Global Issues Monitor 2002 & 2003

Transcription

1 Global Issues Monitor 2002 & 2003 Presented to: OECD DAC ANNUAL MEETING Ottawa, Canada June 6, 2003 Rob Kerr

2 Global Issues Research From Environics International Ltd. Global Corporate Radar Public Opinion Surveys Social Trends Surveys of Stakeholders and Influential Experts Expert Advice Decision-makers (public, private and individuals)

3 Global Multi-Client Studies Public Opinion Global Issues Monitor G20 countries since 2000 Corporate Social Responsibility Monitor G20 countries since 1999 International Environmental Monitor 30 countries since 1977 Food Issues Monitor 10 countries since 1999 Global Campus Monitor 1,000+ university students beginning 2003 Expert Stakeholder Views GlobeScan Surveys OECD countries since 1994

4 Custom Research Services World-Wide Research Services (in-person, telephone, online): Public opinion: stand-alone and omnibus, with global reach (50 countries) Stakeholder: customers, employees, investors, NGOs, regulators, etc. Qualitative: focus groups, executive interviews, etc. Continuous issues tracking services Data mining and secondary research Strong statistical and advanced analytics skills Proprietary Tools: The GlobeScan Suite Issues Navigator Reputation Driver Initiative Planner Communicator

5 Environics' World 40+ Countries with Licensed Research Partners (incl. G20*) North America/ Oceania Australia* Canada* New Zealand United States* Latin America Argentina* Brazil* Chile Colombia Cuba Dominican Republic Mexico* Peru Panama Uruguay Venezuela Northern Europe France* Finland Germany* Great Britain* Netherlands Mediterranean Egypt Greece Italy* Spain* Turkey Africa Nigeria South Africa* Eastern Europe/ Central Asia Hungary Kazakhstan Poland Russia* Saudi Arabia* Ukraine Asia China* India* Indonesia* Japan* South Korea* Malaysia Philippines Thailand

6 Survey Methodology An annual survey of public opinion on major global and CSR issues. Representative samples of 1, 000 citizens in each of 20+ countries (sample error +/-3 %, 19 of 20 times, in each country). Samples are representative of all socio-demographic groups (urban-only sample in some large developing countries) Focus on G20 co untries Face-to-face and telephone interviews, depending on industry standard.

7 Participating Countries (25) 2002 Canada United States Mexico Great Britain Netherlands France Germany Russia Kazakhstan Italy Japan Spain Turkey South Korea Qatar China India Venezuela Nigeria Brazil Indonesia Chile Argentina South Africa Australia

8 Presentation Most Serious Problems Economic Issues Globalization & Implications for Developing Countries Development Priorities, Responsibilities, Approaches Privatization Trust and Governance Global Security 1

9 Most Serious Global Problem Average of G20* Countries Surveyed Unprompted, 2003 World Issues *This chart includes all G20 countries with the exception of France. Source: The 2002 Voice of the People survey; a collaboration between Environics International and Gallup International.

10 Free Market Economy Is Best Model for World Agree, by Level of Income, 2003 Free Market Economy and Globalization

11 Effect of Globalization on Economic Factors Better vs Worse, Average of G20 Countries Surveyed 2002 Worse Better Access to foreign markets Availability of inexpensive products National economy Income and buying power Economic development in poor countries Economic equality Poverty and homelessness Number of jobs gim02/4acegijmn.g20

12 Effect of Globalization on Non-Economic Factors Better vs Worse, Average of G20 Countries Surveyed 2002 Worse Better Quality of life National cultural life Human rights / freedom / democracy Peace and stability Quality of jobs Worker rights / conditions / wages Environment gim02/4bdfhklo.g20

13 Poor Countries Benefit as Much as Rich Countries from Free Trade and Globalization Agree vs Disagree, by GDP per capita 2002 Agree Disagree Low GDP Medium GDP High GDP The white space in this chart represents Depends and DK/NA. gim01/5d.gdp

14 Effect of Globalization on Economic Development in Poor Countries Better vs Worse 2002 Worse Better North America / Oceania Asia Eurasia Africa Europe Latin America gim02_4m

15 Unelected NGO Leaders Should be Excluded from Official Globalization Negotiations Average of G20 Countries Surveyed 2002 DK/NA (11) Strongly agree (12) Depends (3) Somewhat agree (21) Strongly disagree (24) Somewhat disagree (29) gim02/5tg

16 Effects of Globalization People see globalization as generally positive Very high expectations but down in 2003 Concerns about environment, poverty, and employment Feeling that poor countries do not get fair share of benefits Info, culture and technology flows important

17 Globalization Agenda Human rights and environment neglected People endorse peaceful demonstrations against globalization Competing visions: WEF vs WSF Formal leaders missed responding to people s aspirational agenda and left field open to NGOs Citizens want NGOs to have a place at the table

18 Priority of Millenium Summit Poverty-Reduction Goals Average G20 Countries Surveyed (n=18,809) 2002 Ensuring enrollment of all children in primary school Halving number of people living on less than a dollar a day Halving number of people without access to safe drinking water All (volunteered) 13 * Excludes Saudi Arabia gim02/8.g20

19 Held Most Responsible for Improving Lives of the World s Poor Average of G20 Countries Surveyed, Regardless of Goal Selected 2002 All (volunteered) (8) DK/NA (2) NGOs (5) Large companies (6) National governments (46) Individual citizens (9) International agencies like UN and World Bank (23) gim02/9.g20

20 Held Most Responsible for Improving the Lives of the World s Poor Regardless of Goal Selected, by GDP per capita 2002 National governments Individual citizens Large companies NGOs International agencies like UN / World Bank Low GDP Medium GDP High GDP The white space in this chart represents All, None, Other, and DK/NA gim02_g9-gdp

21 Rich Countries Should Allow More Food/ Clothing Imports from Developing Countries Despite Risk of Job Losses Average of G20 Countries Surveyed, 2003 Opening Up Markets Not asked in China

22 Best Way to Improve Environmental Protection and Worker Rights in Poor Countries By GDP per capita 2002 Increase economic growth Increase technical / financial assistance Increase international laws/supervision Let domestic governments set regulations Low GDP Medium GDP High GDP gim02/7.gdp

23 Support Paying One Percent More in Taxes to Help World s Poor Strongly or Somewhat Support 2002 Turkey Italy Qatar Germany Great Britain Canada Argentina USA Kazakhstan South Korea Strongly support Somewhat support gim02/10.prelim

24 Development Strong endorsement for improved education, especially in low-gdp countries Nat l governments held most responsible, again esp. in poorer countries High-GDP countries also look to international agencies Poor see economic growth and tech/financial assistance as best approaches to HR and envt

25 Trust in Leaders Average of G20 Countries Surveyed, A Lot or Some Trust 2003 NGO leaders Leaders at the UN Spiritual/religious leaders Managers of national economy Leaders of Western Europe Managers of global economy Executives of multinational companies Leaders of the USA A lot of trust Some trust gim03_g4ba-h_g20 Asked of half of sample Not asked in China

26 Trust & Governance NGOs retain strong position Major shifts in trust in USA; away from companies to governments People see strong role for governments and partnerships re: social objectives

27 Conclusions The global public is focused on poverty reduction for a more stable world International trade not yet seen as delivering on poverty or environment Deep public distrust of leaders and institutions; more public interest, less self-interest needed NGOs are highly trusted; need to be in the tent Politically, Doha Development Round is saleable in all G20 countries

28 Implications Expect protests against globalization agenda Need to address social issues, not just growth Support for stronger governments Security needs will divert attention from development Must recognize differences between North and South Atlantic Divide: USA Europe 2

29 Helping Organizations Make Informed Decisions on Complex Issues