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1 Strong Confidence - 1 BKFOREX EVENT RISK TRADING CALENDAR 04/9/018-05/04/018 Medium Confidence - ` No Strong View - 0 TIER 1 DATA: VERY MARKET MOVING, TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous Bull/Bear? Potential ST Trade Rationale Monday Monday 30/4/18 8:00 AM GE CPI MoM Apr P % Monday 30/4/18 8:00 AM GE CPI YoY Apr P % Monday 30/4/18 8:00 AM GE CPI EU Harmonized MoM Apr P % Monday 30/4/18 8:00 AM GE CPI EU Harmonized YoY Apr P % Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM US PCE Core YoY Mar % Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM US Personal Income Mar 0.40% 0.40% Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM US Personal Spending Mar 0.40% 0.0% Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM US Real Personal Spending Mar % Bullish USD Long USD/JPY Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM US PCE Deflator MoM Mar % Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM US PCE Deflator YoY Mar % Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM US PCE Core MoM Mar 0.0% 0.0% Monday 30/4/18 9:45 AM US Chicago Purchasing Manager Apr Monday 30/4/18 10:00 AM US Pending Home Sales MoM Mar % Monday 30/4/18 10:00 AM US Pending Home Sales NSA YoY Mar % Monday 30/4/18 6:30 PM AU Tuesday 1/5/18 1:30 AM AU 1 AiG Perf of Mfg Index Apr Tuesday Bearish AUD Short AUD/USD RBA Cash Rate Target 1-May 1.50% 1.50% Tuesday 1/5/18 4:30 AM UK Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 8:30 AM CA GDP YoY Feb --.70% Tuesday 1/5/18 8:30 AM CA GDP MoM Feb % Tuesday 1/5/18 10:00 AM US ISM Manufacturing Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 10:00 AM US Will ISM Employment Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 10:00 AM US Update ISM Prices Paid Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 10:00 AM US ISM New Orders Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 6:45 PM NZ Unemployment Rate 1Q % Tuesday 1/5/18 6:45 PM NZ Employment Change QoQ 1Q % Tuesday 1/5/18 6:45 PM NZ Employment Change YoY 1Q % Tuesday 1/5/18 6:45 PM NZ Participation Rate 1Q % Tuesday 1/5/18 6:45 PM NZ Pvt Wages Inc Overtime QoQ 1Q % Tuesday 1/5/18 6:45 PM NZ Pvt Wages Ex Overtime QoQ 1Q % Bearish GBP Bearish CAD Bearish NZD Short GBP/USD Long USD/CAD Short NZD/USD PPI released after CPI so difficult to handicap this month Stronger retail sales and average hourly earnings in March Stronger Philadelphia Fed survey offset by weaker Empire State Possible pullback after strong March. Biz confidence down too No changes expected, likely to remain neutral No change in CBI except sentiment Weaker trade balance, weaker retail sales ex Will update after Chicago PMI as stronger philly fed offset by weaker empire state Manufacturing employment stronger in Q1 but services weaker. Net employment outlook lower
2 Wednesday /5/18 3:55 AM GE Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Apr F Wednesday /5/18 4:00 AM EC Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Apr F Wednesday /5/18 5:00 AM EC Unemployment Rate Mar % Wednesday /5/18 5:00 AM EC No trade GDP SA QoQ 1Q A % Wednesday /5/18 5:00 AM EC GDP SA YoY 1Q A --.70% Wednesday /5/18 8:15 AM US ADP Employment Change Apr -- 41k Wednesday /5/18 :00 PM US FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) -May 1.75% 1.75% Wednesday /5/18 :00 PM US FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) -May 1.50% 1.50% Wednesday /5/18 6:30 PM AU AiG Perf of Services Index Apr Wednesday /5/18 9:30 PM AU Will Trade Balance Mar -- A$85m Wednesday /5/18 9:30 PM AU Update Building Approvals MoM Mar % Wednesday /5/18 9:30 PM AU Building Approvals YoY Mar % Thursday Thursday 3/5/18 4:30 AM UK Will Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Apr Thursday 3/5/18 4:30 AM UK Update Markit/CIPS UK Composite PMI Apr Thursday 3/5/18 5:00 AM EC PPI MoM Mar % Thursday 3/5/18 5:00 AM EC Will PPI YoY Mar % Thursday 3/5/18 5:00 AM EC Update CPI Core YoY Apr A % Thursday 3/5/18 5:00 AM EC CPI Estimate YoY Apr Revisions are hard to predict but changes can impact EURO German GDP will be released after EZ data so hard to predict ADP can be market moving but difficult to predict No changes expected but Fed likely to maintain optimism Thursday 3/5/18 8:30 AM CA Int'l Merchandise Trade Mar b Bullish CAD Short USD/CAD Rise in IVEY PMI Will Will update after ISM Thursday 3/5/18 8:30 AM US Update Trade Balance Mar -$56.0b -$57.6b manufacturing Thursday 3/5/18 10:00 AM US ISM Non-Manf. Composite Apr Thursday 3/5/18 10:00 AM US Durable Goods Orders Mar F Thursday 3/5/18 10:00 AM US Factory Orders Mar % Will Thursday 3/5/18 10:00 AM US Durables Ex Transportation Mar F Update Thursday 3/5/18 10:00 AM US Factory Orders Ex Trans Mar % Thursday 3/5/18 10:00 AM US Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Mar F Thursday 3/5/18 10:00 AM US Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air Mar F Thursday 3/5/18 9:30 PM AU RBA Statement on Monetary Policy Wednesday No trade No trade Will have to see how PMI manufacturing Will have to see how PMI manufacturing fares. Weaker GfK Will have to see how German CPI fares Will update after ISM manufacturing index but confidence has been weaker We do not trade reports but they can be market moving
3 Friday Friday 4/5/18 4:00 AM EC Markit Eurozone Services PMI Apr F Friday 4/5/18 4:00 AM EC Markit Eurozone Composite PMI Apr F Friday 4/5/18 5:00 AM EC Retail Sales MoM Mar % Friday 4/5/18 5:00 AM EC Retail Sales YoY Mar % Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Apr 195k 103k Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Two-Month Payroll Net Revision Apr k Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Change in Private Payrolls Apr 190k 10k Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Change in Manufact. Payrolls Apr -- k Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Unemployment Rate Apr 4.00% 4.10% Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Underemployment Rate Apr % Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Average Hourly Earnings MoM Apr 0.0% 0.30% Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Average Hourly Earnings YoY Apr --.70% Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Average Weekly Hours All Employees Apr Friday 4/5/18 8:30 AM US Labor Force Participation Rate Apr % Friday 4/5/18 10:00 AM CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index SA Apr Revisions are hard to predict but changes can impact EURO Non-Farm payrolls are extremely market moving but difficult to handicap, best traded reactively Bank of Canada concerns point to possibile slowdown TIER DATA: POTENTIALLY MARKET MOVING, COULD BE TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous Sunday 9/4/18 9:00 PM NZ ANZ Activity Outlook Apr Sunday 9/4/18 9:00 PM NZ ANZ Business Confidence Apr Sunday 9/4/18 9:00 PM CH Non-manufacturing PMI Apr Sunday 9/4/18 9:00 PM CH Manufacturing PMI Apr Sunday 9/4/18 9:00 PM CH Composite PMI Apr Monday 30/4/18 3:00 AM SZ KOF Leading Indicator Apr Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM CA Industrial Product Price MoM Mar % Monday 30/4/18 8:30 AM CA Raw Materials Price Index MoM Mar % Monday 30/4/18 6:45 PM NZ Building Permits MoM Mar % Monday 30/4/18 7:00 PM AU CBA Australia PMI Mfg Apr Monday 30/4/18 8:00 PM AU CoreLogic House Px MoM Apr % Monday 30/4/18 8:30 PM JN Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg Apr F Monday 30/4/18 1:00 AM GE Retail Sales MoM Mar 0.80% -0.50% Monday 30/4/18 1:00 AM GE Retail Sales YoY Mar 1.60% 1.30% Tuesday 1/5/18 4:30 AM UK Net Consumer Credit Mar b Tuesday 1/5/18 4:30 AM UK Net Lending Sec. on Dwellings Mar b Tuesday 1/5/18 4:30 AM UK Mortgage Approvals Mar k Tuesday 1/5/18 4:30 AM UK Money Supply M4 MoM Mar % Tuesday 1/5/18 4:30 AM UK M4 Money Supply YoY Mar % Tuesday 1/5/18 4:30 AM UK M4 Ex IOFCs 3M Annualised Mar % Tuesday 1/5/18 8:30 AM CA MLI Leading Indicator MoM Mar % Tuesday 1/5/18 9:30 AM CA Markit Canada Manufacturing PMI Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 9:45 AM US Markit US Manufacturing PMI Apr F Tuesday 1/5/18 10:00 AM US Construction Spending MoM Mar % Tuesday 1/5/18 9:45 PM CH Caixin China PMI Mfg Apr Wednesday /5/18 4:30 AM UK Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI Apr Wednesday /5/18 7:00 PM AU CBA Australia PMI Services Apr Wednesday /5/18 7:00 PM AU CBA Australia PMI Composite Apr Wednesday /5/18 9:00 PM NZ ANZ Commodity Price Apr % Thursday 3/5/18 7:30 AM US Challenger Job Cuts YoY Apr %
4 Thursday 3/5/18 8:30 AM US Initial Jobless Claims 8-Apr Thursday 3/5/18 8:30 AM US Unit Labor Costs 1Q P 3.10%.50% Thursday 3/5/18 8:30 AM US Continuing Claims 1-Apr Thursday 3/5/18 9:45 AM US Markit US Services PMI Apr F Thursday 3/5/18 9:45 AM US Markit US Composite PMI Apr F Thursday 3/5/18 9:45 PM CH Caixin China PMI Composite Apr Thursday 3/5/18 9:45 PM CH Caixin China PMI Services Apr Thursday 3/5/18 1:00 AM CH BoP Current Account Balance 1Q P -- $6.3b Friday 4/5/18 :45 AM FR Trade Balance Mar m Friday 4/5/18 :45 AM FR Current Account Balance Mar b Friday 4/5/18 :45 AM FR Budget Balance YTD Mar b Friday 4/5/18 :45 AM FR Survey of Industrial Investment Friday 4/5/18 3:50 AM FR Markit France Services PMI Apr F Friday 4/5/18 3:50 AM FR Markit France Composite PMI Apr F -- --
5 TIER 3 DATA: NOT TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country Conf Event Period Survey Previous Sunday 9/4/18 7:01 PM UK Lloyds Business Barometer Apr -- 3 Sunday 9/4/18 9:00 PM AU Melbourne Institute Inflation MoM Apr % Sunday 9/4/18 9:00 PM AU Melbourne Institute Inflation YoY Apr --.10% Sunday 9/4/18 9:30 PM AU Private Sector Credit MoM Mar % Sunday 9/4/18 9:30 PM AU Private Sector Credit YoY Mar % Monday 30/4/18 10:30 AM US Dallas Fed Manf. Activity Apr Monday 30/4/18 1:00 AM EC European Commission Updates Its Economic Forecasts Monday 30/4/18 1:00 AM JN Official Reserve Assets Apr -- $168.3b Tuesday 1/5/18 1:00 AM JN Vehicle Sales YoY Apr % Tuesday 1/5/18 :30 AM AU Commodity Index SDR YoY Apr % Tuesday 1/5/18 :30 AM AU Commodity Index AUD Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 3:30 AM SZ PMI Manufacturing Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 1:00 PM NZ QV House Prices YoY Apr % Tuesday 1/5/18 6:45 PM NZ Average Hourly Earnings QoQ 1Q % Tuesday 1/5/18 7:01 PM UK BRC Shop Price Index YoY Apr % Tuesday 1/5/18 7:50 PM JN Monetary Base YoY Apr % Tuesday 1/5/18 7:50 PM JN Monetary Base End of period Apr t Tuesday 1/5/18 8:30 PM JN Nikkei Japan PMI Services Apr Tuesday 1/5/18 8:30 PM JN Nikkei Japan PMI Composite Apr Wednesday /5/18 1:00 AM JN Consumer Confidence Index Apr Wednesday /5/18 1:45 AM SZ SECO Consumer Confidence Apr -- 5 Wednesday /5/18 3:15 AM SZ Retail Sales Real YoY Mar % Wednesday /5/18 3:50 AM FR Markit France Manufacturing PMI Apr F Thursday 3/5/18 8:30 AM US Nonfarm Productivity 1Q P 1.00% 0.00% Thursday 3/5/18 9:45 AM US Bloomberg Consumer Comfort 9-Apr Friday 4/5/18 3:55 AM GE Markit Germany Services PMI Apr F Friday 4/5/18 3:55 AM GE Markit/BME Germany Composite PMI Apr F Friday 4/5/18 4:00 AM UK New Car Registrations YoY Apr % Date Time 30/4/18 1:00 AM AU 1/5/18 :45 PM CA 3/5/18 1:00 PM SZ Event RBA Governor Lowe Remarks at Board Dinner Bank of Canada's Poloz Gives Speech in Yellowknife SNB's Jordan Speaks About Vollgeld in Zurich
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