Banteay Meanchey 677,872 6, , , Kampong Speu 716,944 7, , , Kep 35, Preah Sihanouk 221,396 1, Kampot 585,850 4, Svay Rieng 482,788 2, Kampong Cham 1,679,992 9, Prey Veng 947,372 4, Takeo 844,906 3, Kandal 1,265,280 3, Phnom Penh 1,327, , Note: 1. Provinces are listed according to density 2. Area of the country excludes Tonle Sap Lake (3000 Km 2 ) Results: xi-yi =84.59; 1/2 xi-yi =42.30; Index of concentration =42.30 percent Xi Yi+1 = ; Xi+1Yi= ; The Gini Concentration Ratio = 0.57

16 Figure 2.7 Lorenz Curve for Population Concentration in Cambodia, 2008 The overall concentration found in the curve may also be measured in terms of the ratio of the area between the curve and the diagonal line, on the one hand, and the total area of the triangle formed by the two axes and the diagonal line, on the other. This is called Gini s concentration ratio and is expressed as G= 1/ (100x100) { XiYi+1 Xi+1Yi} i =1, 2, 3, 24 provinces. The Gini s concentration ratio works out to 7.99 minus 7.42=0.57. It indicates that 57 percent of the area under the diagonal line is above the Lorenz curve and denotes a fairly high degree of segregation or unequal distribution of population, as the Gini index varies between zero and 1. For more details regarding the Lorenz Curve and the Gini Concentration Ratio, the book The Methods and Materials of Demography by Henry S. Shryock,Jacob S.Siegal and Associates may be referred to. The unevenness in population distribution is also illustrated by the fact that nearly two-thirds of Cambodia s population is concentrated in a little over a quarter of its area (Table 2.7). Likewise about 58 percent of the country accounts only for only 16 percent of its population. All these indices show that there is a significant amount of inequality in the distribution of the population of Cambodia in relation to the area. 21

17 Table 2.7 Distribution of Population and Area by density levels in Cambodia Density Level Number of Percentage share Average provinces Population Area Density (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Total Above , Below

18 Chapter 3 Distribution of Population by Urban and Rural Areas 3.1 The Urban concept The census is the main source of one of the basic characteristics of population, namely its distribution by urban rural residence. It is essential to differentiate between rural and urban population as the two differ much in terms of their economy, type of living, social outlook etc. An urban settlement is distinguished by distinct demographic characteristics as well as availability of infrastructural facilities. Urban population the world over has been growing more rapidly than the rural population. Urban centres once established, tend to influence the socio-economic conditions of the region and ultimately become the centers of attraction of population. The degree of urbanization of a country is a fair index of its socio-economic development. The definition of an urban area differs from country to country on the basis of local conditions. In Cambodia the definition of urban adopted for the 2008 Census was different from that used for the 1998 Census. The new definition of urban area was adopted based on the Study in (See Chapter 1 for details). Table 3.1shows the population in the urban and rural areas of Cambodia and its provinces according to the 1998 and 2008 censuses. The urban population of 1998 has been adjusted based on the revised definition of urban areas. 3.2 Urban and Rural Population The urban population of Cambodia has increased from 2.1 million in 1998 to 2.6 million in 2008 (Table 3.1). Correspondingly the rural population of the country has risen from about 9.3 million to 10.8 million. The percentage of urban population to total population which is the measure of urbanization has increased from 18.3 in 1998 to 19.5 in The urbanization level in Cambodia is, however, much less than that for Southeast Asia as a whole (46 percent). It has to be mentioned here that the percentage of urban population in Cambodia was 15.7 percent according to old definition of urban areas. This figure stands revised to 18.3 percent due to changes as a result of the adoption of the new definition evolved for the revised classification of urban areas in It may be mentioned here that according to the 1962 Census the urban population constituted 10.3 percent of the total population. At that time Phnom Penh, three other municipalities of Kaeb, Bokor and Sihanouk Ville and 14 urban centers in provinces were treated as urban and the rest of the country was considered rural. 23

19 Table 3.1 Urban and Rural Population by Province, Cambodia 2008 Population Percentage of Cambodia/ Province/ Difference Urban Municipality Urban Rural Urban Rural (1`) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Cambodia 2,095,074 9,342,582 2,614,027 10,781, Banteay Meanchey 135, , , , Battambang 177, , , , Kampong Cham 117,563 1,491, ,242 1,561, Kampong Chhnang 41, ,990 43, , Kampong Speu 48, ,848 54, , Kampong Thom 31, ,678 31, , Kampot 45, ,155 48, , Kandal 146, , ,898 1,069, Koh Kong 41,808 74,253 36,053 81, Kratie 36, ,821 35, , Mondul Kiri 2,730 29,677 4,859 56, Phnom Penh 950,373 49,431 1,242,992 84, Preah Vihear 7, ,434 10, , Prey Veng 35, ,738 33, , Pursat 27, ,265 25, , Ratanak Kiri 11,256 82,987 19, , Siem Reap 102, , , , Preah Sihanouk 66, ,012 89, , Stung Treng 15,141 65,933 17,022 94, Svay Rieng 16, ,261 17, , Takeo 13, ,509 14, , Otdar Meanchey 12,081 56,198 18, , Kep 4,017 24,643 4,678 31, Pailin 8,510 14,396 15,674 54,

20 3.3 Urbanization Levels in Provinces The levels of urbanization in the provinces may be seen from Table 3.1 and Map 5. Phnom Penh is the prime city in Cambodia in which urbanization is the highest with about 94 percent. Among the provinces the least urbanized is Takeo (1.71 percent). The overall increase in the percentage of urban population in Cambodia during is by 1.2 percentage points. The changes in urban population of the provinces during are not uniform. Only in the following provinces the percentage of urban population has increased during the decade: Banteay Meanchey, Kandal, Ratnak Kiri, Siem Reap and Preah Sihanouk, the highest increase being in Siem Reap Province (4.69) and the lowest in Ratanak Kiri (0.89). The urban Sangkats of Krong Siem Reap have registered sizeable increases in their populations mainly due to the tourist importance of the city. Banteay Meanchey province s high increase in the proportion (3.32) of urban population is due to the phenomenal increase in the population of Paoy Poet Sagkat of Krong Paoy Paet owing to its strategic location and commercial importance. Krong Ta Khmau which is close to Phnom Penh and wholly urban has substantially increased in its population size during the decade giving rise to an increased level of urbanization in Kandal province. The increase in the proportion of urban population of Preah Sihanouk may be attributed mainly to the increase in the population of the port town of Krong Praeh Sihanouk. All other provinces have shown negative growth in their urban proportions, the most conspicuous being the provinces of Battambang, Koh Kong, Kratie, Phnom Penh, Pursat, Stung Treng and Otdar Meanchey. The urban dwellers in these areas have shifted to rural areas to work in farms in their own provinces or in other provinces especially in Battambang, Preah Vihear and Otdar Meanchey. The extraordinary rise in the rural population of Otdar Meanchey and Pailin has reduced the percentage of urban population in these two provinces. 25

21 Table 3.2 Number of Districts/ Khans/ Krongs by Percentage of Urban Population Percentage Urban No. of Districts/ Khans/ Krongs (1) (2) Total 193 Nil As much as 73 percent of Districts/ Khans/ Krongs have not been urbanized at all. They are entirely rural. The urban percentage classes and 25+ have a total of 23 districts. The urbanization level in each of these districts is higher than the national average of percent. The numbers and percentages of urban and rural population in respect of each district are given in Table AT02 at the end of this report (Annex 2). 3.4 Distribution of Urban Population As may be seen from Table 3.3, there is a high degree of unevenness in the distribution of urban population in the country. Almost half the national urban population is concentrated in Phnom Penh which has been the pole of attraction especially from the early nineties when the political situation in Cambodia gradually returned to normalcy and peace was restored in the entire country after decades of war. Apart from returnees a large number of migrants from other provinces had settled in the capital. The growth of garment industry in and around Phnom Penh accounted for a large number of young women workers from far and near. Among the other provinces of the Plain region, Kandal and Kampong Cham have each considerable proportion of the total urban population (7.49 percent and 4.52 percent respectively). Prey Veng province accounts for about 1.3 percent of the total urban population of the country. The following provinces have each a very low share (less than one percent) of the urban population of the country: Mondul Kiri, Preah Vihear, Ratanak Kiri, Stung Treng, Svay Rieng, Takeo, Otdar Meanchey, Kep and Pailin. Barring Kratie and Kampong Speu the provinces of the hilly and mountain region share a very small proportion of urban population due to poor development of urban areas in the absence of infrastructural facilities. Kampong Speu and Kratie provinces have comparatively a higher share of the urban population due to their proximity to Phnom Penh and Kampong Cham cities respectively. Out of four provinces in the coastal region two (Kampot and Koh Kong) account for 1 to 2 percent each. Preah Sihanouk province which has the port town of Krong Preah Sihanouk accounts for 3.4 percent of the country s urban population. The fourth province (Kep), though fairly urbanized accounts for only about 0.2 percent of the total urban population as it has comparatively a very small area. The provinces in the Tonle Sap region form into three categories: provinces which have got each about seven percent of the country s urban population (Banteay Meanchey, Battambang, and Siem Reap), provinces with 1 to2 percent each of the total urban population (Kampong Chhnang, Kampong Thom 26

22 and Pursat) and provinces which account for a small proportion of urban population (Otdar Meanchey and Pailin). Table 3.3 Distribution of Urban Population of Cambodia by Province, 1998 and 2008 Cambodia/ Province/ Municipality Percentage of urban population to total urban population of Cambodia (1) (2) (3) Cambodia- Total Banteay Meanchey Battambang Kampong Cham Kampong Chhnang Kampong Speu Kampong Thom Kampot Kandal Koh Kong Kratie Mondul Kiri Phnom Penh Preah Vihear Prey Veng Pursat Ratanak Kiri Siem Reap Preah Sihanouk Stung Treng Svay Rieng Takeo Otdar Meanchey Kep Pailin

23 Figures 3.2 and 3.3 depict the percentage distribution of urban population by province in 1998 and 2008 respectively. 28

24 Population densities and proportions of urban population to the total urban population of Cambodia are compared in respect of each natural region in Table 3.4. It is seen that in general percentage share of urban population varies according to density levels both in 1998 and In the Tonle Sap region the percentage of urban population to the country s urban population is much more than what one could expect going by the density level in the plain region. This is due to the location in this region of big cities (Krongs) like Siem Reap city (population 230,714) of Siem Reap province, Battambang city (144,323) of Battambang province and Srei Sophoan city (90,279) of Banteay Meanchey province. In the coastal region the opposite trend is noticed since except Preah Sihanouk there is no major city in this region. The share of urban population by the mountain and plateau region seems to be in keeping with its density level. Table 3.4 Population Density and Distribution of Urban Population Name of Natural region Population Density Percentage of urban population to National urban population Cambodia Plain Region Tonle Sap Region Coastal Region Plateau and Mountain Region It has also been observed that there is a positive correlation between density and urbanization (percentage of urban population) in the provinces of Cambodia. 3.5 Further revision of Urban List The Sub-Decree promulgated in January 2009 has declared that the reconstituted provincial capitals (23 barring Phnom Penh) and three more new units ( Poi Pait City in Banteay Meanchey province, Soung City in Kampong Cham province and Bavet City in Svay Rieng province ) are to be treated as Krongs or cities. In other words, these areas are statutorily declared urban areas. The present definition of urban in Cambodia is based on the demographic characteristics of a commune as per the urban definition. Hence the statutory urban areas may contain Communes (or Sangkats as they are called) which are not in the existing urban list as they did not qualify to became urban area at the time of 2004 revision. Consequently the statutory urban areas have a mix of both urban and rural Communes or Sangkats. In several countries statutory urban areas are treated as wholly urban. It is therefore proposed to work out the further revised urban population of Cambodia as a result of the Sub- Decree proposals/changes. This is only an academic exercise at present and the urban figures already published in respect of Cambodia and its provinces remain valid as of now. For the present exercise, in addition to the existing Communes/ Sangkats contained in the urban list, the Sangkats located within all the Krongs of the 23 provinces and the Sangkats in all the Khans of Phnom 29

25 Penh Municipality which are now rural, are treated as urban. The results are shown in Table 3.5 (given as Annex 3 at the end of this report) and Table 3.6 given below. Table 3.6 Comparative Statement showing percentage of Urban Population according to 2008 Census and the further revised Urban List Code Cambodia/ Province 2008 Census Revised percentage on the basis of Sub-decree Changes (1) (2) (3) (4) Cambodia Banteay Meanchey Battambang Kampong Cham Kampong Chhnang Kampong Speu Kampong Thom Kampot Kandal Koh Kong Kratie Mondul Kiri Phnom Penh Preah Vihear Prey Veng Pursat Ratanak Kiri Siem Reap Sihanoukville Stung Treng Svay Rieng Takeo Otdar Meanchey Kep Pailin It may be seen that if the revision referred to is made, the level of urbanization in Cambodia increases from 19.1 percent to percent which will still be about half that of Southeast Asia. The percentage of urban population to total population increases in all the provinces except Kampong Chhnanang, Kampong Speu and Kandal. Phnom Penh Municipality becomes fully urbanized. In the following provinces percentage of urban population increases by 10 or more percentage points in the revised scheme: Mondul Kiri, Pursat, Stung Treng, Svay Rieng, Otdar Meanchey, Kep and Pailin. 30

26 Chapter 4 Growth of Population Population change or growth refers to the change in the number of persons residing in a territory during a specified period of time. The change may be positive or negative. The analysis of population growth in a country enables understanding of its demographic structure. Moreover the phenomenon of population growth serves as one of the indices of a region s development in relation to its resources. 4.1 Scenario of world population growth While it took many thousands of years for the world population to reach the one billion mark in 1830, the next billion was added in just about hundred years. With further increase in the rate of growth of population the duration involved became increasingly lesser. The third billion was added in only 30 years, fourth in 15 years and the fifth in 12 years. World population crossed the 6 billion mark in 1999 to reach 6.7 billion in The world population growth has however been uneven, with the less developed regions contributing a very high proportion of the net increase in world population. Population growth rates of the major areas of the world range from no growth in Europe to 2.2 percent per annum in Africa as may be seen from the following Table extracted from the UN Demographic Year Book of 2007: Table 4.1 Population, Rate of increase and Density of the World and Major Areas Annual rate of Population Major Areas increase Density (Millions) (percent) (1) (2) (3) (4) World 6, Africa Latin America and Caribbean Northern America Asia Europe Oceania Even within Asia the annual population growth rate varies from 0.5 percent in Eastern Asia to 1.8 percent in Western Asia. The populations of Southeast Asia and South-central Asia are growing at 1.2 and 1.5 percent respectively. 31

27 4.2 Demographic Transition in Cambodia The three factors affecting population change are fertility, mortality and migration. While the natural growth rate of population is the difference between birth and death rates, the overall or actual growth rate of population takes into account all the three factors. Both actual and natural growth rates of population portray the demographic dynamism of a region. The demographic transition theory which is based on trends in fertility and mortality and the resultant natural increase in population size envisages a transition from a stage of high birth and high death rates to eventually a stage marked by low birth and low death rates. In the case of Cambodia it is not possible to study the trend in population growth over the past several decades due to lack of data and historical reasons. It can be examined only with reference to the two censuses in 1998 and 2008 as well as the surveys like the Cambodia Demographic Health Survey (CDHS) 2000 and 2005 and the Cambodia Intercensal Population Survey conducted in 2004 (2004 CIPS). The total fertility rate in Cambodia has declined from more than 6 children per woman in the early 1980s to 4.0 children in 1998,3.4 children in 2004 and around 3 in 2008.After a period of erratic variations with a high level range, infant and child mortality have also experienced substantial decline. According to the 2004 CIPS, infant mortality declined from a rate of 93 deaths per 1,000 births in 1998 to 66 in It has further declined to around 60 in 2006 according to the estimate made on the basis of the 2008 Census results. The continued decline in the rate of population growth in Cambodia in the most recent years is indicative of the fact that its population is gradually moving towards the end of the third or late expanding stage (birth and death rates below 30 and 15 respectively) of demographic transition. 4.3 Population Growth Cambodia s population has increased by 1.96 million during the decade If the estimated population of 45,000 in the areas not covered by the 1998 census due to unrest in those areas is added to the 1998 Census population of Cambodia, the decadal growth rate works out to percent. The corresponding average annual exponential growth rate is 1.54 percent. The annual growth rate is higher than that of Southeast Asia as a whole (1.2 percent).cambodia s population has increased at a rate very much higher than that of Thailand and, marginally higher than the growth rate of Viet Nam and marginally lower than the growth rate of Laos. Table 4.2 gives the average annual exponential growth rates of population during for different provinces by Total, Urban and Rural. Map 6 depicts the growth rate by province. The following provinces have registered an annual growth rate in population higher than the average annual growth for the country as a whole(1.54 percent): Banteay Meanchey (1.56), Battambang (2.28), Kampong Speu (1.79), Kandal (1.62), Kratie (1.93), Mondul Kiri (6.34), Phnom Penh (2.83), Preah Vihear (3.61), Ratanak Kiri (4.67), Siem Reap (2.52), Preah Sihanouk (2.54), Stung Treng (3.20), Otdar Meanchey (8.64), Kep (2.21), Pailin (11.24). The remaining nine provinces have each registered a growth rate less than the country s average annual growth rate. The growth rates in the provinces are mostly governed by inter-province migration though there are a few exceptions. Table 4.3 presents for each province the number of net migrants from other provinces. This Table has been prepared on the basis of Priority Table D2 of the 2008 Census entitled Migrants from other Provinces classified by Province of Enumeration, Province of Previous Residence, Duration of Stay and Sex ( not given here) The total number of migrants from other provinces according to this Table is 1,633,673 (807,409 males 32

28 and 826,264 females). In other words these numbers represent those who had migrated from one province to another within Cambodia irrespective of duration of stay in the places of enumeration. Pailin s high growth rate is mainly due to in-migration especially during the last five years, from provinces like Battambang, Kampong Cham and Takeo provinces. More than two thirds of the population of this province (67 percent) is from other provinces according to Priority Table D2. This large scale inflow of population may be adduced to increased de-mining activities as well as availability of land for cultivation in this province which was formerly a stronghold of Khmer Rouge. Otdar Meanchey has also been an in-migrating province mostly from Siem Reap and Kampong Cham. This province had attracted many male workers in connection with large scale de-mining activities. The district of Anlong Vaeng in this province, which was not accessible in 1998 due to the Khmer Rouge occupation, has been showing signs of development with more people coming in from Siem Reap and Kampong Cham provinces for setting up trade or work in construction of major roads like road number 67 which connects Anlong Veang with Siem Reap. Out of 65,325 migrants from other provinces, 35,201 or about 54 percent have moved in during the five years 2003 to 2008 according to Priority Table D2.It has to be mentioned here that the 1998 population of this province includes an estimate of the 1998 population of Anlong Vieng district where the 1998 Census could not be conducted due to war (See Chapter 1 Introduction). Consequently the growth rate of this province is based on estimated 1998 population. 33

29 Table 4.2 Population Growth Rate by Province and Residence, Cambodia/ Province/ Municipality Annual Growth Rate of Population (percent) Total Urban Rural Cambodia Banteay Meanchey Battambang Kampong Cham Kampong Chhnang Kampong Speu Kampong Thom Kampot Kandal Koh Kong Kratie Mondul Kiri Phnom Penh Preah Vihear Prey Veng Pursat Ratanak Kiri Siem Reap Preah Sihanouk Stung Treng Svay Rieng Takeo Otdar Meanchey Kep Pailin Note: The annual exponential growth rate is worked out after adding to1998 rural population, the estimated population in areas where the 1998 census could not be conducted due to conflict. See text for details. Stung Treng province had attracted in the last decade many persons to work in agro-industry plantations (cashew nut, rubber and a special kind of timber called mayasak ) and construction of a road with bridges connecting neighbouring Laos. The in-migrants who constitute nearly 12 percent of the total population of Stung Treng had come mostly from Kampong Cham, Kratie and Preah Vihear provinces. 34

30 The high growth rates of Mondul Kiri, Ratanak Kiri and Preah Vihear might be adduced to high fertility (as revealed by CDHS, 2005) and sizable in-migration. In Mondul Kiri people who had moved in from other provinces constitute about 29 percent of its total population. Mostly they were from Kampong Cham province. Table 4.3 Number of Net-migrants of all Durations of stay in each Province from other Provinces, Cambodia 2008 Province / Municipality Number of inmigrants from other Provinces Number of out- migrants to other Provinces Number of Net Migrants In migrants Out migrants Percentags of Net-migrants to Ppulation of the Province Inmigrants Out- migrants (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) Total 1,633,673 1,633, , , Banteay Meanchey 107,504 51,528 55, Battam bang 163, ,060 47, Kampong Cham 59, , , Kampong Chhang 22,907 41,926-19, Kampong Speu 36,478 70,550-34, Kampong Thom 23,143 75,971-52, Kampot 24, ,898-79, Kandal 122, ,814-75, Koh Kong 45,895 12,520 33, Kratie 33,949 33, Mondul Kiri 17,876 1,218 16, Phnom Phen 515,492 83, , Preah Vihear 17,967 6,383 11, Prey Veng 18, , , Pursat 33,151 68,715-35, Rattanak Kiri 22,593 2,597 19, Siem Reap 69,576 49,986 19, Preah Sihanouk 69,187 18,663 50, Stung Treng 13,080 3,910 9, Svay Rieng 73,433 75,523-2, Takeo 24, , , Otdar Meanchey 65,325 7,892 57, Kep 7,848 2,011 5,